HomeMy WebLinkAboutMINUTES - 03132007 - C.104 FHS #92I Q V
l
TO: BOARD OF SUPERVISORS Contra
FROM: Family and Human Services Committee . Costa
County
DATE: March 13, 2006 SpA_cou
SUBJECT: Local Planning Council Child Care Needs Assessment
SPECIFIC REQUEST(S)OR RECOMMENDATION(S)&BACKGROUND AND JUSTIFICATION
RECOMMENDATION:
ACCEPT report from the Local Planning Council on child care needs in Contra Costa County as-recommended by the
Family and Human Services Committee.
FISCAL IMPACT:
No impact from accepting this report.
BACKGROUND:
Over the past two years the Contra Costa County Office of Education, First 5 Contra Costa Children and Families
Commission, and the Contra Costa Child Care Council have been working collaboratively to create a plan for universal
preschool. As part of the collaboration, data has been collected to help identify current and projected demographics and
child care supply and demand. In addition, the Local Planning Council for Child Care and Development also needed data
collected for the development of their child care needs assessment update and strategic plan. The California Department
of Education requires that every Local Planning Council conduct a comprehensive child care needs assessment at least
every five years. The attached report fulfills that requirement.
CONTINUED ON ATTACHMENT: YES SIGN URE:
RECOMMENDATION OF COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR -RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTEE
APPROVE OTHER
SIGNATURE(S): Federal Glover,Chair Susan Bonilla,Member
AA i
ACTION OF BOARD ON m �O APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED /\ OTHER
l �—
VOTE OF SUPERVISORS I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT THIS IS A TRUE AND CORRECT
COPY OF AN ACTION TAKEN AND ENTERED ON MINUTES OF
THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS ON THE DATE SHOWN.
UNANIMOUS(ABSENT 1z )
AYES: NOES:
ABSENT: ABSTAIN:
Contact: Dorothy Sansoe(5-1009) / -,-o c (7
cc: Community Services Department ATTESTEDW" !
County Administration JOHN CULLEN,CLERK OF TFIE BOARD OF UPERVISORS
BY: Ot
DEPUTY
J o�
caF �t
C( Child Cam and
Dewlap—t
.Report on: A Profile of Child Care Needs in Contra Costa County: 2006-2015
Presented by Ruth Fernandez
Contra Costa Local Planning Council for Child Care and Development
Family and Human Services Committee Meeting
Monday, March 5, 2007
REPORT BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE OF STUDY
First 5 Contra Costa Children and Families Commission, the Contra Costa County Office of
Education and the Contra Costa Child Care Council have been working collaboratively for the past
two years to create a plan for universal preschool in Contra Costa County, called Preschool Makes
a Difference. In order to create an effective plan, data was needed to help identify current and
projected demographics and child care supply and demand. In addition, the Local Planning
Council for Child Care and Development (through the County Office of Education) also needed
data collected for the development of their child care needs assessment update and strategic plan.
The California Department of Education requires that every Local Planning Council conduct a
comprehensive child care needs assessment at least every five years and this report fulfills that
requirement.
The intent of the report is to inform Contra Costa city officials, businesses and the entire child care
community of city specific and countywide data on child care supply and demand by age groups,
demographic data on children and families; information on special populations and the child care
workforce, kindergarten readiness and school data; and more. The goal is that the data in this
report benefits Contra Costa cities and the county in the planning of programs, specifically the
development of quality early care and education programs, policies and funding strategies.
This extensive study is complete and will be available for review at the following websites:
www.firstfivecc.org and www.cocoschools.org. A notification memorandum will be mailed to
the public when the information is ready for web access.
CONTENT OF REPORT
❖ Report Summary
o Introduction and Study Purpose
o Data Highlights and Recommendations
o Summary of Child Care Supply and Demand by City, 2006 and 2015
o Summary of Special Needs Population by City
o Summary of Public Assistance to Children by City
o County Demographics: total population; total households; total children 0-12; total
employment; median household income; ethnicity
o Licensed child care supply, demand, and gaps as of 2006
o List of data organizations and descriptions
❖ GIS Maps of Countywide and City Data
❖ City Data Summaries
o Current and projected demographics
o Status of Families and Children as of 2000 Census
o Child Care Supply, Demand and Gaps as of 2006
o Child Care Facilities and Workforce
o Special Populations and Subsidies as of 2006
o School Readiness and API Schools
❖ Demographic Data on Children and Families: 2000 Census
o Population by Age, race/ethnicity, labor force participation rates, languages spoken
by ages 5-17, household income
❖ Population, Household, Employment and Household Income Growth Projections by
City: 2006 to 2105
❖ Supply of Child Care by Age, Type and Location: 2006
❖ Supply and Demand for Child Care by Age and City: 2006, 2010, and 2015
❖ Supply and Demand of Child Care by Census Track
❖ Supply and Demand of Child care for 3-5 year olds — Preschool: 2006 and Preschool
Demand 2010 and 2015
❖ Licensed Child Care Subsidies by Type
o Early Head Start, Head Start
o ASES. (After-school Education and Safety Program, Prop 49) and 21St Century After
School Programs by School and Grade
o Alternative Payment, CalWorks Stages 1-3, Title 5
o Children 0-12 on Centralized Eligibility List (CEL)
o Licensed Exempt Child Care Subsidies
CONTENT OF REPORT
❖ Special Populations and Special Needs Children
o Primary Diagnosis of Children Participating in Special Education Services
o Children participating in Early Intervention or Special Education by City
o Children in Special Education by School District and Grade
o Children receiving Mental Health Services by Age and City
o Children receiving California Children's Services by Age and City
o Children in Protective Services
o Children in Families Receiving Public Assistance
o Children in Migrant Worker Families
❖ Data on Education of Providers and Workforce
o Comprehensive Approaches to Raising Educational Standards (CARES) recipients
by position and city/location
o Number of CARES grantees and dollars awarded, facilities funded and amounts
awarded
o Workforce Census Report for Bay Area Summary
o Teacher Permit Data 1996-2005
❖ Kindergarten Readiness and School Data
o Kindergarten enrollment by district in 2006
o Public Elementary Schools as of June 2006
o Child Care Centers and Large Family Child Care Homes by Elementary School and
School District
o Low API schools, subsidized lunch and English Learner data
❖ Child Care Quality and Assessments
o Provider accreditation and those seeking accreditation
o Early Learning Demonstration and Inclusion Projects
o Quality Measures and Models
❖ Additional Services and Innovative Models
o Wrap Around Care and Sick Care Services
o Innovative Models for Child Care
Data Prepared by:
Brion &Associates
in conjunction with
LINCC Consulting Group'
Nilsson Consulting
Institute of Geographic Information Science, SFSU
Made Possible by Funding From
First 5 Contra Costa Children and Families Commission
Contra Costa County Office of Education and
The Contra Costa County Local Planning Council for Child Care and Development
REPORT DISSEMINATION
How to access the report?
o A notification memorandum will be mailed to all Contra Costa County and City Public
Officials informing them of the completion of the report and how to access the information.
o Members of the Costa Local Planning Council for Child Care and Development are also
prepared to contact their own city constituency officials to make presentations that provide
in-depth city data collected by the study.
o You can also obtain copies of the Contra Costa Local Planning Council's Executive
Summary by contacting Ruth Fernandez at 925-942-3413 or e-mail at
rfernandez(a_cccoe.k12.ca.us
LPC CHILD CARE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
LPC Responsibilities:
o Document information gathered during the needs assessment.
o Submit results of the needs assessment and the local priorities identified by the LPC to the
County Board of Supervisors and the County Superintendent of Schools for approval before
submitting to CDE.
o Prepare comprehensive countywide child care plan designed to mobilize public and private
resources to address identified needs.
o Encourage public input in the development of priorities. Public input shall include at least
one public hearing during which the public can comment on proposed priorities.
LPC Timeline:
o Present recommendations for the local priorities for use in allocating 2007-2008 expansion
funding at the Family and Human Services meeting scheduled for May 7, 2007
o Present changes to comprehensive countywide child care plan at the Family and Human
Services meeting scheduled for October 1st, 2007
SECTION B
A Profile of Child Care Needs
in Contra Costa County:
2006 to 2015
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County: 2006 to 2015
October 2006
B. DATA HIGHLIGHTS AND REC®MMENDATI®NS
This section presents the ten most important findings of the study and the implications for
child care planning in Contra Costa County. When recommendations are made, the
consultants base those recommendations on review of the current data and projections
prepared as part of this effort. These findings are not presented in order of importance.
1. Over the next ten years, the County's population of children will decrease, and
most of this reduction will be in the category of school age children.
ABAG projects the population of children will decrease in Contra Costa County
by 2015. While the County will add about 78,000 new residents between 2006
and 2015, it is expected to lose slightly more than 8,000 children 0 to 12 years
old. The County will experience a small net gain of about 1,200 children 0 to 5
years old but will experience a net loss of approximately 9,300 school age
children. While most of the cities in the County will lose children, Brentwood,
Hercules and San Ramon will experience increases in children 0 to 12 years old.
As a result, children as a percent of total population will decline in the County
overall from 17.5%in 2006 to 15.5% by 2015 or a 2%reduction. The County
will also experience a loss of adults between the ages of 30 and 45 which
corresponds to the reduction in school age children. ABAG attributes these
demographic shifts to changes in fertility rates of women, women delaying child
birth, and the effects of out migration. In addition, high housing prices may also
contribute to this population shift.
. 2 Most cities in the County have current shortages of child care spaces and
several cities have shortages that exceed 1,000 child care spaces, as shown in
Table S-1. 2
The total shortfall in child care for the County equals about 14,000 spaces,the
majority of which are school age spaces. Based on the analysis of existing
demand for child care by age and city, at least five cities have significant child
care shortages: Pittsburg, Antioch, Concord, Richmond and Pinole. Richmond
has the largest gap in child care spaces with a shortage of over 2,500 spaces.
Cities with the largest gaps in child care are also the cities with the lowest
household incomes in the County. While the reduction in the populations of
children discussed above will lessen shortfalls somewhat in several communities
by 2015, the shortages will continue to be significant in many cities analyzed,
particularly when the gap is considered in relation to the overall size of the 0 to 12
t 2 Summary tables S-1 through S-4 are located at the end of Section B.
Prepared by Brion&Associates 3
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County:2006 to 2015
October 2006
population in each city. The majority of these gaps are for school age care.
However,the estimated school age gap may not include a number of licensed-
exempt facilities such as programs operated by the libraries, at private schools,
community and faith-based programs, as well as programs operated by city
departments of parks and recreation.
Table 5-23 summarizes the estimated gap at 2015 by city and age, and for the
county as a whole. As shown, the future shortfall at 2015, assuming no new
supply, would be about 12,300 spaces or slightly less than the current shortfall of
14,000 spaces. In reality,new supply may be added over the next ten years,
decreasing the shortfall.
3. The cities with the highest incomes also have the lowest sates of children as a
percent of population and have either very small gaps in child care or have
surpluses of child care spaces relative to demand.
Danville, Lafayette, Moraga, and Walnut Creek have surpluses of child care
spaces relative to their own resident demand. In Walnut Creek, this may be
attributed to the fact that the city is a major employment center for the County.
For the other cities, it is not as clear why there is a surplus of spaces although
household income or"ability to pay" for child care is most likely the reason.
These cities also tend to have lower labor force participation rates, lower children
as a percent of total population rates, and of course, higher average incomes.
4. Cities with lower household incomes and a higher ratio of children to the total
population possess, on average, a disproportionately larger population of
children with special needs and other special population children such as
children in protective services, in the county.
As shown in Table 5-34, there is a pattern of children from special populations
that shows the majority of children are in Antioch, Concord, Pittsburg, Richmond,
and San Pablo. The distribution by type of children from special populations
varies slightly from city to city but overall, children from special populations are
concentrated in the lower income communities. Special needs or education data
with the exception of data from the Early Intervention Program is not available by
city.
3 Summary tables S-1 through S-4 are located at the end of Section B.
r 4lbid
Prepared by Brion&Associates 4
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County: 2006 to 2015
October 2006
5. Data on child care subsidies is somewhat limited and it is not clear how many
actual children receive child care subsidies. Given the disparity of Household
incomes in the County and the number of children on the Centralized Eligibility
List(CEL), more child care subsidies are needed
As with special populations, children receiving public assistance are also
concentrated in the lower income communities. 'fable S-4' summarizes the
number of children that receive some type of public assistance, including Head
Start and Alternative Payment, and public assistance such as Ca1WORKS, Food
Stamps, TANF, and Medi-Cal. About 2,600 children participate in Head Start
programs, or about 1.5% of children in the County. The annual budget for state
and federal child care subsidies in the County is estimated at $79.2 million and
includes a variety of subsidy programs available, including Alternative Payment
programs. We estimate that about 43,000 children receive some form of public
assistance.
Close to 5,000 children in the County receive some form of Alternative Payment
for child care. By age, 53% of these children are school age, 36% are preschool.
age and 11% are infants and toddlers. Overall, about 6,000 children from
Kindergarten to 7th Grade participate in the ASES/21St Century after school
programs. The number of children enrolled varies greatly from school to school
} in the County, from a low of 7%to a high of 65% of K to 7th grade enrollment.
/ About 30 schools participate in the After School Education and Safety
(ASES)/21St Century program.6
While the population of school age children will not be growing in the County,
the largest gaps in child care are for school age children, with a countywide
shortage of about 13,000 spaces countywide. Some of these children may be
served by the ASES program.
6. The County is expected to see an increase in the ethnic diversity of its residents,
which may impact child care demand.
Countywide, Hispanic children will increase from 33% of total children in 2006
to 43% by 2015. Shifts in the percentage of Asian children will be smaller; Asian
children comprise 11% of total children in 2006 and will increase to 13.3% by
2015. White children will decrease from 40.5% in 2006 to 28.3%; African
American children will increase from 10% to 11.3%by 2015. These statistics are
from the State Department of Finance. Unfortunately,the state does not forecast
ethnicity at the city level.
5 Summary tables S-1 through S-4 are located at the end of Section B.
6 The ASES data is not available by city.
Prepared by Brion&Associates 5
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County:2006 to 2015
October 2006
7. The demand for preschool age spaces for 3 to 5 year olds exceeds existing
supply of preschool spaces currently in all but six cities in the County.
For this analysis we assume that 62% of all children ages 3 to 5 years old require
preschool. With the exception some of the wealthier communities(i.e.,Danville,
Lafayette, Moraga, Orinda, Pleasant Hill, and Walnut Creek), most cities have a
shortage of preschool age spaces currently. Countywide, the net shortage of
preschool age spaces for 2 to 5 year olds is about 4,400. At the city level,the
shortfall ranges from a low of a few spaces to a high of about 800 spaces each in
Concord and Richmond.
8. There are several sets of data on children with special needs but it is difficult to
estimate the number of children with special needs by city.
Several organizations provide support for special needs children, including the
Regional Center of the East Bay and various school districts, and California
Children's Services. Some data on special needs children is only available at
either the County level or at the school district level. Most of the data on special.
needs children is available by age; however some of the age divisions are not
compatible. One data source, concerning children participating in the Early Start
program is available by city as discussed above. Almost 12,000 children (0 to 12)
countywide are in Special Education programs at the County's public schools or
about 10% of students in all county school districts. West Contra Costa USD and
Mt. Diablo USD have the majority of the children with special needs but these are
also the largest districts in the County.
9. About 64 elementary schools, of a total of ISO countywide, have been ranked in
deciles I to S based on their low Academic Performance Index (API).
About 42% of the County's elementary schools are currently considered low API
schools. At these schools an average of 65% of students receives subsidized
lunch. At these low API schools there are a total of about 2,400 kindergarteners
that are "English Learners" and 88% of these children speak Spanish. Household
income appears to be related to low school performance. Again,the cities with
the majority of low performing schools are Antioch, Concord, Richmond,
Pittsburg, and San Pablo.
The analysis for the supply and demand focuses on children with working parents.
Prepared by Brion&Associates 6
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County: 2006 to 2015
October 2006
10. Given the size of the County and the diversity of incomes and ethnicity,
providing adequate child care services for all children that need care will
present considerable challenges.
The majority of the major shortages of child care are in the lower income
communities in the County, including Richmond, Concord, Pittsburg, Antioch,
San Pablo, and Pinole. Each of these communities is unique demographically and
in size. The majority of children in Child Protective Services (CPS), and on
public assistance in one form or another are also located in these cities. Data on
special needs children were not available at the city level in most cases, so it is
not possible to determine if these children are also concentrated in these
communities. The disparity in income throughout the County is striking and
parallels closely the availability of child care supply in most'cases
Prepared by Brion&Associates 7
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County:2006 to 2015
October 2006
Table S-1
Summary of Supply and Demand of Child Care by City:2006
Data Item:I.C.2
Contra Costa Preschool Makes a Difference Data Study
Child Care Surplus(Shortage)at 2006
Birth to 24 ] +Subtotali Total,
months or 2 to 5 or Subtotal 6 to 9 or 10 to 12 or T 6 to]2s ? 0 to 12
City/Area Infant Preschool s0 t 51ea sl School Age School Age : Yars� Years
Antioch 56 ` (559 r `
(352) . K (295). (1,142) ) (l 702 (1,997)
Brentwood 36 249 �,% 285a (249) (149) „x,(398)3 (113).
�vtr f �t
Clayton 9 101 (73) (41) mom (4)
Concord (850) sr1 X14
(107) (320) (428} (850) (464) (1 ) (1,742)
Danville (19) 498 , 479' (186) (123) EWE, 170
El Cerrito(1) (65) (24) (233) (112) (435)
Hercules (45) (268) 0 (65) (57) vSS (121 (434)
Lafayette 17 294 , (140) (81) (221 91
i i...
Martinez 1 r Tri 3 (193) (124) �,��,Y' (503)
(187) 187. 31s7E
Moraga (16) 359 t 42 (219) (93) 1 012, 31
Oakley 22 (101) k'RIA (80j (416) (195) X3 (610) (690)
Orinda (21) 1511303 (270) (113) Will—, {3$3); (253)
Pinole (53) (458) `(S�Oj (341) (160) h {Shc (1,011)
Pittsburg 1 (111) (315) < (],080) (49�) r
;� ��(LSZ�)'3 (2,001)
Pleasant Hill(1) (6) 121 L4, (58) (68)
Richmond(1) (32) (405) 1 (4�]) (1,473) (672) (2,582)
San Pablo 13 44 l ;'; 343 158 �Qlt 532
San Ramon (38) (125) r ;'t i�163' (333) (196) ie (529) (692)
Walnut Creek (18) 560 t{542k (12) (84) {*z?t x (96); 445
Alamo-BlackhawkeN '- ' £ k
(55) (104) +�� �„15,9}M (226) (102) � ,� {3;�8)„' (486)
Rodeo-Crockett16 65 j
( ) ( ) (186) (81) r (268)! (348)
Rural East County1 ) tzr{ ) ) { r (507)
( ) (21) (171 � '� �193); (213 (101 ;ri.,l �;;.{314)
Total County (484) (644) (8,572) (4,338) (14,038)
Percent of Total 3.4% 4.6% k8-0% 61.1% 30.9% F100.0%
LIA
El Cerrito includes data for the unincorporated area of Kensington;Pittsburg includes data for unincorporated area of Bay Point;Pleasant
(1) Hill includes data for unincorporated area of Pacheco;Richmond includes data for unincorporated area of EI Sobrante;Rural East County
includes Bethen Island,Byron,Discovery Bay,and Knightsen.
Note the sum of cities does not add up to the total county figures due to rounding errors.
Source:Brion &Associates
Prepared by Brion&Associates $
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County: 2006 to 2015
October 2006
Table S.2
Summary of Supply and Demand of Child Care by City:2015
Data Item:I.C.2
Contra Costa Preschool Makes a Difference Data Study
Child Care Surplus(Shortage)at 2015
Birth to
24 Subtotal;: 6 to 9 or 10 to 12 Subtotal, Total,
months 2 to 5 or '0 to School or School ' G to 12 0 to 12
City/Area or Infant Preschool Years Age Age Years Years
Antioch 1 (440) Y =.(43,9)r (887) (394) (I4o81) (1,720)
Brentwood (15) 28 z ;13zj (420) (190) t ,(61Q) (597)
Clayton 2 85 (42) (23) i65) 22
Concord (65) (144) (210} (830) (389} (,1;0190 (1,428)
Danville (55) 442 _ 387 13 (24) 376
EI Cerrito(1) (39) 55 � 16 (280) (117) 97 (381)
Hercules (61) (317) (53) (39) Yd (471)
Lafayette (0) 257 .. 2�b (69) (41) "(110) 146146
Martinez 16 (132) (214) (110) f ?324} (439)
Moraga (36) 313 ` 277 (166) (65) 45
Oakley (11) (167) _ (i7sj„ (287) (124) (411 (589)
Orinda (44) 97 ) 5#;£ (177) (69) `(246)=; (192)
Pinole (55) (438) '(43 (288) (122) x (410) (903)
Pittsburg(1) (121) (302) ,N. (422 (1,002) (414) .(31416,. (1,839)
Pleasant Hill(1) 33 246 " Et 279 (116) (72) ; "(188)? 9I
Richmond(1) 28 (118) ( D)3 (1,340) (553) (189 (1,983)
San Pablo 25 19 i _`44 (307) (128) ,{I34)s (391)
San Ramon (114) (367) �L§KN 1) (289) (147) � `�4�6) (917)
Walnut Creek 5 632 (79) (80) ( �'8) 479
Alamo-Blackhawk (74) (133) x ( Q7) (138) (58) (403)
Rodeo-Crockett (18) (65) (8?) (172) (68) H;(240)`;' (324)
Rural East County.(1) (34) (189) (140) (61) s201)n (424)
7:r z
Total County (666) (758) g(1,424): (7,487) (3,368) (16,855) (12,279)
Percent of Tota( 5.4% 6.2% 1l 6% 61.0% 27.4% 100.0%
El Cerrito includes data for the unincorporated area of Kensington;Pittsburg includes data for unincorporated area of Bay Point;Pleasant Hill
(1) includes data for unincorporated area of Pacheco;Richmond includes data for unincorporated area of EI Sobrante:Rural East County includes
Bethea Island,Byron,Discovery Bay,and Knightsen.
Note the sum of cities does not add up to the total county figures due to rounding errors.
Source:Brion &Associates
e
y
Prepared by Brion&Associates 9
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County:2006 to 2015
October 2006
Table S-3
Summary of Special
Population Children(1)
Contra Costa Preschool Makes a
Difference Data Study
Children
Receiving Children in Children in Children in
Co.Mental Early
Health CCS intervention CPS
City/Area Services Program Program Programs
Oto 12 Oto 12 0to3 Oto 12
Antioch 113 271 74 326
Brentwood 16 101 34 83
Clayton 4 6 3 11
Concord 109 265 61 210
Danville 7 16 5 11
El Cerrito(1) 7 25 8 20
Hercules 13 28 9 46
Lafayette 5 19 7 14
Martinez 30 63 10 87
Moraga 1 9 5 5
Oakley 27 67 18 57
Orinda 2 3 9 5
Pinole 17 30 7 32
Pittsburg(1) 172 319 64 251
Pleasant Hill(1) 15 42 21 25
Richmond(1) 233 384 57 271
San Pablo 79 152 16 67
San Ramon 6 47 30 27
Walnut Creek 17 38 33 41
Alamo-Blackhawk 0 9 5 5
Rodeo-Crockett(1) 9 20 4 20
Rural East County(1) 5 17 8 23
Total County 887 1,931 488 1,637
(1)Not all data on special population children is available by city;some data is organized by elementary
school,school district or only available countywide and is in the detailed data sections by topic.
Note that these are not unduplicated accounts.
Source: LINCC Consulting Group;Brion&Associates.
Prepared by Brion&Associates 10
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County:2006 to 2015
October 2006
Table S-4
Summary of Assistance to
Children by Type
Contra Costa Preschool Makes a
Difference Data Study
Children Children
Receiving Children in Receiving Children on
Public Head Start Alternative Centralized
City/Area Assistance Programs Payment Eligibility List
0to12 Otos 0to12 0to12(1)
Antioch 7,075 255 1,008 502
Brentwood 1,593 110 202 87
Clayton 115 4 8 10
Concord 6,348 346 378 306
Danville 203 0 6 10
EI Cerrito(1) 411 54 26 31
Hercules 803 73 102 58
Lafayette 157 1 26 6
Martinez 1,607 116 109 41
Moraga 60 0 1 0
Oakley 1,359 66 175 67
Orinda 75 0 1 0
Pinole 650 48 105 53
Pittsburg(1) 7,528 279 952 298
Pleasant Hill(1) 274 19 54 96
Richmond(1) 9,965 848 1,475 476
San Pablo 2,782 313 0 (2) 197
San Ramon 438 0 34 34
Walnut Creek 1,062 9 61 54
Alamo-B lackhawk 62 0 5 4
Rodeo-Crockett(1) 123 70 92 25
Rural East County(1) 268 8 24 28
Total County 42,958 2,619 4,844 2,383
(1)Excludes children that are on list but out side Contra Costa County;also includes
290 adults waiting for care.
(2)The Alternative Payment data combines Richmond and San Pablo,therefore the total for Richmond include
data for San Pablo.
Note that these are not unduplicated accounts.
Source:LINCC Consulting Group;Brion&Associates.
i
Prepared by Brion&Associates I 1
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County: 2006 to 2015
October 2006
C. COUNTY SUMMARY
The following summarizes the data collected for the Preschool Makes a Difference Data
Study and the Contra Costa County Child Care Needs Assessment by Brion&
Associates. This summary isl followed by a summary of the data by individual city or
unincorporated area of the County.
Table S-5: Current and Projected Demographics in Contra Costa County
2006 2010 % Change 2015 % Change
Countywide Amount Amount 2006-2010 Amount 2006-2015
Total Population 1,024,160 1,055,600 3.1% 1,102,300 7.6%
Total Households 372,066 385,250 3.5% 401,670 8.0%
Persons Per Household 2.75 2.74 --- 2.74 ---
Total Employment 467,900 501,100 7.1% 541,800 15.8%
Median Household Income $89,740 $97,600 4.6% $99,700 11.1%
' Sources:ABA Projections' .05; Brion &Associates
• The County will add 78,000 new residents from 2006 to 2015.
■ The County will add approximately 74,000 jobs.
• The Employment growth rate will be double the population growth rate from
2006 to 2015.
■ This population and employment growth will increase the demand for child care
services.
• Household size will remain relatively the same.
• Household income growth will be modest.
Prepared by Brion&Associates 12
Final Report:
A Profile of Child Care Needs in
Contra Costa County: 2006 to 2015
October 2006
Figure S-1:Average Household Income by City-2006 and 2015 j
I
$250,000
cam+AE.r� R.s _ '.'
F � e a
$200,000 -
,+,+
$150,000 s rk k a Y ze L Y e$�T — -2015
$100,000
$50,000 'rte7�
{ i MA—
a e 3 K
1`t'��
Table S-6: Contra Costa County Children$ Overall
2006 2010 % Change 2015 % Change
Children by Age Amount Amount 2006-2010 Amount 2006-2015
0 to 1 or Infant 22,500 22,820 1.4% 23,420 4.1%
2 to 5 or Preschool 54,456 53,880 -1.1% 54,740 0.5%
Total 0 to 5 76,956 76,700 -0.3% 78,160 1.6%
6 to 12 or School Age 101,760 95,680 -6.0% 92,440 -9.2%
Total 0 to 12 178,716 172,380 -3.5% 170,600 -4.5%
Children as %of Total
Population 17.5% 16.3% 15.5%
Sources:ABAG Projections OS; Brion &Associates
The number of children 0 to 5 years old is expected to increase by a modest 1.6%
from 2006 to 2015, while the school age population is expected to decrease by
9.2%.
■ Key changes in ethnicity include: children 0 to 12 years old will increase from
33% Hispanic in 2006 to 43% Hispanic in 2015; Caucasian children 0 to 12 years
old will decrease from 41% in 2006 to 28% in 2015.
s Infants, for this analysis,are defined as 0 to 24 months old or birth to 1 year old;preschool is 2 to 5 years
old, unless otherwise noted;and school age is 6 to 12 years old.
Prepared by Brion&Associates 13
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E X E C U T I V E S U M M A R Y
Contra Costa County
Child Care Needs Assessment
and
Status of Children and Families
2006 through 2015
prepared by
Brion & Associates
prepared for
Contra Costa County Office of Education ,5
and
ffr The Contra Costa County Local Planning Council •
"� for Child Care and Development ,
Contra Costa County Child Care Needs Assessment Profile
CURRENT AND • • •
%Change %Change
✓ The number of children 0 to 5 years old is expected to Countywide 2006 2010 2006-2010 2015 2006-2015
increase by a modest 1.6%from 2006 to 2015,while the.
school age population is expected to decrease by 9.2% Total Population 1,024,160 1,055,600 3.1% 1,102,300 7.6%
Total Households 372,066 385,250 3.5% 401,670 8.0%
✓ Key changes in ethnicity include:children 0 to 12 years old Persons Per Household 2.75 2.74 - 2.74 -
will increase from 33% Hispanic in 2006 to 43% Hispanic in Total Employment 467,900 501,100 7.1% 541,800 15.8%
2015;Caucasian children 0 to 12 years old will decrease
from 41% in 2006 to 28% in 2015 Income Median Household $89,740 $97,600 4.6% $99,700 11.1%
Income
Sources:ABAG Projections 05,•Brion&Associates
• The County will add 78,000 new residents from 2006 to 2015
• The County will add approximately 74,000 new jobs
• The Employment growth rate will be double the population growth rate from 2006 to 2015
• This population and employment growth will increase the demand for child care services
• Household size will remain relatively the same
• Household income growth will be modest
CONTRA • • b • •
Status of Families and Children as of 2000 Census
%Change %Change
✓ Ethnicity:Caucasian(65%),Asian(11%),and African- Children by Age' 2006 2010 2006-2010 2015 2006-2015
American(9%)are the three largest ethnic groups
0 to 1 or Infant 22,500 22,820 1.4% 23,420 4.1
✓ Percent Hispanic:'18% Hispanic and 82% Non-Hispanic 2 to 5 or Preschool 54,456 53,880 -1.1% 54,740 0.5%
Total 0 to 5 76,956 76,700 -0.3% 78,160 1.6%
✓ Labor Force Participation Rate of Working Parents: 6 to 12 or School Age 101,760 95,680 -6.0% 92,440 -9.2%
children under 6: 54%,and children over 6:65% Total 0 to 12 178,716 172,380 -3.5% 170,600 -4.5%
✓ Language Spoken by children 5 to 17 years old: Children as%of 17.5% 16.3% 15.5%
75% English, 15%Spanish,6%Asian/Pacific Islander;and Total Population Sources:ABAG Projections 05 Brion&Associates
4%other languages
County Licensed Child Care Supply, Demand, Summary of Supply and Demand of Child Care by City:2006
and Gaps as of 2006
0 to 5 Yrs 6 to 12 Yrs 0 to 12 Yrs
✓ Estimated Child Care Supply:37,811 spaces Antioch (295) (1,702) (1,997)
• 3,971 infant spaces(11% of supply) Brentwood 285 (398) (113)
• 21,211 preschool spaces(56% of supply) Clayton 110 (114) (4)
• 12,629 school age spaces(33% of supply) Concord (428) (1,314) (1,742)
✓ Estimated Child Care Demand:51,849 spaces Danville 479 (309) 170
4,455 infant spaces needed EI Cerrito (89) (345) (435)
• 3 Hercules (313) (121) (434)
• 21,855 preschool spaces needed etre 311 (221) 91 Lafa
• 25,539 school age spaces needed y
Martinez (187) (317) (503)
✓ Child Care Gap:Shortfall of 14,038 spaces Moraga 342 (312) 31
• Overall,73% of demand is being met Oakley (80) (610) (690)
• Infant:484 space shortfall-89%of demand met Orinda 130 (383) (253)
• Preschool: 644 space shortfall-97%of demand met Pinole (510) (501) (1,011)
• School Age: 12,910 space shortfall-49% of demand met Pittsburg (426) (1,575) (2,001)
Pleasant Hill 114 (125) (11)
✓ Infant and Preschool care show small shortfalls,countywide Richmond (437) (2,145) (2,582)
✓ School Age care shows significant shortfalls,with about 50% San Pablo (31) (501) (532)
San Ramon (163) (529) (692)
of demand not met Walnut Creek 542 (96) 445
✓ Preschool Makes a Difference Demand 3 Alamo-Blackhawk (159) (328) (486)
Rodeo-Crockett (81) (268) (348)
Total 3 to 5 years olds in 2006,countywide,equals 41,174 1 Rural East County (193) (314) (507)
• 25,651 spaces for 3 to 5 year olds are needed
Total County (1,128) (12,910) (14,038)
Percent of Total 8.0% 92.0% 100.0%
Source:Brion&Associates
d
Key Findings and Trends in Cities In Contra Costa County
he majority of Contra _ • • .
i,000 __-_ _.__ _
Costa cities are expected
to have fewer children in 500 _
_ -2015 than in 2006. The
0
Association of Bay Area
v (500) o _ m O a = o z
Governments(ABAG)forecasts
a decline in children as a per (t,000) ID
_
CL
cent of total population from s (i,soo) -� - a R
- _
17.5% in 2006 to 15.5% in LIU
��� ;
2015. In total,the County will ° (2,000) n = =
lose about 8,000 children 0 to v �0 F
(2,500) — - ---
12 years old; however,this loss z' (3,000) -- — s
is primarily in the 6 to 12 year 3
old age range. The County is (31500) ��— �_ __ _ _ __
CL
also expected to lose popula-
tion
opula tion in the 35 to 45 year old
age range,corresponding to a
reduction in families with school age children over the next 15 years. However,
there will be a small increase in infants and preschoolers during this period. special Populations
Not all cities will lose children during this period. Brentwood, Hercules,and San Contra Costa County has significant populations of children that
Ramon will experience an increase of children,with Brentwood adding the most may require special consideration due to their health, income,
children during this period. primary language,or migrant status. The concentrations of
Licensed child care supply and demand results vary greatly by city. The results of many of the special populations in the County reside in the
the analysis are impacted by the following factors: communities with the lowest incomes, including Antioch,
• Labor Force Participation Rates Concord, Pittsburg,Richmond and San Pablo.
• Average Household Income
• Children as a Percent of Total Population Of the special population data collected,each of the following
These three factors greatly impact both the supply of child care and the ability to cities(or school districts)has the largest concentration of children
use child care. Cities with the lowest concentrations of children relative to total in each category:
population are: • Head Start:Richmond,with 32%of the total
• Walnut Creek: 12.8%
• EI Cerrito: 14.6% • Centralized Eligibility List:Antioch,with 20% of the total
• Orinda: 14.8% • Alternative Payment Program:Richmond/San Pablo,with
• Moraga: 15.1% 30%of the total
• Pleasant Hill: 15.2%
• Special Education:West Contra Costa USD,with 25%of
In comparison to more affluent communities,cities with lower household incomes the total
tend to have higher labor force participation rates, more children relative to the . Mental Health Services:Richmond,with 26% of the total
total population,and often less child care supply.
• Child Protective Services:Antioch,with 20%of total
The following cities have the largest estimated gaps in child care or a gap • CaIWORKSs/TANF: Richmond,with 22% of the total
exceeding at least 1,000 spaces: • Food Stamps: Richmond,with 22% of the total
City Percent of Demand Met Number of Spaces Needed
• Medi-Cal: Richmond,with 24% of the total
Pinole 42% 1,011
Pittsburg 59% 2,001 • Children in Migrant Families:Brentwood
Richmond 62% 2,582 USD,with 53% of the total migrant children
Antioch 67% 1,997 identified in the County
Concord 73% 1,742 • Low APIs:Richmond
(WCCUSD),followed by
By age group,the following cities have the largest shortfalls in 2006: Pittsburg,Antioch and
Infant Care:Concord and Pittsburg:shortfalls of over 100 spaces each Concord(Mt. Diablo USD)
Preschool Care:Antioch,Concord, Hercules, Martinez,Oakley, Pinole, Pittsburg, In addition to Richmond,the cities
Richmond,San Ramon,Alamo-Blackhawk,and East Rural County:shortfalls of over of Antioch,Pittsburg,and Concord
100 spaces each also have high concentrations of
School Age:Antioch,Concord, Pittsburg,and Richmond:shortfalls of over 1,000 children in the special populations
spaces each. Richmond has the largest shortfall at 2,145 spaces categories listed above. ,
a
Overall,a handful of cities,which either have high employment or higher house-
hold income, have surplus spaces relative to their own resident demand, including ,
P p 9:
• Danville with 170 surplus spaces a
• Lafayette with 91 surplus spaces
• Moraga with 31 surplus spaces
• Walnut Creek with 445 surplus spaces "```
Special Populations and Subsidies as of 2006
Head Start:2,619 children enrolled in the Head Start and Early Head 50,000 ------- pUDdOQ GJ44OMMER
Start program countywide,or 1.5%of total children countywide o 45,000 I Medi-cal -42;958
* 40,000 El
CEL:2,159 children active on the Centralized Eligibility List(CEL), o ( Food Stamps
c 35,000
or 1.2%of total children countywide v [_ CalworkVTANF []
0 30,000
Early Start:488 children participating in this Early Intervention 25,000 r--- 21;775------j
program,or less than 1%of total 0 20,000 --
children count y wide ts,000 C
v 0;760 0,423
1 1
r�-
10,000 --
Special Needs: 10,243 children kindergarten � 5,000 0 _ -
through seventh grade participate in school Z 0
� ) district special education services Under 3 3 to 5 6 to 12 o to 12
Age Group
Mental Health:887 children receiving County
r Mental Health Services(current caseload),or less
than 1%of total children countywide
CCS: 1,931 children participating in California N 14,000 4PNO0 U MEN TRUCG'J4o0o a
12,355
Children's Services(CCS)(current caseload),or o 12,000
1.1% of total children countywide o 10,243
c 10,000
i CPS: 1,637 children alive with Children's
Protective Services(current caseload),or about _-2
8,000 r
1%of total children countywide; 54%of these u 6,000
children are 6 to 12 0 I
� 4,000 r--�
Public Assistance:42,958 children receiving E 2,000 1,843
public assistance,or 24% of total children --
countywide;about 50% of these children are 0 to 5 years old ° o to z 3 to s 6 to 12 oto 12
Public Housing and Children:Three public housing authorities serve Age Group
10,441 households in total,of which 3,821 or 36% have children
Migrant Children:267 migrant children enrolled in four school
districts-Brentwood USD,Byron USD, Knightsen Elementary USD, QaOdD pQ04fQ40Mf 4CG3dOQ�4
and Oakley USD-or 2% of these districts'total enrollment N1,637 1,6_3.7
0 tsoo -
Alternative Payment: 4,844 children receiving some form of child O
care subsidy support or 2.7%of total children countywide v 1200 El
U 900 88.4 L-J
I
0 6005221 � u
d ( u
Z 300 �23� -
School Readiness and Low Academic Performance 0 Family Family Permanent Adoption
Index Schools Maintainance Reunification Placement Assistance
and Kin-Gap
Kindergarten Enrollment: 13,761 children are enrolled in public and
private kindergarten as of 2005-2006
Low API'Schools: 64 of the County's 145 total elementary schools in
2005,or 44%of the total,are ranked in deciles 1-5 based on their Child Care Facilities: 1,647 total
academic performance
• 889 small family child care homes
English Learners:6 At the 64 low API schools,from a low of 2%to a • 384 large family child care homes
high of 31%of kindergarten students are English Learners or a • 284 child care centers
total of 2,436 • 90 school age centers/programs
• 88%or 2,155 of these English Learners speak Spanish
Subsidized Lunch:67%of the total students at low API schools receive Comprehensive Approaches to Raising
subsidized lunches Educational Standards(CARES): Participants
• A total of 20,605 students receive subsidized lunch total 344 countywide or 43 family child care
providers and 301 center-based staff
Study Purpose and Overview
first 5 Contra Costa Children and Families Commission,the Contra Costa County Office of Education,and the Contra Costa Child Care Council have
been working collaboratively for the past two years to create a plan for universal preschool in Contra Costa County, called Preschool Makes a
Difference. In order to create an effective plan, data was needed to helpidentify current and projected demographics and child care supply
fY 1Y
and demand. In addition,the Local Planning Council for Child Care and Development(through the County Office of Education)also needed data
collected for the development of their child care needs assessment update and strategic plan. The California Department of Education requires that
every Local Planning Council conduct a comprehensive child care needs assessment at least every five years,and this report fulfills that requirement.
The three people leading the preschool planning effort in the County include:
Sean Casey,Executive Director,First 5 Contra Costa Children and Families Commission
Kate Ertz-Berger,Executive Director,Contra Costa Child Care Council
Joseph A.Ovick,Contra Costa County Superintendent of Schools
As a result,a data committee with various agency child care staff in the County was formed to oversee and coordinate the data collection needs for
this project. The data will be used by and is of benefit to the entire child care community in Contra Costa County. We would like to acknowledge
the committee's assistance and support in preparing this document. This executive summary provides a snapshot of the data collected;the entire
report containing child care information at the city and county levels is available on the Web sites of the sponsoring agencies.
Study Authors(Consultants):
Joanne Brion, Brion &Associates, Project Manager and Prime Consultant
Angie Garling and Kristen Anderson, LINCC Consulting Group
Michelle Nilsson, Nilsson Consulting
Barry Nickel and Jesse Cohen, Institute of Geographic Information Science,SFSU
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the following organizations and public
agencies for providing data and information for this study:
Association of Bay Area Governments
California Child Care Resource&Referral Network
California Department of Finance Endnotes:
Contra Costa County Child Care Council 1.Infants,for this analysis,are defined as 0 to 24
Contra Costa County Community Services Department months old or birth to 1 year old;preschool is 2 to 5
Contra Costa County Children and Family Services years old,unless otherwise noted;and school age is
Contra Costa County Employment&Human Services Department 6 to 12 years old.
Contra Costa County Health Services Department,California Children's Services 2.This is a separate Census question from ethnicity
Contra Costa County Health Services Department, Mental Health Division above;Hispanic includes multiple ethnic groups.
Contra Costa County Office of Education 3. Preschool here is for children 2 to 5 years old and
First 5 Contra Costa Children and Families Commission assumes demand for children with working parents;
Professional Association of Childhood Educators—Alternative Payment Program(PACE-APP) Preschool Makes a Difference is universal preschool,
and assumes about 60%of all 3 to 5 year olds need
Regional Center of the East Bay licensed care.
Resource Development Associates 4.Children listed under special populations are 0 to
San Joaquin County Office of Education,Migrant Education,Region 23 12 years old,unless otherwise noted.
US Census Bureau 5.Schools in California are ranked in deciles 1-10
with 1 being the lowest based on their API scores.
Study Funding 6.This means that their families speak a primary
language other than English at home,and they are
Contra Costa County Office of Education and The Contra Costa County Local Planning Council not yet considered to have the requisite English skills
for Child Care and Development to succeed in the school's regular instructional
First 5 Contra Costa Children and Families Commission programs.
brochure design: Ray Lobato,www.raydesign.com
For further information about the Contra Costa County Local Planning Council for Child Care and Development,please visit our Web site, www.plan4kids.org.
Contra Costa County local Planning Council for
Child Care and Development (LPC)
Mission
',
The mission of the Contra Costa County Local Planning
Council for Child Care and Development is to promote
quality child care through community assessment,
advocacy, resource development, and collaboration
with other organizations.
MM
The County's overall child care
needs once every five years
Training and professional Countywide child care
development of plan to mobilize public
child care providers &private resources
FITON •• ••• •
Priorities for allocation Access to quality child care
of federal child care and development services
grant funds
With community organizations
&government agencies to
provide families the best
possible child care options
LPC Council Members
The council consists of 25 volunteers appointed jointly by the Contra Costa
County Board of Supervisors and the Contra Costa County Superintendent
of Schools. Council members equally represent the
following categories:
• Child Care Providers "y
• Child Care Consumers
• Public Agency Representatives
• Community Representatives
• Discretionary Appointments
The Local Child Care Planning Council(LPC), in partnership with public
and private entities,works to improve child care and early education
opportunities in Contra Costa County.
For more information,contact the Local Planning Council Coordinator at
(925)942-3413 or visit www.plan4kids.org.
r