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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMINUTES - 12062005 - C49 TO: Board of Supervisors Contra FROM: Dennis M. Barry, AICP Costa Community Development Director County DATE: December 6, 2005 SUBJECT: Draft Update of West County Subregional Transportation Mitigation Program SPECIFIC REQUEST(S) OR RECOMMENDATION(S) & BACKGROUND AND JUSTIFICATION RECOMMENDATIONS REFER to the Transportation, Water and-Infrastructure Committee the matter of review and comment on the proposed update of the West County Subregional Traffic Mitigation Program. FISCAL IMPACT NONE. The recommended action would result in the Board of Supervisors offering comments and input on the program. BACKGROUND/REASONS FOR RECOMMENDATIONS The County participates in subregional traffic mitigation fee programs in all regions of the County except for Central County, where no such fee program has been established. These subregional fees are in addition to the County's own traffic impact fee program, known as the area of benefit program. The County's area of benefit program levies fees on new development for localized transportation improvements. The subregional programs help finance larger, regional transportation improvements. The subregional traffic mitigation program for West County is being updated bythe West Contra Costa Transportation Advisory Committee (WCCTAC),which seeks comment on the proposed revisions. The West County proposal would increase the traffic mitigation fee from its current level of about $700 per single-family home to about $2,600 per single-family home. The fee rates for multi-family units would increase from about $600 per unit to about $1,600 per unit. Fees also would Increase for non-residential development. Staff recommends the Board refer this matter to the Transportation, Water and Infrastructure Committee to develop comments for consideration by the full Board. Exhibit A is the draft updated fee program from WCCTAC for West County. CONTINUED ON ATTACHMENT: YES SIGNATURE .Eai2 RECOMMENDATION OF COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTE .. �4PPROVE OTHER SIGNATURES) ACTION OF BOA N APPROVED AS RECOMMENDE67�%��OTHER 100D /r';(P I W I T b VOTE OF SUPERVISORS HEREBY CERTIFY THAT THIS IS A TRUE '� UNANIMOUS (ABSENT AND CORRECT COPY OF AN ACTION TAKEN AYES: NOES: AND ENTERED ON THE MINUTES OF THE ABSENT: ABSTAIN: BOARD OF SUPERVISORS ON THE DATE SHOWN. Contact: John Greitzer (925/335w1201) job cc: Community Development Department (CDD) ATTESTED C. Lau, Public Works Department JOHN WE TEN, CLERK OF THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS AND COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR B D UTY G:\Transportation\Greitzer\Board Order\dec 6 west county fee program.doc EXHIBIT A :DD)01/ 2005 Update of the Subregional Transportation Mategation Program (STM P) For the West Contra Costa Transportation Advisory Committee (WCCTAC) April 25, 2005 PLEA SAN TON • SANTA ROSA S=e )ra4 eh DD joj/�A 2005 Update of the Subregionai Transportation Mitigation Program (STMP) For the West Contra Costa Transportation Advisory Committee (WCCTAC) Apri125, 2005 Prepared by: TJKM Transportation Consultants 5960 Inglewood Drive, Suite 100 Pleasanton CA 94588=8535 Tel: 925.463.0611 Fax: 925.463.3690 JAJurisdiction\C\Contra Costa County\277-002 STMP Update\Report\R042505.doc T"LE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION AND NTRODUCTION....a a as a me a*a as*a a ease,a as 0060006 a so a*****so*as*am 00600000 a*a***000000000000 Soso&as*a so*&*as**a**a**&a&*woo, a see I SUMMARY...*000 *so**so 0*6*0*00 Soso**a******0000000000*0 *40 Soo*********a a am oat so*so****as goo*00 0900004 0*0 0 00 1 Chanter 2—Expected Growth In Households,Employment and Peak Hour Trips..............0 glass so's r........... Chapter 3—Project List and Priorities..................*so&**se**ao*0060 600 So slow we 0606*9*.00**so***see*&*a,so*Osseo*a*..P00000 000 0*0.000**ftwoo 2 r. Chapter 4—STMP Previous Collections and Potential Yield From 2005a!.i.i..a4 4 42 Update4 Chapter 5—Prorram Costs and Fee Ca1culadon.....*#********,o****0*00000*woo*4so a woos a so*so**so Poe* 00 2 Chapterb—News Findines...................................406000*so 0*00 o***oeoo.a*@*@*ago*as**ass oeos@oo*a 2 CHAPTER 2. EXPECTED GROWTH IN HOUSEHOLDS,EMPLOMENT AND PEAK HOUR TRIPS IN THE WCCTAC AREA HousmomGROWTH....*some****0000000000000 00000000000 00 00000080 0 so 6060660 000 0000000000...........a 00 see a****** woe o*ooa000 so**ooe*000000 so 4 EWLOYNmNTGROWTH 000*6000000400004000 see age 0060806060 see****00*0000 a 40 06600soose 000000*e0000*.,000*oaoo.,a 4 TRIPGENERATION..........we too*#of Opp veto*to 9V9V too##ego of 0009009009*to got*too too#V#seem of##to 9,00,990 to 99,00to woo voottvo*we* 5 CHAPTER 3. SELECTION AND COST OF PR�QJECTS..i...i.................0............................i.......................7 PROJECTDESCRIPTIONS..a 000&*ease 0000 am 00000 see* some so 0000000 0**so**see*so**at 00 awe*00**a********&&*a*********a****am************a**amasses***7 L Richmond Intermodal station..„*+*..r..00000000*0000#000000*0 000 &&a*000*6*6*0600*00**woo**0 so*00000006 0060000 0000&**as**00000 7 2. Interchanges on 1-80 at San Pablo Dam Road and Central Avenue and on Highway 4 at Willow.....8 3sCapitolCorridor...... so******so******0*a 00 a a***a 0060 a be sea 00*0 000 ease 0000&Goo*boa* 000000000 woo 0000000 am See*00 6 00 9 4s Ferry Service to San Francisco, rom Richmond and/or HerculeslRodeo........... 9 S. BART Access and/or Parking Improvements........ *so ease*Goo*****sea 9 6 Bay Trail Gap 004 000*006*0 0 00000 ******a 000 00 00000000000*09 see 0000 000000600*woo*000*00600 0060004 ass 10 7. San Pablo Dam Road Improvements in Downtown El Sobrante..........000000000000*000 &*&*a*&10 8s San Pablo Avenue Corridor Improvements...*Goo**aw&6 0*00-60 00000 00*0***so*00*00*0000000000*a*******60*0000 0 0*000 00006 0*0 0000*00000 10 9. North Richmond Road Connection Prolect....O...........000004006600*00 0*0600000 00#0040*00000 06000600*4 11 .10. Hercules Transit 6860600000 0006000000909 0606096060 11 1I S,Del Norte Area Transit Oriented Development (public improvements}project I a a.6 0 0 0 a a..0 0 a a..6 0*a a.a..0 a a 0 a 0 0 12 ftr CHAPTER 4. STM P PREVIOUS COLLECTIONS AND 2005 UPDATE POTENTLAL FEE REVENUES..000000 00000 so********a*000000*00 0 0**Osseo 0*0000*0 00*0*000 000*00 0000000*00000*0 0*0 00*00 0*0 0000***0&Goo***so Goes 000080 000 13 COLLECTIONSTo DATE 000000 so ass***oat Seat&*&&Games 0000 0 00 090,60006**woos*0000000 000 woo 000040 0**woo*900*000 6 me 0*as**so am a so*Soo some*&******so**1 3 POTENTIAL FEE REVENUES FROM 2005 UPDATE.....*00 woomosoe 000000000000*Soo*so 060 0066000so woo woo*****a***a*****&sowe*.,*0000sooso 13 CHAPTER 5. PROGRAM COSTS AND FEE CALCULATION 14 UPDATED COST PER TRIP ESTIMATE....000000000000 666400000 a me Osseo* so*000000000e*0000000 oeoo**000eooeo**00000*o*o*ee*******me*14 OTHER.FACTORS IN STNQ UPDATE..goo*of 0 gooey of a of feffoof 999 too 15 CHAPTER.6. NEXUS 16 CHAPTER 7. STUDY PARTICIPANTS 0*00 0*00*000000000 Soo 0*0*00000 006000000**06 See 00*0 Seel 7 TJKM TRANSPORTATION CONSULTANTS PERSONNEL...... 17 THE REED 17 PERSoNs/AGENciEs CoNsuLTED/WCCTAC --TAC MEMBERS ******so**soew0000000m&*Osseo***17 LIST O F TABLES TABLE L HOUSEHOLD GROWTH iN WEST CONTRA COSTA COUNTY---2005 To 2030.............................................4 TABLE IL EMPLOYMENT'GROW M IN WEST CONTRA COSTA COUNTY—2005 To 2030 5 TABLE III:NEW A.M.PEAK HOUR TRIPS IN WEST CONTRA COSTA COUNTY—2005 To 2030...-we&so oo*4@o***9*a*e*&***a as a*6 TABLE IV:STUT PROJECTS AND AVAILABLE FUNDING 060 00*0004 posesoos 46860490600 0000000 6*0 0406006 0060666648060000 so 7 TABLE V:DISTRIBUTION OF FUNDS RECEIVED To DATE 000000 00000 00000000 0000000 aboosess**&***a***a aeons a*so we&*son* 13 TABLE VI:2005 COST PER TRIP ESTR ATE lbso 000000 as*00000000 one w*&&w**&wws so**a sea** 14 TABLE VIL 2005 RECOMMENDED STNT RATES AND FEES AND FEES... 15 CHAPTER lo INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY Introduction This analysis provides the technical basis for establishing the required nexus between anticipated future development in West Contra Costa County and the need for certain local and regional transportation facilities. The specific tasks performed in preparing this analysis and their results are summarized below. The West Contra Costa Transportation Advisory Committee's(WCCTAC) Subregional Transportation Mitigation Program(STMP)was established in 1997. This is the first update of the STMP program to ensure that the various aspects of the program reflect current conditions. For the 2005 STMP update,WCCTAC retained a team led by TJKM Transportation Consultants to update technical aspects of the program. The 2005 STMP update includes an updated project list with cost estimates for all improvement projects to be potentially funded by STMP fees. This report presents the results of the efforts of the project team to update the WCCTAC STMP. This update effort involved the major tasks described below. 1. The amount of new development that will occur in the WCCTAC area between 2005 and 2030 was determined. 2. Anew estimate was prepared of the trip generation that will result from development of the expected future land uses within the WCCTAC area. Trip generation rates from the Institute of Transportation Engineers(ITE)publication Trip Generation were utilized. 3. Future deficiencies on the transportation network were determined based on.findings of the staff of WCCTAC, its member agencies,and the consultant team. 4. A list of projects needed to accommodate future traffic was determined. 5. Updated traffic improvement project cost estimates were prepared which reflect the latest concept designs for the projects and the latest completion status of the various projects. 6. An updated cost per trip was calculated along with the corresponding updated STMP schedule of fees. 7. A reasonable relationship between the impacts of the new growth and the fees proposed in the STMP was ascertained. State law requires that there must be a roughly proportional benefit from the proposed fees to the projects supplying the funds. Summary Chapter 2—Expected Growth In Households,Employment and Peak Hour Trips According to ABAG's Projections 2003,the overall estimated growth in the WCCTAC area is estimated at 17,910 households(a 20.3 percent increase in 25 years)and 28,810 jobs(an increase of over 35 percent). Using standard available trip generation rates,the total increase in peak hour trips in the a.m.period is expected to be 28,571. Richmond and Hercules account for over 75 percent of the new trips. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 1 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 Chapter 3—Project List and Priorities The recommended list of new transportation improvements to serve the WCCTAC area was developed by the WCCTAC Technical Advisory Committee and the consultants. The WCCTAC Board reviewed a preliminary list of projects in August 2004.The recommend list of new projects is shown below. Costs and details of the individual projects are described in Chapter 3 of this report. 1. Richmond Intermodal Station 2. Interchanges on 1-80 at San Pablo Dam Road and at Central and on Highway 4 at Willow Avenue 3. Capitol Corridor capital and/or operational improvements .4. Ferry service from Richmond and/or Hercules/Rodeo 5. BART access and/or parking improvements 6. Bay Trail Gap Closure 7. San Pablo Dam Road improvements in downtown El Sobrante 8. San Pablo Avenue Corridor Improvements 9. N. Richmond road connection project 10. Hercules Transit Center relocation 11. Del Norte Area Transit Oriented Development project(public improvements) The 11 projects have a total cost of$273 million. Of this amount,approximately$273 million is anticipated to be funded by other sources or does not satisfy nexus requirements, leaving$98 million for funding by the updated 2005 STMP. Chapter 4—STMP Previous Collections and Potential Yield From 2005 Update The existing STMP was adopted in 1997. A total of near$2.942 million has been collected to date,or about$39,200 per month. Most of the funds collected have been spent on the Richmond Intermodal project and the Highway 4 West Project.The 1997 Nexus Analysis indicated that$24.5 million could be collected for the next 13 years if the maximum fee amounts were adopted,but WCCTAC adopted a fee that was lower by approximately 80 percent so that$5.1 million was the expected yield. The adopted rates amount to about$440 per peak hour trip, instead of the$2,100 indicated by the nexus study. If these same rates were applied to the expected growth in the next 25 years,the yield would be$12.6 million with the lower rates and$60.0 million with the full rates. Chapter 5—Program Costs and Fee Calculation In updating the cost per trip,the total costs of all proposed projects were determined and the outside funding and non-eligible costs were subtracted to yield a total amount to be included in the program. The program amount is$101,043,000,and when divided by the amount of peak hour trips generated by the new development, 28,810,the 2005 STMP cost per trip is$3,507 if all projects were to be fully funded. This figure is about 67 percent more than the $2,100 cost per trip determined in 1997. A rate schedule is recommended to fund this full amount. However,WCCTAC may choose to provide only partial funding of the project list. In 1997,the final fees were set to cover about 20 percent of the recommended program. Clzapter 6—Nexus Findings California legislation requires that charges on new developments bear a reasonable relationship to the needs created by, and the benefits accruing to that development. California courts have long used that reasonableness standard or nexus to test to evaluate the constitutionality of exactions,including 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 2 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 development fees. Based on the analysis included in the body of this report,it can be concluded that the future development and the need for their associated improvements meet or exceed the basic requirements set forth in Government Code sections beginning with 66000 to govern development fees. Of the$371 million worth of needed improvements identified in this analysis, over$121 million in outside funding sources have been identified. These outside sources primarily include Contra Costa County Measure J,which is the extension of the one-half percent sales tax levied for transportation unprovements. Measure J,which is intended to fund improvements which will correct both existing and future deficiencies, is a partner to the STMP extension,which by law must only fund future transportation deficiencies associated with new development. Measure J was approved by Contra Costa County voters in the general election on November 2,2004. Of the total deficiencies identified in the 11 proposed STMP projects,only about 27 percent of the funding comes from the STMP. Over $150 million worth of costs of the 11 projects fails to satisfy the nexus requirements and was not included in the program. The methodology of this report ensured that only the portion of the projects included in the STMP project list is necessitated by the growth in traffic between 2005 conditions and 2030 conditions. Thus,there is a reasonable relationship between the proposed use of the STMP and the proposed land use development projects on which the fee will be imposed, In the same manner there is a reasonable relationship between the need for facilities included in the S1W and the proposed land use development projects. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 3 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 CHAPTER 2. EXPECTED GROWTH IN HOUSEHOLDS,EMPLOMENT AND PEAK HOUR TRIPS IN THE WCCTAC AREA Household Growth ABAG's Projections 2003 was used to determine the residential and employment growth in the West County area between 2005 and 2030. The growth in households for the WCCTAC area is shown in Table I. The overall residential growth for the area is estimated at 17,910 households,representing a 20.3 percent increase for the 25 year period.Richmond is projected to have about 61 percent of the residential growth, and Hercules is anticipated to have nearly 19 percent of the growth. Hercules will be the fastest growing area,with a 50 percent increase in households in the 25-year period. TABLE 1:HOUSEHOLD GROWTH IN WEST CONTRA COSTA COUNTY—2005 To 2030 Households 2005 2030 Growth Share of Rate of Growth Growth E/ Jo El Cerrito 13,160 13,650 490 2.7 3.7 Hercules 6,860 10,270 3,410 19.0 49.7 Pinole 10,700 12,500 1,800 10.1 16.8 Richmond 43,640 54,590 10,950 61.1 25.1 Rodeo-Crockett 4,520 4,680 160 0.9 13.3 San Pablo 9,170 10,270 1,100 6.2 3.5 Totals 88y050 105,960 17,910 100.0 20.3 Note- Forecasts are for each city-'s Sphere of Influence(S01)except for the Rodeo-Crockett unincorporated area. Kensington is included in the El Cerrito SOI,Montalvin Manor and Tara Hills are in the Pinole SOI.,N. Richmond and El Sobrante are in the Richmond SOI.,and Roffingwood is in the San Pablo SOI. Source: ABAG Projections 2003 Employment Growth Employment is expected to grow more rapidly than residential development.A growth of over 35 percent is forecast by ABAG for the WCCTAC area,representing an actual job growth of nearly 29,000 positions. Richmond will account for 57 percent of the job growth,with Hercules accounting for about 18 percent. Hercules job growth rates are nearly 150 percent,while El Cerrito,Pinole and Richmond are expected to register growth of around 30 percent. The Crockett-Rodeo unincorporated area is expected to grow by nearly 60 percent.Table Il summarizes the anticipated employment growth in the WCCTAC area. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 4 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 TABLE H:EMPLOYMENT GROWTH IN WEST CONTRA COSTA COUNTY 2005 To 2030 Employment Share of Rate of 2005 2030 Growth Growth(c/q) Growth r1o) El Cerrito 8,170 10,300 20130- 7.4 26.1 Hercules 3,430 8,490 5,060 17.6 147.5 Pinole 6,110 7,920 1,810 6.3 29.6 Richmond 52,390 68,750 16,360 56.8 31.2 Rodeo-Crockett 3,590 5,730 2,140 7.4 59.6 San Pablo 8,460 9,770 1,310 4.5 15.5 Totals 82,150 110,960 28,810 100,00 35.1 Note: Forecasts ans for each city's Sphere of Influence,except for the Rodeo-Crockett unincorporated area.See Table!note for details. Source: ABA G Projections 2003 The anticipated growth in households and employment in the WCCTAC area will result in new peak hour trips on the transportation network. These are described in the next section. Trip Generation In order to determine the amount of traffic that is associated with the expected new development in the west county area,TJKM applied trip generation rates to the components of the new growth. As in the original STMP,the 2005 update relies on the a.m.peak hour commute period as the primary analysis period. The a.m. peak hour period is used in order to not overburden the application of the traffic fees on retail development. While residential uses and most employment based land uses such as offices and business parks have similar a.m. and p.m.peak hour trip rates,retail uses typically are three to four times as heavy in the p.m.period as the a.m.period.Use of the a.m.rates for all uses tends to spread the fee application more uniformly. As noted above,there is expected to be a total of 17,910 new households in the WCCTAC area over a 25-year period. Since some of these households will be in multiple family dwelling units and some will be in single-family dwelling units,TJKM assumed an average of the trip generation rates for the two residential land use types. The average a.m. trip rate of 0.63 trips per dwelling unit was applied to the total number of households to yield a total of 11,285 new residential-based trips. For non-residential uses,a trip rate that is based on numbers of employees,and is representative of various uses such as offices,business parks,manufacturing and retail uses in the a.m. period,was selected. The rate selected was 0.60 trips per employee. When that number is applied to the 28,810 growth in employment over the 25-year period,the number of new a.m.peak hour trips generated by these uses totals 17,286 trips. These figures are shown in Table IH. The table shows the total of the new a.m.trips from both residential and non-residential growth!,28,571,and also shows the amount of the new trips that are allocated to each of the WCCTAC agencies. Richmond growth is expected to generate about 59 percent of the new trips, Hercules about 18 percent and the other areas generally between about 5 and 10 percent. The contributions of other agencies are shown in the table below. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 5 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 TABLE IM,NEW A.M.PEAK HOUR TRIPS IN WEST CONTRA COSTA COUNTY 2005 To 2030 Now Peak Hour Trips Share of From From Total Total Households' Um loyment2 rips % El Cerrito 309 1,278 1,587 5.6 I Hercules 2,149 3,036 5,185 18.1 Pinole 1,134 1,086 2,220 7.8 Richmond 6,899 9,816 16,715 58.5 Rodeo-Crockett 101 1,284 1,385 4.8 San Pablo 693 786 1,479 5.2 Totals 11,285 17,286 28,571 10000 Source:TJKM Growth in households from Table I muffiplied by 0.631 the average a.m.peak hour trip rate for single-family and mull-family dwelling units. The Institute of Transpottafion Engineers Trip Generation,2003 EdNon,is the source of this JhlbtmaHon. 2Growth in employment from Table 2 muflipfied by 0.60,a representative a.m.peak hour trip rate for employffent uses. The amount of new trips is used in the calculation of the 2005 STMP update cost per a.m.peak hour trip,as described in subsequent chapters of this report. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 6 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 CHAPTER 32SSELECTION AND COST OF PROJECTS The recommended list of projects to be included in the updated STMP is shown in Table IV below. The projects are described in greater detail in the remaining portions of this chapter. TABLE IV:STMP PRoncrs AND AVAILABLE RiNDING Project Total Cost Measure J Other Unfunded Recommended Funds Amount STMP 1.Richmond Intermodal station $361000,000 $212000,000 $15,000,000 $15,000,000 2.Interchanges on 1-80 at San Pablo Dam Road and at 461200,000 30,000,000 16,200,000 14,2809000. Central and on Highway 4 at Willow Avenue. 3.Capital Corfidor 48,200,000 71500,000 31000,000 37,700,000 13,255,000 Improvements 4.Ferry service from Richmond 91,000,000 45,000,000 46,000,000 129650,000 and/or Hercules/Rodeo 5.BART access and/or parking 92100,000 15,0001000 771100,000 25,330,000 improvements 6.Bay Trail Gap Closure 51490,000 348,000 51142,000 11510,000 7.San Pablo Dam Road improvements in downtown El 61900,000 61900,000 11900,000 Sobrante 8.San Pablo Avenue Corridor 61000,000 61000,000 11650,000 Improvements 9.N.Richmond road connection 71950,000 71950,000 41000,000 project 10.Hercules Transit Center 61000,000 61000,000 1,650,000 relocation 11.Del Norte Area TOD 25,000,000 25,000,000 69875,000 STMP Totals $370,8402000 $97,500,000 $249348,000 $24899929000 $98,100,000 Project Descriptions 1. Richmond Intermodal Station The Richmond Intermodal Station/Transit Village is located in downtown Richmond. Other public improvements(e.g.the center platform)have already been completed using state/federal/local funds (approximately$22,000,000). The transit village is under construction and the housing on the west side is more than halfway complete. Funding is needed to complete the following public 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 7 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 improvements.- parking garage,astation building,the transit center, and public improvements on the east side of the station.. Cost: $36,000,,000 Other Potential Funding Source(s): Private developer contributions, state/federal transportation funds and Measure J. Project Nexus Discussion: The total cost of this project is$36 million,of which approximately$21 million is funded by various sources.Although in the WCCTAC area only 27.5 percent of future traffic(see Chapter 6 for a detailed finding)is based on 25-year growth, in this case the project was previously justified(in 1997)based mainly on future deficiencies.However, only an estimated 40 percent of the project is justified by virtue of serving transportation demands of future growth. Thus, $15 million of the total cost of$36 million is included in the STMP. STMP Funding: $15500030000 Z Interchanges on 1-80 at San Pablo Dam Road and Central Avenue and on Highway 4 at Willow 1-80 J San Pablo Dam Road—Upgrade and improve the interchange including provisions for bicyclists and pedestrians. The project will enhance operations and vehicular.,bicycle,pedestrian safety in the vicinity of the interchange. Cost: $16.7 million 1-80/Central Avenue—Modify and realign the interchange and ramp at Central Avenue. Cost.- $2.2.5 million I-80/SR4 Interchange at Willow Avenue—Relocate and realign ramps at Willow Avenue to meet current standards for improved local access and freeway movements. Cost: $3.0 million to $7.0 million Potential funding,source(s): Measure J($30 million);City of Hercules Redevelopment Agency; private developer contributions; state/federal transportation funds. Project Nexus Discussion: Improvements to the three interchanges have an estimated total cost of $46,200,000. However,two of the interchanges—the 1-80 interchanges with San Pablo Dam Road and with Central Avenue—are currently deficient and only 27.5 percent(25-year traffic growth within the WCCTAC area)of their improvement costs can be assigned to the STMP. On the other hand,the need for the Willow Avenue interchange improvements is based in large part on future growth in the Hercules area. In this case, 50 percent of the costs are assigned to the STMP.The breakdown of the $14.28 million STMP assignment is$10.78 million for the two 1-80 interchanges and$3.5 million for the Willow Avenue interchange. STMP Funding: $145280,000 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 8 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 3. Capitol Corridor Hercules Passenger Rail Station—Hercules passenger rail station(including parking, station platform, signage and plazas, rail improvements, etc.). Capital improvements along the corridor in West Contra Costa(track improvements, drainage,fencing, safety improvements, etc.) Cost: $28.2 million for Hercules passenger rail station and$20 million for capital improvements. Potential Funding-Sources: Measure J($7.5 million for the station); $3 million TCRP funds(station); state/federal transportation funds. Project Nexus Discussion: This project is among those whose justification is related to existing t%J"i conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. Accordingly,25-year traffic growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent,has been applied to the total project cost of $48.2 million to result in a STMP allocation of$13.3 million. STMP Funding: $13,255,000 4. Ferry Service to San Francisco from Richmond and/or Hercules/Rodeo New ferry service to San Francisco from Richmond and/or Hercules/Rodeo utilizing high-speed vessels. Funds will be used for capital improvements such as vehicles, landside improvements, parking lighting,transit feeder service, signage,etc.Both ferry services will be in close proximity to existing and future residential and commercial projects,on West County's shorelines. Cost: $23 million for Richmond(vessels-$12 million;terminal-$11 million); $23 million for Hercules/Rodeo(vessels-$12 million;terminal-$11 million). Total-$46 million, Other Potential Funding-Sources: Measure J($45 million for operations); $1 bridge toll; state/federal transportation funds; fare box. Project Nexus Discussion: This project is among those whose justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. It is assumed that a significant portion of future ferry ridership will come from existing travelers. Accordingly,25 year traffic growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent,has been applied to the total project cost of $46 million to result in a 5TMI'allocation of$12.65 million. STMP Funding: $12,650,000 S. BART Access and lor Parking Improvements As a component of BART's Smart Growth Program, funds would be used for parking, aesthetic and/or access improvements, station capacity improvements, sidewalks, lighting/restroom renovations,bicycle storage,expanded automatic fare collection equipment,etc.in the West County area(El Cerrito Plaza,El Cerrito Del Norte,and/or Richmond). Cost: $92.1 million for the West County area. Other Potential Funding Sources: Measure J($15 million); state/federal transportation funds. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 9 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 Project Nexus Discussion: This project is among those whose justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. Accordingly, 25-year traffic growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent, has been applied to the total WCCTAC area project cost of$92.1 million to result in a STMP allocation of$25.33 million. STMP Funding: $25,330,000 6. Bay Trail Gap Closure Close gaps in the Bay Trail in West Contra Costa County, including,but not limited to the following: (1)the one-mile gap along the Richmond Parkway between Pennsylvania and Gertrude Avenues;(2) the 1.8 mile gap north of Freethy to Payne Drive in Richmond;(3)the two-mile gap from Payne Drive to Cypress Avenue in Richmond; (4)the one-mile gap from Pinole Shores to Railroad Avenue in Pinole; and(5)the 1.8 mile gap from Railroad Avenue to Parker Avenue in Hercules. Cost: $5.49 million Other Potential Funding-Sources: EBRPD sources,private developers,other(to be determined). Project Nexus Discussion: This project is among those whose justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. Accordingly, 25-year traffic growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent,has been applied to the total WCCTAC area project cost of$5.49 million to result in a STMP allocation of$1.51 million. STUIP Funding: $1,510,000 7. San Pablo Dam Road Improvements in Downtown El Sobrante Revitalization of the downtown business district in El Sobrante including traffic calming,additional signals,pedestrian improvements,turn lanes,etc.that are identified in the Downtown El Sobrante Transportation and Land Use Plan(and subsequent documents). Cost: $6.9 million Potential funding source Measure J,County funds,other state and federal transportation funds. Is ThisProject Nexus Discussion: project is among those whose justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. Accordingly,25-year traffic growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent,has been applied to the total WCCTAC area 'K project cost of$6.9 million to result in a STMP allocation of$1.9 million. STMP Funding: $1,900,000 8. San Pablo Avenue Corridor Improvements Transportation for Livable Communities infrastructure improvements on San Pablo Avenue through West Contra Costa County and within a half-mile walking distance of San Pablo Avenue in either 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 10 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 direction. Also includes improvements as part of the San Pablo Avenue SMART Corridor project that is currently underway in Alameda and Contra Costa Counties on San Pablo Avenue. Cost: $6 million Potential funding.source(s): Measure J,Transportation for Livable Communities,state and federal transportation funds. Project Nexus Discussion: This project is among those whose Justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. Accordingly,25-year traffic *..to growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent,has been applied to the total WCCTAC area project cost of$6,000,000 to result in a STMP allocation of$1.65 million. STMP Funding: $1,650,000 9. North Richmond Road Connection Project Extend Seventh Street northward approximately 0.1 miles to connect to an eastward extension of Pittsburg Avenue. Pittsburg Avenue would be extended eastward approximately 0.3 miles to connect to the Seventh Street extension. The extension will facilitate truck and vehicle traffic passing through North Richmond from the Richmond Parkway. Cost: $7.95 million Potential funding source(s): Measure J,state and federal transportation funds,County redevelopment funds,County funds. Project Nexus Discussion: This project is among those whose justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. However,this project mainly aims to serve growth in truck traffic resulting from new development in the North Richmond area.It is assumed that at least one-half of the traffic on this project will relate to new development in the area. The STMP assignment is 50 percent of the total cost,or$4 million. ST'MP Funding: $4.0 million 10. Hercules Transit Center Relocate and expand the Hercules Transit Center on the east side of Highway 4 to provide improved access to/from Highway 4 and improved local circulation. Cost.-, $6 million Potential funding source(s ): Private developer contributions;Hercules Redevelopment Agency funds; state and federal transportation funds. Project Nexus Discussion: This project is among those whose justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. Accordingly, 25-year traffic growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent,has been applied to the total WCCTAC area project cost of$6.0 million to result in a STMP allocation of$1.65 million. STMP Funding: $1.965011000 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 11 TJ KM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 ll. Del Norte Area Transit Oriented Development project(public improvements) Planning,engineering,environmental studies, and construction of the public transportation-related improvements at the El Cerrito Del Norte BART station's Transit Oriented Development project. Funding will provide improvements including,but not limited to: parking facilities; bicycle, pedestrian,and/or bus transit access improvements;signage; lighting; improvements to station access or station waiting areas;ADA improvements; improvements to adjacent streets, street crossings,or signals,and/or Ohlone Greenway improvements. Cost: $25 million Potential funding sources:Private developer contributions;state and federal transportation funds(for example, Transportation for Livable Communities funds); Measure J funds. Project Nexus Description: This project is among those whose justification is related to existing conditions and deficiencies as well as needs caused by future growth. Accordingly,the 25-year traffic growth increase within the WCCTAC area,27.5 percent,has been applied to the total project cost of$25 million to result in a S'TMP allocation of$6.875 million. STMP Funding: $6,875,000 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 12 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 CHAPTER 4. STMP PREVIOUS COLLECTIONS AND 2005 UPDATE POTENTIAL FEE REVENUES Collections To Date The STMP was approved in 1997 and the first funds were received in April of 1998. Between April of 1998 and July of 2004 a total of$2,942,031.39 has been collected, including$97,255.90 in interest. For this 75-month period,the average monthly receipts have been approximately$39,200. During this period,the funds were allocated as shown in Table V. TABLE V:DLsTmuTioN OF FUNDS RECEIVED To DATE . Project Allocation Percent Payment Balance Richmond intermodal $ 232,697.54 7.91 $ 135,391.31 $ 97,306.23 Highway 4 West $ 21393,722.86 81.36 $21100,435.39 $293l287.47 El Cerrito Plaza BART Parking $ 232,697.54 7.91 $ 0 $232l697.54 WCCTAC Administration $ 38,782.92 1.32 $ 341137.94 $ 41644.98 CCTA Administration $ 441130.47 1.50 $ 43,576.70 $ 553.77 Total $ 2,942,031.34 100,00 $213139541.34 $6289490,00 Source: CCTA If this monthly rate of receipts would continue fora 20-year period,the total receipts would be over $9.4 million *in current dollars,not including any interest. This is one measure of the amount of funds 2005 that could be received over a 25 year period beginning in if the same fees would prevail and the same rate of development were to continue., The Nexus Analysis prepared in 1997 indicated that the fees established at that time should yield about$5.1 million over 13 years(1997 to 2010). This calculates to an average of about$33,000 per month, so the actual receipts of about$39,200 per month, including interest, are conservatively close to the original estimates. It should be noted that the 1997 Nexus Analysis showed that WCCTAC could legally establish fees whose revenues would total $24.5 million. However,,at the time it was felt that it was appropriate to reduce the financial burden on both commercial and residential development. Single-family residential fees were established at$700 per unit instead of the allowable$2,345. Multi-family esi residential fees were reduced from$1,002 to$560. Retail,,office and industrial fees were established at$0.20 per square foot, instead of allowable rates ranging from$1.37 to $2.88 per square foot of development. Potential Fee Revenues From 2005 Update As noted above,the 1997 Nexus Analysis justified a total cost of$24.5 million in funds to be paid by the fee. This amounts to a rate of about$2,100 per peak hour trip. However,the amount of fee actually enacted amounted to about$440 per peak hour trip, or about 20 percent of the maximum amount. As noted in Table III,there is an estimated 281,571 a.m.peak hour trips associated with the expected growth in development in the 25-year period beginning in 2005. Using the 1997 rates,this amount of trips would account for$12.6 million at the reduced rate of$440 per trip over the 25-year period or$60.0 million at the full rate of$2,100 per peak hour trip. Recommendations for the fees associated with the 2005 STMP update are described in the next chapter. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 13 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 I CHAPTER 5. PROGRAM COSTS AND FEE CALCULATION Updated Cost per Trip Estimate Table VI presents a summary of the STMP improvement project costs,required adjustments to account for past STMP activities,the projected future trips to be added by new development,and the resulting estimated STMP improvement cost per trip. The total cost of the STMP projects to be included is$370,840,000. Adjustments to the fee are as follows: • Outside Funding-$121,848,000: These are anticipated funds from outside sources that will offset the costs of projects in the STMP. See Table IV for details. • Exceeds Nexus- $150,892,000: These are funds that exceed the nexus test described in Chapter 3 and 6. These adjustments are applied to the fee calculation as shown in Table VI. The updated fee calculation is based on trip generation estimates in Table 3 and the cost estimates of the STMT improvement projects presented in Table N. The updated cost per trip is$3,507,using a total STMP project cost of$101,043,000 and a total of 28,810 new a.m. peak hour trips. The STMP improvement projects cost and the STMP portion of these costs as well as the calculated new STMP cost per trip are shown in Table V1. Table VIII presents the new STMT'schedule of fees. The land use categories in this fee schedule reflect the current situation with the STMP. TABLE VI:2005 COST PER TRIP ESTIMATE STMP Portion of Actual STMP STMP Pottion Change from STMP Improvement Projects 1997 Costs Fee Adopted of 1997 STMP In 1997 2005 costs All Projects $64,267,500 saw $370;840,000 +$306,572,500 Subtotal $649267,500 $3709840y000 +$306,572,500 Outside Funding $39,841,000 $121,848,000 +$821007;000 Exceeds Nexus w- $150,892,000 +$150,892,000 Net Improvement Costs $24,426,500 $59100,000 $981100;000 +$73,673,500 Plus Administrative Costs(3%) (included in total) ODOM $23943,000 am Total STMP Funding $241426l500 $5,100j000 $101,043,000 +$76,616,500 Total Peak Hour Trips Added by New Development 11,589 111589 28,810 +179223 STMP Cost Per Trip $211001 ' $4401 $31507,11 +$1,407 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 14 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 TABLE VH:2005 RECOMMENDED STMP RATES AND FEES AND FEES Peak Hour Units of 2005 1997 Fee Rates 1997 Fee Ratesl Land Uses Trip Rates Use Fee Rates* (Auff funding) as Adopted (full finding) Sin gle-family_Residential 0.74 DU $2,595 $ 1,554 $700 Multi family Residential 0.47 DU $1,648 $987 $560 Senior Housing 0.21 DU $701 Hotel 0.56 Room $1,964 Retail 0.52 KSF $1.82 $0.34 $0.20 Office 1.00 KSF $3.51 $ 2.79 $0.20 Industrial 0.70 KSF $2.45 $ 1.89 $0,20 Casino 6.08 KSF1 $21.32 - Storage facility 0.15 KSF $0.53 Church 0.45 KSF $1.58 AND IPA Hospital 1.20 KSF $4.21 Casino rates are based on square footage of the gaming area. DU--Dwelling Unit KSF=Thousand Square Feet Note:Based on$3,,507 per peak hour tdp Other Factors In STMP Update Tri�Adiustmentste for the retail category was adjusted to account for trip The peak hour trip rate lengths as described in the 1997*study. The base a.m.rate for retail was reduced by 50 percent to account for reduced trip lengths as compared with non-retail uses. Trip rates for the office category were reduced from1.33 trips per thousand square feet(ksf)to 1.00 trips per ksf; industrial trip rates were reduced from 0.90 to 0.70. Exempt Devel mo In the 1997 study, it was found that slightly more than 10 percent of the land use depicted as future growth already had some level of land use entitlements and would be exempt from the STMT payments. These exemptions were either because a)a vested tentative map had been issued,, or b)a development agreement had been completed which specifically excludes assessment of any additional fees. It will continue to be appropriate for fees to be waived in these cases, although it is unlikely that development agreements have been approved subsequent to 1997 that eliminate participation in WCCTAC STMP fees. Special Cases As was the case in 1997, it remains appropriate for developers to request a special traffic study if it is felt that their particular land use proposal either does not fit into one of the land use categories or if the particular development may generate less traffic than the category provides. The methodology for conducting such a study shall be approved by the WCCTAC upon recommendation of the WCCTAC-TAC. The appropriate governing/permitting agency shall be responsible for reviewing and approving the individual traffic studies. Establishment of Final WCCTAC STMP Fee WCCTAC may decide, as it did in 1997,not to levy the full fee that has been established as a part of this study. If so,the results will be reflected in an adjustment to this study. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 15 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 CHAPTER 6. NEXUS FINDINGS Forecasts of future traffic volumes were made to provide the data.needed to establish the reasonable connection between new development's travel demand and the need for and costs of the proposed projects within the WCCTAC area. ABAG's Projections 2003 was used to determine the amount of growth in land use in the west county area between 2005 and 2030. Subsequently,traffic usage related to the growth was calculated as described in Chapter 2. Using the traffic generation results and the estimated project costs,the portion of the estimated project costs that can reasonably be connected with the need generated by projected new development has been calculated. The following process was used to established the amount of a project that can attributed to growth and thereby be eligible for STMP funding: Amount of households in 2005 88,050(from Table 1) Amount of employees in 2005 82,150 (from Table 2) Household trips in 2005-88,050 x 0.63* 55,472 Employment trips in 2005-82,150 x 0.60* 49,290 Total trips in 2005-55,472+49,290 104,762 Growth in trips between 2005 and 2030 28,810(from Table 3) Percent of traffic related to 25 year growth=28,810/104,762 27.5% *Trip rates-see page 5 for details Therefore, as noted in the Project Nexus Discussion in Chapter 3 for each of the 11 STNiP projects, a minimum of 27.5 percent of the cost of each project was assigned to the STMP,unless a lesser amount of funds is necessary to fully fund the proposed project. In a few cases,a greater percentage was utilized when conditions dictated. Itis noted that of the$371 million worth of needed improvements identified in this analysis, over $121 million in outside funding sources have been identified. These outside sources primarily include proposed Contra Costa.County Measure Jr.which is the extension of the one-half percent sales tax levied for transportation improvements. Measure J,which is intended to fund improvements which will correct both existing and future deficiencies,is a partner to the STMP extension,which by law must only fund future transportation deficiencies associated with new development. Measure J was approved by Contra Costa County voters in the general election on November 2,2004. In addition,the project nexus analyses indicated that$150,892,000 of the projects does not meet the minimum nexus requirement.Thus, of the total deficiencies identified in the 11 proposed STMP projects, only 27 percent of the funding comes from the STMP. The methodology of this report is to ensure that only the portion of the projects included in the STMP project list is necessitated by the growth in traffic between 2005 conditions and 2030 conditions. Thus,there is a reasonable relationship between the proposed use of the STMP and the proposed land use development projects on which the fee will be imposed. In the same manner there is a reasonable relationship between the need for facilities included in the STMP and the proposed land use development projects. 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 16 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005 CHAPTER 7. STUDY PARTICIPANTS TJKM Transportation Consultants Personnel Chris D. Kinzel,P.E. Project Engineer Brad Thornton Project Engineer Dan Harrison Project Planner Evi Pagh Word Processing/Production The Reed Group Robert Reed Principal Persons/Agencies Consulted/WCCTAC TAC Members Lisa Hammon,,Managing Director WCCTAC Brad Beck CCTA 0.6 for RichmondBruce Beyaert Trans, r Action Committee(TRAC) Aleida.Chavez VVestCAT Rich Davidson City of Richmond John Greitzer Contra Costa.County Community Development Department Deidre Heitman BART Adele Ho City of San Pablo Bruce King City of El Cerrito Nathan Landau AC Transit Steve Lawton City of Hercules John MacKenzie Caltrans Brent Salmi Pinole 2005 STMP Update for WCCTAC Page 17 TJKM Transportation Consultants April 25, 2005