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Home My WebLink AboutMINUTES - 01261999 - D4 Centra Costa TO: BOARD OF SUPERVISORS • County rax: AD HOC COMMITTEE r � � 14 yi SUPERVISOR CANCIAMILLA SUPERVISOR GERBER d Tq DATE: JANUARY 26, 1999 SUBJECT: REPORT FROM TIM AB HOC COXXITTZZ BPECIFIC RXQUZ8T(B) OR RBCOlXMATION{8} a BACKGROUND AND JUSTIFICATION `ECOMiNDATTO S 1. ACCEPT this report from the Ad Hoc Committee; 2. AUTHORIZE a General Plan Amendment study for consideration of Urban Limit Line (ULL)changes as follows. A. Elimination of the Urban Limit Line around the Clayton Manch property which is located near the intersection of Marsh Crook Road and Morgan Territory Road in. the Clayton area. This would result in an additional 11030 acres outside the ULL (refer to Exhibit A) . B. Elimination of the ULL around the Veale Tract in the East County area. This would result in an additional 1,040 acres outside the ULL (refer to Exhibit A) . C. The westward movement of the ULL in the 'Town of Danville to reflect the expiration of the Williamson Act Contract on the Elworthy property, and the location of the property within the Town limits. 3. SELECT one of the following choices for inclusion in the General Plan Amendment study for an ULL change in the Taessajara area: A. The westward adjustment of the ULL identified as "Tassajara 01 on Exhibit B as recommended by Supervisor Gerber. This proposal would move the ULL to generally CONTINUED ON ATTACEMENTt YZB SIGNATURN RECOXXENOATION or CotnF A=NIBTRATOR RECOXXOMATION OF BOARD COXXITTEB "PROVE OTHER SIGNATURE(S) YlC'TION OFARD `ON i n u a= _ APPROVZD AS RECOMOK2NDID ,�. OTHER XX . SEE THE ATTACHED ADDENDUM FOR BOARD ACTION VOTE of SUPERVISORS I HEREBY CERTIFY 'PRAT TRIS IS A UNANXXOUB (ABBE` - _ TRUE am CORRECT Copy of AN Aysa t NOES: _ ACTION 'T'AXEN AM ENTERED ON THE "BUT t ABSTAIN: MINUTES OF '.CNE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS ON THE DATE SHOWN. Coatacst i orifi s community Development Department ATTESTu a r y . Best CAO 'VEIL BATCHLLOR, CLQ OF County Counsel TNN BOARD of SUPERVISORS A= COUNTY kbMIX18TRATOR $ , DEPUTY CK/df boa:ULL&clhoc.bo Approved vso Expected Households Mousing Growth Between 2000 and 2020 lSubarea Approved r t i sr e s West C,bunty ,30 0, 0 12. 1 Central County 600 16,500 3.6/ a c.. � 1,80 1{3OYC3,/o Tri-Valley (Alameda Co.) 16,600 34,000 48.8/ r d''H1 e y�k r r �p`pV 0 41 ORE N- -. -+S vv. Total ' 114,600 % t Includes other miscellaneous small projects in Contra Costa(1,445 housing units) Source:Contra Costa County Community Development,ABAG Projections'98 3 Comparison of ABAG Projections: Households in Contra Costa --*- Projections '83 --*—Actual 340,000 321,840 320,000 i 320,240 300,288 300,000 ` 294,370 280,000 # 270,911 , W 266,040 260,000 i # I i iaY v Pq r r�i .i' x NC t P 240,000 ?'ibi P!i,d ro t i 241,534 35 4 r' 220,000 200,000 1980 1985 1990 1995 SOURCE:ABAG Projections'83 Years and Projections'98 4 Comparison of ABAG p'roject'ions: ,jobs in Contra Costa Projections '83 —*—Actual 320,000 303,800 298,420 300,000 ' 29 7)000 280,000 260,000 265;0 I 00 65;0#0 ' 2, 02 •u, 240,000 , ., "k- 220,000 = 200,000 T 1980 1985 1990 1995 SOURCE:ABAG Projections 83 bears and Projections`98 Contra Costa Households Includes Alameda County portions of Tri-Valley 600,000 514,400 540,400 487,590 464,227 430,100 400,000 399,920 373,510 348,767 114,480 new households between 2000 and 2020, an 300,440 increase of 29% C� �f A fa a , 200,004 'f'a•k Y s�E Ek r i IN q z- MIN"2 ,vw iuff 100,000 h r 9 •v f I I p F .., .r,t•... '. a..... .�. .. ., --...... ;... �. ,,: n.+. 1990 1995 2040 2005 2010 2015 2020 Years SOURCE:A13AG Projections'98 6 Contra Crista , cabs Includes Alameda County portions of Tri-Valley 700,000 646,780 I 600,000 t ; 595,040 548,324 500,000 498,900 ,IIS 444,520 400,000 tl! 385,320 383,490 300,000 202,260 new jabs between a 2000 and 2020, an increase i Igo t : of 46l I � 1{r�s I III 200,080ti ry�v �1 1 :M 100,000x gppfLv pppAk pb� 6 e M. 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Years SOURCE:ABAG Projections'98 7 CONTRA COSTA jobs and Employed Residents Includes Alameda County portions of Tri-Valley --$— Employed Residents -"--jobs 800,000 744,400 -f00[1ttryry//,,��ff�� 694,000 ,000 651,000 ,3 607,604 600,000 " 646,780 549,540 595,040 500,000 484,865 495,604 548,324 498,900 444,520 #00,000 385,324 383,490 ��gg 1j YrI �I r.• 3KWO y��ee r i i K to {5µ},.�3w 3 � TtYis ?3�X�„ 4 fr " 'ur` d�� .�y ;y,� 1R T�p'1 aY z,+ ka - r a - 200000 t � �fs a a1 �. SSR 4 jz "i 100,000//ii000lA5 i Y� Y' S�vF Y�tr 1590 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Years SOURCE:ARAG Projections'98 West County Households 200,000 180,000 ' 160,000 Pi 140,000 10,250 new households 120,000 between 2000 and 2020, an Increase of 12/ t� 100,000 93,870 r F. . 91,550 86,370 , 80,000 ' 83 620 88,990 I 79653 �r < 82,150 ' ' t 60,000 1rp 4_ a i�� 5� � r= �Y}� h A/�A 40,000 Y A 4 T Y . P4 w A a K iSRs WY*3 x�i. ' t ! Y s r ' ! 4 7 s s l dr YhR >�� 11 ..r 7 YID y r o•i 20,000 t t r iIRI I 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Years SOURCE.ABAr Projections'98 9 jobs and Employed residents WEST COUNTY -4— Employed Residents -*-,Jabs 300,000 ii l2!I L+li � �rCr! di{I Ii1 i Itill'NI(iii!?3iEi!!IE."1'16 CC yi C-it'll,! lit Iii i i�ii I !?! it i I'I� 1!iI E rE{I! It!'i { CRL2 ,iNli iii'I it 111111 ljEE' i i"i III III iI !!f!I II -'! i !>f 1{I' III i ;.dwJctL!!ll'! 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P .,...... ........... }...„...6.1.......,.x...._,.! .......!1 1...1....=�....t!!. i!!If€fiiiiiil4l!6d!?, ..,,111I:.a.J..,..,.._, ,...:...,,111! ,r,I ..1,:-,.!....:........ .................i...1,J..,_6.1.......� .-.11... ...... 1, !.. 1.1..!1.i...1f.,1....._..,E x1!ti1111....rr..i1d.4.. ,..., ,. 1......,,1„11... 6.......1.1. .1......._ 1,1i:.. .. ,,. 4, ........1 arlllI!!� .ill !��llr.,xaikx1411IiI,•,•..(1.!. 1 1?:,I. , i141i, ,!,!.,.:.:.. 1nrn1.::1IEI{II!L, .IIIK Inn:.i.f!i!dN Nwud!��!,!r:!�t�•,+I�,I!!�!!,�6,t!irlll?€!. 19” 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 SOURCE:ABAG Projections"48 Years LP w i )➢ ¢ •x j 9 r { � l 4 r' n i Y F f + + IF,k i Al IMA lz i g � i { , 3 x .T � a �i�' �,. ,i�''�, '�.➢�''� p�a`C "� "��` � �^ir�+w a,h� _ '; t, de xFdE��tei�S� �' S. � '� }t � & f r "� �s r ✓ � ?cam txRN j x � r < Central County Households 200,000 1+6,490 new households I80,00 between 2000 and 2020, an increase of 12/ � i 60,00 155,x00 7715{7,710 140,000Ell 146,480 138,51 t7 142,450 135,490 131,358 t/g 120,000 Mo 100,000 80,000 1�f I f 60,000 ��B � � � d � y�" '$i4�P� - � y�� Yf�a"n`W C��,Sy 7 1 9• y��a t n at MRE v 40,000 �� v i� a ;x - l 'yuav�d a r: },, ✓F Orri Al —, §vl DIN s � AN rN MA 20,000 ' t � # W w Y IM p 14 4 A 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 I ears SOURCE:ABAG Prd}ectrans'98 12 jobs and Employed Residents CENTRAL COUNTY --*- Employed Residents --o-jobs 300,000 ! 71 il[Ut�E�!t f 11 t i t n I_I Its 1 li!i til tf f dit tl f E l t Ely i t I llEt(nEll iJ1nl 4�in J,-{ s tryr t.{!� I ( �I iE�nir i 11 iil li{�({I I�IIEI I!Alll P IL.iI I i ! 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' 17 East County Households 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 41,9701 new households between 2000 and 2020, an u increase of 56% 116,370 120,000 10 WO 107,230 x}7,560 8o,coT _ 86,230 �� s '_ 77,; < 400 Y x.f 64,780 4d 9k � 60,000 56,67 cLC°�'^ "7 t(F,tsiy z+'r' Qty h eFp�v }d�2.. p j Ef ; �` iYv Ao `, a+ 40,000 P %}X 1j, ft- 20,000 E. �r 00 i 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Years SOURCE:ABAG Projecdons'98 ,obs and Employed Residents EAST COUNTY -*- Employed Residents -*-Jabs 300,000 t Iiii I i''i Itglltlf4 -ilfll�l,i ' I.Ii !Iii Iii-LIEIHI(tlti i I ni I -7 !I i 1 il- tE I FttllFai itl �(//i/./'1��_�r`}-1 -viI:c',_;I;,a„.:hyji:_iti�a�kii�ikla.:lt:=t>'i,=>�cdi',:t!i;:nkl+'>✓t.HilltHlili�z;yf Ii:i!d�f:i�l-I1�rc_-n:LiII.lIIt�i'I�nLifIEI1tEI�,�xH�iInNi II'i1�a'1ii!�Il,lInl'-3>�!h,,Ift1llII'iEi1,,if".Ii,IlIo9 llEi.kiif1lk�Iii-Il!lil�,�-�!{l-�!.LkiklIiiklii tt lllI€f-Ii�l✓nl�i sIl7l,_.:lllaIlek`.yl��fiII1!��lSndi�ikhrIr it iki�l.-ilil!,ti t_s+��Ii��h`n(ihdll�;i1i-fs'1�-l�-kiI yti��-i it1lSli��ii_'Glis1l jlIl l{tki Iti-�!I-li,EH.tISstJilIkil-I kiiI),:flijIl,r.lilik't,il:�h€t+.fttljV,�_iI1.:kIli€.i'llIk1Ii._�Iitkkii�!lI-'iI.Il-�1�kd>it_-4IsIi s1lIh-I tkotk.I€!lIailIks�n,7ilt I{il�;kI�lrl�ia.7lit�ailtI�llli�aI�i,:li-(,_-:�41kik�II-`_i.-kl-�i��kIf,i1li 1I�i.u!'(�I,IiltkI Iljil1I.l,�s!1tn)Ilf'l'€I�iiH,4�!1'IiI'Ii�I�:f!ltiEn�i�!IIliiiIl1;'�lnlII+Iiit Iiu�ll�l,IIilltilI'r"i'�IiilkIlklilIpiki.n"�9rd 1i-ii iIl,!_-E,Ik'it'i ilil�I1{I•;1k�,�lfii�iilllUEITrI�N:lI�,lll,nilinl1i�Il�il�il l-i�.iiRr1'k�f��fkkkkI!h 11fffH�.littttIii�Ei�rl1III,�lkl'PiI!�1yI.1i IIl'ii 1!�'I1�IIIIEIhiH�ik�k!l1IEik;-3tlICl,g11syil�ik1�ki�4„11!-Ii�EIi1.nE�lIYii,l1f!�l:EIiIIi1 aP�--ix�IlIlaI,$�l,31Iil'--ltIiI�l��I nk iI�Il�M Hitlit�I+�lpLd;.EItIiliIdI'N�1Ilk i-kII1d:1I�A-:!l ItIlkt1�l;,iF 111�Ix llf h`�-l'i�i�l,.kq.ni.;I6'�,xI��,ti1t�u'I+1,-xii;f�€lii,ik�II.�i�►I�:'1Is"lli II,ttk 1i,�II�,tl-�,�:Ll��-j€d_kl,I�,'iI��I.(1'i'f-IItn„I17-1I�L,;,��l-�,�'EhiiIi-„l"l�liitIi'kIn�IIIi-�-kit-It,iiii,iI4i�iH:l!'II��.l;i�l{hli Il+Ill"k11�I�t l!7ilIVIlliktii'I ll�:��pr1,ii l'�lI!t i ik,ifi�l�+lh?h iiiihq iil�iIp,�h�ii!'��(I,Pl:l�k€I1ti�t iullF�i'Eilk!uilI,l�I�1ytt!€::f��iI 1fiIl��1+�llIIn�Ii!I;II i�v.II1Fl}t kt�t!-'(itliiI�!4*1ip.i€I:t!!3�lI�1�.i1if!({y�-1fti€,i�l:iD�1_'!ltIknI_1.i1l'hi1f,ik-IIi'',i-Ih,'sIiL�.!IIEi1r�l,'ttiLfIk_II;'l-i�i�ll(f{I'I--I:i�1il-kI{IE1.lkI Ii„il�I.jnNPl�,�:iI1lIlIj3 k'�I,t'-I'�1Il,t Ini:9Iini!1�kit,_I 7I3IIiiItf ksIi'1lII'ilI'1�:+kdSiI,Ik3�:I'I4.}��_1w2�I_Of,klIiki,�k_ll,-1�kt��ik1�klI,.,iilk.w,'ni4 1)Iiial�Ii:ha;k.�iy4FtIfkk1L,.llE:,tf'.tI1j!.'ri,Ii•-��+,{..,I..i4Ip_'"hfllYI_E�t�,i'1kLIEtlHI1-t-i,-iiint1'H�ik�i1;.',�kI1�I,,1”I�1��t-ijk�It�E.J7t��IIl;Ii'�,�!1��I{:l�6ilitn4h)it!+hElr's1�kIilNfI��l1l�1l ILiL iI1i�tilllfILir1�+IiE!iIii'liiip'J k_1c rEIi'llIir ll7yillnFl1i,till��€y'I�i»lII�-,I{�IlIlkLiy�hffE�ltILa1il��li�I�,tItttI ii,H�n�`'L"t�,1�'.lltI,il�_WI��J,�ikII�I_,iilfI[,iaI€i�Ililil:iI.irlfadi�iLIIl�t.,�ii�iIl,-I_Ii!,pliI,l'i=NhIl i:!1�fAiIJ�P illI�n�Ii31�tl_-tflli Ifl',i,,ntl!.l,�"_v I;i3��n!��I k=IhIil!I1l_lkiiIfI11 I1�la'l�i III�k1€kkfIl`�lAfII1l-��'IliI-l-FtliFIi,�I.kiI11��,i��i�._w��nr k��,��I1I�!�irlflir�It'Ik_i,1lflll!.Iln;�I�!-f fi��I1�xyII�i:ikIi-�:!itknt+it'iII��'3ilk�p-::ItI ll:.Illih�lI:�It ill �k.f siil'.�aliII,'1,n�irti_,.,.js�!.;IlI,��l,ka'f9.Il t'lI 11 j,�+�l,r:�1.ilEl.�Nii'liiilIk'lry__4lI,�isilII�,iIIn`$�lI�iG.,1'Iih�tll;l�sii�I('t1ilII�'N�il,�t1+iti iIi�I;�IxfIIi�I��'Illl 1ll,�ai4 i+�li(i+1l�IIIIIdt€(�{IkIt I�hk�.IIfkk�,!H tlItI>tl Plf!�1�'lI�k'tfiit€1li�I!,Hill'tglki HiI�1'€i:Itia'i1lkIn�lIl l:t��HL�si'lI1iI llstiIfi�i':k�I ii�E tff1kSl,1�i+lIT � Lhh11slii-'ii�.a I1hiI1b�i�th�1 i i li.-'�-Ifi�lrenll��ikJkr.Psqia�lI.iiII�'�lItlkl-i(t'.�ik��ikfiilk lt:��ll�1l�,7PI!AdfI lI�li1ifit��lIf1l�Ist`'ll4.lii@f,I�1E�dl+lIE,�+l�4�If�lE 1i�_,Ikiit�ktiIi fdii1p�ilkrh�t�k�lii!fi�ti`�t i�.iIlEhndi ii�;t1ivHIIlIIItl�l Ili,i.{N-ak�U�kii�i-k Ik'lI1�(i•i lt'kIt I!!I-iflil-;{hk;E.!-ilt�IId'iii'.- €.lii..,.ItEE,lI-,�k.1a��u!I”,,Il.s+l►-.L.tk1ii1ift.:((�.-`�!,:l„Eft:l.t k.11'Ei.-i_ (�,Hi�ldr'',Ii,f,imiEi"Hi�It��i1nEi€��IIEhfiiE,i{yiii llt�xf+kli��ilI�tI�r�lIA ayIdiiI'�iI+l'1f£f{i�'�.ii rlIl`l'iF.I:5t.,,f+:..k�Wt-r:a�.-:r_i..�Nd_:�:•J-:�,_-.�1:'-�_I-i1', E`ry'1�l!i-tIt.:II�lii,E'ltidilliililF_�I{,3 IlPEii�.)�s !1 flSl;rkl PIi�ht,llI�i'E;I k�ik ,iif iilIt�fkli.xlI'ii S��ki iif ttt'ti+t ll fill l)i'-.kdfiii17 250,000 i M iIiE f�IilII 1'i:llm t1�31 1I�lsII l.1:,✓+,Ap-IE lIikikl,-Ii�-�*u I t+hil� !1E�ilI•I,t-�HHili'Idi�11 1ic E�l �ii11 itlr�i �ixIllI il:l,Iaq�n . 14.,,il+i tl,i.fkt Hq�L�s-_ti i l.,n .... til i!tft n NNNN!! I i l 20wo iIl! 1 0, � i!Li + 56 0 ISMt Ii i 0 150,000 138,t40 .......... {, it LylJ mill Lu pill it yJTIIIL� !I"I VV 100,000 I6 v 08+400ydi 90,130 O0yJ70 1u +�ill HI 6lrt , 50,000 9 70, � lii. ! 1II HIM—. 1lill!!.! 36 lp6V 34,750 g9 Vfi,1111111111:1 I1 i I�I(II ,j, I gIIllglkI - lIf- MillfkhII 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2920 F 11iI �- , Years SOURCE:ABAG Projections`98 }f E, aa Y } y �r �r 00 CD C) C ClIQ C111.3 c� cq i ► ;�' f: 20 .. EtYi131.iiy itt+9i CONTRA COSTA COUNTY OM.I UNMDEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT 651 Pine Street, N. Wing - 4th Floor Martinez, CA 94553 Telephone.- 335-1290 Fax: 335-1299 TO: Ad Hoc Committee Supervisor Joe Canciamilla Supervisor Donna Gerber FROM: Dennis M. Barry, AICP, Community Development Director By: John Kopchik,I(_... DATE: November 12, 1998 SUBJECT: Options for Funding the Acquisition and Protection of Open Space and A cultural Land in Contra Costa Copt Attached please find a summary of options for funding the acquisition and protection of open space and agricultural land in Contra Costa County. This summary has been revised and expanded since an earlier version was submitted to the Board as a part of the Tassajara Valley matter in September of this year. A primary revision concerns new information on the feasibility of raising the sales taxa Recommendations: Accept report on,funding options * Consider identifying one or more options for further examination by the Ad Hoc Committee or the Board. if any funding options are to be considered, staff recommends a combination of public and private grants, local public funding and developer funding in order to assure a broad-based and balanced program; Consider developing an acquisition strategy that describes the goals of the acquisition program, the types of lands or easements desired for the acquisition and the general regions in which acquisition is to be performed. For example, the strategy could include purchase of easements from willing sellers in the agricultural care in order to conserve cultivated agriculture. Acquisition of land or easements to create buffers between residential areas and private agricultural land is another example. Such an acquisition strategy may be needed to apply for grants or to develop ballot measures. • Consider recommending that the Board appoint a blue ribbon committee to develop or refine any ballot measures that may result from this process. JK:ad Attachment cc: Members, Board of Supervisors s Options for Funding the Acquisition and Protection of Open Space and. Agricultural Land in Contra Mosta County Prepared by the Community Development Departments for the November 16, 1998 meeting of"the Board of Supervisors.fid Hoc Committee. This report provides a description of a range of options available to fund the acquisition and protection of open space and agricultural land in Contra Costa County. The report is broken into sections and organized as follows: Introduction I. Grants from the Public and Private Sector 2. Local Public Funding Sources 3. Development Fees A chart summarizing the primary features of these funding options is provided in Attachment 1. Sample funding scenarios and explanatory background materials for selected local public funding sources are presented in Attachment 2. The sources used to prepare this report are described in Attachment 3. Introduction A few notes on receiving and spending funds that are raised: A variety of options are available for receiving and spending any funds raised for the acquisition of land and easements. These include: • direct management of the acquisition program by the County collection and management of the funds by some other existing institution, such as the Fast Bay Regional Park District collection and management of the funds by a newly created special district which could be either dependent on, or independent of, the Board of Supervisors (for example, an"Open Space and Agriculture Conservation District") • expenditure of funds by a land trust,such as the Contra Costa County Agricultural Trust,via a contract arrangement with the County • management of a grant program by the County to award funds to agencies and land trusts for specific acquisition projects • combinations of the above The selection of one or more of these mechanisms should be based on a number of considerations, including relative administrative costs, land management funds, authority, and expertise, and accountability. When and if the Board elects to initiate a fund raising effort, this matter should be I examined more closely. Acquisition options: Most of the funding options discussed in this report could be used both to acquire full ownership of land via a fee title purchase and/or to acquire only the development rights of the land via purchase of a conservation easement (a few minor exceptions are noted in the descriptions). Though most conservation easements impose binding restrictions in perpetuity on such activities as development and construction,other previsions of the easement can vary greatly. For instance,a conservation easement intended primarily to protect natural resources might prohibit grazing near water bodies and restrict grazing intensity and timing in other areas. A conservation easement designed to protect agricultural activities might allow or even mandate intensive irrigated and cultivated agriculture. Easements might include provisions for public trail right of ways or more explicitly prohibit public access. Depending on the provisions of the easement and the portion of the land value associated with development rights,the costs of conservation easements in California have ranged from 25%to 75%of the full land value'. The decision on whether to purchase the land or an easement may be based on the importance of public access,the relative acquisition cost of the two methods,the relative on-going management costs,the management needs of the property,and/or a host of other factors related to the particular acquisition. 1. Grants from the Public and Private Sector There are many public and private grant programs which could be a source of funds for the acquisition or protection of open space and agricultural land. Though grant funding alone could not support substantial open space acquisition in the area, such sources remain attractive because they could provide seed money for more ambitious fund-raising efforts. This section provides a brief summary of the programs and their potential applicability to the Contra Costa County. There are a number of public grant programs which can provide funds for acquiring open space either in the form of development rights or fee title. This section provides information regarding the Land and Fater Conservation Fund, the Agricultural Lands Stewardship Program, the Habitat Conservation Fund,the Environmental Enhancement and Mitigation Program,and other public grant programs (such as the Wildlife Conservation Board and future state bond measure for parrs). Some of the grant programs also provide funds to assist with planning programs to acquire and protect agricultural and open space lands. In addition to the private grant programs discussed below which may provide funding both for planning and acquisition.,planning grants may be obtainedd from the National Fish and Wildlife Foundation, , the East Bay Community foundation, the U.S. EPS "State, Tribal, Local Wetlands Grant Program" (far planning wetlands protection), and, possibly, The Sonoma County Agricultural Preservation and Open Space District reportedly pays,on average,approximately %of full land value for the conservation easements it purchases. 2 the CALFED ay-Delta Program. The State of California also offers funds for planning assistance, and the Contra Costa County Agricultural.Trust is exploring the possibility of receiving such a grant. IA). Federal Land and Water Conservation Fund This is a federal program which was initiated in 1965 to provide grants for land and water conservation. Grants are administered by a range of federal resource agencies including the I.T.S.Fish and Wildlife Service. Although the annual appropriations have been substantially reduced in recent years,the total grants nationwide has averaged approximately$200 million per year. Typical grants range from $100,000 to a few million.dollars. In the past, this program has focused on lands with exceptional promise as a natural parr and/or wildlife habitat. IB.) Habitat Conservation Fund This fund was created by the Wildlife Protection Act of 1990(Proposition 117)and provides $2 million in funding each year state-wide. The program has a number of funding categories, including funding for riparian areas,wetlands, trails, and endangered species. The Habitat Conservation Fund Program is administered by the California Department of Parks and Recreation. The County will soon receive a$225,000 grant from the Habitat Conservation Fund on behalf of the Martinez Regional Land Trust to assist with the acquisition of Sky Ranch. This fund awards up to$500,000 per project. IC.) The Agricultural Lands Stewardship Program This is a grant program administered by the California Department of Conservation which provides funds for purchasing development rights for agricultural lands. Although the program could provide funds for grazing lands, it focuses primarily on protecting prime, intensively cultivated agricultural lands. The Contra Costa County Agricultural Trust is currently working with the Department of Conservation to discuss the potential applicability of the property located in the Agricultural Core area. The program provides exceptional assistance to those who are interested in applying for their funds. ID.) Environmental Enhancement and Mitigation Program(IEEMP") EEMP is a state-sponsored grant program which is intended to complement and help mitigate transportation programs. EEMP draws its funds from the gasoline tax approved by the voters under Proposition 111. EEMP annually disburses$10 million.in grants throughout the state. The gas tax.and EEMP will sunset in two years,though renewal is a possibility. Grants tend to be in the $100,000`s range. Successful applications demonstrate a clear nexus to transportation projects and to mitigating the impact of such projects. IE.) Other Public Grant Programs: Wildlife Conservation Board and Mate Park Bend Measures A number of other public grant programs could potentially provide money for acquiring open space in one manner or another.These include the Wildlife Conservation Board,which exists now., and a state park bond measure,which could be passed in the near future. 3 The Wildlife Conservation Board awards grants from an array of funds to acquire and protect wildlife habitat and improve public access. The Wildlife Conservation Board may have a budget of approximately$144 million in FY 1998-99. California last passed. a $776 million parks bond measure in 1988 (Preposition 74), and funding from such a state-wide measure is no longer available. Some members of the Legislature had advocated for placing a new state park bond measure on the November 1998 ballet, but the initiative ultimately failed.(S.B. 2). However, it is expected that the voters will consider a new state-wide park bond measure in the next several years. T ATE GRAA.NT PROGRAMS 1F.) Private Grant Programs A number of private foundations provide grants and loans to support the acquisition of open space. Private foundations may be more flexible and can act more quickly that public grant programs. Private foundations may also be more amenable to providing funding for start up costs or for agricultural enhancement activities (e.g. traffic calming). Grants range from smaller planning,grants to multi-million dollar funding. Three major private programs are summarized below. With a budget of more than $144 million, the Packard Foundation may have the largest program for supporting the acquisition of open space and agricultural land. The Packard Foundation's latest grant program for our region includes Contra Costa County within the area which could potentially receive funds. Grant funding requests could be explored as a coordinated approach with the other land trusts operating in our County. The Irvine Foundation and the Hewlett Foundation are other major foundations which.make significant contributions towards lands conservation. However, all three foundations emphasize preservation of prime agricultural land. These foundations and others may be a potential source of funds to support planning activities related to the purchase of development rights. 2. Local Pudic Funding Sources There are a wide-range of methods and combinations of methods for securing local public funds either County-wide or in specified sub-areas. For simplicity, only prototypical techniques are described below, though many permutations and alternatives are possible. If and when the Board decides to narrow its options and/or pursue enactment of one or more specific approaches, more research should be done on these methods to clearly define the legal guidelines and constraints associated with their implementation. Pay-as-you-go vs.bonds:Many new taxes can provide revenue on an on-going basis or can be used in conjunction with the sale of bonds to finance the procurement of up-front money. general Obligation Bonds are a special case because the tax which funds these bonds, the ad valorem property talc,cannot be raised beyond its current level without passing a general obligation bond(a provision.of Proposition 13). general Obligation Bonds also typically carry the lowest interest rates of any government bonds because they are backed by a commitment to adjust the ad valorem property tax each year to ensure adequate revenues. Other bonds have somewhat less steady revenues and may carry higher interest rates, require a reserve fund, and require a portion of anticipated tax revenues to be used on a pay-as-you-go basis rather than to fund debt service. Many factors influence the decision on whether to sell bonds or receive revenue on an on-going basis. Issuing bonds might allow acquisition to proceed more rapidly and might reduce administrative costs slightly by reducing the length of the acquisition program. Bonds also provide greater flexibility,removing obstacles to snaking acquisitions when the real estate market is down or when unexpected opportunities may arise. On-going revenue streams avoid the finance costs associated with bonds. Also, there is currently some legal uncertainty regarding the impact of Proposition 218 on bonded indebtedness. That measure contained provisions protecting the power of citizens to pass initiatives which repeal taxes,possibly increasing the risk that a revenue stream dedicated to debt repayment could be terminated. However,the degree of the threat posed may not be severe since the contract provisions of the U.S. Constitution may override. Likewise, since initiatives may only take actions that legislative bodies are legally capable of taking, and since legislative bodies are incapable of terminating revenues to certain types of bonds, it may not be possible for an initiative to terminate funding for some bonds. Before a bond measure is passed, further research and clarification of this matter is recommended. One time levy vs. longer term revenue stream: Each of the local public funding options discussed below could involve levying taxes on a one or two year term or a longer ten, twenty, or thirty year term by including a sunset date in the ballot measure. Some could be levied indefinitely,though this is not recommended for acquisition purposes since protecting and acquiring open space and agricultural land is a finite task(however,some permanent revenue for new land management duties would be necessary). Some advantages of initiating a one or two time levy are: a) voters may be more accepting of such an approach;b) interest costs are avoided; and c) a very short term program may save administration costs. Some advantages of initiating a longer term levy are: a) costs are spread out over a longer period which puts less of a burden on tax payers; b) larger sums of money may be raised; c) spreading costs out over a longer time better reflects the benefit that future tax payers will receive from acquisitions. If a one or two year levy is considered, the sales tax may be the most appropriate vehicle since a one-quarter cent increase could raise approximately$24 million per year. Proposition 218: Proposition.218,which was approved by voters in 1996, altered the requirements for enacting new assessments, property-related fees (not including developer fees), and taxes. This measure has two primary implications for rasing local public funds for the acquisition of open space and agricultural land in Contra Costa County: 1 assessments and property related fees are now less suitable for acquisition of open space/agriculture because Proposition 218 clarified and strengthened the requirement that 5 such measures have a direct benefit to the property charged(beyond a benefit to property values)and not be used to fund services which benefit the public in general; and 2) rasing any tax in the County to create a dedicated source of revenue for acquisition of open space/agriculture will require approval by 2/3 of eligible voters in an election. (Proposition 218 clarified prior requirements that all special taxes be approved by a 2/3 majority). Proposition 21.8 also imposed a new requirement on enacting general takes, limiting such measures to general elections which coincide with the electrons for members of the sponsoring agency's governing board. General takes still may be passed by a simple majority,but the resulting revenues may not be firmly dedicated to any specific purposes. CQUNTTY-MD-E MECHANISMS FOR WSMnLOCAL PUBLIC FUNRS This section provides information regarding potential county-wide public funding mechanisms. The mechanisms discussed include: sales tax(general tax),sales tax(special tax),parcel tax(which may implemented in a number of different ways), and general obligation bonds. Sample funding scenarios for these options are presented in Attachment 2. Less feasible mechanisms for rasing local public funds: Additional mechanisms for raising local public funds do exist,but, for a variety of reasons, may be less feasible than the four mechanisms listed above and discussed in greater detail later in this report. A partial list of these other mechanisms and a short explanation as to why they may relatively difficult to implement is provided below: real estate transfer tax:The County tax of.1 l%is at the state maximum and special legislation would be needed to raise it mer. As an alternative to raising the rate, the County could seek- to eekto change the procedures for determining which, transfers are taxable to make the tax more uniformly applicable to all transfers. however, state legislation would be required for this approach as well. transient occupancy tax: The County tax. of 10% may be at the state-imposed limit already. Also,the County only has the power to levy this tax in unincorporated areas. business taxes: The County only has the power to levy this tax in unincorporated areas. utility taxes: Proposition 218 imposed restrictions on the use of many such taxes for general public benefit (and uncertainty remains regarding how 218 will apply to some other utility taxes). Also the County has discussed passing; such a tax often in the past, and it has been difficult to build support for the idea. Certificates of Participation: Certificates of Participation enable the issuer to raise capital without creating a new revenue stream. (liven the tight County budget, such an approach would be difficult. 6 2A,) Saps Tax(General Tax) The County could develop a new stream of,general purpose revenue by raising sales taxes in the County via approval by a simple majority of voters in a general election which coincides with the elections for the Board of Supervisors. Recent legislative actions provide the County with the ability to raise an increment of the sales tax.,the"transaction and use tax",by up to Vi%,but only in increments greater than or equal to%%. The current County sales tax. is 8114%, which includes V21/o for BART and ala% for transportation and growth management from Measure C(1988). In 1997,under a different statutory authority which allows the sates tax to be raised in smaller increments for library purposes, Contra Costa. County's Measure A for libraries would have raised the sales tax,WO/o,'but failed to receive a two-thirds majority. Such a general tax increase could not be specifically dedicated to open space or any other purpose. However, many counties have placed general tax measures on the ballot with companion advisory measures that outline the purposes for which the voters recommend the new revenues be used. In 1996, Santa Clara County sought to increase revenues for transportation by raising its general sales tax. Two measures were placed on the ballot. one to raise the sales tax to increase general fund revenues, and a second advisory measure to instruct Santa Clara County to spend neer revenues on specified transportation projects. The tax increase only required a simple majority and passed. The tax increase was challenged, but in a recent court decision, it was upheld. However, the Santa Clara measure was before Proposition.218 came into effect, and it is anticipated that subsequent attempts to use this approach will be challenged again under provisions of Proposition 218 which defined special taxes to include taxes imposed for a specific purpose but placed in the general fund. County Counsel is of the opinion that, so long as the County is not legally bound to use the tax for any specific purpose,this approach will survive legal challenge(an advisory measure would not legally binding). Marin and Sonoma.Counties placed similar pairings of a general sales tax increase and an advisory measure on the November 1998 ballot(both primarily for transportation purposes). In each case, the advisory measure passed but the tax failed to receive a simple majority. Media reports prior to the election indicated that voter opinion of the tax measure was influenced by confusion over the twin measure e approach and some frustration with what was perceived as an indirect approach to the problem(many other factors influenced the election as well, including an independent analysis which claimed that the revenues would not be adequate to accomplish the intended projects). In theory,other general taxes could be used under this approach. However,the general sales tax may be the only viable general tax available to the County because, the real estate transfer tax is already at the state maximum., the ad valorem property tax is already at the state maximum,the transient occupancy tax(TOT)is already at the state maximum, and the County may impose the other general taxes (as well as the TOT) only in unincorporated areas. 7 213.) Sales Tax(Special Tax) The County could also develop a new stream of revenue dedicated specifically to the acquisition of open space and agriculture by raising sales taxes in the County via approval by 2/3 of eligible voters in an election. As in option 2A, the tax increase could only be in 1/40 o increments,though the increase could be shared among several special purposes. Sonoma County's Agricultural and Open Space District is funded with a Va%special sales tax.. The District receives an annual revenue of approximately$12.5 million from the sales tax. It uses these funds primarily to purchase conservation easements on agricultural lands, including grazing lands and vineyards. A primary mission of the District is to purchase properties/easements that create "community separators," a goal which is intended to complement Sonoma County's approved urban growth boundaries. To date the district has protected 26,600 acres,most with easements. The District was established via special state legislation which enabled the sales tax to be passed by a simple majority popular vote. Based on the Contra Costa Transportation Authority's 1998 revenue estimates for Measure C(1988),a FIs%sales tax increment would yield approximately$12 million manually, a 1/4% sales tax increase would yield approximately $24 million annually, and a V2% sales tax increase would yield approximately$48 million annually. These estimates do not include a market analysis of possible impacts of an increased sales tax. 2C.) Countywide Parcel Tax(a special tax which can be implemented by a variety of means) Revenues for open space and agricultural acquisitions could be created by establishing a new special tax on property or a parcel tax. This tax could be imposed on a Countywide basis by 2/3 vote under a number different mechanisms. A summary of such mechanisms is provided below. 1) Direct taxing authority of the County.This mechanism is direct and does not require consent of the cities. However, as a practical matter, consent of the cities is important to pass a measure. 2) Mello Roos community facilities district; This mechanism has some general requirements related to how the tax is calculated, but also enables issuance of a specific type of bond which may be relatively sate from an initiative which terminates the tax revenue. Mello Roos districts have frequently been used for developments to fund infrastructure development,but have been and can be used for established communities. Dello Roos districts can fund one-bane expenses as well as operations and maintenance. 3) County Service .area: This mechanism could be initiated by the County but is approved through a LAFCO process. Each city included in the area must pass an ordinance consenting to inclusion. 4) Agriculture and Open Space District. A new special district could be created to receive the revenue and acquire and manage the land or easements. Barring special authorization from the state, such districts can only be created by a citizen's petition. 8 The County could have significant flexibility in designing the special tax on property, or parcel tax,which would be imposed under this funding mechanism. The tax could take the form of a flat per parcel charge, could be unposed only on some classes of parcels but not on ethers(for example, imposed on residential parcels but not on commercial or industrial parcels),and could be graduated based on the size or value of improvements on the parcel. The flexibility of parcel taxes differs markedly from the other mechanism for raising a property-related tax.,the general obligation bond. Furthermore, a flat per parcel tax applied to all parcels would impose a much smaller burden on commercial and industrial property owners than a general obligation bond. Attachment 2 provides a summary of funding scenarios and includes pie charts from the County Assessor illustrating the differences between the ad valorem and parcel tax base. Parcel taxes carry a significant administrative charge(approximately$.74 per parcel taxed in many cases),and more complicated formulas,such as formulas that differentiate between the relative value or size of improvements, would carry a very substantial administrative burden and cost. If this approach is to be considered for implementation, more research should be performed to determine the actual administrative casts. 2D.) County-wide General Obligation Sand General obligation bands are another means for raising funds for open space acquisition. General obligation bonds are backed by a pledge to annually set the ad valorem property tax at a rate sufficient to pay the annual principal and interest due on the bonds. They are considered the most secure type of municipal bond, and therefore are the least expensive bond local governments can issue(the interest on these bonus is lower than the interest on other types of bonds).The term of general obligation bonds may vary,but cannot exceed 40 years. General obligation bands must be approved by a 213 majority in a popular election. Measure AA, approved by voters in Contra Costa and Alameda Counties in 1988 to fund local parks,is an example of such a bond. Measure AA authorized the sale of$225 million in bonds,of which$126 million was to be used by the East Say Regional Park District for park and open space acquisitions. Nearly all of the authorized bonds have been issued,and the East .Say Regional Parr District may consider a re-authorization proposal in the next several years. Another example of such a bond is California Proposition 70 in 1988 which provided$776 million in bond revenues for parks,wildlife,and open space. The Legislature considered placing a new park bond measure on the November 1998 ballot, but slid not. Such a state-wide measure could be proposed again in the future(see Section 1). A profile of the financial aspects of a number of different bond amounts and terms is provided in Attachment 2. MECLIANI MS FOR RAISING LOCAL PU13LIC FUNDS ON A LE THAN CQUN'IY-WIDP BASIS Mechanisms are available to raise local public funds an a less than County-wide basis. 'There are 9 few if any limits on how such sub-ureas may be designated. This approach could be designed around an acquisition program which only targets certain areas of the County for acquisition and only imposes the costs of such a program on those communities which could benefit most. This approach could also be used in a County-wide manner to better associate the costs of local open space with the communities benefitting. This latter approach could not only provide a more direct connection between tax payers and the open space they are funding, but could also enable the local costs to reflect differences in the amount of local open space acquisition needed or desired. Two mechanisms are available to implement this approach: a€oca€ized parcel tax and a localized general obligation band. 2L,) Localized Parcel Tax Options for implementing this mechanism would be identical in implementation to option 2C(County-wide Parcel Tax). 2F.) Localized General Obligation Band The County has the authority to issue general obligation bonds that are restricted to designated County Service Areas. The process for creating such County Service Areas is briefly described in option 2C (County-wide parcel tax). .Features of a localized general obligation bond are identical to those described of a County-wide general obligation.bond (Option 2D). 3e Development Fees Section 66003 of the State of California Government Code authorizes development impact fees and defines the circumstances under which they can be legally collected and spent. Such fees have been and can be used to fund the acquisition of open space. However, exaction and use of such fees is subject to specific state and federal regulations. New legislation and court rulings, such as that in Nollan v. California Coastal Commission handed down by the U.S. Supreme Court in 1987, have required increasingly strict demonstration of nexus between the fee and its purpose. Funding mechanisms which involve development impact or mitigation fees should be carefully examined before enactment to ensure legality. Five options are discussed below. 3A. Collection of Development Impact Fees and Dedications on a Project-by-Project Basis Development rights or fee title to open space and agricultural lands could continue; to be collected by negotiating development impact fees and dedications from new development as a part of the development review process. Such an approach was used as a part of the recently approved proposal to build a golf course on Roddy Manch. Dedications have been more common.in Contra Costa County than the collection of impact fees. Cather areas have favored impact fees, with some of the highest fees being levied in the Livermore area. For example,The Ruby Hills development in south Livermore, a project which included luxury homes, paid $10,000 per unit in open space mitigation. Developments in Contra Costa. County face a different set of economic circumstances (sometimes much different` and 10 different degree of nexus with Tassajara Valley, so this estimated maximum fee may not apply. The amount of funding and/or dedications that could be generated from these sources mould depend on the number of units that will be approved in the near future and the size of the fee or dedication that could be negotiated. Both factors are extremely difficult to estimate. The advantage of this project-by--project approach is that it can be tailored to a particular project and the particular open space needs and assets of the surrounding area. Disadvantages include the inability to coordinate dedications and fees from several projects, and the time and money required to perform this process one project at a time. 313.) Habitat Conservation flan A regional Habitat Conservation Plan.("HCP")provides an endangered species permit for developers and a coordinated system for protecting species by pooling fees and acquiring habitat from willing sellers(fee simple or easements). Regional HCPs are generally prepared by local agencies through an active public involvement process. The H.S.Fish and Wildlife Service is responsible for approving the plan and providing a regional incidental tape permit for species covered by the plan. The terms of the HCP remain in effect even if the status of species covered by it change. HCPs can be expanded in scope to include streamliners permitting for state-listed endangered species, for wetlands fill, for stream bed alterations, and/or other natural resource protection regulations. HCPs can also be linked to other general policy goals such as open space and agricultural protection(agricultural practices typically continue on protected lands). The U.S.Fish.and Wildlife Service and the California.Department of Fish and Game sent a letter to the County and other agencies earlier this year recommending that an HCP be prepared in Nast County. The Board has since authorized staff to continue to examine the advantages and disadvantages of this approach and to identify potential sources of funds to support staff and consultant costs associated with preparing such a plan. Opportunities for including other areas of the County in such an effort could be considered. San Joaquin County is close to approving the San Joaquin County Multi-Species habitat Conservation and Open Space Plan which will provide an endangered species permit for the development of 72,000 acres of habitat(plus 37,000 acres of undeveloped,non--habitat lands) and protect more than 100,000 acres through acquisition. Developers of most types of habitat lands (other than vernal pools) will pay a$1500/acre impact fee. By the end of its 50 year term, the plan is expected to cost approximately$263 million(current dollars). HCPs have the potential to raise significant amounts of money through fees (as well as grants), but the amount of funds is generally proportional to the amount of development. One benefit is the potential to raise acquisition funds cor coordinatedd acquisition program while reducing developers permitting costs. However, developing HCPs can be a time- consuming and contentious process. 11 3C.) Mitigation Bank Funds for open space acquisition in the County could be secured by establishing a mitigation or conservation banks which could sell mitigation credits to developers in other areas. Such banks are established by surveying resources and consulting with the California Department of Fish and Game and the U.S. Dish and Wildlife Service to determine the types of habitat and endangered species mitigation which the bank can support and the number/density of credits which can be sold. Once established,developers seeking mitigation for habitat and endangered species impacts can purchase such mitigation from the bank at a mutually agreed upon price. The development seeking mitigation need not be close to the mitigation bank. Banks may be allowed to accept mitigation from developments as much as forty miles away. Lands protected by the mitigation bank must be placed under permanent conservation easement. Such easements generally preclude development and may constrain land management practices to some extent. Continuing grazing practices would probably be a requirement of such easements. Most mitigation banks are a single property with a single owner who agrees to place the property under easement at the outset. Mitigation banks could be used in the County to recoup funds spent to acquire a property in order to develop more funds to buy additional property. Alternatively,it may be possible to establish a mitigation bank which is simply a land trust or other organization which pools mitigation money and buys easements from willing sellers in a designated area according to protocols developed when the bank was established. A trust could also attempt to negotiate installment purchases with willing land owners which could enable payments to be made as mitigation credits are sold. The American Land Conservancy purchased 650 acres on Pleasanton Ridge in Alameda County,relying on loans for a large portion of the acquisition costs. ALC is in the process of establishing a mitigation bank on the property to recoup their expenditure and repay their loans. Many mitigation buyers have already expressed.interest. Mitigation banks can be attractive because they may obtains funds from developers without requiring the County to impose fees. Mitigation banks can also generate revenues .from public agencies such as Caltrans which have projects throughout the state in need of rniti�ation, a noteworthy option considering the anticipated small magnitude of future development mitigation in the local area. However, further economic analysis is needed to determine what land prices the mitigation market will bear. It should also be noted that establishing such banks is a time-consuming process,and it can require years of effort before funding is received. TRANSFER.OF DEVELOPMENT RIGHTS k"TDRS"l Transfer of development rights or credits systems have been used to achieve conservation goals by allowing property owners with land in areas where increased density is acceptable or desirable to purchase development rights from property owners with land in areas where towner density is desirable. TDR programs can rely solely on market incentives, or they can also be linked with 12 regulations, such as policies restricting development in one area and allowing it in another. The County has a TDR program in the Bethel Island area to encourage off island development,but it may not yet have been used. An active TDR program in Lake Tahoe is currently the subject of a court case. However,before sending the case back to a lower court,the U.S. supreme Court ruled only on a narrow question of standing and refused to rule on the legality of the program. 3D.) Transfer of Development Rights,Agricultural Land.Conversion The County could fund protection of open space and agricultural land in areas where new development is occurring in areas formerly used for agriculture by initiating a TDR program which allows property owners in one area to buy development rights from property owners in another area. Such a program would require a clear definition of baseline development opportunities and protocols to govern all transfers. Transactions could occur directly between property owners or could be facilitated by a trust. The south Livermore Plan includes a number of open space/agricultural policies,including designated growth areas and protection areas, impact fees, and TDR programs. In one program, lands with 100 acre zoning can create 20 acre parcels by agreeing to place the new parcel(s)under an easement which requires vineyards on 75%of the land,restricts building on each parcel to a 2 acre envelope(for 1 house, 1 winery,etc.), and allows up to 3 acres to be bath undeveloped and uncultivated to protect creeks, avoid areas with steep slopes, etc. In a second program within the plan, property owners seeking increased density in a designated receiver area can purchase development credits from property owners in a designated donor area. It has been reported that development rights are currently selling for approximately$60,000 to$70,000 each. The Tahoe Regional Planning Agency{"TECTA"}regulates land use in both the California and Nevada portions of the Lake Tahoe Basin using a complicated TDR program. Under this system,development rights,construction authorizations,and tree clearance rights are bought and sold. TBPA established the following baselines for each tradable credit. 1) each parcel, regardless of size(unless,presumably,of sub-standard size),can develop one house; 2) 300 construction authorizations are issued each year, and 3)tree clearing is limited to 30%of the land area. Lands in stream zones cannot develop,but can sell their development rights. The Tahoe Conservancy facilitates trading most of the credits. 3E. Transfer of Development Rights, In-Fill The County could fund protection of open space and agricultural.land in the Tassajara area by implementing a TDR.program which allows property owners with land suitable for"in- fill"to purchase increased density from property owners in the Tassajara area. A thorough analysis of this concept is needed to determine: a) if it is feasible; and b) what lands might be suitable for in fill development. The primary advantage of this program is that it could fund protection of open space and agriculture while directing growth to areas that are determined to be advantageous. Further research would be required to determine feasibility and funding potential. j:jkopc\osfund.opt 13 ars !�2 bjO 41 ' «ry 411 41 s4�n'y fa�;ggs 41 41 v`a.• G °� _meg L3 a� 70 -0 lid !-z 0 `d p ice-+ K r. G G G '"'` cry cncra va ' ' cry . r b 0 C.J " St CJ L U to z G-s G^ .f, r .- + acS ` w 4-4 C 4 1,21 . v ' �. w c� ars ca CN p s p N 0 U cd O 0 z. cn C7 � � cz c a cd C u1 u. C to o f C T S C -,zi to � o v U � cl cz 0 U ' ' Z J 4 i Cd a � 1,0 02 0 45 cc d iM.. U -ts U r� cn C6 v > � :: 10tea, h, o o .-� * + ev eu rr� t. rd t` ar rn ►. t �. c� ra sd ` bo U U ° U U U U r— ca Uro U s . a ro 1 u rnV , ct, Id U v ; U CJ fu w a � o u o rn cn 0 V) 10 0 vs ° � > b , � U u C1 C, ccS dI `f cg c� fes. t y 5 CC cf y - cfj m CdN Jct � C ,t7 to C p O U ° � cj U •ccz ce `� taw �+` I—W w c0V CIS X U U tJ N t7 c) U � W cis cn Cl) cn ATTACHMENT 2 Sample Funding Scenarios for Some Local Public Funding Sources (rough estimates only) G.O. BOND Net AV in the County= $70.650 billion Annum Tax per Annual Tax .oun T e rr Annual Debt Total $100,000 on a$250K sendo Debt Service Of Assessed V� House $ 50M 20 6% $4.25M 89M $ 6 $15/year $ 50 M 30 6% $3.59m $111M $ 5 $13/year $loom 20 6% $ 8.5 $179M $12 $30/year $1Oom 30 6% $ 7.2M $223M $10 $25/year 1 SOM 20 60,/o $12.8M $268M $18 $45/year $150M 30 6% $10.8M $334M $15 $3 8/year $200M 20 6% $ 17M $358M $24 $60/year $200M 30 6% $ 14M $445M $20 $51/year COUNTY-WADE PARCEL TAX, FLAT (approximately 307,000 taxable parcels in County) $10/parcel=$3.1Mlyear $20/parcet =6.Myear $30/parcel= $9.2M/year $40/parcel= 12M/year COUNTY-WIDE PARCEL TAX,GRADUATED(one sample only, infinite permutations possible) Annual 1=of I!arr.,el Featr Amount #Parcels Rgyenues o Tax Single Family (0-1000 sq. ft.) $ 15 35,553 $ 533,295 Condos, Duplexes (10002000 sq. ft.) $ 20 1.67,619 $3,352,000 (2000-3000 sq. ft.) $ 25 57,688 $1,442,125 (3000+sq.ft.) $ 30 13,546 $ 406,380 Apartments (3 to 12 units) $ 40 5007 $ 200,280 (more than 3 (12 - 59 units) $100 1437 $ 143,700 units) (60 + units) $300 1464 $ 439,200 Commercial (AV<$IM) $ 50 4799 $ 239,950 (AV> $1M) $100 1005 $ 100,500 Industrial (AV< $IM) $ 50' 1489 $ 74,450 (AV> $IM) $100 2011 $ 201,100 Total = ST 1 M SALES TAX INCREASE 1/8 cent increment = $12M/year, 1/4 cent 'increase = $24M1year, 'l2 cent increase=$48M/year J jk0WgoboCid,wpG i40V-09-1998 10-50 31374e8 3137488 P-03/1 199$-.99 TAX BASE CONrRIB ON 16.54` INDUSTRtAL 1.56% LAND 13,39% COMMERCIAL RESIDENTIAL 8.52 1% Attachment 2, continued NOV-09-1998 10.*50 313?488 31 488 P.06o13 1998-99 Parcel Distribution Taxable Parcels = 3063594 1.2�i�Io� Industnial 0.78% Cornme lE 4.�f°�6 Attachment 2, continued 09-Nov-98 7:27 pm Prepared by Paladin Fi. ..;ial Croup 00 Paladin:CC3NTRA-OPENSPAC) Fate I SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS Contra Costa County Open Space CO Bonds 20 Year Term Sources: Bond . Par Amount 100,000,000.00 100,000,000.00 Uses: Project Fund Deposits ACQ 99,750,000.00 Delivery Date Expenses: Cost of Issuance 190,000.00 Underwriter's Discount 50,000.00 7 j�/�j2y{5y(0�,0�0�(0�.�0�(0� 100,000,000.V V Attachment 2, continued 09-Nov-98 7:27 pm dared by Paladin rwancial Coup L 4M0 Paladin.CONTR,A--OPENSPAC) Page 2 BOND DEBT SERVICE Contra Costa County Open Space GO Bonds 20 Year Tenn Annual Period Debt Debt Ending Principal Coupon Interest Service Service 01/01/1999 07/01/1999 3,000,000 3,000,000 01/01/2000 2,500,000 6.000% 310401044 5,500,000 068OJ2000 8,500,000 07/01/2000 2,925,000 2,925,900 01101/2001 2,650,000 6.000% 2,925,000 5,575,000 06/3012001 8,509,000 07/01/2001 2,845,500 2,845,599 01/91/2902 2,810,900 6.000% 2,845,500 5,655,500 06130/2002 8,501,000 07/01/2002 2,761,200 2,761,200 01101/2003 2,980,00.3 6.000% 2,761„200 5,741,200 9613012003 8,502,400 07/01/2003 2,671,890 2,671,800 01/01/2004 3,155,000 6.000% 2,671,800 5,826,800 06/3012004 8,498,600 07/01/2004 2,577,150 2,577,150 01/01/2005 3,345,000 6.000% 2,577,150 5,922.,150 06/3012005 8,499,300 07101/2005 2,476,800 2,476,809 91191/2006 3,545,000 6.000% 2,476,800 6,921,899 96/39/2906 8,498,699 07101/2006 2,370,€50 2,370,450 01/0112007 3,769,000 6.000% 2,370,450 6,130,450 06/30/2007 8,590,900 07/0112007 2,257,650 2,257,650 01/01/2008 3,985,000 6.000% 2,257,650 6,242,650 06/30/2008 8,599,300 07/9192008 2,138,100 2,138,100 01101/2909 4,225,000 6.000% 2,138,100 6,363,100 06130/2009 8,501,209 07/01/2009 2,011,350 2,011,350 9110112919 4,480,009 6.900% 2,011,359 6,491,359 06/34/2019 8,592,790 07/01/2010 1,876,950 1,876,950 01/01/2011 4,745,000 6.000% 1,876,950 6,621,950 96/30/2411 8,498,900 47141/2911 1,734,604 1,734,600 91/41/2412 5,434,009 6.000% 1,734,600 6,764,640 46134/2012 8,499,204 07/9112412 1,583,700 1,583,704 91/41/2413 5,335,000 6.000% 1,583,700 6,918,744 06/30/2013 8,502,400 07/0112013 1,423,650 1,423,650 01/01/2014 5,655,900 6.000% 1,423,650 7,078,650 06/34/2.014 8,502,300 07/01/2014 1,254,494 1,254,449 01/01/2015 5,995,000 6.940% 1,254,004 7,249,000 06130/2015 8,503,000 Attachment 2, continued 09-Nov-98 7:27 pm Prepared by Paladin Fi._ .sial Group � JOO Paladin CCIN T'RA-0PENSPAC) Page 3 BOND DEBT SERVICE Contra Costa County (}pen Space(30 Bonds 20 Year Term Annual Period Debt Debt Ending Principal Coupon Interest Service Service 07/01/2015 1,074,150 1,074,150 01/01/2.016 6,350,000 6.000oJo 1,074,150 7,424,150 06/30/2016 8,498,300 07/01=16 883,650 883,650 01/01/2017 6,735,000 6.0100°Jo 883,650 7,618,650 06/3012017 8,502,300 07/01/2017 681,600 681,600 01/01/2018 7,135,000 6.00Wo 681,600 7,816,600 06/30/2018 8,498,200 07/01/2018 467,550 467,550 01/01/2019 7,565,0020 6.000% 467,550 8,032,550 36/3012019 8,500,100 07/01/2019 240,600 240,600 01/0112020 8,020,000 6000olo 240,600 8,260,600 06/30%202.0 8,501,200 100,000,030 78,510,900 178,510,900 178,510,900 Attachment 2, continued 09-Nov-98 7:31 pm Prepared by Paladin F. tial Group )00 Paladin:CON1`PA-OPENSPAC} Page 1 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS Contra Costa County Open.Space GO Bonds 30 Year Term Sources: Bond Proceeds: Par Amount 100,000,000.00 100,000,000.00 Uses: Project Fund Deposits: ACQ 99,750,000.00 Delivery Date Expenses: Cost of Issuance 190,000.00 Underwriter's Discount 60,000.00 250,000.00 100,000,000.00 Attachment 2, continued -09-Nov-98 7.31 pm Prepared by Paladin._micial Group ,-#_000 Paladin;CONTRA-OPENSPAC) Page 2 BOND DEBT SERVICE Contra Com County Open Space GO Bonds 30 Year Term Annual Period Debt Debt Ending Principal Coupon Interest Service Service 01/01/1999 07/01/1999 3,000,000 3,000,000 01101/2000 1,180,000 6.000r'o 3,000,000 4,180,000 06130/2000 7,180,000 07/01/2000 2,964,600 2,964,600 (3110112.001 1,250,000 6.000% 2,964,600 4,214,600 06/30/2001 7,179,200 07/01/2001 2,927,100 2,927,100 01/01/2002 1,325,000 6.000% 2,927,100 4,252,100 06/30/2002 7,173,200 07/01/2002 2,887,350 2,887,350 01/01/2003 1,405,000 6.000% 2,887,350 4,292,350 06/30/2003 7,179,700 07/01/2003 2,845,2003 2,845,200 01101/2004 1,490,000 6.000©fo 2,845,200 4,335,200 06/30/2004 71180,400 07/01/2004 2,800,500 2,800,500 01/01/2005 1,580,000 6.000% 2,800,500 4,380,500 06/30/2005 7,181,000 07/01/2005 2,753,100 2,753,100 O1/01/2006 1,675,000 6.000°10 2,753,100 4,428,100 06/30/2006 7,181,200 07/01/2006 2,702,850 2,702,850 01/01/2007 1,775,000 6.000% 2,702,850 4,477,850 06/30/2007 7,180,700 07/01/2007 2,649,600 2,649,600 01/01/2008 1,880,000 6.000% 2,649,600 4,529,600 06/30/2008 7,179,200 07/01/2008 2,593,200 2,593,200 01/01/2009 1,990,000 6.000% 2,593,200 4,583,200 06/30/2009 7,176,400 07/01/2009 2,533,500 2,533,500 01/01/2010 2,110,000 6.000% 2,533,500 4,643,500 06/30/2010 7,177,000 07/01/2010 2,470,200 2,470,200 01/01/2011 2,240,{200 6.0001% 2,470,200 4,710,200 06/30/2011 7,180,400 07/01/2011 2,403,000 2,403,000 01101/2012 2,375,000 6.000% 2,403,000 4,778,000 06/30/2012 7,181,000 07/01!2012 2,331,750 2,331,750 01/01/2013 2,515,000 6.000% 2,331,750 4,846,750 06/30/2013 7,178,500 07/01/2013 2,256,300 2,256,300 01/01/2014 2,665,000 6.000% 2,256,300 4,921,300 06/30/2014 7,177,600 07/01/2014 2,176,350 2,176,350 01/01/2015 2,825,000 6.000% 2,176,350 5,001,350 06/30/2015 7,177,700 Attachment 2, continued 09-Nov-98 7:31 pin Prepared by Paladin F. Aal Group ,+00 Paladin.CONIRA-0PENSPAC) page 3 BOND DEBT SERVICE Contra Costa County Open Space GC)Bonds 30 Year Term Annual Period Debt Debt Ending Principal Coupon Interest Service service 0')!0112015 2,091,600 2,091,600 01101/2016 2,995,000 6.000'% 2,091,600 5,086,600 06/3012016 7,178,200 07101/'2016 2,001,750 2,001,750 0110112017 3,175,000 6.000°1a 2,001,750 5,176,750 06/3012017 7,178,500 07/0112017 1,906,500 1,906,500 01/01/2018 3,365,000 6.000% 1,906,500 5,271,500 06/3012018 7,178,000 07/01/2018 1,805,550 1,805,550 01/0112019 3,565,000 6.000% 1,805,550 5,370,550 06/30/2019 7,176,100 07/01/2019 1,698,600 1,698,600 01/01/2020 3,780,000 6.000% 1,698,600 5,478,600 0613012020 7,17 7,200 07/01/2020 1,585,200 1,585,200 31/0112021 4,010,000 6.000% 1,585,200 5,595,200 06/30/2021 7,180,400 07/0112021 1,464,900 1,464,900 O1/01/2022 4,250,000 6.000% 1,464,900 5,714,900 0613012022 7,179,800 0710112022 1,337,400 1,337,400 O1/01/2023 4,505,000 6.000% 1,337,400 5,842,400 06130/2023 7,179,800 07/01/2023 1,202,250 1,202,250 01/0112024 4,775,000 6.000% 1,202,250 5,977,250 06/30/2024 7,179,500 07/0112024 1,059,000 1,059,000 01/01/2025 5,060,000 6.000% 1,059,000 6,119,000 06/3012025 7,178,000 07/01/2025 907,200 907,200 01/0112026 5,365,000 6.000% 907,200 6,272,200 06130/2026 7,179,400 07/01/2026 746,250 746,250 01101/2027 5,685,000 6.000% 746,250 6,431,250 06/30/2027 7,177,500 07/01/2027 575,700 575,700 0110112028 6,030,000 6.000% 575,700 6,605,700 06/30/2028 7,181,400 07101/2028 394,800 394,800 01/01/2029 6,390,000 6.000% 394,800 6,784,800 06/30/2029 7,179,600 07/01/2029 203,100 203,100 31/01/2030 6,770,000 6.000% 203,100 6,973,100 06130/2030 7,176,200 100,000,000 122,548,800 222,548,800 222,548,800 Attachment 2, continued Attachment 3 Sources Barrett, Gordon. Tahoe Regional Planning Agency,personal communication, September 1998. California.Debt and Investment Advisory Commision. California Debt Issuance Primer, April 1998. Chapman,John, East Bay Community Foundation,personal communication, September 1998, Doyle,Robert, Assistant General Manager for Acquisitions and Advance Planning, East Bay Regional Park District,personal communication, September 1998. Economics Research Associates. A Finamial.Analysisfor the A uisition of Qn!p.n Space in the City of San Luis Obispo, 1993. Economics Research Associates.North Livermore{open Space Feasibility Study, 1996 Hansen, Dated. Executive Director, Sonoma County Agricultural Preservation and Open Space District,personal communication, September 1998. Juarez,Lance. City of Oakland, personal communication, September, 1998. Lincoln institute of Land.Policy. ,Land„QonsmgtionDuough Public/Private Partnerships, edited by Eire Endicott, 1993. Mead, Deblyn. United estates Fish and Wildlife Service, personal communication, September 1998. .Merle, Gerald.. Executive Director, Planning and Conservation League,personal communication, September 1998 Orrick, Herrington.&.Sutcliffe. Develo e,_p,.rs' Handbook on Tax-Exempt Financing ire California., 1993 Raymond,Valerie. South Livermore Valley Agricultural Land Trust,personal communication, September 1998. Roselli, Lesley. American Land Conservancy, personal communication, September 1998. Ritz a, Ann.. Interim Community Development Director,City of Albany, personal communication, September 1998. The"frust for Public Land.. On Saving Land, Volume 7, Number 3, May/June 1998. Wilcox, Carl. Department of Fish and Game, personal communication, September 1998. Woodbury,Jahn. Executive Director, Bay Area Open Space Council, personal communication, September 1998. 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I% I:: Supervisor Gayle Uilkema January 26,1999 Contra Costa Board of Supervisors ;:pJ County Administration Building 651 Pine Street, Room 108a Martinez, Ca. 94553-1293 Supervisor Uilkema.: As you are looking at the Future of the Tassajara Valley, please keep in mind its residents. I have been present at a few"adhoc" meetings and came away with no more insight into how the"opera space/ag plan" could and would be funded than when I went in. I am not proposing any project nor am I personally aware of any pending one in this Valley. A point I would like you to consider: I think the fact that the past Board of Supervisors, San Ramon and Danville found no opposition from the Tassajara Valley residents, regarding their approval of the Dougherty Valley Project and others, was based upon the present location of the Urban. Limit Lime. I am sure if the Urban Limit Line had been moved prior, there would have been major opposition for the discharge of the Dougherty Valley Traffic and that of the other projects approved by Danville into the Tassajara Valley. As I mentioned at the last "sAdHoc" meeting: I fthe Urban Limit Line is now going to be changed, after approval has been gained for the additional traffic flows into Tassajara, then that exit traffic and roads should now be disallowed. At the time of the Dougherty Valley project I felt that some Tassajara development would follow, as improvements would be needed, and that was the trade-off for the support and approval of "Dougherty." If we are still talking of "regional planning," I feel we must keep in mind that the current developments in North Livermore, and East Dublin were also approved with consideration to the location of our county's present Urbana Limit fine. No matter how we feel personally, some projects are needed in the Tassajara Valley to subsidize the road, and drain-sewer improvements. They do not have to be the 5,000 home versions. But they should be of adequate size to cover some school improvement, much-needed sportsparks and trails etc. Coupled with this limited development, I would think that an ease in the current zoning/housing density could encourage ranchette settings. (Example-only: large 200 acre parcels zoned to one house per 20 acres, small 5 acre parcels to 2.5 etc.) You must remember that the availability of water and septic will ultimately limit what can be developed on"ranch property." This combination may be a good mix of limited development, parks,road improvements, and ranchettes(hence"ag-open space'). This also would generate an influx of property tax revenue based upon the current values. Although no one really wants to see massive development as approved by the past Board of Supervisors, some limited development is necessary to provide for the sportsparks and needed road and drain improvements. I can only express my view and that of my fancily. Sincerely Don and Carolyn Foster Tassajara Valley X. RECEIVE /gILLER 1331 NORTH CALIFORNIA BLvD. 'i ,g FIFTH FLOOR ' +Y r. tvz t'.d. Box 8177 � p EAL � WALNUT CREEK, CALIFORNIA 94596 _ A P R C F E S S I O N A I, FACSIMILE (925) 933-4136 LAG' CORPORA,. TELEPHONE (925) 935-9400 - WILSON F.WENDT January 26, 1999 Chairman Joseph Canciamilla and Members of the Board of Supervisors County of Contra Costa County Administration Building 651 Pine Street Martinez, CA Re: Opposition to Piecemeal Adjustment of Urban Limit Line in the Tassaiara Valley Chairman Canciamilla and Honorable Members of the Board: Our office represents a number of separate owners of the property commonly referred to as the Kawar Property, located in the Tassajara Valley. We strongly oppose any isolated,piecemeal review and modification of the urban limit line ("ULL") as is proposed in the Planning Department's January 26, 1999 staff report relating to the recommendations of the Ad Hoc Committee. There is no necessity to reassess or modify the ULL in the Tassajara Valley area at this time. There are no proposals for development in the areas which would be affected by the ULL modification and the property owners have indicated voluntarily that they will not submit any such applications in the foreseeable future. The proposed ULL adjustment would subject the County to significant risks in litigation; would cost much more than the $365,000 to $410,004 estimated in the staff report and would violate good planning procedures and the provisions of the General Plan. A. The Proposed Modification is a"Piecemeal" Approach to Planning Which Violates Good Planning Practices and the Provisions of 1990 Measure C and the Contra Costa Countv General Plan: The issue of the entire urban limit line should be studied along with the effect of its modification upon the other elements of the General Plan. Case law requires that an effective General Plan have not only vertical consistency(consistency with the Zoning Ordinance) but also horizontal consistency (consistency with its various elements). To simply pick out a small area of the county and attempt to adjust the ULL in a vacuum presents potential conflicts with the Land Use Element, Growth Management Element, Housing Element, Transportation and Circulation Element and other possible policies and goals of the General Plan. FITA\36176\314006.1 # W A L N J T C R E F K M E N L 0 P A R K S A C R A hI 9 N T 0 Chairman Joseph Canciamilla and Members of the Board of Supervisors January 26, 1999 Page 2 Policy 3-r of the Land Use Element requires the performance of five-year periodic reviews to determine whether changes in the ULL are warranted pursuant to the Land Use Element and Measure C. Section 4B(7) of 1990 Measure C provides that the ULL may be modified by a four-fifths vote of the Board after the performance of the five-year periodic reviews has determined, "based on the criteria and factors for establishing the ULL" set out in the Measure and it is determined that new information is available or circumstances have occurred that warrant a change. The criteria to be considered in determining whether a modification is appropriate are set out in Section 4B(3) and include whether the land is Class I or II Soil; open space parks and other recreation area needs, whether the land has slopes in excess of 26%; whether the land contains wetlands or constitutes other areas not appropriate for urban growth because of physical unsuitability for development, unstable geological conditions, inadequate water availability, lack of appropriate infrastructure, distance from existing development, likelihood of substantial environmental damage or substantial injury to fish or wildlife or their habitat. Thus, any move to adjust the ULL requires the performance of the five-year periodic reviews which, by definition, must focus upon the ULL in its entirety. Not only does the Ad Hoc Committee Report suggest a piecemeal approach in the Tassajara Valley, but also it explicitly acknowledges that another piecemeal approach will be addressed later this year in East County. The General Plan is a well thought out and integrated document. The ULL designation was established after the adoption by the voters of 1990 Measure C as an initiative measure. The Board should not attempt a major revision of the urban limit line in the Tassajara Valley or anywhere else without considering the integrity of the entire ULL and the planning concepts associated with it. B. The Cost of the ULL Study and the Adoption of the Modification Will Be Two or Three Times Greater Than Estimated. The Staff Report estimates that the environmental analysis for the ULL study will cost approximately $200,000 and that staff time will cost between$165,000 and $210,000. This is a ridiculously low estimate and the actual cost to the County of attempting this piecemeal modification will be well in excess of$1,000,000. The EIR will not include a consideration of the East County modifications which will require their own separate EIR when and if they are put forward. Thus, no economy of scale will be possible but instead two separate EIRs, each costing perhaps $300,000 to $400,000 will probably be necessary. This issue will generate enormous public comment. Staff time will be significantly higher than estimated and the staff estimate does not even include litigation expenses which will inevitably flow from the adoption of the ULL amendment. .V'OL'E OF THIS EXPENSE IS NECESSARY. THE NEXT FIVE-YEAR REVIEW OF THE ULL SHOULD TAKE PLACE IN 2000 AND THE ENTIRE GENERAL PLAN MUST BE REVIEWED IN 2005, ITS TERMINATION DATE. FOLLOWING THAT AN ORDERLY AND THOUGHTFUL CONSIDERATION OF THE ENTIRE ULL CAN TAKE PLACE. NONE OF THE PROPERTY OWNERS IN THE AREA LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED HAVE INDICATED THAT THEY ARE IN A POSITION TO GO FORWARD FITA\36176\314066.I Chairman Joseph Canciamilla and Members of the Board of Supervisors January 26, 1999 Page 3 WITH DEVELOPMENT ONT THEIR PROPERTY FOR YEARS. THEREFORE, WHY IS IT NECESSARY TO WASTE PUBLIC FUNDS AT THIS TIME? C. If the Study Is To Go Forward It Should Go Forward As the Periodic Five-Year Study Rewired By the General Plan and Any Preferred Alternatives or Choices Between ULL Locations Should Take Place Only After the Completion of the Study: The General Plan clearly requires that the periodic review take place before there is any attempt by the Board to select the location for a modified ULL. The Staff Report suggests the choice of a preferred location for the line with the designation of one or more alternate locations to be studied (apparently at a program level) in the EIR as alternatives. This is not appropriate pursuant to the procedures spelled out in the General Plan and is not something which should be undertaken by the Board. All of the issues relating to the ULL in the entire county should be studied and only then should recommendations be arrived at as to modifications in any particular area. Conclusion: The Board apparently feels a necessity to make a strong "no growth" statement. Such a statement is not necessary. The property owners are not proposing to develop in this area and the realization is that any development will be years in the future and will require unique and creative development scenarios in order to gain approval. As will be pointed out at the public hearing by Richard T. Loewke,the piecemeal ULL adjustment is counter to all good planning concepts and practices. It will severely hinder and impair the ability to provide necessary transportation facilities currently shown in the transportation and circulation element. We urge you to direct staff to perform the five-year periodic study of the entire ULL required under the General Plan and do nothing as to the establishment of a modified ULL in the Tassajara Valley. Very truly yours, MILLER, STARR& REGALIA Wilson F. Wendt WFW:jj VITA\36176\314006.1 e&-(A 11Z,1,1+1 .rc � E AN LIMIT LINE - WATERSHED BOUNDARY, _ ..._ FACTS IN BRIEF � lerttd ay to provide some background on the physical nature of the area that might add some good planning information to your discussion Current proposal affects three different areas and asks three different questions. 1 j Area outside of current Urban Limit Line 2) .Area within the Tassajara Creek Watershed 3) Area within the Alamo Creek Watershed Demonstrate the aspects of the physical nature of the area which dictate a logic of separation and good planning sense Logical and natural boundaries make the most planning sense Original Urban Limit Line was based on the use of a ridgeline The area being discussed is really three significantly different areas divided by two ridgelines Need for a buffer between changes in use is best provided by a ridgeline because it stands as a never-to-change natural feature Currently the eastern boundaries of all of the involved agencies makes a north-south line along the ridgeline or watershed boundary as shown on the exhibit Both Danville and San Ramon saw the wisdom of separate planning within each watershed Danville's and San Damon's policies on this matter were stated to the County in their letters dated October 23 and October 24, 1935 when they asked the County to "use good, sound land use planning principles" and indicated their support for the study of an area entitled Option 3 or 3A, stating that "(Option 3 or 3A represents a potential study area of sufficient size that logical and reasonable comprehensive planning can still be achieved". Option 3A made sense then and it makes sense now U I -- .,s LLI Ly. jv �v t lu Re t� y 4 4 44 ■M } fi� KEW IN f t Y tl J � 163M 30VNIVUO 3P M3AUS �: ...,1St.`' ; �- •: .: '�, � � ff• �'i: Ad. : S¢ F a f` .r.> _: ?....' -., .. ' � g,-+ '�. l�� ....::.:. :5:1:' r.;'N!.;f::ay"•'•f" :: ::�i`a; �a. ? f � k w " r. : ' w $$ k { E v f " , {r{. oo . X YtF. c i E i e E G E E E E E } £ REQUEST TO SPEAK FORK � {'SEL (3) MINUTE LIMIT) Complete this form and place it in the box near the speakers' rostrum before addressing the Board. =x Phone: 1 v_ / . City: a r Address: 4 r r i i I am speaking for myself or organization: tntm o4 orwizstion! CHECK ONE: I wish to speak on Agenda Item # IyDate:' AVL_L6/01ff my comments will be: general for against I wish to speak on the subject of ' 1 do not wish to speak but leave these comments for the Beard to consider: F s ''r r .n I J r- l: REQUEST TO SPEAK FORMAY J (THREE (3) MINUTE LIMIT) Complete this form and place it in the box near the speakers' rostrum before addressing the Board. Name: phone Address: city: I am speaking for myself or organizations (nom of organization) CHECK ONE: _ I wish to speak on Agenda Item # date: My comments will be: general for against _-- I wish to speak on the subject of . I too not wish to speak but leave these comments for the Board to considers t 10k x REQUEST TO SPEAK FORM (THREE (3) MINUTE LIMIT) Complete this farm and place it in the box near the speakers' rostrum before addressing the Board. Names �' if V , ! 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Name: � � � � Phone: Address: City: -Z I am speaking for myself or organization: to of orgenfzatton) CHECK ONE: k I wish to spear on Agenda Item # Date: My comments will be. general4fo _° against I wish to speak on the subject of I do not wish to speak but leave these comments for the Board to consider: d pi 41' ✓ " '-�V 46w SPEAKERS 1. Deposit the "Request to Speak" form Con the reverse side) in the box next to the speaker' s microphone before your agenda item is to be considered. 3 . You will be called on to make your presentation. Please speak into the microphone at the podium. 3 . Begin by stating your name and address and whether you are speaking for yourself or as the representative of an organization. 4 . sive the Clerk a copy of your presentation or support documentation if available before speaking. S. .Limit your presentation to three minutes . ,Avoid repeating comments made by previous speakers. (The Chair may limit length of presentations so all persons may be heard) . SPEAKERS OW 1. Deposit the "Request to Speak" form (on the reverse side) in the box next to the speaker's microphone before your agenda item is to be considered. 2. You will be called on to snake your presentation. Please speak into the microphone at the podium. 3. Begin by stating your name and address and whether you are speaking for yourself or as the representative of an organization. 4. Give the Clerk a copy of your presentation or support documentation if available before speaking. 5. Limit your presentation to three minutoss. Avoid repeating comments made by previous speakers. (The Chair may limit length of presentations so all persons may be heard) . Request tForm ( THREE ) MINUTE LIMIT) Complete Otis fpm and ptace ft In the box near dw weakeW before addressing the Bim. Name: IKOeLi 0(. yy r� I am spent for mysdf or OWW Cant EMONS f , f wish to Weak an Agenda Ran #,�..�. My conunwits will bwRenew .,.�,Jbr..Agd -...e,..- ishwto Weak an the t r rwrr�wrrrwnt..rrr�r�r �n-"'�r�+# 4 t do not wish to speak but leave tfr se %clUmcnil silif '51rrents for the BOW to consider ,..a_; �` C �.? ° jf°,,�,/`:fi��,y. ...-;'�.f i<`'f✓<r.- ..:'i .., t .'� .. r. ,� o .moi. .r` "'f .'•y.. !'". „f # f RZQUE T TO SPEAK YORK ' (THREE (3) MINUTE LIXIT) complete this form and place it in the box near the speakers' rostrum before addressing the Board. Phone: Name: city: Address: I am speaking for myself or organization: ;nom of orssnization> CHECK ONE: I wish to speak on Agenda Item # Date: My comments will be: general for against I wish to speak on the subject of -f I do not wish to speak but leave these comments for the Board to consider: SPEAKERS I . Deposit the "Request to Speak' form (on the reverse side) in the box next to the speaker's microphone before your agenda item is to be considered. 2 . You will be called on to make your presentation. Please speak into, the microphone at the podium. 3 . Begin by statim your name and address and whether you are speaking for yourself or as the representative of an organization. 4 . Give the Clerk a copy of your presentation or support documentation if available before speaking. S. .Limit your presentation' to thar** ssinutes . Avoid repeating comments made by previous speakers. (The Chair may limit length of presentations so all persons may be board) . SPEAKERS 1. Deposit the "Request to Speak" form (on the reverse side) in the box next to the speaker's microphone before your agenda item is to be considered. 2. you will be called on to make your presentation. - Please speak into the microphone at the podium. 3. Begin by stating your name and address and whether you are speaking for yourself or as the representative of an organization. 4 . Give the Clerk a copy of your presentation or support documentation if available before speaking. 5. Limit your presentation to three Minutes. Avoid repeating comments made by previous speakers. (The Chair may limit length of presentations so all persons may be heard) . ............................. ................................................................. .................................................................................................. ..............._.................._................................................................._....._ ............................. ..........-- ... ......................... _ ............... ................................. ....... ........_ _ .................................................._.__ ........................................................................................... .. ........................................................... 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This would result in an additional approximately 4,513 acres outside the ULL. B. In addition to the adjustment of the ULL identified as "Tassajara #2 on Exhibit B which would result in approximately 3,927 additional acres outside the ULL by adjusting the line westward to follow the San Ramon Sphere: and northward along the watershed boundary, Supervisor Canciamilla recommends "Tassajara 03" as identified on Exhibit B. This proposal would move the ULL to the western edge of Camino Tassajara from the eastern border of the Blackhawk Planned Unit Development south to the Alameda County Lige, resulting in an additional approximately 2,114 acres outside the ULL. C. include both Recommendation #3A and #3B as alternatives to be equally studied. For the purposes of the CBQA environmental analysis, assuming this option is selected, now or in a timely manner, identify which option is the proposed project and which is the alternative. 4. CONSIDER addressing potential East County ULL changes as follows A. Include an adjustment of the ULL in the vicinity of the East County Airport in Byron to reflect the acquisition of such of the area inside the ULL for habitat mitigation in connection with the development of the. airport. The precise identification of the ULL change should be deferred pending the conclusion of the Airport Land Use Plan by the Airport Land Use Commission. That planning ef'f'ort is expected to conclude in late 1999. B. If the cities in East County' have agreed to participate in the development of a Strategic Plan for East County, defer the identification of specific ULL changes until July 1, 1999 which is the deadline for the conclusion of that process. If the cities have not agreed to participate, Supervisor Canciamilla may have proposed ULL changes for inclusion. 5. ADOPT the following recommendations related to Agriculture and open Space Preservation: A. AFFIRM that policy direction supporting funding mechanisms for open space acquisition is adequately provided for in the Open Space Element of the County General Plan; B. AFFIRM that the Board should continue to seep funding for agriculture and open, space preservation from available sources; and C. REFER to the Finance Committee for additional study and recommendations the issue of funding for agriculture and open space preservation. $. ADOPT the following recommendations related to the December 4, 1998 "Incentives for Affordable Mousing/Infill. Development" report from the Community Development Department Deputy Director for Redevelopments A. SUPPORT the Smart Growth principles of the California 3 Futures Network and the California. Local Government Commission; B. CONTINUE TO SUPPORT and work with the Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development, the Bay Area Council, and ABAG in the development of sustainable development principles for the region; C. ENDORSE the inclusion of affordable units in CDBG/HOME financed projects targeted to extremely low income households, subject to financial constraints and local policy issues. D. REFER to the Finance Committee for study and recommendation to the Board the December 4, 1995 "Incentives for Affordable Housing/Infill Development" report prepared by the County :Redevelopment Agency. E. REFER to the City/County Relations Committee for inclusion in their discussion of strategies the following items from the December 4, 1995 report. 1. Permit streamlining via a County-wide P-1 rezoning program within the urban limit line; 2 . Reviewing minimum allowable densities for residential projects in appropriate areas (transit hubs, higher density land use areas, newer services, etc. ) ; 3 . Infill., redevelopment and mixed-use strategies; and 4. Work force development/economic development. 7. SOLICIT input from the Mayors Conference and from each city located in the County on Recommendations #1 through #3 above. 8 . DIRECT Community Development Department, in consultation with the Office of County Counsel, to submit to the Board by March 9, 1999, a report evaluating available options to discourage . approved projects from proceeding, including declining to approve extensions of subdivision maps. 9. DIRECT the County Administrator's office and the Community Development Department to return to the Board by March 9, 1999 a fiscal impact analysis. lo. ESTABLISH July 1, 1999 as the deadline for all referrals and reports to return to the Board, unless otherwise specified herein. 11. DIRECT the Community Development Department to coordinate with each Supervisor to conduct an evening public workshop in each supervisorial district to encourage public understanding and participation in the ULL review process. The purpose of the workshops would be to explain the actions of the Board, to describe the planning process and to solicit public comments. 1 . DETERMINE that this report concludes the work of the Ad Hoc Committee. °T T .IM12ACT This preliminary analysis of fiscal impact has beep► prepared by staff. The Ad Hoc committee recommends a complete analysis be conducted by the county Administrator's office and returned to the Board for further consideration. The fiscal cost of conducting a General Flan study for an Urban Limit Line change is substantially affected by the manner in which 4 the program is implemented, as well as the outcome of the East County Strategic Planning process. If the Board elects to conduct several public workshops followed by a staff level planning process, fairly reasonable program casts can be maintained.. The most significant cast for this type of effort will be the cast paid to a consulting firm for the preparation of an environmental impact report (assuming that an EIR is the proper environmental document) . Although the General Plan study is early in the planning stage, the Beard could assume environmental review costs of between $200,000 and $275, 000 depending on the final scope of the project and the number of comments received on the Draft EIR. Staff costs wound range from approximately $155, 000 to $210,000 for an 18 month planning program. This estimate assumes the involvement of the County Counsel's office, the Community Development Transportation Division, the Community Development Graphics unit and additional clerical support. The $165,000 cast estimate assumes one halftime senior planner for twelve months, and a one-quarter time senior planner for an additional six months. The high end of the cost roughly provides for an additional half-time senior planner for one year. These estimates also assume some staff support to the Finance Committee during their consideration of funding issues for agriculture and open space preservation (refer to Recommendation 5C) . This information could be refined once the East County Strategic Planning process is complete and any potential ULL changes in the East County area are identified. These more firm cast estimates could be prepared for the Board as part of the reports to be returned by July 1, 1999. DI CUSSIQX On October 13 , 1998, the Board established an Ad Roc Committee to consider the scope and process of a comprehensive planning and environmental review program addressing agricultural preservation, open space protection, a General Plan review and an Urban Limit Line change. On January 5, 1999, the Board referred to the Committee issues relating to affordable housing and infill development as recommended by the Finance Committee. The Ad Roc Committee held public meetings on November 2, 1998, November 15, 1998, December 7, 1998 and January 11, 1999. The Committee received substantial public testimony and each of the Committee meetings was well attended. A complete list of the public meetings held during this process, as well as those meetings held during the consideration of the Agricultural Preservation Agreement is attached as Exhibit C. General Plan/ roan Limit Line Re - The Committee received reports from staff addressing the preparation of the existing County General Plan and the current status of transportation projects. As shown on Exhibit D ("Projected Traffic and Capacity by Year 2018") , increases in traffic volumes will clearly overwhelm transportation improvements. The residential work force will continue to commute hong distances to their jobs as most new housing is built far from job centers. It is clear that the continuance of existing transportation and growth management strategies are not sufficient. The recommendations listed above establish a process by which the County can begin the much needed review of the Urban Limit Line while allowing any consensus resulting from the East County Strategic Planning process to be incorporated into the Urban Limit Line study. The participation of each of the cities is vital to the success of this effort. 2 , 5 gr i g ltura and Open Pmesermat i on The Committee received reports from private agricultural and open space conservation groups including the American Farmland Trust and the. American Land Conservancy. In addition, there was significant public testimony related to continued agricultural uses particularly in the Tassajara Valley area,. The Committee also received an updated report from the Community Development Department evaluating options for funding the acquisition and protection of agricultural land and open space land in the County. This November 12, 1998 report is attached as Exhibit E. The Committee determined that there is sufficient policy text in the County General Flan to allow for a funding program for the preservation of agriculture and open space. Evaluating the funding options, as detailed in the Community Development Department's November 12th report, should be referred to the Finance Committee for study and final recommendation to the. Board. The Board referred to the Committee several issues raised in the December 4, 1998 "Incentives for Affordable Mousing/Infill Development" report prepared by the Redevelopment Agency (refer to page 5 of Exhibit F) . The. Committee recommends that the Board endorse and support several of the referral items (refer to Recommendations 6A, 6B and 6C) . The Committee also recommends the referral to the City/County Relations Committee of additional infill development and economic development issues (refer to Recommendation 6E) . Finally, the Committee recommends that the report be referred to the Finance Committee for further study (refer to Recommendation 6D) . ADDENDUM TO ITEM DA Agenda January 26, 1999 On this date,the Beard of Supervisors considered the attached report from the Ad Hoc Committee. Bennis Barry, Community Development Department Director,presented the staff report including Attachment.A, a Memorandum for Process for Report of the ad Hoc Committee, and.Exhibit,A, the Urban Limit Line (ULL) modifications suggested for study. Catherine Kutsuris, Community Development Deputy Director,referred to several documents;Attachment B, the]Mobility Issues of the General Plan.; .Exhibit B,detailed maps o,f Urban Limit Linc Modification Proposals;Exhibit C, Report of public meetings relative to the issues; and Exhibit D,Projected Traffic and Capacity. John Kopchik, Community:Development staff, expanded on the reports and referred to .Exhibit E, Options for Funding the Acquisition and Protection of Open Space and .agricultural Land in Contra Costa County. Jim Kennedy, Deputy Director—Redevelopment Agency,was in attendance and commented on infill development. Bob McCleary and Martin Engelmann, of the Contra Costa Transportation Authority, presented a report and slide presentation entitled,Looking to the Future, Challenges and Issues of the 2000 Update. They also provided a draft copy of the Traffic Outlook Summary, a one page report on traffic impacts. Dennis Barry advised the Board that Exhibit F,Incentives for.Affordable Housing/Infill Development,is a report regarding housing, infill development and `smart growth' strategies for the future. Supervisors Gerber and Canciamilla,Ad Hoc Committee members, discussed the Committee's recommendations. The public hearing was opened and the following people presented testimony: Sharon Brown,919 Road 20, San Pablo; Millie Greenberg, Vice-Mayor, Town of Danville, 674 Sheri Lane,Danville; Newell Arnerich,Mayor,Town of Danville, 1608 Fountain Springs Circle, Danville; David Marshall, Bay Area Air Quality Mgrnt. District, 939 Ellis Street, San Francisco; Phyllis Roff, 2893 San Carlos Drive, Walnut Creek; John Chapman, 671 Clipper Hill Road,Danville; Don Foster, 8501 Camino Tassajara Road, Danville; Robert Ingalls, 3147 Riviera Way, San Ramon; Roberta Schwartz, 1405 Fountain Springs Circle,Danville; Peter]Duncan, 112 Roble Road,Walnut Creek; Mark V. Connally, 121 E. 11th Street, Tracy; Edmund O'Shea, 520 Clearbrook Drive, Concord; Carol Gribbon, 611 Pine Creek Road, Walnut Creek; Brent Parker, 5500 Highland Road,Pleasanton; Stephanie McFarland, 4111 Creekpoint Court, Danville; William Falik,Esq.,represents Kawar and Sharps property owners; Richard Loweke, represents Kawar property owners; Wilson Wendt, Esq.,1331 No. California Blvd., represents Nawar property owners; Clarence Gribbon, TCCPR, 611 Pine Creek, Walnut Creek; Gordon Rasmussen, 6000 Highland Road, Pleasanton; Judie Brown, 7101 Camino Tassajara,Pleasanton; 1 Jim Black, 350 2nd Street,No.7, Less Altos; David McCord, 725 Kearney Street, Apt. 1, El Cerrito; Robert Duchi, 1440 Maria Lane,dk Associates,Inc., Walnut Creek; Jeff Wiedeman, 6995 Highland Road, Pleasanton; Robert Doyle, East Bay Regional Parks, 2950 Peralta Oaks Ceurt,Oakland; Sander LaViolette, 2305 Norris Canyon Road, San Ramon; Rachel Petersen, Urban Ecology,405 10 Street, Oakland; Stuart Cohen, Bay Area Transportation Choices Forum, 1715 Delaware Street, Berkeley; Mike Daley, Sierra Club San Francisco Bay Chapter,Everett Street, El Cerrito; Tom Mooers,Greenbelt Alliance, 1372 N. Main Street,No.203,Walnut Creek; Seth Adams, Save Mount Diablo, P.O. Box 5376, Walnut Creek; Kim Brandt, 180 Oakvue Road,Pleasant Hill; Jim Blickenstaff,Preserve Area.Ridgelands Committee, San Ramon; Peggy Shafer, 1250 Country Lane,Tassajara Valley; Thomas Lehnert, 340 Paraiso Drive, Danville; Del Olsen, 957 Alfred Avenue, Walnut Creek. The following people did not comment,but submitted comment cards: Joyce Laird, 864 Sibert Court,Lafayette; Paula Evangelou, 1025 Lamour Lane, Walnut Creek; Steve Evangelou, 1025 Lamour Lane, Walnut Creek; Phyllis Caesar,22 San Jose Co.,Walnut Creep; Lori Patotzka, 399 Mission Drive,Pleasanton; David Barnes, San Pablo; Art and Diane Reinstein, 8201 Highland Road, Livermore; John Pereira., 1505 Finley Road; Diane Mittelberger, 3015 Bernard, San Ramon; Jo Ann Schultz, 118 Kingswood Circle, Danville; Lora Warner,4975 Camino Tassajara,Danville; Marcus O'Connell, 3206 Esperanza Drive, Concord; Summer and Roxanne Walters, 1217 Skycrest Drive,No.3, Walnut Creek. Following Board discussion, Supervisor Gerber moved that the Board select Tassajara No.1 as the project area with the understanding that Tassajara No.2, as an alternative, would be studied equally in terms of the environmental review of the General Plan. The motion failed for lack of a second. Supervisor Canciamilla suggested that the discussion of the ULL be taken as a separate matter from the full report. The Board members concurred. The Board continued to discuss the issues. Supervisor DeSaulnier moved that on Item No. 3 of the Board Order, the adjustment of the ULL identified as Tassajara No.2,be included in the General Plan Amendment study, as well as Tassajara No.1, and the existing ULL. Supervisor DeSaulnier noted Tassajara No. 3 was eliminated, as suggested by Supervisor Canciamilla. Supervisor Gioia seconded the motion. Following further discussion, the vote on this motion was as follows: AYES: SUPERVISORS GIOIA,UILKEMA,GERBER,DeSAULNIER and CANCIAMILLA NOES: NONE ABSENT: NONE ABSTAIN: NONE The Board continued to discuss the issues. Supervisor Canciamilla clarified the Board's suggested modifications to the Ad Hoc Committee's report. He noted that: Item No. 6, Paragraph D previously read: Refer to the Finance Committee for study and recommendation to the Board the December 4, 1998, "Incentives for Affordable Housing/Infill Development"report prepared by the County Redevelopment Agency. 2 Item No. 6,Paragraph D will now read: Refer to the Finance Committee for study and recommendation to the Board the December 4, 1995, "Incentives for Affordable Housing/Infill Development"report prepared by the County Redevelopment Agency. Upon Completion it will be referred to the.Internal Operations Committee for study and analysis, and then the Finance Committee for an analysis of funding options." Item No. 6,Paragraph P previously had 4 Subparagraphs, add a 5th Paragraph to read: Request an overall Contra Costa County and City coordinated General Plan and Urban Limit Line review. And solicit input from.the Mayor's Conference and from each city located in the County on recommendations contained in this report. Insert a new Item No. 7,to read: Allow an exploration with the cities of Richmond and San Pablo a General Plan/Urban Limit Line review of the El Sobrante Valley planning area. The previous Item No. 7 will now become Item Na. 8,Item No. S will become Item No. 9,etc.. Item No. 9 (formerly item No.S), previously read: Direct Community Development Department,in consultation with the Office of County Counsel,to submit to the Board by March 9, 1999, a report evaluating available options to discourage approved projects from proceeding,including declining to approve extensions of subdivision reaps. New Item No. 9 will now read: Direct Community Development Department, in consultation with the Office of County Counsel, to submit to the Board by March 9, 1999, a report evaluating available options to discourage approved projects from proceeding, as they become subject to discretionary review including adoption of a policy declining to approve extensions of subdivision maps. New Item No. 12 (formerly item No. ii),previously read: Direct the Community Development Department to coordinate with each Supervisor to conduct an evening public workshop in each supervisorial district to encourage public understanding and participation in the ULL review process. The purpose of the workshops would be to explain the actions of the Board, to describe the planning process and to solicit public comments. New item No. 12 will now read, Direct the Community Development Department to coordinate with each Supervisor to conduct an evening public outreach program in each supervisorial district to encourage public understanding and participation in the i.1LLL review process and, to provide the contents of this report. Workshops should be conducted in a way as to maximize public input. Supervisor Gioia moved the report, with the suggested modifications as noted. Supervisor Uilkema seconded the motion. The vote on the motion was as follows: AYES: SUPERVISORS GIOIA,UILKEMA,GERBER,DeSAULNIER and CANCIAMILLA NOES- NONE ABSENT: NONE ABSTAIN; NONE 3 EXHIBIT "Fn CONTRA COSTA COUNTY COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT DATE: December 4, 1998 TO: Internal Operations Committee Supervisor Donna Gerber Supery, jamI,m Rogers FROM: /Intcenti y, e Director-Redevelopment SUBJECT: or Affordable Housing/Infill Development I. Findings: The Internal Operations Committee has been discussing a wide variety of urban development strategies that include the delivery of affordable housing. This discussion is a derivative of a referral from the Board of Supervisors in April of 1997 in which an inclusionary housing program was suggested (Attachment A). In its review, the committee has made findings related to affordable housing inclusionary programs,and transportation/land use issues based on available data and input. A. Affordable Housing Needs (Attachment B): i Over 110,000 households of the County's 315,000 households experience one or more housing needs, i.e. overpay for housing, live in over-crowded conditions, or live in substandard conditions. • The type of affordable housing most in need is for very-low income and extremely-low income households (50% of median income or less and 30% of median income or less respectively). = Recent reports from the Health Department and the Community Development Department regarding long-term strategies to prevent homelessness substantiate that housing is particularly needed at the very low income levels. • Many developments being undertaken by the private sector without financial assistance provide moderate income housing, especially in west and east County. These projects may include new construction or acquisition and/or rehabilitation of existing housing. In limited areas (far East County), the private sector delivers housing affordable to low income households. An inclusionary housing program with an in-lieu fee component would likely generate few units and little revenue for the following reasons: TO: Internal.Operations Committee -2- December 4, 1998 1. Dousing developments with vesting tentative maps or approved development agreements would not be subject to the requirement (CDD advises that almost all housing development occurring in the unincorporated area are covered by approved vesting tentative maps or development agreements); 2. Inclusionary programs generally exempt smaller projects, which would reduce the number of units to which such a program would apply; 3. Over a third of the housing growth in the unincorporated County has occurred in the boundaries of the recently incorporated city of Oakley, and would not be subject to a County requirement; 4. A County inclusionary ordinance would apply only in the unincorporated County, whereas most of the housing growth is occurring in cities. 5. Some new housing being built is affordable at market rents and prices to targeted group,and therefore would not be subject to an in-lieu fee requirement; 6. The County's Community Development Department has been successful in leveraging financial resources to deliver affordable housing to very-low,low and moderate income households;however, the magnitude of funds available is insufficient to fully address identified needs. This lack of funding is the essence of the problem in delivering affordable housing. B. Infill/Smart Growth Strategies Infill strategies represent a resource for the provision of housing {see Attachment Q. • "Smart Growth" strategies are being discussed at the local, regional, state, and national levels. These principles provide a framework for dealing with growth issues in a manner which will enhance housing diversity, environmental quality, and economic development(see Attachments D and E). • Mechanisms that promote smart growth and infill strategies are being employed in limited settings in the County, and may warrant expanded use, including: TO: Internal Operations Committee -3- December 4, 1998 a. P-1 rezoning of entire communities can facilitate growth in infill settings. For example, the North Richmond community-wide P-1 rezoning program includes detailed design/development standards that allow conforming projects to proceed expeditiously. Area-wide P-1 rezoning programs are programmed for Oakley, Bay Point, and Rodeo as implementation of Specific Plans/Redevelopment programs. b. The County could evaluate and review allowable densities in areas suitable for infill development to avoid underutilization of land. C. Encouraging mixed use development promotes sustainable communities with more services in close proximity to residents. The Pleasant Hill BART Station Area,the proposed Bay Point/Pittsburg BART Station Area Specific Plan,the Oakley,Rodeo,and Dougherty Valley Specific Plans provide for mixed use development. The community of Crockett is an example of an historical community that developed as mixed use. d. The CalWorks(Welfare-to-work)initiative has illustrated the lack of congruence between jobs and the lower income population. Bringing jobs and affordable housing into closer proximity is part of the larger workforce development/economic development challenge that CalWorks brings to the County. C. Transportation/Land Use Connection • Traffic congestion has become one of the most challenging and vexing public policy issues. The following conditions exist and contribute to the problem: • Automobile ownership is growing faster than population or jobs; • Commute patterns are becoming increasingly complex and difficult to serve by transit; • Investment in new roads is yielding diminishing returns; Environmental/neighborhood concerns make the siting of new transportation facilities and increased densities problematic; The cost of needed transportation facilities significantly exceeds available funding. TO: Internal Operations Committee -4- December 4, 1998 In response to these challenges, a variety of alternative land use designs have been proposed to reduce urban sprawl, make more efficient use of transportation and infrastructure systems and generally enhance the livability of our communities. These strategies share the common goal of making our communities more environmentally sound and accessible within the current financial, physical and environmental limits. These approaches for creating more livable communities include the following principles: • Opportunities for housing,jobs, shopping, recreation and civic uses should be integrated into community plans; 0 Size and arrange communities so that jobs,housing and other uses are within walking distance of transit stops and each other; • Provide for a well-connected circulation system for pedestrians and bicyclists and organize land uses so they can be served by transit; • Provide for community centers and an ample supply of greenspace/park space; • Accommodate natural areas in community design; I • Organize the regional network of urban places around a regional system of transit that provide a convenient alternative to congested freeways; • Locate regional institutions and services within urban centers; • Avoid piecemeal development on the urban fringe and encourage infill development at higher densities, and redevelopment strategies. A number of initiatives have been proposed that would embody these "Smart Growth" principles. The California Futures Network and the California Local Government Commission Smart Growth principles are included as Attachment D. The Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development is a regional effort involving the Bay Area Council, ABAG, Environmental Community and the Social Equity Community in an effort to develop a Bay Area strategy for sustainable development (Attachment E). Ii. Committee Recommendations A. Measure C Renewal - Sustainable Communities Strategy TO: Internal Operations Committee -5- December 4, 1998 The Internal Operations Committee concluded that the County's goals of increasing affordable housing and providing more-sustainable communities are both achievable. To accomplish both, a comprehensive set of policies that work together to provide incentives and funding for smart development, infill development, affordable housing, and redevelopment is required. A major challenge is locating a funding source to augment existing affordable housing finance initiatives. In 1992,the Board of Supervisors received a report from its Housing Trust Fund Task Force. This task force did an extensive evaluation of new affordable housing funding sources. While the recommendations were not implemented due to the deep recession that set in the early 1990's, the discussion and recommendations are still relevant today (see Attachment F). The Trust Fund Task Force suggested that a major source of potential funding for affordable housing would be through a County-wide general obligation bond program. Because of the 2/3 voter approval required, this mechanism does not appear to be politically feasible. The Measure C Transportation Funding Program included provisions for growth management. The programming of proceeds from the % cent sales tax measure authorized by the voters requires that local jurisdictions incorporate growth management strategies. These growth-management efforts have only been marginally successful. The Measure C Program will be up for renewal in 2008. A continued need to invest in transportation infrastructure is expected to exist. A number of organizations, including the Contra Costa Council and the Contra Costa Economic Partnership have formulated visions for the renewal of Measure C. THE INTERNAL OPERATIONS COMMITTEE HAS RECOMMENDED that a vision for any renewal of Measure C incorporate funding for affordable housing, open space, and smart growth initiatives/projects, along with the funding of road improvement projects that accommodate planned growth. This paradigm may provide for the sustainable communities originally envisioned. The County,utilizing its review of the General Plan, may be in a position of leadership on this topic. B. Referrals to the Ad-Hoc Committee The following additional items are referred to the Ad-Hoc committee on the General Plan: 1. Smart Growth Principles 2. Measure C Renewal with the inclusion of affordable housing finance and park/open space projects 3. Permit streamlining via a County-wide P-1 rezoning program within the urban limit line TO: Internal Operations Committee -6- December 4, 1998 4. Reviewing minimum allowable densities for residential projects in appropriate areas(transit hubs, higher density land use areas,near services, etc.) 5. Infill/redevelopment/mixed-use strategies 6. Work force development/economic development C. Endorse the Smart Growth principles of the California Futures Network and the California Local Government Commission. D. Continue to support and work with the Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development/the Bay Area Council/ABAG in the development of sustainable development principles for the region. E. Endorse the inclusion of affordable units in CDBG/HOME-financed projects targeted to extremely low income households, subject to financial constraints and local policy issues. JKAhb 0998/iO.Mem Contras Costa Ce aty Board of Supcavlsors � 651 Pirke Street Martiner, CA 94353 1 January 24, 1999 .Ret Agtods Itettttt I14:General Man Review Dear Supez'pm: A thorough review ofthe a aCe ty's General plan is urgently needed. Contra Costa County fatc" daunting growth problems thatt acre projected to worsen substantially. Among the problem we faax are woraeoaed traffic congestion,growing imbalances betweenjobs and bousin& loss otopen space, low-tem viabfty of farms and rant g,air'c itY degradation,and pvasible water supply shortages.Ite questions over these`quay of M"i mere aptly be boiled down to a single question: MIM M. . &fQ&ibm-w-amV By reviewing and revising the County's General Plan,you,the Contra Costa Cay Board of Supervisors,will be making decisions that will amt almost a million persons for the years and decades to com Such decision-rig wast not be made in haste:,and should only be considered with maw public retsview.Now is the time to gather anfwvxttion that will be so vital for your a inion--fig„ As such, I ask for you to consider the following: • Perform to environmental impact attsnaatpU on various n limit line(ULL)bou ndarie& It is vitally important that a fiM range of boundaries is assesse&I believe it would be prem sbav to exclude any reaesc able proposals at this time. ft is impossible to determine which wtwn boundaries are most appropriate Without thorough otgective snalysis and public fey. la:addition, it is is>t parative to analyze ULL boundaries in all puts of the shy—xtmjust Tassajam Valley,Far East Cwt'lands in the Cowell Ranch and Myron ams,need review,as does the Pittsburg Hills. 'am may be other areeas worth amalyniing,as well. • Perform meal impact analyses of different paw of growth. R is long past time fbr delve s opmenn prods to be approved without knowing the full fuumcial costs and benefits of stash growth..In addition to the environmental analyses of alternative ULLs, economic analyses am similarly neede A I would fide'taWe:st that fiscal impact statements be required for all fine re developmenst plates. • lb time to reassess development li"agm Centra Cotta County has 100,000 more yr o rlcm than jobs. This is a psert cularly acute problem in East County compounded by an a0cOmPanying lack of transportation infiratstructure.The Til-Valley bias a problem ofvhtnally outlawing affordable housing. It is time to.figure;our hour to fink now hewing development in Contra Costa County to the growth of jobs,the supply of of ordablo housing and transportation improvements. • Cooridinate growth a niot ng,dMereatt county j earisdietions. I believe a larat pan of the growth problem in Contra Costs County is that each jurisdiction maw independent land-use decisions t •�t ss�s-�� DD •8Ci 86 92 uer without regards to what thein neighbors are dams.nis is c unm ly a big.problem in Eastern Contra Costa County where all of the mu nicipa 'ties and the county ahlanving.rode rstely priced single,family detached homes to be built-to the expense of ether laurel The County Can contxvl unrestrained growth in a two-pronged ner_First,JAFCO rales for attatexratian can be anarde sures sarngent.. fid,the County can refuse to provide servics and infinstructure outside ofpre-determined urban service boundar . a Co"dinate growth with other a mntics.contra Creta County can only do so much to control the effects ofgrowth. Sohancn COUntY comaxauterS will cmtm a to fill our fres,and Alameda Comer gets tax dollars with its business pots,auto mails and shopping malls used by our residents, .hoer, as with municipal growth,regional cooperstim in the fom of compatible land-Use pone e.s and ortation infrastructure,along with revenue sharing a wed. w This process must be ars open ars posWWe for the puMc. l suggest that special meetings be held thaocrshout the County iu places Whem growth concerns are most acme,as well as bun areas that might be asked to absorb more growth if allemative,policies are punue d. I believe than you need to hear fromas wide an array ofpeople as possible on these important%stress. I hope that you can takes the time to caWy consider these and other important issues ars you rvvie:w the Contra Cogs County General Placa. hash imtposWon of"c,osmpromis6-lU.s that somehow split the dafferetnce between opposing proposals could and up doing mage hum than good in the long run. Please don't interpret my call for objective AtWysisas as excuse to do nothing. My hope is that such analysis will lead you to conclude that decWvv action to affect Camra Costa County growth is urrgently uereded. To this end, I have your with this quote from Ansis Nin: "And the darer ate Axa the risk it took to remain in a tight bzd goe r Manan the risk it took to blawox. Thank you for your oonsaidezration ofdxw matters. Sin y, Ronald West WO Elmwood Dtive Walnut Cask, CA 94596 Phone 925-943-3334 E-Mait. weit@new.net !� 17i r3 ti/rZ"�YCA' Jar!( UOU 400 :90 66 Sc uer CONSIDER WITH Board of Supervisors Contra-Costa County .... l:=Piny Strast mart t nez, Ce 94553 January la, 1999 Re; Review of Contra Costa County-9 Urban Limit Line As a resident and taxpayer of this County since 1965 1 have frequently wondered why the Governing bodies(locol,County, State, Federal) have not developed population growth criteria becouse it has been very obvious to me that continued growth is an untenable condition unless one is grilling to accept a continued decline in 'quality' of life. This hes been happening In the Son Francisco Bay region based on: increases In auto traffic, decreases to wetlands, etc-,etc.. 5o I was very heartened to lear=n that the CCCo Board of Supervisors decided to review our Urban Limit Line criteria with the intent to curb urban sprawl. At least I We that it is the intent of the C.C.Co Supervisors to develop curbs an urban sprawl_ I r i�ge gtru to support" enactment of an ULL which will establish criteria which will save some of our country size for the hawks, gophers, coyotes ono snakes. Charles M. Fraser cc: Supervisor Mark DeSaul ni er Supervisor, jdn Crtv��9 SupervisorC.O. ililkamte Supervisor J. Canciarnille Supervisor C. Geruer' 'C-M- Fraser 0 406 Marshall give, Walnut Creek, Calif„ 94598 JYRY—.B.:J 1:.+dJ 1 f •.�! ♦Jv.Ye u XF'8 w34Ji\ v: •SiJi�s\ - vsr.r secs .aa.x�v e s cXs. CONSIDER ;(l(++++ps�iiON S DER' rm Y Dew s pervism Gaiw, 1= pleasedtt ft Board of%ipervi to rovie w ft Cis Urban Limit Line to slaw sprawl developmeatt in Cast ft Costs Comity. For yam, sprawl has conte undwAW wid does not adequately proUd C.afifbr 's need for at1riving farm based economy nor the need to protectwildlife oomidon and w6aft wildlarAs. I do not want to me California`s Bedroom CatYtmunitios vow uwbGed. Calms needs housing commutities ftt we vxlnnt and Self sustaizzing with hamcm, apse small bu . and ouftwe guided by an Urb=Flan geaad toward sustainability at every level. Of grmlast obncerti i8 mat the,C o n tm Cosft Water Diatict is ma ated to provide water for gm wtng Qoamiwnties, but is not provided ttte latitude to dish guidelmes the show fiC rdation t p between a growing popul on and a Lnuted supply of municipal water resou t 1! One;po bl+e eaud result will be dw retro of&e peripheral caW issue and the mon ofihe 100,000 acre foot reservoir at Los Vaqueros bw a 1,000,000 arm foot reservoki11 This kind ofa sst:xp is a disaster in 2w making?i! I hoye you will support efforts to figMen$ha ULL, protect Ta&*ata Valley, Cowell Ran* Claytozi RAnch, and The Los Vaqueros Watershed. sincereley7 PeturWeer 535 Ricbmced Street El C arrive,Ca.94530 JfN-19-i9 37:64 P.83 IVE 15 19199 al t RD(3f SUPER"ORS City eL�RKC NRA COS rA Co. January 14, 1999 Supervisor Donna Gerber Supervisor Joe Canciamilla Contra Costa County Board of Supervisors 651 fine Street Martinez, CA 94553 SUBJECT: Ad Hoc Committee's Review of County Land Use Policies Dear Supervisors Gerber and Canciamilla, The City of Walnut Creek supports the efforts of the Ad Hoc Committee of the Board of Supervisors to review County land use policies pertaining to future development and preservation of agricultural land and open space. We urge the Board to work cooperatively with all local agencies and to engage them in the process when reviewing these land use policies. This is an opportunity for the County to coordinate land use policies on a regional basis and to solicit the support of all 18 cities in the process, This regional approach to land use planning within Contra Costa County recognizes that the land use policies within municipal spheres of influence must also be coordinated with the overall goals of the County. Engaging all cities in the review process would ensure that there is a strong commitment to the outcome of the study and to the location of Urban Limit Lines and, perhaps, the pace of-future development. Again, we support the efforts of the Board of Supervisors to review its land use policies and to carefully balance future development with the preservation of open space and agricultural lands. Walnut Creek is prepared to come to the table to assist in your efforts. Sincerely, GWEN REGALIA Mayor P.O. Box 8039 ♦ 1666 North Main Street Walnut Creek, California 94596 ♦ (S 10) 943-5800 4 Printed on Recycled Paper 1 MILLER 1.331 NORTH CALIFORNIA BLVD. FIFTH FLOOR J A TAS p p� P.O. Box $177 '� REGALIXWALNUT CREEK, CALiFo RNIA 94596 �r'ACSIMILE (925) 933-4126 l�}v at A PROFESSIONAL LAW CORPORATION TELEPHONE (925) 935-940#3 �"'"'.'•"""��`.w„•,,,,,,.... WILSON F.WENDY January 26, 1999 Chairman Joseph Canciamilla and Members of the Board of Supervisors County of Contra Costa County Administration Building 651 Pine Street Martinez, CA Re: Opposition to Piecemeal Adjustment of Urban Limit Line in the Tassaiara Valley Chairman Canciamilla and Honorable Members of the Board. Our office represents a number of separate owners of the property commonly referred to as the Kawar Property, located in the Tassajara Valley. We strongly oppose any isolated,piecemeal review and modification of the urban limit line("ULL") as is proposed in the Planning Department's January 26, 1999 staff report relating to the recommendations of the Ad ` Hoc Committee. There is no necessity to reassess or modify the ULL in the Tassajara Valley area at this time. There are no proposals for development in the areas which would be affected by the ULL modification and the property owners have indicated voluntarily that they will not submit any such applications in the foreseeable future. The proposed ULL adjustment would subject the County to significant risks in litigation, would cost much more than.the$365,000 to $410,040 estimated in the staff report and would violate good planning procedures and the provisions of the General Plan. A. The Proposed Modification is a"Piecemeal"Approach to Planning h Violates Good Planning Practices and the Provisions of 1990 Measure C and the Contra Costa County General Plan: The issue of the entire urban limit line should be studied along with the effect of its modification upon the other elements of the General Plan. Case law requires that an effective General Plan have not only vertical consistency(consistency with the Zoning Ordinance)but also horizontal consistency(consistency with its various elements). To simply pick out a small area of the county and attempt to adjust the ULL in a vacuum presents potential conflicts with the Land Use dement, Growth Management Element,Housing Element, Transportation and Circulation Element and other possible policies and goals of the General Plan. 1:ITM-1617b\31400b.i i W A L N U T C R E E K ♦ M E N L 0 P A R 9 i $ A C R A a 9 N T 0 Chairman Joseph Canciamilla and Members of the Board of Supervisors January 26, 1999 Page 2 Policy 3-r of the Land Use Element requires the performance of five-year periodic reviews to determine whether changes in the ULL are warranted pursuant to the Land Use Element and Measure C. Section 48(7) of 1990 Measure C provides that the ULL may be modified by a four-fifths vote of the Board after the performance of the five-year periodic reviews has determined, `based on the criteria and factors for establishing the ULL"set out in the Measure and it is determined that new information is available or circumstances have occurred that warrant a change. The criteria to be considered in determining whether a modification is appropriate are set out in Section 4B(3)and include whether the land is Class I or II Soil; open space parks and other recreation area needs; whether the land has slopes in excess of 26%; whether the land contains wetlands or constitutes other areas not appropriate for urban growth because of physical unsuitability for development,unstable geological conditions, inadequate water availability, lack of appropriate infrastructure, distance from existing development, likelihood of substantial environmental damage or substantial injury to fish or wildlife or their habitat. Thus, any move to adjust the ULL requires the performance of the five-year periodic reviews which, by definition,must focus upon the ULL in its entirety. Not only does the Ad Hoc Committee Report suggest a piecemeal approach in the Tassajara Valley,but also it explicitly acknowledges that another piecemeal approach will be addressed later this year in East County. The General Plan is a well thought out and integrated document. The ULL designation was established after the adoption by the voters of 1990 Measure C as an initiative measure. The Board should not attempt a major revision of the urban limit line in the Tassajara Valley or anywhere else without considering the integrity of the entire ULL and the planning concepts associated with it. B. The Cost of the ULL Study and the Adoration of the Modification Will Be Two or Three Times Greater Than Estimated:' The Staff Report estimates that the environmental analysis for the ULL study will cost approximately$200,000 and that staff time will cost between$165,000 and$210,000. This is a ridiculously low estimate and the actual cost to the County of attempting this piecemeal modification will be well in excess of$1,000,000. The EIR will not include a consideration of the East County modifications which will require their own separate EIR when and if they are put forward. Thus,no economy of scale will be possible but instead two separate EIRs,each costing perhaps$300,000 to $400,000 will probably be necessary. This issue will generate enormous public comment. Staff time will be significantly higher than estimated and the staff estimate does not even include litigation expenses which will inevitably flaw from the adoption of the ULL amendment. NONE OF THIS EXPENSE IS NECESSARY. THE NEXT FIVE-YEAR REVIEW OF THE ULL SHOULD TAKE PLACE IN 2000 AND THE ENTIRE GENERAL PLAN MUST BE REVIEWED IN 2005, ITS TERMINATION BATE. FOLLOWING THAT AN ORDERLY AND THOUGHTFUL CONSIDERATION OF THE ENTIRE ULL CAN TAKE PLACE. NONE OF THE PROPERTY OWNERS IN THE AREA LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED HAVE INDICATED THAT THEY ARE IN A POSITION TO GO FORWARD 1 ITA136176'314006.1 f Chairman Joseph Canciamilla and Members of the Board of Supervisors January 26, 1999 Page 3 WITH DEVELOPMENT ON THEIR PROPERTY FOR YEARS. THEREFORE, WHY IS IT NECESSARY TO WASTE PUBLIC FUNDS AT THIS TIME? C. If the Study Is To Go Forward It Should Go Forward As the Periodic Five-Year Study_R.equired By the General Man and Any Preferred Alternatives or Choices Between ULL Locations Should Take Place Only After the Completion of the Study: The General Plan clearly requires that the periodic review take place before there is any attempt by the Board to select the location for a modified ULL. The Staff Report suggests the choice of a preferred location for the line with the designation of one or more alternate locations to be studied(apparently at a program level) in the EIR as alternatives. This is not appropriate pursuant to the procedures spelled out in the General Plan and is not something which should be undertaken by the Board. All of the issues relating to the ULL in the entire county should be studied and only then should recommendations be arrived at as to modifications in any particular area. Conclusion: The Board apparently feels a necessity to make a strong"no growth" statement. Such a statement is not necessary. The property owners are not proposing to develop in this area and the realization is that any development will be years in the future and will require unique and creative development scenarios in order to gain approval. As will be pointed out at the public hearing by Richard T. Loewke,the piecemeal ULL adjustment is counter to all good planning concepts and practices. It will severely hinder and impair the ability to provide necessary transportation facilities currently shown in the transportation and circulation element. We urge you to direct staff to perform the five-year periodic study of the entire ULL required under the General Plan and do nothing as to the establishment of a modified ULL in the Tassajara Valley. Very truly yours. MILLER, STARR& REGALIA Wilson F. Wendt WFW:jj rITa\36176\314.006.1 January 16, 1999 OM D R W1 M DonmCkwber 309 Diablo Rned Dunnville.CA 94553 Dear Supervisor Gerber, I am very happy to hear that the Contra Costas Board of Supervisors has decided to review the Coma's Urban Limit Line 1'LL)to curb Rare development For too umny years, County officials have approved thousands of new housing units that have sprawled into they countryside,dawAgmg our environment and quality of life. Unfortunately,the County's LILL does not adequately protect our Gratmbeit and had encotuag+ d more sprawl deve3.opment thept ftweat ns to tarn Cont m Coft into L.A.Nor& I pray that you will support oftom to tighter+.the ULL to protect mom threatemed Ault lands, Includiag'rusWars,Valley,Cowell Rawk,Clayton Rwrh,and other East Bay agrivahuml Janda. In edclition,Thope you and your colleagues will work with ftwe developers to not only protect the environment,but also provide substantial(not just*adequate".)park and community ,and,work to minimize the density of fsrtx=housing predects. Unfortunately,I cantiot attend d the,January 26*meeting because I work. Plean accept this letter as a vette for adjust the ULL to protecat our Gkftnbeh lands. Some growth is inevitable,pleases help us keep it in check,for us and our children. Thank you: zAs d none s+elinn n17`117 Candelaro Court Walnut Crack,CA 94599 925-935-8173 Turn P.m CONSIDER WITH_2,,4 West Contra Costa Conservation League _ 1415 Leneve Place, El Cerrito, CA 94534 7--, RECEIVEU JAN 2 0 19909 Jean Sh, President Barbara Vincent, Lice President KQfly Falconer, Secretary E K.BOAR i?�S#PERL1l # "nl�ETA Ct3 00. s Ccrt a Costa Courts Dears i ecr.ie, e, sa e urabiI e to attend the herring to ho-':efu?ly tighten_ the UT L. e Pre cyo,;s *-nat t'ou ?I a e decided ,o 8 tte": a;%t to curb urs-,an SLT._T+:I F`r rsn�7 rears the B,or-rd of Su- ervisors before you a-p-.roved thou ser;Is or. ;ric housinw. Yol� the tray' is is unbeFzrable . f a Contra Costa Trpns'r,crtP ti O? �i t2lor� tZ" r0.1ect',+ thp-t trs.ff sc vy .i increA se, v 2`� f r; 6Fc" P long FiFYuay It in �i�tsb'ur� � tir^es the ].,nes . .5, elomz �whwF _ ir Ant . o-r, in rFr- se slC-C, 1,7pcco Ford and 945f 'on C r nc scs r's , ro ects iri the Tr�.r�J _ � P1T prrrove(I +he -"hells£ w; _. „' s^' [%SrE'7" S_'0v0�-'' 2"E'w 1;'^;. ` or ncusin7. 'ee hore ri v v_:i cu"` n r t Pi"f;yrfS tC) t1 ta Ti-' fir, Tjt Tires to rroO.-e.,t lip F!�] f'-_rr)r -r(-re sr-rP4'.1 i fit � r_� r ce ^F � 8 "'8 {.~t'�r� 110vp'-11 Najrci^'3 �� Prtcr r—rc + e,Y1 P` Fi?",:* C.°`f^P,r ixr', o r t P r.t „�.r,t ,., .�"�.y, �i '''Cere�tr, :,)ePn � '� CONSIDER WITH � iK 13 ARS CSF SUPERVISORS ALg;'z'4TRA COSTA CO. 0 CONSIDER Wff H RECEIVE Bob and Betsy Ela nsran 4W Le0on Court JAN 2 21999 LafjWettet CA%M9 5A SUPERVISORS: 0 SUPERVISORS CONTRA COSTA CO. JURMY 21, 1999 y Donna 309 blo Road ,y Danville,CA 94526 Dear Supm*wr Garber We aced pleased that the Contm Ca aty Hoard of Supervisors has decided d to review they County's Urban Lhn%t Line( d.)to oub fit=sprawl development, We Mve'both been involved in oonwrvatim pvfamonally and psu vomatly, a l=wntmg to u4M you to Wyc carcibi consideration to preserAV the mous Muret areas in Contra Ccs County, For years,County officio have aMoved thmunft of new ht umng=ts that ham spraWied ido the coca rs€de,d&mWng our enrr mment and quality of life. Unfamumataly,the County's ULL does not adeamtely protea our Crept and Ms emouraged amore Vmwl development that threatem to tum Contra Costar too I.A.North. We will low one of Ws CmWs S=tm assets: its spar hills and oven$pace. We hope that you will support eaffirts to tightest the ULL to protect threatmed Greenbelt lands. �T aro Vallety.Cow&Rase, Clayton Par t,ami otheitar l=it Bay agricultural lanais. By doing Ws you will establish a legacy for future Samasti , S` 4-�� Befty Hamm I David H. Weiner CONSIDER WITH 1£35 Sutton Circle Danville, CA 94506 (510) 736-3655 1; January, 1999 . r RECEIVED joe �_anciamliia, boara �_nairmart JAN Donna Gerber,. Supervisor Contra Costa County Board of SupervisorsIERK SClAtt7 OF 8t3PRvlSflRS ��NTRA Cf55TA Ct). F Martinez, CA. Re: "Urban limit line„ As a neignDor anti L.ontra vos ea �,ounzy resiaent i wantea to add my support for the concept of an "Urban limit line" regarding Dougherty Halley. For too long the concept has been growth at any prase. i:ne cost ox growtn rias teen a loss oz lifestyle, congestion and pollution. I moved here for the "semi.-rural" atmosphere, the sense of community, and the great open space areas. Much of this has been taken away with both the sma11 and large scale developments . This needs to Stop. We need an ""urban growth line" to prevent "Los Angeles type sprawl" from happening here. wn-ale a say it neeas to stop a also realize tnat we snoula not take away a persons property rights to develop their Land without Some reasonable compensation of the loss of their rignLs. L:ompensation can taxe mucr, sorra xrom adrect aoij-ar amounts to property tax abatement. It is the fi Dt w #H r r January x0,19 Supervi"Joe,Canciamiila Ch9rman.ContaCosta,Cly Dowd of Supervisos iF JAN ry J 99 hfirthm,CA CLECK BOARD()F SP U 1r� PSTA T' n Its: Bated of Supervisors of Lubarlimit LZae i Daw Chaims m CowinaIM: P The DmvMe Town Cecil supports fife efforts wide bad you mW Supervisor Oerber have matdc as they Board's Ad Hoc Cmmnftee to study m1nonficat cifUrban Izah Litt. Tho Town Coil and staff reviewedhnv ma:the maprosardcd to the Ad I MMOO in prepwrradion f W Your rqPort to the Ball Board sof Superrvitsom cm January 26,15199. Based upon cut twtiew of this informs6an,the Tarot►C;ouacil mpwttially rupwstg that the Board conelder dw follow actions: 1 a Move ftwwd with an EIR ung poteatial chiMM to the Urban Limit Lure. Spoeificafly, the Town uqqwft a fall awdy tis of bath of the fbr the Tassajan Valley "lied out in Dennis Rarry'a staffreport of January 11, 1 . i : Continue to explore all possible mom of 4"the preservadon of avWiultzmal antVatr open space in to Tt ora Vaiky. +� `rtth mspeet to flat Elworthy pWmy low ur;lenvMe, 1he Urban Lime Lure should be drawn cote with the Cous:ty/Town banmdatty. u niy WAff has adrnawiedge d tit.'the Urban Limit L approved by the vola showing ft line the�e rrx#a-As of the T was an hudvertant mid sand sxmtd not be leg&W an . The Town is curtrettt y posing a teat Plan Atr aulment for the pr rty which will blish development lunits on the portion of the Efworttry lady within the Town. � i Thank your again for your ongoing ems. The Town if and maB'look forward to worIft&with the County can this itnpartsrrt prows. F Very truly yours, } TO Iv?ANiiILLlr N I Cc: Board of Supamrisois 4 i t //�ryg� Sio La Gear�� ,� 1740 i CONSIDER WITH 4 tV RECEIVED January 14, 1999 A2 } Supervisor Donna Gerber Uts��C1A�D OF SUPERVISORS Supervisor JoeCanci€tmllles COSTA co. u` Contra Costa County Board of Supervisors 851 Dina Stmt Martinez, CA 54553 SUBJECT: Ad Hoc Committee's 11eyiew of Cot n!y Land Use Policies Dear Supervisors Gerber and Canciamilla, The City of Walnut Creek supports the efforts of the Ad Hoo Committee of the Board sof Supervisors to reviews County land use policies pertaining to future development and preisorvation of agricultural land and open space. We urge the Board to work cooperatively with all local agencies and to engage thew in the process when reviewing these tared use policies. This is an opportunity for they County to coordinates land use policies on a regional basis and to solicit the support of all 1 B cities in the process. This regional approach to land use planning within Contra Costa County recognizes that the land use policies within municipal spheres of influence must also be coordinated with the overall goal's of the County. Engaging all cities in the review process would ensurer that there Is a strong commitment to the outcome of the study and to the location of Urban Limit Lines and, perhaps, the pace of future development. Again, we support the efforts of the Board of Supervisors to reviews its land use policies and to carefully balance future development with the preservation of open space and agricultural lands. Walnut Creak is prepared to comes to the table to assist In your efforts. Sincerely, Mayor P.O; Sox 8039 s 1666 North ids Mn Street * Walnut Creefi, blit nia 94596 * 151 tat 943-SSW iD Wmeed on Recytied Pam m:ry Q tall . . ' FILED' CONSIDER WITH -9,-9 VOW K TR COSTA ORS 3 0 C%- T4 Y>- Ccs L-V a-/P 441..L. - ` rw ii#'r/ +f- A is r� ,i -21-1999 €B:34 RVIS2 UEREER 510 8W 66 `7 Pam tCONSIDEfl WH_QL�L. Supervisor Donna Gerber 319 Diablo Rd. JAN I 1 Danville, CA 94526 CLERK BOARD OF SUPER,VJSORS 3anuary 17th, 1999" CONTRA COST CO. Door Mss. Gerber, I am wrItInp to you to exprus my concern about the future of i_9R6jKZi4F1inds in the Tasasalare Valley. I am glad th6t•you value for a review of the Urban Urnit Lime lack In October, 1998. As a resident of this county for 30 years, I have seen past County administrations approve vast areas for development, often discontinuous, with little thought for the combined negative impacts of these developments on our quality of life: gridhxked traffic, unaffsDrdable housing, on—going threats from dev*lopment to the unique habitats and natural duty of this county. In my opintont the cur- rent lean t.lrnit t.ne Is Inadequate, allowing for too much development. (Just look at East County around Antioch, and proposals such as Cowell f nch.) It is past time to Ignore the rues, as eariler County ftards have done.. Wev- Ing up to"svmeon+e/s omedme in the future"to solve these problems. Opening up the more land 1n theTassajara Valleys to development to only satisfy the short-term fnterests of some 'ranchers'and 'A*griculturists" who would rather raises estates that only the affluent can afford, and growing their own short-tern profit, is Irresponsible planning. I ask you, as a long-time county resident, tax-payer and concerned citizen, to,work to tighten the LILL, and allow nye further expansion of development Into the Tassssajaire Valley. Sincerety yours, Ms. Kate M. Boyle 3642 Pereds Dr. Walnut Cts, CA 94598 r2 P7f•- C.1 1✓✓✓ &3L^aJe✓. - wwa+ "aw aa.ia:-:ri♦ a.a.c l.RS i ✓.a:-cs a/i..as:.zh.+�.-.:.. 7102. a3 Avenue ElCearita,CA 9453 ? CLERK R' CO. ORS ( 10) 232-1136 CO Janes is, 1999 Ivy. Donna Garber 309 Diablo Road Danville, CA 94526 Re: Strap Urban Sprawl Dew Ms. Gess Please strenaffien the County's Urban Limit Line to protect threatened grembelt lends, including`1`as*ars valley,Cowell Ranch,Clayton Ranch and East County agricultural lands and adopt policies that encourage investment in existing cities and towns. We deplore the tluxw ds ofnew housing units that have sprawled into the countryside, damaging our environment and quality of life. Plea help us get a stronger urban limit line. "Tbank you for your leaderrship on this vital.issue. Joan Bartulovich J x 21--1999 0835 alt l 2 GERBER 510 27 P.05 CONSIDER WITH D. 4 VOW AN�w CLERK BOARD OF SUPER"OR'S Mil Schneidmen CONTRA COSTA CO- TELEPHONE M 932$448 E tit's: mil4si ftuno.C:om 2320 Pwwlgan Drive #2_.may 13 Walnut Creek CA 94 595 JANUARY17, 19W, .dear Caunty Stgq wrvi rt Gerber: Great. that dw cown Coda Bcwd of Ssgwtdws deed to rewew the U LL to ewb qwawidevelopmemt For yeam CmmV 41dah ham Wprowd t mwsds of new housing units them gave *rawW vdo the counowde, dwnWJM our qualitry a.f life Unforr~e1y. & Cowmy`s ULL does na adequwely pact our Gmenbelt and has em owgged mw spwl a*ev kVnww flit 0"w ens to ftwnCwwa Crista into LA AbrA I hWevou will sunt efforts to ntghten the ULL, trs project n e threatowd L2M Bay . riculaml 5 Siwerky., ::�a�d&4*wid�an 2320 Ptw7xJgam Dr #2 Was W Creels" CA 94595-3509 9 w t'r i A • �r I� #R 1 � ! ,.l ..1 u w- row. ♦ # — 11�� .'• • �' t : ' : R • M r" ru4sday,Jarniary 2€,1998 911:25 AM To: From:itana Weisman, 926-0435 Fuge.1 of 9 Clary Farber+tftna Weismen 2681t}o Took OrW* WSW geek.GA 846916 traces t 3""9930 ,aAlit*(825)626-04Z qfa s.nW January 25, 1599 Board of Supervisors Contra Cotta County 651 Pins St.Rom ltlb M8rtnne7.94553 RE: GENERAL PLAN REVIEW Mar Supervisors; I am writing to support your efforts to change our couWs land use and transportation policies towards what is becoming known as"sneatt growth". I take"mart growth"to mean not only enactment of strict urban limit lines to preserve open space,but also to build higher density development in existing areas of development,especially those areas that are near,or are slated to become,commercial and public transit corridors. In debating the merits of higher density development,detractors often say that higher density living is not attractive to families. I can tell you from personal experience that in fact sprawl development is not family-friendly. I am a husband and father of two whool-age children. Until diree years ago,we lived in Berkeley. Because lots are relatively small in Berkeley,schools,parks,shops,and transit are much closer together! We could walk tions our home to two differmt commercial shopping sUvats,to BART and to several major bus lines. There is less dependence on carry and a greater sense of community. In central Contra Costa,everything is spread out, This snakes getting around snore dif'f'icult and more time- consuming. it also gives people less options for getting aroused. As far as the benefits of having a large lot -what benefits? Our Walnut Creek property is over twice as large as our Berkeley property was. This does not provide us any more privacy. It only creates more yard work.. The fact is that a third to half acre lot is much larger than most families need,and is to a large degree the reason that development is so spread out. Arc apartments the only option for higher-density residential development? Of course not. Apartments and condominiums are a necessary part of the mix. But families with children prefer to have some private outdoor space. The old-fashioned row-housing style dcvelopment can be attractive and create relatively large private backyards,yet at much higher densities than current typical tract housing. And small private lots can still,accommodate fairly large homes,just without the wastefully large side yards. Another benefit of higher density residential development is that when located near,and in,existing downtown areas, those areas will be strengthened economically,and become more dynamic,commercial areas. Ilene are some benefits of"smart growth"to consider: ■ Land coinservation(ocologically4niportant lands,parks,agricultural land). • Shorter distances between residents,transit,shops,schools.,parr,offices,etc. (i.e. mow convenience). ■ Lower infrastructure costs. • Greater selection of housing types that accommodate more income bels. • Less auto-dependence,resulting in less pollution,more tranit choices and easier commuting. Sincerely, JAN-26-99 TU 9:36 GV CSG FAX NO. 5109397980 P, 02 ` a I January 26, 1999 Board of Supervisors clo Clerk of the Beard 651 Pines Street 0106 Mutinez, CA 94553 Dear Supervisors, I arra writing to you because I am unable to attend the meeting today. I believe Supervisor Gerber's Tate Plan is representative of the feeling of the majority of Contra Costar's in the fallowing 3 ways: We don't need additional subdivisions when there are already thousands ofapproved houses that have yet to be bulla, we don't want out quality of life reduced by the degradation of additional open space with the resulting pollution and tmMc that it causws, and,most importantly, there is no inalienable right or guarantee that a property owner can have their ming changed. We are not in the business of making people like Samir Nawar rich at the detriment of everyone else. The benefits of the majority far outweigh the financial gain of the few. Thecurrent urrent ULL and discussions about possible changes must occur in the evening when the majority of residents can attend. We need to allow all residents the chance to voice their concerns over this issue. I'm enclosing the signatures of Contra Coseta residents from different pests of the county who support eftrts like Supervisor Gerber's to stop urban sprawl and concentrate development in already established urban areas. Sincerely, ,I�e��Op-e— I.oDue 2831 Prayne Lsrie, Conoord, CA 94518 C CA 7E, G 1U."Ida:11ficd- A W"�41anAAOkLIL— -Z -_Oa t � v } r W •i fid'• y 1 f 8. < �. '••� +� � ice/ MR. w •�frr•.��••• a � w i0 LL. 040 u. V .�L E Q a N z .fit... V f j`:r.•. G 0 V44tr e�7iSCh e% 'fit f y 4- v L> 3 N tr V1 e ur JJw v C J I - •6'0 _" J lrW`•: r.7F 1 �. C3 } 5 d 47 .n•. i 1: O a � •:};°;�;:�:�:�:�:is 1• h d i r� z tit � s` •..� tz �a $ n 1 a 4 ! 0 9 � • s� nJ ! D o�� S '.• <iii H m i- O d Z L i p o [ � J '� V t7� •O� O CJ � 6 Z J � •Q O � i� i'-f � � Vi tvri� N 67 z 1 l r � kms•� tl Ul S � F M - �O'1--r-�Z• u C� � 3 R�F�" � i 5 U� CO Sry� v i \ 5 1 j I � f ' WI tl► Y. haw»mx"�FGfrr"}axw`rtf`x' 3• r•��',.'�' •k�a �3�>M d i '� G�R 'x h ✓.+`tt ' �/ qct tl�tt d�'`e '�","^;,x,�i,F��r+h.{{'6 �+.� `}`r t } 4Y ?, G.G :t 3`F} :�dFK Z tt it+.� f}A `a^1 '`4'•:{ '�/�/I'S iii„' ' `tir �+' +4'u 1'3r' °�` �'•`' rS f+.� `�.- a, r�, �:'w.L"� ., t S s}•`r.F+:. •F`,A ax�G �'wc'+ i r N "f{Yx� �„�� 1r�,,�. �`a E� t .- � ar�J �� 5�a -. � - } a K .E^"` ..rESt,�• t*`../yes, =..rr Ea E {^ ` - w' t 3 « y,xr Ni IR W v ( ., * �� '�f C� ii _A��{x� � ��`+��'e�" •�{�*'"^*t"k4��,��wz� �.,.,tip, `�r�xF'�+.. Gtr ^,e �`'+„�.� 'rte�� R ,!�' �1 � ��,�•�* „ , "• 1X }taQa K g /!jy �.�F��4i?F „� �,i *k•'v� {=��¢y �v............ 'tf'�� .�n K'c'`x Y+t'` -a �4 X S '�`w� �.. �atr+^'°� F a a?�'"t•-x�v 11.0111 }> Ar,:t? w,4M 4`2,,ix rykv$ {h }4'1"`{X1 R • �N'S y4`J?T yG n{' � d�`t � �� 5`r.}�u�� . },*•�4r u4' ��r,�'a � a{Fr r} `t*4.� +• �yv ar° r .,r'•, th 2s. .+C '�� x",j;:}3"'1 1�'a +�}} ,� vra vv'�"N''•. �a � ��'" •k+_ � r:,� Qom,. � ,gip. vg.. t EXHIBIT "D" Projected•traffic and capacity � By�'tJ18f road Improvements and edt{itril lanes will be t�dded buf the IncreaseJin rrtotdrists,wr7i likely exceed ttte �3'of the roads. �," , a; C� +rte. a An � 52.1U0 i 97 Projected � •.•� ter+ ,� s�� `T3 ,�_ � € M. percentage ', S3,0 ice'. � • e increase ca 40 Motorists ion tortUve .' Capacity of roads "42 0 q I 584 100... 530 200 Sa mom:C**V Costa 1'ranspada AO"*y JON1 MARTIU/STAr+ ATTACHMENT "A" CONTTtA. COSTA COUNTY == COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT 651 Pine Street, N. Wing - 4th Floor Martinez, CA 94553 Telephone: 335-1290 Fax: 335-1299 TO: Ad Hoc Committee on General Plan Review FROM ennis llll. ar mmunity Development Director DATE: January 11 , 1999 SUBJECT: PROCESS FOR REPORT OF THE AD HOC COMMITTEE This memorandum is intended to provide a framework for the committee to review the work it has completed to date, and to organize its recommendations to the Board of Supervisors in a Committee report to be prepared following the committee's deliberations. Staff has tentatively reserved the Board of Supervisors agenda for January 26, 1999 at 1:00 p.m. for the Board to discuss and consider the committee report. In order for the County to comply with CEQA in the conduct of a General Plan Amendment study, the proposed amendment must be described in sufficient detail that the public and interested agencies and organizations can meaningfully comment on the environmental document. In general, CEQA requires that a project be description be discreet and finite in order that these reviewing and commenting on the analysis are not presented a "moving target." This is not to imply that the analysis of the alternatives in an EIR cannot be performed to the same level of detail as the proposed project. In either case, the proposed project as well as alternatives to the project need to be defined with some degree of specificity. Urban Limit Line Suggested Modifications At the Committee meeting of December 7, 1998, staff outlined four specific changes and two potential changes in the ULL which could be included in a General Plan Amendment Study: Ad Hoc Committee on General Plan Review Process for Report of the Ad Hoc Committee January 11, 1999 Page 2 1. Tassajara Area #1. A westward adjustment generally following the Sphere of Influence lines for the cities of Danville and San Ramon, excluding the area in the Dougherty Valley Specific Plan currently outside the ULL, and extending northward along the eastern edge of the Blackhawk Planned Unit Development. This would result in approximately 4,513 acres being placed outside the ULL. 2. Tassajara Area #2. A westward adjustment following the San Ramon Sphere of Influence boundary and excluding the area in the Dougherty Valley Specific Plan currently outside the ULL, and extending northward along the watershed boundary between the Alamo and Tassajara geek watersheds. This would result in approximately 3,927 acres being placed outside the ULL. 3. The elimination of the ULL around the Clayton Ranch property immediately northeast of the intersection of Marsh Greek Road and Morgan Territory Road. This would result in approximately 1,030 acres bung placed outside the ULL. 4. The elimination of the ULL around the Veale Tract in the East County area. This would result in approximately 1 ,040 acres being placed outside the ULL. 5. The westward movement of the ULL in the town of Danville, to reflect the expiration of the Williamson Act Contract on the Elworthy property, and the location of the area entirely within the Town Limits. 6. The adjustment of the line in the vicinity of the East County Airport in Syron to reflect the acquisition of much of the area inside the ULL for habitat mitigation in connection with the development of the airport. These changes are illustrated on the attached Exhibit. The definitions of the first four changes are discreet enough to perform CEQA analysis. Consultation with the Town of Danville on a precise line movement should be able to be accomplished in a timely fashion through discussion with Town staff, who currently are processing a development application for the property. The East County Airport is currently under study for an Airport Land Use Plan by the Airport Land Use Commission. Staff has suggested that definition of the changes to the Ad Hoc Committee on general Plan Review Process for Report of the Ad Hoc Committee ,January 11, 1999 Page ULL in this location be deferred, pending the outcome of that planning effort, targeted for late 1999. In summary, the first four changes listed would place a total of about 6,523 acres outside the ULL, or 6,037 outside the ULL, depending upon the alternative chosen in the Tassajara area. AgriQubral arid,Qpen space a Ereaery t The Committee has received reports from staff and private agricultural and open space conservation groups, including the American Farmland Trust and the American Land Conservancy. The November 12, 1993 staff report on this subject was designed to provide a very broad description of the funding sources available for the acquisition of open space lands. It is the opinion of staff that utilization of these methods is already provided for in the Open Space Element of the general Plan. If the committee finds it necessary or desirable to expand or reinforce the goals and policies in the General Plan (pp.9-4,9•-5), or to specify particular implementation methods in the Plan, the committee should recommend that the Board direct staff to incorporate its recommendations from the staff report into the amendment for consideration. (i.e., a mixture of public and private grants and local public and developer funding). . to Flan for East nty Supervisor Canciamilla has begun discussions with the cities in East County toward the development of a strategic Plan for East County. This item is also listed separately on the agenda. The Committee should determine whether the timing of that effort is consistent with its recommendations to the Board regarding the development of a County General Plan Review, and advise the Board accordingly. o 8oard Qf As with the standing committees of the Board, a report detailing the committee recommendations should be forwarded to the Board of Supervisors for consideration at the Board meeting of January 26, 1999. Ad Hoc Committee on General Pian Review Process for Report of the Ad Hoc Committee January 11, 1999 Page 4 Following the Committee's deliberations, staff will assist the committee members in the production and distribution of the report. DBM:gms dbNAdHccne Attachment z H 1•� � o i t {3. i l "l:'e:':l:ti•:V: J % O '• L r' 0 LL r1r E i:ti°:° ryT 0 i {: r r- .; 1 r r V b tg .sc ba of v OS wZ m s oz GL r w r m � • a z. 0 E b +� Z W� Q ti f ::•}:;:;};tip W y � w i t ccLIJ �k� b �4 0 Ci og c • r v gg ri w 8 a ei ? � r w : i0i WE ATFACH2Y1E 1 "B" MOBILITY ISSUES OF THE GENERAL PLAN Presentation to Beard of Supervisors Ad Hoc Committee By the Community Development Department, Transportation Division 12n198 I--OBILITY ISSUES OF THE GENERAL PLAN - Prior Vision for Mobility in Contra Costa - 40 Fears Ago "Report on Freeways, Expressways, and Major Streets for Contra Costa County" by Tudor Engineering Company, 1958 Current Vision for Mobility in Centra Costa "Contra Costa County General Plan" by Contra Costa County Community Development Department, 1991 - Current Trends that will Affect Mobility That strategies to improvement mobility could be considered as part of an new vision? Prior Vision for Mobility in Contra Costa County A. 1958 Tudor Engineering Company recommendations: A Report on Freeways, Expressways, and Major Streets for Contra Costa County. Horizon Year 1980. -- Auto dominated B. How did the future vision for the Year 1980 compare with reality? C. What factors affected this future vision for the Year 1980? Interstate Highway/Defense System Act, No CEQA, Increase participation in labor farce, expanding home ownership... DIFFERENCE OVER 40 YRS. t Population J!opulation • 1958 Pop.: 375,000 1980 Pop.. 656,380 • Projected 1980 Pop.: 842,000 1990 Pop.: 803,732 • Projected Ultimate Pop.(Yr. 2000): 1998 Pop.: 900,000 1,300,000 • Projected 2020 Pop.: 1,139,600 Land Use ) and Use • There would be significant growth in Significant residential development jobs in the manufacturing sector has occured over 40 yrs., nearly matching 1958 projections 39,000 acres set aside for industrial Economy based on manufacturing use, which would translates into jobs has been replaced by service 500,000 employees by 1980 horizon based economy year • 29,900 acres in County devoted to employment generating uses by 1990 • Residential and industrial/commercial Residential and indust./comm. development would be evenly development has not been evenly distributed throughout County by distributed as predicted in 1958; 1980 horizon year instead, there's an imbalance between job location and housing • County emerged as bedroom community for SF/Oak with extension of BART system City-County Thoroughfare Network Cour ywide_Tr_ansgortationetwork • 549,miles of Major Streets, 346 miles of Major Streets, Expressways & Freeways proposed in Expressways & Highways have been 1958 study to meet traffic needs by built since 1958 (2/3) but network of 1980 horizon year expressways not built • Regional rapid or mass transit system The County now served by two BART serving the County was not a major lines and some intercity rail service factor in 1958 study • X500 Million Cost Estimate • Billions of dollar invested in the Countywide Transportation Network since 1958 2. Current Vision for Mobility in Contra Costa County A. 1991 Countywide General Plan describes a vision for Year 2005, was recently extended to 2010. - A more balanced approach at expanding transportation capacity; m No significant change in urban form (the type of development constructed). B. Circulation Element envisions $4.5 billion (1990$) in expanded highway and transit infrastructure to mare growing areas more accessible. C. Transit investments focus on the rail system and long-distance commutes. D. Pedestrian and bicycle investments focus on recreational activities. E. band use and housing policies encourage a jobs/housing balance. F. Measure C-90 Urban Limit Line designed to protect open space, not to encourage more compact development that can be more accessible by transit, walking and bicycling. G. Elly evaluated a financially constrained Circulation dement, only $2.6 billion (1990$) available for transportation expansion. This represents about 80% of the planned budget. Measure C-88 Growth Management strategy used to maintain the General Plan's internal consistency. 1991 CONTRA COSTA COUNTY GENERAL. PLAN 1990 to 2010 Percent Increase YEAR. 1990 2010 °90 to ' 0 Population 808,732 11104,700 37% Housing Units 315,170 435,917 38% Jobs 305,140 430,120 41% Figure 5-2 t3oadway Network Ptarr { v � a..s..Proposed Fieeway *Qy an EAARV --------PMPOSedEjp---ay i s Araeiat . f ----Pcoposed Mieeat �•�,,. Ei}( NOTE J**: e,.ii01C.I cW =y:,di..— CONTRA COSTA COUNTY 4006s ca xrrt.d—y CAL(FORN(A iietwcxic ftis th�r—k,(W ch.i.x or tf e 5-35 4. rc�>•r •^ , aFP ' �}..,a�,'"�r �.� �� 1�'a � `; �� `� ycEK� cr"oAts#s ollt coftfOoo s ----0wav aiw- ` "F.'a "a`ar+aaa 4 ir€0,441 'tY RYt6� .•t(atJ pe ESTI patY+vi 1991 GENERAL PLAN MAJOR ROADWAY AND TRANSIT IMPROVEMENTS (1990 ) BOAQW PROJECTS ---$3.5 Billion 1. 1-80: New Lane, HOV Lanes, New Bridge 2. 1-580: Knox Freeway 3. SR 93: Richmond Parkway 4. 1-580: New Lanes, HOV Lanes, Bridge Expansion, New Bridge,SR 4 and SR 24 Interchange Reconstruction 5. SR 4: New Lanes, HOV Lanes 6. Caldecott Tunnel: HOV Bypass, 4th Sere 7. SR 242: HOV Lanes 8. SR 4 Bypass: 4-Lane Freeway 12-Lane Expressway 9. gateway Boulevard: 2-Lane Expressway. 10. Contra Costa Cornmuterway: HOV Lanes/Busway 11 . SR 84 (Vasco Road): Contruct Freeway 12. SR 239 (Byron Highway): Construct Freeway TRANSIT PROJECTS -11 Billion 13. BART: Capacity Improvements 14. BART: Pittsburg Extension 15. BART: Hilltop Extension Source:General Plan,Table 5-1. 3. Progress in attaining the General Plan's 'Vision. A. Significant expansion in highway and rail transit capacity has occurred, representing two thirds of the planned transportation budget. Major transportation Investments have been or are being completed since adoption of the 1991 Countywide General Plan. . or 30% of the planned budget. Next Investments to be completed by 2004, representing another 25% of the planned budget. Remaining unconstructed but "Funded" Transportation Improvements in General Plan, represents another 10% of the planned budget, and will be completed by 2018, not 2010. B. Remaining "Unfunded or Under funded" Transportation Improvements, representing 33% of the planned budget. C. Centra Costa Go-Bike! Program turning focus of bicycling as a means of transportation and recreation. D. A significant amount of approved development in the County has been adjacent to existing job centers, but Dousing opportunities for very low-income households remain very limited. E. Measure C-90 Urban Limit Line has been maintained. I~, Measure C-88 Growth Management has taken small steps, but produced a sianif€carrt amount of fee revenues so new development pays for the capacity it uses_ More aggressive conditions of approval are now being discussed. MAJOR TRANSPORTATION INVESTMENTS "COMPLETED" SINCE ADOPTION OF 1991 GENERAL PLAN 1 . 1-580 Freeway 2. 1-80 Carpool Lanes 3. 1-680 North Widening 4. 1-680/SR 24 Interchange Reconstruction 5. 1-880 South HOV Lanes 0. SR 4 Willow Pass Grade Lowering 7. BART Extension to North Concord and Bay Point 8. Richmond Parkway 9. Benicia Bridge Widening 10. SR 242 Widening, 2000 11 . SR 4 East: HOV Lanes to Railroad, 2001 12. SR 4 West: 4-Lane Expressway, 2002 13. 1-80 Carquinez Bridge Replacement, 2003 14. 1-580 North HOV Lanes/Second Benicia Bridge, 2003 15. SR 4 East: Railroad Interchange Reconstruction, 2005 16. 1--680 and SR 24: Auxiliary Lanes 17. 1-80: HOV Lane Gap Closure 18. SR 4 infest: Upgrade to Freeway 19. SR 4 East: HOV Lanes/Widening to SR 4 Bypass 20. SR 4 Bypass: Contruct Expressway REMAINING "Unfunded or Underfunded" TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENTS IN 1991 GENERAL PLAN I . SR. 4 Bypass: Widen to 4 lanes to Vasco 2. Bast County Corridor 3. SR 239 (Byron Highway): Construct Freeway 4. BART to Pittsburg 5, BART to hilltop 6. 1-680/SR 4 Reconstruction 7. Caldecott Tunnel: 4th Bore ESTIMATED DWELLING UNITS PENDING, APPROVED, OR UNDER CONSTRUCTION Dwelling Percent Jurisdiction Units of Total Antioch 6,028 16% Brentwood 6,115 16% Clayton 118 0% Concord 579 2% Danville 800 2% El Cerrito 39 0% Hercules 192 1% Lafayette Martinez Moraga 141 0% Urinda Pinole 58 0% Pittsburg 3,424 9% Pleasant Hill 80 0% Richmond 1,539 4% San Pablo - 0% San Ramon 717 2% Walnut Creek Unincorporated 17,435 47% Total 37,265 100% Source. CCC CDD F REGIONAL TRAFFIC MITIGATION FEES IMPLEMENTED SINCE ADOPTION OF THE 1991 GENERAL PLAN East Contra Costa: 90 Million SR 4 Freeway SR 4 Bypass Buchanan Bypass South County: $13.6 Million •- 1--680 Auxiliary Dane Project -- Alcosta Interchange Vest Contra Costa: $4.1 million - SR 4 West Freeway Gap Closure - Richmond BART Intermodal Station -- El Cerrito BART Larking 4. Projected 20 Year Trends to 2018 under the Current General !Flan. A. Tax dollars will not be adequate to complete the "Unfunded or Under funded" improvements in the General Plan. B. Growth management provisions for new development will need to become more aggressive to prevent worsening traffic congestion. C.- The resident work force will continue to commute long distances to their jobs because of limited housing opportunities. Most new housing being built far from job centers. D. Most trips will continue to be made by car (97%). Projected .traffic and capacity ByX18,road knprovements andacl adna,kanes "I he adlec W Uw Inamse4a rrrtc W&ts will Gk* exceed the cVacky of the roads. ' t, h t 4*. 222 6a � v Sa s q 5s aair � s b 5 In . , 3rt $ Projected .a percentage µ 4 " � t•': y increase 46, ': Wi Motorists r 'Plea nion;'- Capacity of roads t ; uve ti d s Saremue-Con"C0dta 7i orWffp7rlcaNrutfiy < ` IOtdi i1{ARPlt3J"��.+K1-' LOCATIONS OF LOW INCOME HOUSEHOLDS AND POTENTIAL JOB OPPORTUNITIES IN CONTRA COSTA Employers With Potential Low Income % of Employment %of Sum of %of Area Households (1) Total Opportunities(2) Total Employees Total WEST 6,420 48% 1,045 19% 13,211 14% CENTRAL 2,303 17% 2,230 41% 49,034 53% SOUTHWEST 95 1% 1,181 22% 19,321 21% EAST 4,619 34% 944 17% 11,507 12% TOTAL 13,437 100% 5,400 100% 93,073 100% Notes (1) Recipients of Temporary Assistance to Needy Families(TANF)grants. .(2) Contra Costa industries which constitute 60% of all projected new entry level job growth. What strategies to improve mobility should the Beard of Supervisors consider as part of a future vision for the General Plan? Am Maintain the status quo, no change to the mobility strategy in the General Plan. B. Increase investment in the transportation infrastructure to make growing areas of the County more accessible. C. Increase investment in affordable housing near job centers to create more opportunities to live near jobs and reduce the need to commute long distances. D. Increase densities within already built-up areas, encourage mixed uses, and intensify community centers so that populated areas are more easily accessible by walking, bicycling, or transit. This should be implemented in conjunction with a labor force development strategy (school/training/healthcare programs) so that existing neighborhoods that are distressed became more attractive places for private investment. fi E. Others? fi, What implementation strategy should be considered for this vision? A. City-based? (Very limited County role) B. Countywide? (County leadership role) C. Bay Area/inter-regional? (MTCJABAG, or State leadership rale, Others?) EXHIBIT "C" Public Meetings Public Meetings related to the proposed Urban Limit Line study and the Agricultural Preservation Agreement. Beard of Supervisor Meetings June 2 , 1998, July 15, 1998, September 22, 1998 and October 13, 1998. Ad Hoc Committee Meetings November 2, 1998, November 16, 19985 December 7, 1998 and January 11, 1999. :District 5 Meetings; Supervisor Canciamilla has met with the City Councils of the cities of Pittsburg, Antioch. and Brentwood, and has met with many of the East County Municipal Advisory Councils. In addition, the Supervisor has met with public interest groups and many interested east county residents. District 3 Meetings: May 13, 1998, Save Tassajara 'Malley Forum,Danville Town Hall; May 26, 1998, San Ramon City Council,Agricultural Preservation Agreement; June 9, 1998, San Ramon City Council, Agricultural Preservation Agreement; June 12, 1998, Meeting with Ranchers and other interested parties, Hap McNee Ranch Park; Tune 16, 1998, Danville Town Council, Agricultural Preservation Agreement; Tune 23, 1998, San Ramon City Council, Agricultural Preservation Agreement; July 7, 1998, Landowners and. representatives, Old School House, Tassajara. r DRAFT TRAFFIC OUTLOOK SUMMARY West County (1) (2) (3) 8 Travel speeds on 1-80 are currently 25 to 30 mph on average and are not expected to decrease significantly in the future for single occupant vehicle traffic, though congestion is expected to creep northward. A trip from:Vallejo to San Francisco which now takes about an hoar,is expected to take 1 and a half hours in 2010. A trip from Fairfield to Berkeley,which now takes 57 minutes during the peak hour, could, in 2020, take 81 minutes for those who drive alone. Carpoolers should still be able to make it in under an hour. Central County(4) In the a.m. peak traveling the"S"westbound on Highway 4, from Railroad Avenue, south on 242 to 1-680 southbound,then West on SR 24 to Pleasant Hill Road (distance: 19.8 miles): 36 minutes 1997—33 mph - 21 minutes in 2005 with improvements----56 mph* - 22 minutes through 2015—55 mph* *Queuing from 1-580 in Danville may cause additional delays. • In the; p.m. peau traveling the"S"eastbound on SR.24 from Pleasant Hill Roars to 1-680 north,to SR 242 north, to SR 4 east to Railroad Avenue(distance: 20.1 miles). _-25 minutes 1997 --48 mph - 28 minutes in 2005— 43 mph** - 32 minutes in 2015 -- 38 mph** **Queuing eastbound on SR 4 at Railroad may cause additional delays. ,Southbound,from the Solano County line to south end of 1-580 interchange: Increase in travel time of 35% between 1997 and 2015 (average speeds decrease',from 47 to 32 mph). January 26, 1999 1 Draft C:kWPFILES\CCTP\1999rcctpbktt2.Wpd Tri-Valley(4) (5) (6) • Speeds on I-580, which are already low (20 mph), are forecast to drop to 10 mph by 2010. • The duration of congestion on I-680 in Danville is expected to increase, from 2, to 3, to 4 hours over the neat 10 years. East County (7) (8) • Average travel speed on Highway 4, from Willow Pass Road to Hillcrest Avenue. 1990 - 35 mph 1998 - 28 mph 2010- 5 to 15 mph without the Highway 4 improvements, 20:mph with the improvements. • These levels of congestion on Highway 4 also mean more diversion to parallel arterial reliever routes, and, a longer duration of congestion, from 2, to 3, and then 4 hours. REFERENCES (1) West County Action Plan, Proposal for Adoption, WCCTAC, December 9, 1994 (2) 1-80 Corridor Study, prepared by DKS Associates for MTC,December 4, 1996 (3) Draft Regional Transportation Plan for the San Francisca Bay Area, FITC, August 1998 (4) Preliminary Draft Baseline FREQ model output from the Central,East, Southwest Arterial and Freeway Ramp Metering Study,model output prepared by DKS Associates using the OCTA 1997 CMP Model. (5) Arterial Cut-Through Trak Study,prepared by DKS Associates for the City of Pleasanton, March 1998. (6) I-680 Corridor Study,Final Report, prepared by TJKM Transportation Consultants for the Contra Costa Transportation Authority, August 1992. (7) Route 4 Fast Major Investment Study, Administrative Draft No. 3, prepared by Mark Thomas and Co. for the Contra Costa Transportation Authority, Tune 1998. (8) East County Action Plan,prepared by DKS Associates for TR.ANSPLAIN, Issued July 1997. 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.........................................................................................................................................................................:............................................................................................................................................................................... - ---- --I'll, 11.111,........ .......I'll..'','''',..'',''..,..'','',.'''''''''''',ll,'''I I -,'' .................. Contents Introduction......................................................................................................... l Background.......................................................................................................... 3 OurTransportation "Crystal Ball"................................................................... 7 First, How do we Predict the Future? ............................................................................................7 How Accurate are the Forecasts?....................................................................................................7 Overall Forecasts for the County ................................................................... 11 Households.............................................................................................................................................. l I obs............................................................................................................................................................. €2 yy Jabs-Housing Balance.............................................................................................................................€�.3 Growth in the County's Subareas................................................................... Iy Haw Will Continued Growth in Population and Jobs Affect Trak?................................... 17 WestCounty....................................................................................................................................... 17 Households .............................................................................................................................................. 17 Jobs-Housing Balance.............................................................................................................................18 Traffic......................................................................................................................................................... 19 CentralCounty...................................................................................................................................2 C1 Households ..............................................................................................................................................20 Jobs-Housing Balance.............................................................................................................................21 Traffic.........................................................................................................................................................21 Tri-",(alley.............................................................................................................................................23 Households ...............................................................................................................................................23 Jabs-Housing Balance.............................................................................................................................24 Traffic.........................................................................................................................................................24 EastCounty.........................................................................................................................................26 Households ..............................................................................................................................................26 Jabs-Housing Balance.............................................................................................................................26 Traffic.........................................................................................................................................................28 Summary, Caveats and possible Solutions .................................................... 29 WestCounty...........................................................................................................................................29 CentralCounty.......................................................................................................................................29 Tri-Valley..................................................................................................................................................30 EastCounty..............................................................................................................................................30 SomeCaveats...................................................................,..................................................................30 PossibleSolutions...............................................................................................................................31 Listof Figures.................................................................................................... 33 References ......................................................................................................... 35 Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan i Introduction Because the following section has been significantly rewritten, it has not been shown in redline-strikeout format Surveys have shown that Bay Area residents, over the last decade, have had a continuing concern with transportation. This concern with transportation has grown along with re- cent economic growth, More jobs and increased population have meant more demand on the reads and transit services in Contra Costa and the Bay Area,and this increased demand has led to more congestion. Will this growth continue? Will more growth lead to more congestion? If so,where and how much? Won't planned improvements like the new I-680- State Route 24 interchange fix congestion? This booklet,a first step towards the 2000 Update of the Authority's Countywide Compre- hensive Transportation Ilan, attempts to answer some of these questions. It begins with some background can the 1995 Plan and the changes in funding and policy that will affect planning for our transportation future. A description follows of the extent of expected growth in jobs, households and the balance between them -- key indicators that pro- foundly affect traffic---for both the Contra Costa as a whole and the four sub-regions that make it up. Using that information, maps compare projected traffic growth to the extent and tuning of anticipated transportation improvements. The report doesn't stop with list- ing forecast, problems, however; its final section identifies some possible solutions for addressing them. As important as transportation is, it is not the only issue facing Contra. Costa and the region. The same surveys that show the public's concern with transportation also show a continuing or growing concern with education, crime, open space and economic well- being.The Authority recognizes that it must balance all these concerns.The goals of Mea- sure C,which established the Authority,included both supporting further economic growth and maintaining duality of life for the residents of Contra Costa County. Balancing these sometimes conflicting objectives will require a continuing countywide dialogue and agree- ment on a. concrete actions by all 19 cities and towns, County government and other agencies. The Authority hopes that the 2000 Update can help lead to a plan that embodies this difficult balancing act. Preritw to the 2000 Update t0 the Countyveide ComprehensiYe Transportation Pian � Wgnt to Ceara More about... The 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Tt ansportation Plan The Contra Costa Transportation Authority,as required by Measure C,is in the process of updating its Countywide Comprebensive Transportation Flan. First prepared in 1995, the Plan outlines goals, objectives and a program of actions and projects to address forecast transportation problems. The 2000 Update gives the Authority the opportunity to address changes that will have occurred over the last few years and new or continuing issues facing the county. Besides the Looking to the ,Future booklet, as part of the adopted scope for the 2003 Update, the Authority will: • .Prepare Issue Papers that investigate how to improve the land use-transportation connection; encourage transit, bicycling and walking, support goods movement; and measure the performance of the transportation system. • Review the.Plan's goals and objectives and update them, where appropriate. • Analyze alternatives for addressing forecast growth in transportation demand. We encourage comment on the 2000 Update and know that public comment will improve the final outcome of this planing process. For more information, you can contact: Martin Engelmann, Deputy Director for Planning 925 256 4729 or mre@ccta.net Brad Beck, Senior Transportation Planner 925 256 4729 or bbeckccta.net Or you can visit our website at www.ccta.net to learn more about the Authority's programs and the 2000 Update. 2 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan E' m7 77 7 9 y i 0d� • 21K 111'6 Background In 1995 the Authority adopted Contra Costa's first Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan, the s product of five years' dedication and cooperation on the part of elected officials from every jurisdiction in the county. The flan was both a snapshot of the transporta- tion ransports tion system as it stood at the time, and a look ahead at w what traffic demands would be made on the future sys � tem. The Plan also functioned as a road map, detailing specific steps that would have to be taken to ensure that Contra Costa would be ready for the growth in jobs and population that were clearly in its future. , j The 1995 flan responded to trends forecast through the use of computer modeling (more on that later in this re- x later corroborated in the report "Moving nn '' port), trendsp g "Toward a Sustainable Economy,"sponsored by the Contra Costa Economic Partnership. Both reports predicted that; Significant Job and Housing Growth + Limited Transportation Infrastructure prove ants Increased Congestion 'while substantial transportation improvements have been made, eventhey will not prevent the increased conges- tion caused by expected new job and housing growth. Since 1989,Contra Costa has invested an unprecedented 1.7 billion in capital improvements to its highways and transit system. New freeway lanes and BART extensions were made possible by the fortuitous confluence of three major events: A huge influx of federal dollars to help complete the Interstate system, including the major inter- ' change projects at I-680 and State Route 24, and freeway widenings on 1-80, 1-580, and 1-680, �r .. r Previus to the 2000 update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Pian 3 • "Bonded advances" of sales tax projects, bringing over $300 million for widening Route 4 East,constructing the Richmond Parkway,extending BART to East County, and outer projects; and • San Mateo County's $200 million "buy-in" to the BART system, which contrib- uted to the BART extension into East County. Although we will continue to see new investments in transportation infrastructure over the next 20 years, we anticipate that both the focus and scale of those improvements will be less dramatic than we've seen in the recent past.Future improvements will sigri ficantly focus on maintaining and improving the opera- tion and efficiency of the existing transportation system rather than emphasizing its expansion. New projects will likely be scaled dorso they're less disruptive to the surrounding landscape.E u thrtherrnore, e rn astructf re Therefore,of necessity,we anfid to that emphasis will shift from laying down new pavement to employing new technologies that help reduce the demand on om a�mdr—what eould D=mea"maxed-out"transportation system,while still helping to move people and freight. Several changes in funding, including the following, will reduce the potential for major new projects. • The high priority Federal Interstate system,which included dramatic improvements to I-80, I-680 and I-580 in Contra Costa, is essentially complete. This means new Interstate projects must be built using;Contra Costa's formula share of funds,rather than being an "a priori" commitment. • By issuing bonds against future sales tax revenues,the Measure C investments were "front loaded." Now, with most sales tax revenue spoken for, only limited addi- tional !cash flow an&r bonding capacity remains for the balance of the twenty- year sales tax. • State and federal funding to Contra Costa will behas been reduced to a specific formula—as a county,we wiH+ave�l discretion over only 1.7 percent of the total funds statewide, • "Regional" federal funds will be allocated through MTC and, in accordance with MTC policy,are likely to be earmarked for rehabilitation and operational improve- ments, rather than system expansion. • The public and the legislature have essentially adopted a virtual moratorium on any new revenue-generating taxes for transportation. 4 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan These changes might be appropriate in a mature community where growth is leveling-off. rN That is not the situation in Centra Costa, however. While the Autho itv has committed to CD an a� red ssive..program of further traakyortation improvements, growth forecasts consis- tently point to unsettling changes likely over the next 20 years: • Inadequate amounts and types of housing available near jobs; • Most new housing expected to occur far from existing job centers and in areas poorly served by transit; • The vast majority of travel (9710) will continue to be made by private aceto; and, as a result, ® Worsening traffic congestion, even with the significant anticipated-improvements rg is i ami. These predictions are neither new nor surprising.Anyone who drives a car in Contra Costa knows that traffic growth has outpaced our ability to add new lanes.Those in planning and policymaking positions, however, generally acknowledge that we won't be able to build our way out of the problem. Not only would the cost be prohibitive, but the design, engi- neering, and environmental review process for a major project typically takes five to nine years from original concept to completion. In short: traditional solutions aren't sufficient options any more. In additiQn-toexpanding inLmtructure where feasible, and making n f iv x'*new approaches—approaches that recognize the fund- ing, environmental and social issues and constraints—are needed that take into account the changing transportation environment. This report is a first step - - a preview the id=tif ratio of rhaI1Prt es and isslies fac�n� the Year 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Ilan. It attempts to define the issues we face with all their complexities. In the coining months, the Author- ity—with its constituent jurisdictions--will be working to develop strategies that could cf synthesize a solution from the !ghaltmges and op,.portunities that lie before us We st k a feasible strategy for creating a functioning transportation and land use system that benefits the economy, the environ- ment, and the lives of people who live and work in Contra Costa. A more detailed explanation of the i-problern statentent4gha–&= follows. With this in- formation in hand, we can begin to embark on a journey to find livable solutions. Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Pian 5 0ur "Transportation Crystal Ball lc�vda we Predict the Future? {��iaf� fits , ec' has always been a trick business, and 'Traffic for �g y y ite the att of cheaper computing power,the tech desp gigues and t;:that analysts use have not changed. sig nificantly oNhe past two decades. 'Twenty years ago, ortatirofessionals were feedinginformation into transp highly compomputer models, and the models were producing It traffic forecasts.While we are still us- ing computidels to predict the future, the main dif- ference is t`nputer„ Twenty years ago, the computer " ust perhaps $3 million dollars and was the gal: that was p p3 omen. Toda , we use a computer that sits size of y y ph on top of ald costs only$3,000.But whether we're using zra 'xitegrated circuitry, or a silicon chip, �l zhe forec�no better than the information upon Which it are the Forecasts? t The Bay gamic urban center,historically char- adteriVedt t growth. Contra Costa is a diverse county v Live=L-regions defined by Scograp om firmly established industrial cen- to. new downtowns, to bucolic farm- lands :accurately predict how traffic will be { in 20 Ye'e diversity and dynamism of the many factors pct traffic in the future? 1. The anfith data from ABAG.That stands for the eBay Area Governments, the official cornprning agency for the nine-county Bay regionAuthority is required to use ABAG's lobs allrecasts in its computer traffic model, our hifor predicting where the traffic jams will be. Another agency, called the Metro r.. politaon Commission(MTC),is responsible Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan 7 for transportation planning in the Bay Area, and helps us with assumptions about the future transportation system. How goad are those ABAG forecasts?We won't Know until we get there, and 2020 seems like a long time to wait to find out. But we are now in 1999, and ABAG has been in the forecasting business for 22 years, so we can look at ABAG's earliest forecasts, and see whether its predictions were even close to what's happening today. We went back and looked at ABAG's Projections report for 1983.This second ABAG forecast- ing report used the 1580 Census as a starting point. (The first — Projections `78 — is not comparable.) Figure,l shows ABAG's 1983 Figure i forecast for new households, Comparison of ABAG Projections: compared to what actually oc- Households in Contra Costa curred in Contra Costa be- tween 1980 and 1995. Start- Prole ons'g3 -a Actual ing from a base of 241,500 340,004 "ems 'W k ` � homes in 1980, the forecast thatched actuals for 1995, at 320,000H EJ tel' . about 320,000 homes. That's cs a a� ��# 1334240. better than one percent accuL 300,000 280,000 Similarly, Figure 2 shows how ABAG did with its projection for jobs.The top jagged line is 260,000 what actually has occurred.. The straight line 'below is the 240ADD 1983 ABAG forecast.By 1990, actual employment in Centra 220,000 Costa exceeded the 1983 fore- cast by 38,000 jobs,or 14 per- 200,000 ' Cent.Then the recession Cache E480 #965 #994 #995 along, knocked employment sauRa.AIA13`- 11 Years xnd Nrojeckbm'99 downward,and in 1995,after lasing jabs for 5 years, the ABAG forecast was dead-on at 297,000. Here again, the accu- racy is better than one percent! So, how would you grade ABAG's 1983 forecast? In both cases, the 13-year forecast was within one percent of what actually happened. 8 Preview of the 2000 Update t0 the Countywide Comprehensive transportation Plan is Figure 2 Comparison of ABAG Projections: ►Gaat�rxii� �►ts ,jobs in Contra Costa -- Projections'83 -*-Actual ; s g r 320,000 K £ Y ��`t17sas 3.i 3, : 30400 Mlia 200,000 2b4 4Q0 i. FE''Lk3 ? t;�,§ aL"s^�,10 Y��vyy�y{qa3rs si'�f'. 224,000 is E 200.004 1980 1405 1990 1995 SOURCE:"Ar.Proalm 23 Years and hV.1 *M'90 That's an enviable performance , but nraybc theyp just got lucky.- Ma7be 1-2erhaps the forecasts won't always be that accurate. In fact, ether examples where the forecasts have been off target'. The most likely scenario is that we will eventuallyt get to the ABAG forecasts . . . it might be sooner, it might be it k ij later, and it depends a lot on the economy. If there's a prolonged recession,actual growth in households and jobs will lag behind the ABAG forecasts. But, short of some catastrophic event, it would be reasonable to bank on the ABAG forecasts eventually being realized. ' In Santa Clara County,where the econoryty ___H_ __L_rr - L,ornic ac i +ty has exo-nde�ram' ic" I by 1996 the total number of jobs there had already exceeded ABAG's year 2000 forecast. Preview to the 2000 update to the Countywide Comprehensive'transportation Pian 9 Overall Forecasts for the County Before we look at each of the four planning subareas-m West County, Central County,East County, and Tri-Valley—we'll focus on the overall forecasts for the county. Households Figure 3 Contra Costa Households From Figure 3, you can get a Includes Alameda County portions of Tri-Yaiiey general picture of how the /``+ number of Contra Costa households has increased since 1980, and the expected trend through 2020. : Looking out at the next two decades AAG expects that � � � �{ 60,000 new homes will be 40,= built in Contra Costa and the 87 7 114,480 new households e{ Tri-Valley by 2.010. Another a 54,000 are expected to be built � between 2000 and 2020;azg�� s66,as ;, Increase of 29%?: by 2020,for a total of 114,000 0 � new homes.That's 30 percent growth over what we have to- day: Three quarters of these new households will be located in the 'tri-Valley and East County. ' IM Iris 2606 2605 $0S0 2036 2MM Years soiAa,Amr.Frgeubm,98 Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plats I I How much of that has already been approved? About 42 Yerusxettest (. i ?l percent of it, as shown in Table 1, or 47,600 homes. So even if no further approvals were given, the county and I Appt` t�� pv�lopettt, ll . Tri Valley could continue to grow new homes at an aver- age ver age rate of 6,000 homes per year out to about 2008. Only then would we bump up against the approvals ceiling. � � �' ky 1 alb u>wh10 MAM� Table I Approved vs. Expected Households l �-- -c--ed Y erttY 1h�s Ff=Ing Growth Between 2000 and 2020 ii f YY i YY • k �' y�'�R .�:t�"3- �y '4. .,y amM MEN, III MIN, JAI? j � � t�evelopin# 1 : ' � ta :��SEEM,. `� IN � � Yttt lr��htbugglse�t fitrn l:os � Central County 600 16,500 3.6% At TH-Valley(Alameda County) 16,600 3,400 48.8% WHOM= $lnduda other MI KWkwus snal peoOM to Cwtm CM&(1.44S Imsing anksl Source Conus Cosa Courcy Co -ky D*YW ymsnt.- '4D jobs ABAG is forecasting a 46 percent increase in employment—a total of 202,000 new jobs— over the next 20 years, with dearly half located in the Tri-Valley. (See Figure 4a) It's difficult to talk about approved versus expected jobs. We simply don't have the data, and some of that data is proprietary.Job growth is intractably linked to the performance of the economy. ABAG's jobs forecast accounts for the cyclical nature of business, and allo- cates job growth using a compiled "optimization" model that satisfies the planning con- straints inherent in the General Plans of our local jurisdictions. 12 Preview of the 2000 update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan _..................................................................._............................................................................................................................................................................................................. ............ .......... . ....... ......... .. ....... ............... ................ ............ . ....................................._._._............................................................................................................ __ _ _ __ _ _ ......... ......... ......... jobs-Housing Balance Figure 4 Contra Costa Jabs Achieving jobs-housing bal- Includes Alameda County portions o#Tri-Valley ance has, in the past, been mo,mo touted as a promising solution to our traffic woes. The Mea- e& sure C Growth management ` Program in fact requires that each jurisdiction in Contra CVUtiA address jobs-housing 7}�� 3i.,�'��'3'F'*A>EF�s•.•�� `,;d � '.. ' €" �E ..'. balance as it relates to trans- saacoo F36=4i4 s35 ° portation demand. � '' � ,r When we talk about jobs-haus- 4°°M ing balance,: we're really not � � ��f?�Q�� F`l � talking about one house per per job,but instead Cilie worker p zoc,000 t" 2fl2.260 new jobs �i } �r, between 2000 and 2D20 � < job, since each household has, �� ,;. ,.. increase of 46% on average, 1.5 workers {or k employed residents as ABAG , likes to call them}.ABACI gen- crates forecasts for employed residents—workers who liveMAW £ in Contra Costa. Figure 5 brings together the jobs forecast and the housing ,+so M zm 20H zaia 201s forecast to show you how the Years county looks with respect to SOMM AUG ft*4bM'98 jobs-housing balance. Contra Cosa currently has about 100,000 more workers than jobs, so it has to export workers. But the net export of workers, which is the difference between the top line and the lower line on this graph, stays fairly constant over time. Even if we had perfect balance between employed residents and jobs,however,we would still export and import workers because of what's called the mobility factor. The mobility factor accounts for the fact that county or ether "legal" boundaries mean little as long as there is an efficient way to get across them. If someone can earn higher wages in Oakland or San Francisco, they will commute there from Contra Costa, and Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation plan 13 others will commute from Solano and San Joaquin to take Figure 5 jobs in Contra Costa. It also Contra Costa reflects the fact that the jobs )obs and Employed Residents available to employed rest- Includes Alameda County pordons of Tri-Valley dents where they live don't al- Employed Residents -*-jobs ways match their skills or de- sired income. This mismatch 110,00, also encourages workers to I a commute longer distances. 70, , The average mobility factor for Centra Costa is only about 15 `© pa � Vf .1; percent, but it increases dra- MOWls;ltssco A ' matically when we focus in on 9i all smaller areas, where the ab- sence of perceived commute IJl 3gSC8 # � � f barriers, such as mountains ;IN11, _ Vsoo,000 ar° l and straits,congestion and de- ,rod 4} , r , lay, means that workers are J °i noe,o more likely to leave town t0 "� aatq x � r find a job. In the City ofMOW £o' s y j Pleasanton, for example, where;there are more jobs than £ workers, 70 percent of em- IM ;sss 20M nos 2069 aais =0 ployed residents still leave that Years city to work elsewhere. SOURCE:ABAG Pmfw aa'48 14 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan .............................................. ...................................................................................................................................................................................... _.... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ................._._. ._.._................ ......... ......... .......... ........ ......... ......._.. .............. ........... ...._. ... q a t t£a; £ CF"t ��f afN &5 4�� _•`.: 1� v °m�s . �� h .5 x '@k•t 3'�f £' 4 �/ � a'� £3t�h '' 7 �Y � �'� a t e Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Pian 15 Growth in the County's Subareas How Will Continued Growth in Population and Jobs Affect Trac? In the context of these overall growth projections, we have used computer models to see how growth is expected to occur in each subarea, and how that growth will affect the traffic outlook. For the purposes of planning future transportation in Contra Costa, we can divide the county into four discrete subareas: West, Central,East,and the Tri Valley. Each subarea has its own forum for discussing transportation issues. Called the Regional Transportation Planning Committees (RTPCs), they are comprised of one elected official from each city. The RTPCs convene once a month, and participation on the committees is a prerequisite for compliance with the Authority's Growth Management Program. West County Figure 6 West County Households Households zao.coo k As shown in Figure G, West County can expect 10,250 Fes° Uk homes to be constructed over FiC,CGO � the next 24 gears.Half of them will be in Richmond, a quar- ter in Hercules, and the rest 3aase new househom scattered among the remaining :2s®.aoo between 3000 and 2190,an 41cmase of 12% jurisdictions. These new X homes would constitute a 12 h :oo,= :. percent increase in housing over the existing stock. Im I"S "00 2M "10 zags zozo Years SOURCE:ASAG hapabnere Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countyrrtde Comprehensive Transportation Pian 17 Jobs-Housing Balance Figure 7 illustrates existing and future jobs-housing balance in West County.About 17,000 new employed residents are expected to come into West County by 2020. During the same period, West County is expected to add 23,000 new jobs, a 31 percent increase over its current job base of 72,000. In the long run, West County's jobs-housing balance is expected to improve, but the sub- area will continue to export workers since there will be more workers than jobs.Today,the surplus of workers stands at 35,000. By the year 2000, the surplus is expected to decline to 26,000 more workers than jobs. Every neve job in West County won't always be filled by a West County resident, however. According to our computer model, the presence of unfilled, high-paying jobs in Oakland and San Francisco will continue to entice West County residents, counteracting the im- provement in jobs-housing bal- ance.New jobs in West County Figure 7 may be filled by workers com- West County, ing in from Solano County and jabs and Employed Residents other parts of Contra Costa. —+—Employed Residents - -Jobs _ 100,000 E 250,000 r C Q b 200,000 r di tsclma 1 LUV tC d tok= 0 ;�J5 ah`r3a IUr t. MIN., 1940 1945 1000 2005 2010 20;S 20i0 SOURCE:ABAG P,*dbm'98 Years I$ Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan .............................................................................. ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ........ ..... .... ......... ......... ......... ................... ......_....... ......... ...... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... .......1.11.1 .... ......... 1111 Figure 8 I West County: €4..4. k� ` fi 20� Tmffic Growth P11—acapaeiky�snpruvcmenta a"+�� r r .�wst�.�t✓ 'y s�� Traffic increase qy p■ 33% c[pAJCltf iPYCCtAgE y h4ety Reetra EM HOV lAnft New Mdge Date > ' x� Expressway w; •Fre+eway 2010 s [999. + o- ti Traffic Improved BART,bus,and HOV service for West County will allow for continued growth in this out-commute.Traffic-wise,the relatively modest increases in households,and the stron- ger balance between housing and jobs results in a not-so-grim picture for future traffic in West County. Figure 8 shows expected traffic increases compared with expected increases in roadway capacity. By 1999, with full completion of the 1-84 HOV lane to Highway 4, the capacity of 1-80 will have increased 33 percent. The new bridge over the Carquinez Straits is ex- pected to be completed in 2003. New HOV lanes that would extend the existing lanes currently ending at Highway 4 across the new bridge, are expected by the year 2010. The Route 4 freeway gap project, which will increase capacity of the 2-lane section by 100 percent, is expected to be completed in 2010. Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan 19 r - Most of the traffic increases on this chart are smaller than the capacity increases. Yrarefi speeds on 1bnehi 15 �0 naw takt �inattk is eXpett�d tt� ; However, the capacity Im- provement on the I-80 cor- ridor is for carpools only, non theg3e ol� Atnpfiram �r�i to B�celey; ltw y so driving alone simply will Rig e� not pay off in this corridor. d Central Countyk � , ran 3 �nalzetteut �rer Households A total of 16,500 new homes are expected between the years 2000 and 2020 (See Figure 9), Figure 9 a 12 percent growth over the base. About two-thirds of the Central County Households growth is expected in Walnut Creek and Concord.Less than mow six percent of these new homes � N are approved, which means ; . t , � � � R0=00 that growth in Central County �� fi � ¢ could continue only for a year or so before additional approv- als would be required for de- velopment to occur. IA 120A66 16,490 new households ; between 2040 and 2020, l�• �f1,` V an increase of 12% 4itS1t1 d y t00A06 ' Z paso 10,066 40,000 5 Tb 20,000 £ :M i49S 206£ 2005 "1010 2015 2£20 x: rr� � RAN- Years SOURCE:ABAG Projeabu'98 20 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan ......................................... ......................................................................................................................... ....... ......... ......... ......... ........... .......... ................... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... .... jobs-Housing Balance Figure 10 Centra.[ County Figure 10 Shaws the balance )obs and Employed Residents between workers and jobs in Central County.The lower line shows new jobs increasing at a -*-Employed Residents -*-Jobs faster rate than the line above, which is employed residents. A By 2020, the two meet. So, 7$0.606 fr fc:Y�a� fs� 43.Y�' x • � ��5��`��# assuming 2 S pyy* /� y� ae ypq{/1� assumin that as d BAG gyre- dfcts, Central County can re- ally grow 45,000 jobs in the next twenty years, it will have achieved a near-perfect jobs- 336,«,6 q housing balance by the yearLU f 2020. � ;00,066 But that doesn't mean that ev' r. eryone who lives in CentralMO County will work there. Be- cause of the mobility fac- " Me 1"s 20M 2003 2040 leis 2020 tar, which our model sug- gests to be at 50 percent for SOURCE,ABAG?mAOAw'9# Years Central County,half of the : employed residents here will work outside of the subarea, probably in Alameda, 'Santa Clara County, or San Francisca. Traffic The map in Figure 11 shows expected traffic growth over 20 years rela- tive to capacity increases on the highway network in Central County, and the .s 4 its j turfing of those highway improvements. MINOR R1111'11, �ff oI M M MI A M"I'MIN -I' " Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Tmnsportation Pian 21 The extent of the I-680/24 interchange improvement project, coupled with other significant freeway widenings on I-684, SR-242 and SR-4, sets Central County apart from the other subareas in terms of the sheer capacity enhancements these roadway investments promise. The long-awaited completion of I-684/24 will,by the end of 1999,bring sweeping changes to the highway landscape that translate into a 54 percent capacity increase.The formerly appro- priate label of"Dysfunction Junction"may need to be changed to "Coolest of Confluences." To the north, the new Benicia/Martinez Bridge should be completed by 2443, allowing four lanes each way over the bridge. Other freeway improvements that are "just around the corner" include: • New HOV lanes on I- 684 from North Main to the Bridge (2442) Figure I I leo 2003 • A fifth and sixth lane r on SR-242 (2044) ..x,. • A new HOV lane on ; SR-4, from Railroad x Avenue to SR 242 h (This project will open ' 3 when the widening from Bailey to Rail- road on SR-4 is com- pleted in 2442.) 1777 xt�%< 47% 5396 $ a Tar. acrtaet � -t Compietiva Dau �� CaPsdt�"Tncrease ! pmeway` id-in6 HOV Lees Central County. Traffic Growth wrens Newlarldge Planned CapadtyImprovementa 22 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan Tri-Valley Households Figure 12 Tri-Valley Households With 46,000 new homes hidudes Alamdacomtyp,rd«m planned for the future,Tri-Val- ofTH-valley ley is a major player in the 44,770 new househo3ds ' housing picture,accounting for ,aa,000 between 2000 in 40 percent of the total new [ �^:�; an Increase of housing starts for the Contra Costa plus Tri-Valley area, and ' an increase of 53 percent over { today's level.Three-quarters of , this growth will occur in the 1`00 Alameda jurisdictions of 0 toe.00a Pleasanton, Livermore and 0 §� Dublin. One-fifth will occur in 90'ow F Dougherty Valley, with the re- ;t maining five percent in [n- Danville and San Ramon. 40,OW i 7940Q st�o i9as z000 mos �cia �� aa�a Years SOURCE;ASAG Pm*e gym'9B Y��,S�yy4�5.�`� "u.� FY•.c®:saws"....�1b... ... Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Flan 23 Jobs-Housing Balance Figure 13 The Tri-Valley has, and will Tri-Valley Jobs and Employed Residents continue to maintain, a good includes Ala t;sedaCounty po,tions&Tri-Valley jobs-housing balance into the -.-Employed Residents -Jobs future. But jobs-housing bal- 300,O°° -� ance does not all our transpor- tation ills cure. With a mobil- � y � � gflfl j ;50.000 ity factor of 40 to 45 percent, lots of employed residents will choose to be LOHWOTs V J�.�: >,.¢i �„ =.L �5%3: ,•':Y3t k' f<n.ad; � Fjl (people who Live Over Here IZk� �+ and Work Over There). �r,a C. F�3tr.1#SaE40 i z s ° jf Traffic E The in-commute of workers to from San Joaquin will cause s d . f traffic over the Altamont pass to continue to grow. While traffic increases on the free- ways are in the 50 percent range, no Significant capacity tiro 14ss 2000 2005 7010 2015 20" enhancements are planned. SOUKMAD.AGhajeabm'98 Years Auxiliary lane projects on I- 680 and I-580 will add only 12.5 percent to capacity, The arterials will experience touch more dramatic traffic growth. Congestion is expected to build over time, resulting in slower speeds, and a longer dura- tion of congestion. The extent of the peak period is expected to spread, from two hours today, to four hours in the future. 24 Preview of the 2000 update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan Figure [4 �' h4r \. � "F -1 y'n''• 3^l"�.'S:y.y�.txt�X' '::�� ..�" _�% du.-. �:p \. ::•::.: r Tri-Vaflk MAfficGrowthversus 58095.... A Date . d;ampletioa ` E Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan 25 East County Households Figure IS East County is expected to add fast County Households 42,000 homes by 2020. This 200,00 Y K is a 56 percent increase over DW current base.About 17,330F86: {AS v k R $units, or 41 percent, already Pill £ i '✓ �3 I have approvals, So at the pro- p ry �y y. 5 1 Ing jected rate,growth could con-time out to the year 200$. £ 41,970 new households s: r between 2000 and 2020 F200cw ' an increase of 56% ` . jobs-Housing BalanceRIN s0c,000r # �3r$#i Adding 42,000 households 14, translates into 62,800 new f' g00 u « employed residents. ABAG is also forecasting a robust job growth for East County — ma s` r s asp a Y 40,WO 40,000 new jobs, or roughly �' �A�� P one neWjob for each new Et Ez a �Y sera ri q, dgkp, a; s { Xon house. Since there are roughly ` ,moi zIRS ,. 00 fy one and a half workers for ev- ery new house in East County, tM Ms 2000 2005 20:0 2015 2020 the story line is this: each year, Years 3,000 new employed residents SCUfiCE AMG P okdo x'9® will come to live in East County, but only 2,000 new jobs will be created. As a result,each year,one-thousand more people have to n commute out of East County to find work.This broaden- ing gap is illustrated by the fallowing numbers. in 1990, nodi k3 44,000 workers had to outcommute;in 2000,it's expected tr to be 54,000, by 2020, the forecast suggests that there will be 77,000 outcommuters. In addition to the 77,000 workers that East County will 4 export to Central County,elle Tri Valley,and Beyond,there « 26 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan is the mobility factor here as Figure 16 well. Not every East County East County Job will be filled by an East Jobs and Employed Residents County resident. Some will be filled by people who reverse -4-Employed Residents -*-jobs commute from their homes in Central County,and also,some workers may come over the FY x+ r its rr Antioch .bridge. , But, for a number of reasons, 0 the mobility factor in East County is low. About 50 per- V cent of East County's em- M °.M, played residents must cam- mute to other subareas to find $ '£� "LU _ ` works only another five to ten f r , �K IN taK3,aw percent of the workforce vol- _ untarily outco mutes even 0 though they could theoretisolme - cally find a jab in East County. ° r That incremental percentage difference, between the sur- plus of employed residents in M* 1"s 2M mos 2010 20:3 3629 East County and the total per- Years centage of employed residents ,Rh� , .`9s who outcommute, snakes for a mobility factor that is starkly lower than for other subareas. Two considerations are at the cause of this finding 1) a bet- ter economic fit in East County between workers and salaries, and 2) the significant and ris- ing congestion on Highway 4 and Vasco Road, discouraging commuters from leaving East County during peak commute hours. Preview to the 2000 update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan 27 Traffic Table 2 In East County, traffic in- Timing and Capacity Increases of creases will far exceed capac- Major Projects in East County ity increases, and capacity in- creases will occur in the latter phases of the planning period. r' • ` �;#; t i�Y aFP, 8#' a ar 3 -F � <'�, These increases in capacity will �iy tb ltaTroadr•€our iatsach �, Mu Fi O. ( X42 corns primarily from the 1 � �� , 3. ... , :, '=szc,. ., , ," projects shown in Table 2. Widen SR 4 to Loveridge and improve Railroad 2005 i 00% Avenue interchange '�T•f �.i �;,�Ar�sm t,��airidge eo��! t�3��lr � f � 5 �£�� yy Construct two-lane SR 4 Bypaass from SR 4 to 2008 NIA Camino Diablo{some portions earlier} {+�£. i,,h,��y�N,/3 i§a 3F,4k�'�',� Y•iS3�. F Lgx//yy`��jy' meq(,:iY 3 l {"fy3 `1 +7f'tRM�i$ `£';a7' 's3a.�c_'�'%#:£'YuQ 3M9yF� RFV''• Corridor-based esdmate Figure 17 336 g��@ giflfl96 F flQ% 24 M t 9 g 2010 21?.' 96` 0%.. . Vanes 2008 4.1anes 2018' a 292% E.�a_ffist�Co�xnty: ' t.. f�GrOWNtl]V4YEiTa fl1 Yn. s s Planned Capa3ty Improvenwsts A .. .33 Gspacity Iaertase Completion gate i Frctmy or Roadway Wkkning , 1 ROV Lents 28 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan Summary, Caveats and Possible Solutions So, those_are the challenges and issues. This next section recaps the outlook for the year 2020, highlights some caveats about the forecasts, and sets forth some possible solutions. West County 1,500,or 15 percent,of 10,000 housing units expected by 2020 are already approved. m Much of the future traffic growth expected in West County is caused by the import and export of workers from and to adjoining counties. 0 On the 1-80 corridor,congestion will continue to worsen for single occupant commuters. • €SOV improvements in the I-80 corridor will provide significant opportunities for buses, carpooling, and access to BART, providing goad mobility to job centers in Oakland and San Francisco. Central County • Five percent, or 900, of the expected 16,500 units have already been. approved. • Central County is expected to achieve true "Jobs-Housing Balance" by 2020, but even with that balance, half of Central County's employed residents will likely choose to work in other subareas or counties. • Significant freeway system improvements will balance out much of the expected traffic increases in Central County, resulting in manageable freeway traffic operations. • Completion of the 1-680,124 interchange will shift bottlenecks on I-680 to the south, where significant traffic growth, coupled with a lack of planned highway capacity improvements, will create new "hot spots" on I-680 in Danville and San Ramon. Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Pian 29 Tri-Valley • Sixty-three percent, or 29,000, of the 46,000 expected new housing units in Tri_ Valley are already approved, meaning that, even if growth limitations were im- posed, traffic growth would continue out to the year 2010 or 2012. • Tri Valley is"jobs-housing balanced"both today, and into the future,but a high mobil- ity factor of 40 to 45 percent points to continued traffic growth at Tri-Valleys gateways. • Even with gateways like the Altamont limiting the amount of traffic entering the Tri Valley during commute periods, forecast peak period traffic growth will be robust — 40 to 50 percent over 20 years, with far greater increases on specific corridors such as Vasco Road and Route 84. • Because of limited carpooling and transit opportunities, congestion and delay on the main freeways, especially T -580, is expected to worsen. East County • Forty percent, or 17,300, of the 42,000 new homes expected in East County have already been approved. • Despite a near doubling of jobs in the future, East County will continue to be "hous- ing rich" and "jobs poor" with the net export of workers increasing over time. • Traffic growth in excess of 100 percent will have already occurred by the time major improvements such as the widening of Highway 4 and the Route 4 By-Pass are finally in place. • Transit and carpooling opportunities are limited within East County, leaving com- muters few alternatives for improving their commute. Some Caveats Before leaving the discussion of the impacts of growth, we should paint out some caveats. • Whether or not the ABAC forecasts come to fruition is a major question.As we saw in the first half of 1990,a strong downturn in the economy could significantly lower the projec- tions.And while the 20-year forecasts for Contra Costa have been very accurate,the fore- casts for the different sub-areas of the County have been less so.Economic and technologi- cal changes—even the growth in traffic itself—could affect these sub-area forecasts. 30 Preview of the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Pian ............................ ..................................................................................................... ......... ......... ......... ......... ...... ........_.............. ... ......... ......... ......... ._...... ................ _ ...... ......... ......... ......... ................... - ..................... ............. ......... ......._. ® In addition to the uncertainty of the demographic assumptions, there is the uncer- tainty of the .hundreds of other assumptions that go into our traffic models. Whose assumptions such as the price of gas, the propensity of people to take transit, and estimating the mobility factor, could prove in the future to be different than what we've assumed. • This is the information age, and people are starting to telecommute more and more. What would happen if the percentage of telecommuters, were to jump, say, from the current less than one percent, to 30 percent?That would certainly have a positive impact on traffic. • It is heartening to note that, despite the projected increases in traffic over the next 20 years, the Air District is predicting that, by virtue of reduced tailpipe emissions on new vehicles, by 2020 overall emissions for the bay Area are expected to drop by 61 percent. That's not accounting for even stricter emissions regulations that may become law for light-duty trucks, SUVs and two-stroke gas engines. Possible 'Solutions The discussion of possible solutions does not begin with a blank slate. A number of ideas have been floated for years that might well serve as a starting point for this discussion. In fact, the AuthoriW_.p_articipat_e_d__i_nc studies ns red by the antra to Eco- n mig-Tartnershi c - h' . '7TransportationW i Paper, v' ntra sta' onom iham"C tury;"and 2 the 29$ "A-V-ision for Contra Costa Count in the 219 r" Possible_solt x Ire, drams from these and other sources, include• a full-spectrum of housing types near wahgrg_obs were° e avail- able, and more jobs near affordable housing,to help reduce commute distances.4 Why totD.evelop more "transit-friendly," urban development patterns so fewer commuters would choose to drive to work; or, for those that drive, make it easier for them to walk, bicycle, take transit or carpool for other trips$4 Gotild- , alternative land-use scenarios,.or phased development of some of the already approved growth}to lessen 1oosen the grip--o r a eongestion,� E�4" nore people star t x a d telecommuting from home or working out Olt local telecommuting centers=kIn twenty years we will be able to look back and realize that today, we are only scratching the surface of the opportunities technol- ogy has to offer.1 Preview to the 2000 Update to the Caungwide Comprehensive Transportation Plan 31 Recognize that, fif air quality improves due to technology then the m�nv cost of congestion? is borne more by the individual. The cost to society goes down, since idling vehicles on the freeways won't be spewing as much noxious gases. Perhapi-Lf it becomes more of an "individual" cost, orhich the public may tolerate congestion in exchange for other benefits of mobility and s� u is ane i economic de- velopment. Some opportunities exist to further ex ap nd cat2acity, New initiatives could poten- tially be identified to obtain additionalfunding and accelerate such opportunities. ® Pricing mechanism coin be in to more effectively manage demand: tgf-ls, parking chanes higher gasoline taxes. etc. oval jurisdictions could link approval of housin to expansion of the job base within their boundaries,.and 12romote_better syncronization between expansion of he tw . ® Areas which have significant out-commuting could be the focus of coordinated efforts o expand ase amd QualiM--of 'f -tactics v'n schools and educational opportunties 2) improving public safety, 3 expanding he range of hQusingj=es available,-.and4 ekin nvi rat i areas, A major effort could be road to intensify developmentadjacent to existing BARTstations. These-and many other potential soludow willmed to.,�etermine the MQSt approjaiatmsp-Cion-s. Perhaps Contra thriving f the Silicon Valley hile v the bucolL-charm oContra.-Costa's rural a t. Adieving thata n a v—but a e doable ' f e ivsolutions-so-the challenges_facing us can be found. 32 Preview of the 2000 update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan .......................... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ........... ............... .. ........................._.......... _......... ...._._.. ............................... ......... ......... ......... ......... ...._... ......... .._.. ................_... _ _ ....... ......... List of Figures 1. Comparison. of ABAG Projections `83 to `98 — Households, Contra Costa 2. Comparison of ABAG Projections `83 to `98 — Employment, Contra Costa 3. Contra Costa Households forecast, Projections `98 4. Contra Costa Employment forecast, Projections `98 5. Contra Costa Employed Residents versus jobs Table 1 Approved versus Expected Development—Households 6. West County Households, Projections `98 7. West County Employed Residents versus jobs 8. West County Traffic Growth ('chap) 9. Central County Households, Projections `98 10. Central County Employed Residents versus jobs a 11. Central County Traffic Growth (Map) 12. Tri-Valley Households, Projections `98 13. Tri-Valley Employed Residents versus jobs j 14. Tri-Valley Traffic Growth (Map) 15. East County Households, Projections `98 16. East County Employed Residents versus jobs Table .2 Timing and Capacity Increases of Major Projects in East County 17. East County Traffic Growth (Map) Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Plan 33 References (1) West County Action Plan, Proposal for Adoption, WCCTAC, December 9, 1994 (2) I-80 Corridor Study, prepared by DKS Associates for MTC, December 4, 1996 (3) Draft Regional Transportation Plan for the San Francisco Bay Area, MTC, August 1998 (4) Ps-diminary Draft Baseline FREQ model output from the Central, East,Southwest Arterial and Freeway Ramp Metering Study, .model output prepared by DKS Asso- ciates using the CCTA 1997 CMT' Model. (5) Arterial Cut-Through Traffic Study, prepared by DKS Associates for the City of Pleasanton, March 1998. (6) 1-680 Corridor Study,Final Report,prepared by TJK.M Transportation Cousuitants for the Contra Costa Transportation Authority, August 1992. (7) Route 4 .East Major Investment Study, Administrative Draft No. 3, prepared by Marl:Thomas and Co. for the Contra Costa Transportation Authority,June 1998. (8) Fast County Action Plan, prepared by DKS Associates for TRANSPI AN, Issued July 1997. Preview to the 2000 Update to the Countywide Comprehensive Transportation Pian 35 CONTRA COSTA TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY COMMISSIONERS Barbara wise Chair Charlie Abrams Vice-Chair Irma Anderson ,lane Bartka Joe canciamilla Donna Gerber llllle Greenberg PREVIEW OF THE YEAR 2000 UPDATE TO Sarge Littlehals Alien Payton wile Pierce THE COUNTYWIDE COMPREHENSIVE Hermann Weir, TRANSPORTATION PLAN Robert K.11cC!eary Executive Director DECEMBER 1998 1340 Treat Boulevard Suite 150 Walnut Creek CA 94596 2519 98 25l938.397fl FAX: 925/936-3693 filth:!lwww.ccta.net '' 0" The Transportation Authority Transportation & Growth in O'Contra Costa •Created in 1988 with passage of Measure C In 1995,the Authority adopted its •Implements$1 Billion+sales tax program comprehensive transportation plan •Oversees innovative Growth Management ♦In 1998,the Economic Partnership,with Program Authority support,prepared a study: •Congestion Management Agency "Moving Toward A Sustainable Economy" •Monitor performance of transportation system ♦Both forecast the following trends: •Program state and federal transportation funds *Incmased job and housing growth; •Manage$1.2 Wyear"Clean Aie,funds *Increased transportation infrastructure;od +Increased congestion Unprecendented Capital Next Investments: -$230 M, Investment since 1989($1.7B) Completions Through 2004 "One-time"confluence of positive factors *Route 4,West:$75 million,2002 Completion of Interstate system:1-680/24, *R4,East,Bailey to Railroad:$29 M,2001 1-80,1-580,1-680 widening *R4,Railroad Interchange:$63 M,2005 ♦"Bonded advances"of sales tax projects: *1-680 HOV lanes:$39 M,2003 Route 4 East, Richmond Parkway,BART +Engineering studio:R41Loveridge;I- to East County,other projects 680/4;R 24/Brookwood;1-680 Auxiliary San Mateo"buy-in"to BART lanes ♦Benefit from$21 M in Fedet-A"earmarks" , aFunding Trends Have The Project Development Changed Process Interstate system essentially complete ♦Typically 5 to 9 years from original concept Limited additional sales tax bond capacity to completion of construction,assuming: State and Federal funding to Contra Costa * funds are available dictated by specific formulas:for STIP, *environmental and permitting am accomplished 1.73%of statewide revenues(per SB 45) 0 Project is in IMTC's 20-you RT? Federal funds through MTC targeted for $are actually committed for 4-6 year rehab&operational improvements periods through the RTIP&STIP(to 2004) ♦$depend on federal,state and regional laws, policy guidelines,and priorities ,,dProjected 20 Year Trends . Forecast Problems (from (2013-2018 Time Frame) 1995 Flan data; 2013) � • 1995 Flan forecast:more traffic coAzesti-on *41%increase in total trips L)mn2ja1AuIiciv&W improvements *Rte 4 E:80,000 more daily trips in Antioch s Inadequate numbers&types of available (+144%),63,000(+68%)WP Grade housing near jabs(esp.central,southwest) ♦I-680 between 24&2442:+113,000(53%) ♦Most housing growth far from job centers; i ♦I-680,north of Sycamore:+96,700(84%) not broad spectrum of types(east,west) ♦Worsening arterial congestion s Central&Southwest:high intra-area trips i *Imbalance in jobs and housing availability ♦East and west county;export workers j ♦Transit trips grow to only 3.5%of total ♦Most % trips by auto i i --- J i Some Prospective Solutions ♦Better availability of full spectrum of housing types near jobs ♦More jobs near affordable housing { +Consider more transit-friendly urban development patterns ♦Promote car-pooling ♦Consider land use alternatives and/or phasing of development