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MINUTES - 04261994 - TC.3
T.C. 3 Contra TO: BOARD OF SUPERVISORS Costa FROM: TRANSPORTATION COMMITTEE County DATE: APRIL 18 , 1994 � �`� SUBJECT: TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL STATE ROAD 84 ISSUE PAPER #1 SPECIFIC REQUEST(S) OR RECOMMENDATIONS) & BACKGROUND AND JUSTIFICATION RECOMMENDATIONS Adopt the Resolution (Exhibit A) to approve the State Road 84 Issue Paper #1: Problem Definition and staff's comments (Exhibit B) . FISCAL IMPACT None. BACKGROUND/REASONS FOR RECOMMENDATIONS The Tri-Valley Transportation Council (TVTC) is in the process of developing Action Plans for the Routes of Regional Significance (RORS) in the Tri-Valley area. Since the State Road 84 is a RORS, with inherent transportation planning complexities in both Contra Costa and Alameda Counties, the TVTC established the State Road 84 Subcommittee to assist the TVTC to develop Action Plans for the facility through a series of Issue Papers. The State Road 84 Issue Paper #1, Problem Definition, is the first document of a series of three that the TVTC will request the Board to approve (see Exhibit C) . Future documents to follow will be Issue Papers 2 and 3 : Alternative Solutions and Alternative Analysis and Finance, respectively. CONTINUED ON ATTACHMENT: -XX YES SIGNATURE RECOMMENDATION OF COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR x RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTEE APPROVE OTHER OP SIGNATURE(S): 4� Supero sor Gayle Bi op, Chair Supervisor Tom Torlakson ACTION OF BOARD ON 5.94 APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED -4-- OTHER VOTE OF SUPERVISORS I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT THIS IS A UNANIMOUS (ABSENT TRUE AND CORRECT COPY OF AN AYES: NOES: ACTION TAKEN AND ENTERED ON THE ABSENT: ABSTAIN: MINUTES OF THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS ON THE DATE SHOWN. Contact: Daniel Pulon (510/646-2378) ATTESTED `7 cc: Community Development Department (CDD) PHIL B CHELOR, CLERK OF Public Works Department THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS AND COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR BY , DEPUTY DJP:gms tp\bo\SR84-1ss.Pap IN THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS OF CONTRA COSTA COUNTY, CALIFORNIA SUBJECT: In the Matter of Approving the Tri-Valley ) Transportation Council State Road 84 Issue ) Paper #1 : Problem Definition ) RESOLUTION NO. 94/243 The Board of Supervisors of Contra Costa County RESOLVES THAT: WHEREAS, the Tri-Valley Transportation Council is charged with developing transportation solutions in the Tri-Valley and has completed the Draft report, H/GHWA Y 84/EASTERN CORRIDOR ISSUE PAPER NO. 1, PROBLEM DEFINITION with the joint staff efforts of each jurisdiction in the Tri-Valley; and WHEREAS, staff has reviewed the report and offers the attached comments (Exhibit B). NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED THAT the Board of Supervisors of Contra Costa County, California approves the report entitled, Highway 84/East Corridor Issue Paper No. 1, Problem Definition subject to the incorporation of these comments and directs that our Tri-Valley representatives and staff bring back for our action and approval the subsequent reports on "Alternative Analysis," and "Funding Plan." PASSED by the following vote of the Board of Supervisors on the 26th day of April, 1994:. AYES: Supervisors Smith, Bishop, DeSaulnier, Torlakson and Powers NOES: None ABSENT: None ABSTAIN: None I hereby certify that the foregoing is a true and correct copy of an order entered on the minutes of the Board of Supervisors on the date aforesaid. Contact: Daniel Pulon (510/646-2378) cc: Community Development Department (CDD) Witness my hand and the Seal of the TVTC (via CDD) Board of Supervisors affixed on this Public Works Department 26th day of April 1994. Phil Batchelor, Clerk of the Board of Supervisors and County Administrator By: Deputy Cler tp\bo\SR84-1ss.Pep RESOLUTION NO. 94/243 is Exhibit B 1 . The Issue Paper should include discussions on the Parallel Activities Section about the following, regarding road and transit improvement plans: • Altamont Rail Demonstration Project; • Altamont Interregional Corridor Study; • San Joaquin Council of Governments Regional Transit Plan; • Los Vaqueros - Vasco Road Relocation project; • Alameda County Congestion Management Agency Transportation Plan; and • Contra Costa Transportation Authority Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan. 2. Relate the accident/fatality rate on Vasco Road to more human terms rather than traffic engineer jargon. How bad is it? For comparison, is it any worse than other roadways in either Contra Costa or Alameda Counties. Or, is there a perception problem? If there is a problem, identify near-term and long-term solutions. 3. Figure 4: Trip Origins/Destinations on Vasco Road should illustrate years 1990, 2000, and 2010. Need to clearly reference the source. This reference is important because it clearly establishes the future travel demand in the corridor in relationship to job growth in Tri-Valley and need for more proximate housing for the workers. Without capacity improvement, conditions will worsen and put more pressure on the Altamont Pass. 4. Conclusion: Report should go beyond concluding that "a clear appraisal of alternatives is needed." The conclusion section should preview alternatives and issues to be examined in subsequent work to give the reader ideas to consider in forthcoming Issue Papers. 5. Section X, Transit Alternatives, should be relocated in the conclusion section as discussed in Item 4 above. Although, there should be a separate section that discusses Transportation Demand Management (TDM) programs, such as the Livermore Laboratory, Hacienda Business Park, and Bishop Ranch efforts in achieving high Average Vehicle Ridership (AVR) percentages. Similarly, there should be a separate transit section that discusses existing and planned transit services along the State Route 84 Corridor. 6. The subtitle for the Brentwood Bypass/Delta Expressway... should read State Route 4 Bypass. The cities of Antioch and Brentwood as well as Contra Costa County have established the State Route 4 Bypass Authority. The Authority is charged with identifying and preserving a transportation corridor around the cities of Antioch and Brentwood as well as the community of Oakley. This route will replace the existing State Route 4 through those communities. They are developing the means to finance the construction of the project in phases using primarily development fees. A Draft EIR for the project has been circulated. For CEQA purposes it also examines, at a program level, the impacts of the East County Corridor, south of the State Route 4 Bypass. This analysis is based on a corridor study undertaken by the Cities of Brentwood, Antioch, Livermore, Contra Costa and Alameda Counties, as well as the Contra Costa Water District. The Final EIR will be completed in late spring. [Figure 1 should also be modified to reflect this change that omits Delta Expressway and replaces it with State Route 4 Bypass.] [ 1. 7. For purposes of clarity, the State's adopted Route 84, north of 1-580, should be identified. Its terminus is State Route 4 south of Brentwood. 8. Section IV D should be revised to indicate that the current Vasco Road connects to State Route 4 by way of Walnut Boulevard in the City of Brentwood. The current alignment of Vasco Road is being superseded by a relocation required to construct the Los Vaqueros Reservoir. A new alignment has been adopted and construction of the new two-lane roadway will begin in the summer of 1994. Access from Eastern Contra Costa County to the Tracy area and points south in the San Joaquin Valley is via Byron Highway, a flat, straight two-lane roadway. 9. The County is proposing to provide an east-west connection from Byron Highway to the proposed realigned Vasco Road. The• new connection will consists of a new two-lane road and intersections, with widening of the existing roadway pavement of Holey Road and Armstrong Road. The new connections will provide local access to the proposed new Byron Airport, and the Byron area. 10. Table 1 . The ADTs for Brentwood may be confusing since they will include not only Vasco traffic but also Stockton and Tracy trips as well. 11 . Accident Data. Unfortunately, we only have accident data for four years on Vasco Road. The limits for the data is between Marsh Creek Road and the County line. Year Fatal Injury Total 1993 1 17 18 1992 0 10 10 1991 0 11 11 1990 0 13 13 The route has a minimum of access so the majority of accidents are due to unsafe speed or unsafe passing maneuvers. Information from Browning-Ferris Industries indicates that approximately 250 vehicles per day use the Vasco Road Landfill. This traffic consists of heavy-, medium-, and light-duty vehicles. Over 95% of the vehicles that us the Vasco Road Landfill gain access to the Landfill from the south along Vasco Road. 12. The local access needs for Vasco Road are minimal. The area is agricultural with access needed is to ranches and farms along the alignment by driveways. The parcels are very large south of Camino Diablo. 13. The Truck Traffic Section should also include discussions for Vasco Road and Byron Highway north of the Contra Costa and Alameda County line. It should state that in 1989 Caltrans recorded 2,200 trucks for the average day, equating to 30% of the ADT on Byron Highway; and that Tudor Engineering in 1991 recorded 883 trucks, equating to 8.7% of the ADT on Vasco Road. tp\bo\SR84-Iss.Pap r Exhibit C DRAFT JANUARY 1994 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL STATE HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR ISSUE PAPERS ISSUE PAPER #1 PROBLEM DEFINITION G7 � Printed Name: tvu\H%•y&4ppr.wvg March 23, 1994,11:12am REPORT OUTLINE I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 II. BACKGROUND . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 III. PARALLEL ACTIVITIES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . �2 IV. EXISTING FACILITIES . . . . . . . . . . . 4 V. CURRENT VOLUMES AND LEVELS OF SERVICE . . . . . . . 5 VI. TRAFFIC SAFETY PROBLEMS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 VII. LOCAL ACCESS NEEDS . . . . . 9 VIII. FUTURE TRAFFIC DEMAND . . . . . . . . . . . 9 IX. CONTROL OVER DEMAND . . . . . . . . . . . 11 X. TRANSIT ALTERNATIVES . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 XI. RELATIONSHIP TO REGIONAL SYSTEM AND PARALLEL ROUTER . . . 12 SII.. CONCLUSIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 • ! r TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Highway 84 has numerous significant problems brought about by the complexity of multiple jurisdiction traffic demand and planning and operational control. Current levels of traffic exceed the safe levels for the existing roadways let alone future volumes. Accident and fatality rates are many times in excess of tolerable state averages. Projected levels of traffic demand are expected to about double on Vasco Road and increase about four fold on Highway 84 south of Livermore and Pleasanton. Neither Livermore nor Alameda County clearly plan for any Highway 84 facility north of I-580. They show a 6 lane arterial for local Livermore traffic and a 2 lane realigning of Vasco Road, north of Dalton. Eastern Contra Costa County recognizes a need but lacks jurisdiction beyond the county line and must also prioritize needs for improving Route 4 capacity. The state has precluded any state highway money from going to the Highway 84 corridor by franchising a private toll road in the corridor. There is very little political support for the private tollroad in Alameda County and only mixed support in Contra Costa County. A clear appraisal of alternatives is needed. II. BACKGROUND In April 1993 the Tri-Valley Transportation Council approved a work program, (Appendix A) , addressed to help determine an action plan for the Highway 84 / Eastern Corridor Transportation Element and Funding Plan. ' The Tri-Valley Transportation Plan requires an action plan for each Route of Regional Significance. It was concluded, that due to the complexity of this Highway 84 corridor, that some specific extra activity would be' required to help gain political and local acceptance of a solution. Given the political sensitivity created by the current toll road project and the multitude of political jurisdictions involved, it was concluded that perhaps the best way to reach agreement would be to first seek agreement on the problems and/or issues. The first report or issue paper was selected to be "PROBLEM DEFINITION. " The intent of the Council was to circulate this paper for comments and concurrence to the many interested jurisdictions. Upon gaining a degree of concurrence, the next step would be to define "ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS" to the defined problems. It was the intent 1 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR of the Council to also circulate this "ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS" issue paper to the affected jurisdictions for review and comment, to see if the universe of solutions had been encompassed. A final issue paper entitled "ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS AND FINANCE" would be circulated to isolate the alternatives which could be included in either the Toll Road EIR or provide the basis for a new project EIS if such was the consensus of the affected jurisdictions. III. PARALLEL ACTIVITIES In addition to the Tri-Valley Transportation Council Highway 84 study, there are numerous activities which will influence the type of facility which may best be constructed in this corridor. For the purposes of the . Tri-Valley Study, the interest is limited to the portion of Highway 84 from I-680 in the south to Highway 4 in the north. These Parallel activities shown in Figure 1 include: Mid State Toll Road The California Toll Road Company, under a franchise agreement with Caltrans as authorized by AB 680, the California Privatization legislation adopted in 1989, is proceeding 'with plans for a private toll road in the Sunol-to-Antioch corridor. Primary environmental work is expected to begin in the fall of 1994 . Livermore: Isabel Expressway Project The City of Livermore, in cooperation with the Alameda County Transportation Authority and Caltrans, has completed the Draft Environmental Impact Report for this project. The project is envisioned as a first stage of an ultimate six-lane expressway. The first stage, funded with $20 million Measure "B" money, will construct a two-lane road from south of I-580 to north of Vallecitos Road providing an overpass on Stanley Boulevard. Highway 84/I-580 Interchange Improvement Project The City of Livermore in conjunction with development proposed for North Livermore is proposing the construction of a full interchange connecting from North Canyons Parkway on the north to the Isabel Expressway on the south. Brentwood Bypass/Delta Expressway Given the congestion problems existing and expected on Highway 4 , a Highway 4 Bypass Authority has proposed a multi-lane facility in 2 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR the Highway 84 alignment. This facility would segregate through and local traffic; however, it would have to be stage-constructed . and would require a 20-year development period. A Draft Environmental Impact Report has been prepared for the "State Route 4 Bypass Project." Caltrans Highway 64 Safety Project Caltrans has a safety project underway from 0.8 miles east of I-680 to 1. 9 miles east of I-680. Alameda County Vasco Road Study The Vasco Road relocation project is necessitated by the Los Vaqueros Reservoir project and would relocate the existing two lane road that serves local traffic. The new alignment would comply with State expressway standards for rural highways in mountainous terrain. MTC Resolution for Growth Management and Open Space Conservation MTC has required, that as part of the California Toll. Road Company's (CTRL) EIS, that two subregional studies be conducted. One would be in Contra Costa County and the other in the Livermore Valley. These studies are to be done in cooperation with the responsible Congestion Management Agencies. MTC believes that the Toll Road planning process will be the catalyst for combining land use and transportation plans into one overall growth management Plan. Alameda County East County Area Plan Alameda County has prepared a sub area plan for the "East County. " The Plan envisions specific levels of land use in terms of population and employment and proposes urban limit lines. The specific proposal for Highway 84/East County Corridor includes the following: Highway I-680 to Ruby Hill, 4 lanes; Ruby Hill to I-580, 6 lanes; I-580 to North Livermore Avenue, 6 lanes; North Livermore Avenue to Vasco Road, 4 Lanes; Vasco Road to County Line, 4 lanes. Environmental documents have been prepared for this Plan. North Livermore Plan Livermore has adopted a North Livermore Plan which envisions State highway connections to occur outside of North Livermore, i.e. I-680 3 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR or to the east of North Livermore. The extension of Isabel Parkway north of I-580 would be a 6 lane arterial with Vasco Road remaining a two lane road. IV. EXISTING FACILITIES The route has been broken into segments to facilitate both problem analyses and problem definition. The primary route segments have been described as follows: A. I-680 north to Isabel Avenue (Ruby Hill) B. Ruby Hill to I-580 B1. via Downtown Livermore B2 . via Isabel Avenue (Parkway) C. I-580 to Alameda/Contra Costa County Line D. County Line to Highway 4 SECTION A. I-680 North to Isabel Avenue (Ruby Hill) Highway 84 in the section I-680 north to Isabel Avenue, Ruby Hill, is a two-lane, winding, rural highway with narrow shoulders in many locations and restricted design speed. The portion immediately east of I-680 is a relatively flat and straight alignment. The development and need for access is relatively light. There are virtually no intersecting roads except private driveways which serve as access to the nuclear laboratory, access to the San Antonio Reservoir, and private driveways. SECTION B. Ruby Hill to I-580 B1. Existing via Downtown Livermore The Highway 84 section, from Ruby Hill to I=580, currently runs through Livermore and follows existing arterial streets along Vallecitos Road, Holmes Street, First Street, which intersects with I-580 at the First Street Interchange in Springtown. In addition to providing State highway routing for through traffic, the existing route provides the primary local access to adjacent properties. Major portions serve residential traffic needs. The northern portions serve the downtown both as a major arterial to south Livermore and as a route out of downtown southbound to I-680, Fremont and the South Bay. This route provides the connection to the east via I-580 to Tracy and Stockton. Livermore is completing arterial widening and traffic signal improvements on the portion immediately south of I-580. The roadway is being widened from 4 to 6 lanes from north Mines Road to South Front Street. 4 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR B2 . via Isabel Parkway The alignment along Isabel Avenue, as proposed by the Isabel Extension Project, will proceed directly north to I-580 where in the interim the interchange at Airway will have to serve as access. Isabel Avenue does not currently exist north of Stanley Boulevard. This alignment would be on the western edge of residential development and extend through the industrial area east of the Livermore Airport. SECTION C. I-580 to County line The portion of Highway 84, designated by some as the "Eastern Corridor" which runs north of I-580, is not specifically shown in either the North Livermore Plan or the Alameda East County Area Plan. The route is shown on the North Livermore Plan as a 6 lane Arterial to North Livermore Avenue and then 4 lanes to Vasco road. SECTION D. County Line to Highway 4 .The Current road north into Contra Costa County is Vasco Road and the Byron Highway which is a two-lane, winding, county road. Once it leaves Livermore the area is primarily agricultural open space until it reaches Byron and Brentwood. V. CURRENT VOLUMES AND LEVELS OF SERVICE Traffic volumes vary considerably along the route. Figure 1. and Table 1. show the average, daily traffic volumes and peak hour directional traf f is flows at select control points used in the Tri- Valley Traffic Model. 5 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR TABLE 1. HIGHWAY 84 TRAFFIC VOLUMES LOCATION ADT AM PEAR IAS PM PEAR LOS NIS NIS 1. North of I-680 11,000* 676/1277 C C 2. Holmes Street 23,000 D D 3. Downtown Livermore? 12,700 C C 4. South of I-580 27,200 555/2276 C D 5. Vasco Rd. north of I-580 13,500 A E 6. SR4, S. of Brentwood, N. of 562/472 A 500/668 A Marsh Creek Rd. 6. Vasco Rd. County line 12,000 250/970 C 470/250 C 7. Byron Highway N. of Marsh 12,000 200/800 B 900/250 B Creek Road *Caltrans Truck Count report shows 18, 500 6 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION L HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR Truck Traffic Truck .traffic has been measured by Caltrans at select locations along Highway 84 . Table 2 is their latest, (1991) traffic counts of trucks. TABLE 2 . CALTRANS TRUCK ANNUAL AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC (ADT) . COUNT YEAR 1991 HIGHWAY 84 TRUCKS $ OF TRUCK TOTAL LOCATION AADT VEHICLES 1. North of I-680 291 1.5% 2. Stanley Boulevard 672 2.8% 3. South of I-580 1187 3.7% There were about 300 trucks recorded for the average day east of I-680 and about 1,200 south of I-580. It can be estimated that of the 1, 200 south of I-580 that a relatively small percent are through trucks as some of the 300 trucks recorded at I-680 had to originate from Livermore. There are several other factors which will influence the amount of truck traffic along this route in the future. The City of Pleasanton has a judgment from the courts which requires the gravel trucks to get off of Stanley/First Street/Sunol Boulevard in Pleasanton. This will force additional truck traffic over the Highway 84 route after the year 1995. There is also a shift of truck terminal locations out of the congested 1-880 corridor and onto the I-205 and I-580 corridors. Increased traffic from the terminals to the South Bay will use Highway 84 . The current route is circuitous with steep grades and local ' intersection congestion within Livermore. This will limit the attractiveness of the route. 7 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR VI. TRAFFIC SAFETY PROBLEMS There are several severe traffic safety problems in the corridor. The section of road from I-680 to Isabel Avenue has been one of the worst in terms of traffic fatalities and severe traffic injury accidents. Figures 2 and 3 show accident rates on the existing roads in the Route 84/Eastern Corridor. The data are based upon the latest available accident summaries for the previous five years, 1988 through 1992 . Sections of Highway 84 between I-680 and east Vineyard Avenue are some of the worst accident locations for traffic fatalities. The five year fatality rates for these sections are 14 . 08 and 16 . 81 fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles (FAT/100MVM) . These compare about four times as high as the state wide average for similar two lane rural roads. The State average is 4 . 0 FAT/100MVM. The portion of Highway 84 through Livermore has certain sections which are viewed as problems. The presence of truck traffic and other through traffic, interested only in getting through Livermore as quickly as possible, creates both real and perceived problems. The following locations along Highway 84 are of prime concern: Murrietta Blvd, east Stanley Blvd. , and Arroyo Rd. . The five year total accident rate at Arroyo Rd. is 18. 97 accidents per million vehicle miles (ACC/MVM) which is significantly higher than the expected rate of 2.9 ACC/MVM. Other areas with higher than average total accident and injury rates include Portola Ave. and I-580. The total number of recorded accidents for this section of Highway 84 between I-680 and I-580 was Fatalities, injuries, total accidents. Vasco Road north of Livermore has problems similar to those south of Livermore. Fortunately, to date, the traffic volumes have been 12,000 vehicles per day and, therefore, the exposure is considerably less than on other major State Highways. Vasco Road at North Front Road has the highest overall accident rates: total Accidents are 6.93 compared to 2 .92 expected; Fatal/Injury accidents at 3 . 33 as compared with a 1.4 ACC/MVM expected and fatalities at 25. 64 as compared with 4 .0 FAT ACC/ 100 MVM expected. Another area of concern occurs on the narrow winding section north of Dalton Avenue which has a fatality rate of 16. 67 FAT ACC/ 100MVM. Vasco Road at Scenic Avenue also has total accident and injury/fatality rates higher than the expected average. 8 h TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR VII. LOCAL ACCESS NEEDS In the determination and selection of roadway type, there are many trade off considerations which deal with local access. To best serve local access the road should be relatively slow speed allowing safe turns into relatively frequent driveway and street access. In order to serve high levels of through traffic the highway should have few access or intersection points and a relatively high speed to improve travel time. Safety concerns require fewer intersections and conflict points and, if high volumes are expected, then grade separation of crossings are desirable. It is obvious that those portions of existing Highway 84 through Livermore should remain as major arterials which provide for local access by connection to local streets and have at-grade intersections.. To the extent possible, it would be best for the City of Livermore to get the through traffic off the route entirely to make it easier for local access and circulation and limit traffic to a level and speed more compatible with the urban. nature of the residential and commercial land uses through which the road passes. In order to attract through traffic to some other facility, the proposed facility then has to have some advantages over the existing . route. A higher speed, and fewer stops and access interference would be required. Livermore planning concerns include a need for relatively frequent access to the proposed Isabel Parkway between Vineyard and I-580. A freeway or tollway would typically only provide only one access point between I-580 and Stanley Boulevard and one between Stanley Boulevard and Vallecitos Road. An expressway design could provide about twice this number. Livermore anticipates the possible restriction or prohibition of access north of May School Road and south of Vineyard Avenue'. Similar problems are encountered in Brentwood and Byron. VIZI. FUTURE TRAFFIC DEMAND Future traffic demand has been analyzed in terms 'of the overall amount of traffic and its origins and destination. There has also been efforts to determine when the demand will be expected to happen and what impacts could be expected from the level of traffic. Traffic model output from the Tri-Valley Model has been compared to other traffic model output from the Contra Costa County models. The results show similar volumes. .9 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR .The year 2010 traffic projections for the base network were analyzed to determine the amount and destinations of the traffic volumes. Select link analysis was done to see, for various points along the route, where the peak hour traffic was coming from and to where it was going. Contra Costa County Traffic Model 1 Traffic volume information from the Eastern CCC Traffic Model shows that the connection from the Delta Expressway to the Alameda County line would serve work trips for East County residents who work in Alameda County, Santa Clara County, San Mateo County. Figure 4 indicate 70% of the trips have destinations in Alameda County and 22% in Santa Clara County. Traffic volumes for peak hour are shown in Figure 5 and travel times are represented in Figure 6. Tri-Valley Traffic Model The Tri-Valley Traffic Model for Year 2010 was used to produce screenlines at four locations in Alameda County. The first screenline, Figure 7, was on Highway I-680 immediately south of Highway 84 . The A.M. peak hour traffic volume of 2 , 400 southbound vehicles was shown on Highway 84. In addition to the 2 , 400 vehicles demand shown using Highway 84, just east of I-680, there is also another 2, 000 vehicles cutting through Pleasanton streets for a total demand of 4,400 vehicles. Of these, about 2,610 or 61% originate in Livermore 1,491 or 34% from I-580 westbound, and 241 . or 5% from Contra Costa County. The volume capacity ratio for Highway 84 east of I-680 was 1.61. This accounts for the 2 , 000 additional vehicles bypassing through Pleasanton streets which have a high level of service. We also have to note that while 34% of the traffic came from over the Altamont Pass, that this demand in the peak hour is a constrained demand. The second screenline, Figure 8, was taken on Isabel Avenue just south of I-580. The P.M peak hour peak direction, volume here was projected to be 3 , 158 southbound. Of this total, 33% came from westbound I-580, 5% came from Vasco Road. Distribution of these 3 , 158 trips, 56%, went south on I-680, 31% to Livermore 13% to Pleasanton. The third screenline, Figure 9, was just north of Dublin Boulevard extension on Isabel extension north of I-580. 2 , 871 southbound A.M. trips were projected. The primary contributions were Vasco Road 416 or 14. 5% and N. Livermore at 73 . 5%. The trips distributed as follows: 18% south on I-680, 17.$ west on I-580, 36% into Livermore, 16% into Dublin, and 11% into 'Pleasanton. 10 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR The fourth screenline, Figure 10, was at the county line on Vasco Road. 1,681 southbound trips were projected. (Contra Costa model showed a comparable 1,440) . These trips distributed 14% through to southbound I-680, .ZOO westbound through on I-580, 32% to Livermore, 15% to Dublin 22% to Pleasanton, and about 6% to Danville/San Ramon. The volume capacity ratio for Vasco Road was 1.94 or nearly twice capacity. Some increase in traffic volumes would be expected if additional lanes were modeled. IX. CONTROL OVER DEMAND As can be seen from the various screenlines which indicate origins and destinations, the primary source of the trips is Livermore. At the southern gateway, about 61% went to Livermore. At the maximum volume point, south of I-580, about 50 came from and went to Livermore. The total increase in peak hour trips from the 1, 300 today, north of I-680 to the 4 , 400 projected demand for 2010 come from growth in jobs and residents. While the traffic model shows only 34% from San Joaquin County, this number could be higher if the capacity restraint were removed from the Altamont. The 5% from Contra Costa County could also be expected to rise if increased eastern corridor capacity is added. X. TRANSIT ALTERNATIVES There is no obvious transit option on the horizon that will "fix" the problem. Analyses of the various screenlines across Highway 84 do indicate that a relatively high number of the trips are longer intercity trips which have a higher potential for individual cost saving in a shared ride or transit mode. Current California experience, however, shows that the "Love of.the Automobile" is not easily overcome. The ability to identify and market a service to our Tri-Valley population which is spread over hundreds of square miles and going to destinations similarly spread over thousands of square miles is highly improbable. Recent survey data available from the Alameda CMA Employee survey may provide some help. The Lawrence Livermore National Lab has one of the most aggressive TSM, carpool, van pool, transit coordination programs in the nation which results in a 64% single occupant auto ridership level. Unfortunately, comparable figures for the Hacienda Business Park that also has an aggressive TSM program yields about 85% single occupant -autos. The Hacienda experience and that of Bishop Ranch with an array of small to large employers is more likely to reflect the majority of employees in the Tri-Valley. Transit currently experiences captive ridership for the handicapped, elderly, and school traffic or financially disadvantaged. Review of the trip patterns ,depicted in the traffic Z1 1 TRI-VALLEY TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL REPORT ON PROBLEM DEFINITION HIGHWAY 84 / EASTERN CORRIDOR model for Highway 84 do not reflect a large percentage in those categories. The Toll Road proposed to develop a "Transit corridor or set aside within their right-of-way. The only estimates of transit ridership which we currently have available are the intercity transit trips projected in our traffic model which showed trips in the corridor, and the ridership projections done for the Altamont rail demonstration project.The altamont rail projections were in the order of 500 to 1, 000 peak hour trips. Express bus would appear to be the only cost effective option. XI. RELATIONSHIP TO REGIONAL SYSTEM AND PARALLEL ROUTES Review of the Select link plot for Highway 84 north of I-680 showed that given the overcapacity, i.e. lack of capacity on Highway 84 between I-580 and I-680, that about 800 trips in the peak hour detoured via I-580/I-680 interchange with another 1, 200 using West Las Positas Boulevard and Stanley/First St. /Sunol Boulevard. The only parallel alternative for Highway 84 north of I-580 is I-680. XII. CONCLUSIONS Highway 84 has numerous significant problems brought about by the complexity of multiple jurisdiction traffic demand and planning and operational control. Current levels of traffic exceed the safe levels for the. existing roadways let alone future volumes. Accident and fatality rates are many times in .excess of tolerable state averages. Projected levels of traffic demand are expected to about double on Vasco Road and increase about four fold on Highway 84 south of Livermore and Pleasanton. Neither Livermore nor Alameda County clearly plan for any Highway 84 facility north of I-580. They show a 6 lane arterial for local Livermore traffic and a 2 lane realigning of Vasco Road, north of Dalton. Eastern Contra Costa County recognizes a need but lacks jurisdiction beyond the county line and must also prioritize needs for improving Route 4 capacity. The state has precluded any state highway money from going to the Highway 84 corridor by franchising a private toll road in the corridor. There is very little political support for the private tollroad in Alameda County and only mixed support in Contra Costa County. A clear appraisal of alternatives is needed. 12 YOIa Satrkrn*nto 1 I � I •S0S . '\ V•<a.11l. �i 1'80 1 \ i apa t r f--------- -I Sacramento Sono «tF• i ELMIRA 1 1 •� �: Solon* ` Clty j » SR I _ _..... _ .�. Me VIII. . ` Pl Vill•le. ` 1 / COLLINSVILLE 'M���•s �.� , � Morin / --�.`• • ,r . . .•�`. � SR I60 1 4 httkvy i i 1 •' / Atte<Aj{ LONE TREE a Came., Oakley Son foaquM SR 4/160 st•ekt•• • R'ea"O"� Contra Costa l•et.ee� , I''••' j BALFOUR ` SR 4 CONNECTION t j �Y" t.eka�y WALNUT •re.. ,` 1 .C. Co . 3 a akl•ne VASCO !•20511.568 C� • SSs4 �� • fr>tnctsco 1 • _� _._.� X ' • . 1-580 ,� t.,.. • _ Dr►It• ' Teter • pp•Ir `•� STANLEY LIVFRMORE +a SR 84 i s •fiti / 1 Flit•• �. fr.w.a11000, 1-680 . 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