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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMINUTES - 01252022 - Completed Min PktCALENDAR FOR THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS CONTRA COSTA COUNTY AND FOR SPECIAL DISTRICTS, AGENCIES, AND AUTHORITIES GOVERNED BY THE BOARD BOARD CHAMBERS, ADMINISTRATION BUILDING, 1025 ESCOBAR STREET MARTINEZ, CALIFORNIA 94553-1229 DIANE BURGIS, CHAIR, 3RD DISTRICT FEDERAL D. GLOVER, VICE CHAIR, 5TH DISTRICT JOHN GIOIA, 1ST DISTRICT CANDACE ANDERSEN, 2ND DISTRICT KAREN MITCHOFF, 4TH DISTRICT MONICA NINO, CLERK OF THE BOARD AND COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR, (925) 655-2075 PERSONS WHO WISH TO ADDRESS THE BOARD DURING PUBLIC COMMENT OR WITH RESPECT TO AN ITEM THAT IS ON THE AGENDA, MAY BE LIMITED TO TWO (2) MINUTES. A LUNCH BREAK MAY BE CALLED AT THE DISCRETION OF THE BOARD CHAIR. To slow the spread of COVID-19, the Health Officer’s Shelter Order of September 14, 2020, prevents public gatherings (Health Officer Order). In lieu of a public gathering, the Board of Supervisors meeting will be accessible via television and live-streaming to all members of the public as permitted by the Governor’s Executive Order N29-20. Board meetings are televised live on Comcast Cable 27, ATT/U-Verse Channel 99, and WAVE Channel 32, and can be seen live online at www.contracosta.ca.gov. PERSONS WHO WISH TO ADDRESS THE BOARD DURING PUBLIC COMMENT OR WITH RESPECT TO AN ITEM THAT IS ON THE AGENDA MAY CALL IN DURING THE MEETING BY DIALING 888-251-2949 FOLLOWED BY THE ACCESS CODE 1672589#. To indicate you wish to speak on an agenda item, please push "#2" on your phone. All telephone callers will be limited to two (2) minutes apiece. The Board Chair may reduce the amount of time allotted per telephone caller at the beginning of each item or public comment period depending on the number of calls and the business of the day. Your patience is appreciated. A lunch break or closed session may be called at the discretion of the Board Chair. Staff reports related to open session items on the agenda are also accessible on line at www.contracosta.ca.gov. AGENDA January 25, 2022            9:00 A.M. Convene, call to order, and opening ceremonies. (Chair, Karen Mitchoff) Present: John Gioia, District I Supervisor; Candace Andersen, District II Supervisor; Diane Burgis, District III Supervisor; Karen Mitchoff, District IV Supervisor; Federal D. Glover, District V Supervisor Staff Present:Monica Nino, County Administrator Mary Ann McNett Mason, County Counsel D.1 ACCEPT report "The Post-Covid New World Order: It's a seller's market for now" prepared by Beacon Economics. (Dr. Christopher Thornberg, Beacon Economics)       Speakers: Helen; No name given; Marianna Moore, Ensuring Opportunity Campaign, Budget Justice Coalition; Kristi Laughlin, East Bay Alliance for a Sustainable Economy; Marjorie, Douglas Dunn.   D.2 ACCEPT report on budget and key issues; and CONSIDER introducing Ordinance repealing Ordinance Code section 62-10, Other Post-Employment Benefits Funding, waiving reading, and fixing February 1, 2022, for adoption. (Monica Nino, County Administrator, Lisa Driscoll, County Finance Director and Timothy Ewell, Chief Assistant County Administrator)       Speakers: No name given; No name given; Dina Levine Lipsett, Chair of the Public Policy and Advocacy Committee; Marianna Moore, Ensuring Opportunity Campaign, Budget Justice Coalition; Marjorie Rocha, Executive Director of ECHO Housing.    AYE: District I Supervisor John Gioia, District II Supervisor Candace Andersen, District III Supervisor Diane Burgis, District IV Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District V Supervisor Federal D. Glover D.3 ACCEPT report on Capital Projects, Facilities Master Plan and Facilities Condition Assessment. (Eric Angstadt, Chief Assistant County Administrator)       AYE: District I Supervisor John Gioia, District II Supervisor Candace Andersen, District III Supervisor Diane Burgis, District IV Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District V Supervisor Federal D. Glover Closed Session A. CONFERENCE WITH LABOR NEGOTIATORS (Gov. Code § 54957.6) Agency Negotiators: Monica Nino. Employee Organizations and Unrepresented Employees: Public Employees Union, Local 1; AFSCME Locals 512 and 2700; California Nurses Assn.; SEIU Locals 1021 and 2015; District Attorney Investigators’ Assn.; Deputy Sheriffs Assn.; United Prof. Firefighters I.A.F.F., Local 1230; Physicians’ & Dentists’ Org. of Contra Costa; Western Council of Engineers; United Chief Officers Assn.; Contra Costa County Defenders Assn.; Contra Costa County Deputy District Attorneys’ Assn.; Prof. & Tech. Engineers IFPTE, Local 21; Teamsters Local 856; and all unrepresented employees.    There were no announcements from Closed Session.   12:00 P.M. BREAK FOR LUNCH   *** RESUME OPEN SESSION ***   D.4 ACCEPT report on COVID-19 response. (Anna Roth, Health Services Director)      Speakers: No name given; No name given; Ben; Mitch Free. ACCEPTED the oral report.    AYE: District I Supervisor John Gioia, District II Supervisor Candace Andersen, District III Supervisor Diane Burgis, District IV Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District V Supervisor Federal D. Glover D.5 PRESENTATION by the Contra Costa Budget Justice Coalition reflecting on 2021 and looking forward to 2022. (Dan Geiger, Coordinator Contra Costa Budget Justice Coalition)       Speakers: No name given; No name given; Diana; Cheryl Sudduth.    AYE: District I Supervisor John Gioia, District II Supervisor Candace Andersen, District III Supervisor Diane Burgis, District IV Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District V Supervisor Federal D. Glover CONSIDER potential updates to Board Operating Procedures and Communications, including returning to in-person meetings of the Board of Supervisors, and provide direction to staff. (Chair, Karen Mitchoff)      The Board will revisit the matter of returning to in-person meetings on February 22, but expects to resume in person at the March 1, 2022 meeting. Other agencies and committees that desire to do so may continue meeting virtually.   Public Comment    No name given, requested the Board provide a 20 to 30 second pause between the end of public commentary and moving on to the next agenda item in order for callers to manage technical issues, and would also like more support from the county in requiring retalers to place placards in their windows to re-inforce masking; No name given, requests the Board cease perceived censorship of speech; No name given, expressed great concern about human trafficking taking place in Contra Costa County, gang activity in the Detroit Avenue area of Concord, and his belief that taxpayer funded health care services are communist in nature.   Wrap-up and Closing Comments (Chair, Karen Mitchoff)   ADJOURN    Adjourned today's meeting at 3:30 p.m.     GENERAL INFORMATION The Board meets in all its capacities pursuant to Ordinance Code Section 24-2.402, including as the Housing Authority and the Successor Agency to the Redevelopment Agency. Persons who wish to address the Board should complete the form provided for that purpose and furnish a copy of any written statement to the Clerk. Any disclosable public records related to an open session item on a regular meeting agenda and distributed by the Clerk of the Board to a majority of the members of the Board of Supervisors less than 96 hours prior to that meeting are available for public inspection at 1025 Escobar Street, First Floor, Martinez, CA 94553, during normal business hours. All matters listed under CONSENT ITEMS are considered by the Board to be routine and will be enacted by one motion. There will be no separate discussion of these items unless requested by a member of the Board or a member of the public prior to the time the Board votes on the motion to adopt. Persons who wish to speak on matters set for PUBLIC HEARINGS will be heard when the Chair calls for comments from those persons who are in support thereof or in opposition thereto. After persons have spoken, the hearing is closed and the matter is subject to discussion and action by the Board. Comments on matters listed on the agenda or otherwise within the purview of the Board of Supervisors can be submitted to the office of the Clerk of the Board via mail: Board of Supervisors, 1025 Escobar Street, First Floor, Martinez, CA 94553 or to clerkoftheboard@cob.cccounty.us. The County will provide reasonable accommodations for persons with disabilities planning to attend Board meetings who contact the Clerk of the Board at least 24 hours before the meeting, at (925) 655-2000. An assistive listening device is available from the Clerk, First Floor. Copies of recordings of all or portions of a Board meeting may be purchased from the Clerk of the Board. Please telephone the Office of the Clerk of the Board, (925) 655-2000, to make the necessary arrangements. Forms are available to anyone desiring to submit an inspirational thought nomination for inclusion on the Board Agenda. Forms may be obtained at the Office of the County Administrator or Office of the Clerk of the Board, 1025 Escobar Street, Martinez, California. Subscribe to receive to the weekly Board Agenda by calling the Office of the Clerk of the Board, (925) 655-2000 or using the County's on line subscription feature at the County’s Internet Web Page, where agendas and supporting information may also be viewed: www.contracosta.ca.gov AGENDA DEADLINE: Thursday, 12 noon, 12 days before the Tuesday Board meetings. Glossary of Acronyms, Abbreviations, and other Terms (in alphabetical order): Contra Costa County has a policy of making limited use of acronyms, abbreviations, and industry-specific language in its Board of Supervisors meetings and written materials. Following is a list of commonly used language that may appear in oral presentations and written materials associated with Board meetings: AB Assembly Bill ABAG Association of Bay Area Governments ACA Assembly Constitutional Amendment ADA Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990 AFSCME American Federation of State County and Municipal Employees AICP American Institute of Certified Planners AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome ALUC Airport Land Use Commission AOD Alcohol and Other Drugs ARRA American Recovery & Reinvestment Act of 2009 BAAQMD Bay Area Air Quality Management District BART Bay Area Rapid Transit District BayRICS Bay Area Regional Interoperable Communications System BCDC Bay Conservation & Development Commission BGO Better Government Ordinance BOS Board of Supervisors CALTRANS California Department of Transportation CalWIN California Works Information Network CalWORKS California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids CAER Community Awareness Emergency Response CAO County Administrative Officer or Office CCCPFD (ConFire) Contra Costa County Fire Protection District CCHP Contra Costa Health Plan CCTA Contra Costa Transportation Authority CCRMC Contra Costa Regional Medical Center CCWD Contra Costa Water District CDBG Community Development Block Grant CFDA Catalog of Federal Domestic Assistance CEQA California Environmental Quality Act CIO Chief Information Officer COLA Cost of living adjustment ConFire (CCCFPD) Contra Costa County Fire Protection District CPA Certified Public Accountant CPI Consumer Price Index CSA County Service Area CSAC California State Association of Counties CTC California Transportation Commission dba doing business as DSRIP Delivery System Reform Incentive Program EBMUD East Bay Municipal Utility District ECCFPD East Contra Costa Fire Protection District EIR Environmental Impact Report EIS Environmental Impact Statement EMCC Emergency Medical Care Committee EMS Emergency Medical Services EPSDT Early State Periodic Screening, Diagnosis and Treatment Program (Mental Health) et al. et alii (and others) FAA Federal Aviation Administration FEMA Federal Emergency Management Agency F&HS Family and Human Services Committee First 5 First Five Children and Families Commission (Proposition 10) FTE Full Time Equivalent FY Fiscal Year GHAD Geologic Hazard Abatement District GIS Geographic Information System HCD (State Dept of) Housing & Community Development HHS (State Dept of ) Health and Human Services HIPAA Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act HIV Human Immunodeficiency Syndrome HOV High Occupancy Vehicle HR Human Resources HUD United States Department of Housing and Urban Development IHSS In-Home Supportive Services Inc. Incorporated IOC Internal Operations Committee ISO Industrial Safety Ordinance JPA Joint (exercise of) Powers Authority or Agreement Lamorinda Lafayette-Moraga-Orinda Area LAFCo Local Agency Formation Commission LLC Limited Liability Company LLP Limited Liability Partnership Local 1 Public Employees Union Local 1 LVN Licensed Vocational Nurse MAC Municipal Advisory Council MBE Minority Business Enterprise M.D. Medical Doctor M.F.T. Marriage and Family Therapist MIS Management Information System MOE Maintenance of Effort MOU Memorandum of Understanding MTC Metropolitan Transportation Commission NACo National Association of Counties NEPA National Environmental Policy Act OB-GYN Obstetrics and Gynecology O.D. Doctor of Optometry OES-EOC Office of Emergency Services-Emergency Operations Center OPEB Other Post Employment Benefits OSHA Occupational Safety and Health Administration PARS Public Agencies Retirement Services PEPRA Public Employees Pension Reform Act Psy.D. Doctor of Psychology RDA Redevelopment Agency RFI Request For Information RFP Request For Proposal RFQ Request For Qualifications RN Registered Nurse SB Senate Bill SBE Small Business Enterprise SEIU Service Employees International Union SUASI Super Urban Area Security Initiative SWAT Southwest Area Transportation Committee TRANSPAC Transportation Partnership & Cooperation (Central) TRANSPLAN Transportation Planning Committee (East County) TRE or TTE Trustee TWIC Transportation, Water and Infrastructure Committee UASI Urban Area Security Initiative VA Department of Veterans Affairs vs. versus (against) WAN Wide Area Network WBE Women Business Enterprise WCCTAC West Contra Costa Transportation Advisory Committee RECOMMENDATION(S): ACCEPT report "The Post-Covid New World Order: It's a seller's market for now". FISCAL IMPACT: This report is for informational purposes and has no specific fiscal impact. BACKGROUND: Attached is Beacon Economics report entitled "The Post-Covid New World Order: It's a seller's market for now". APPROVE OTHER RECOMMENDATION OF CNTY ADMINISTRATOR RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTEE Action of Board On: 01/25/2022 APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED OTHER Clerks Notes: VOTE OF SUPERVISORS Contact: Lisa Driscoll, County Finance Director (925) 655-2047 I hereby certify that this is a true and correct copy of an action taken and entered on the minutes of the Board of Supervisors on the date shown. ATTESTED: January 25, 2022 , County Administrator and Clerk of the Board of Supervisors By: , Deputy cc: All County Departments (via CAO) D.1 To:Board of Supervisors From:Monica Nino, County Administrator Date:January 25, 2022 Contra Costa County Subject:Annual Update on Economic Conditions in Contra Costa County CLERK'S ADDENDUM Speakers: Helen; No name given; Marianna Moore, Ensuring Opportunity Campaign, Budget Justice Coalition; Kristi Laughlin, East Bay Alliance for a Sustainable Economy; Marjorie, Douglas Dunn. ATTACHMENTS The Post-Covid New World Order: It's a seller's market for now. Dr. Thornberg Bio Beacon Economics | beaconecon.com Christopher Thornberg, PhD Founding Partner, Beacon Economics Director, UCR SoBA Center for Economic Forecasting and Development January 2022 The Post-Covid New World Order It’s a seller’s market for now. Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics •The Covid pandemic is a tragic natural disaster, yet history shows that natural disasters have little long-run economic impact. A quicker-than-normal recovery was certain. •The narrative of miserabilism drove fiscal and monetary policy reactions to the crisis that have been excessive and are overheating the economy. •The recovery is not even—in terms of the structure of output as well as the availability of inputs. The resultant supply chain issues are a drag on the rebound, not a threat to it. •Low private sector debt levels reduces some of the short run risk to the economy. Cyclical risks now lie primarily in the public sector; the twin issues of inflation and an out-of-control budget deficit. •Labor markets have flipped, and shortages are here to stay. This has important implications for economic development and social policy •There are no economic “new-normals” from the pandemic, but it has accelerated underlying trends that were already in place, particularly WFH, retirements, and online shopping. For Contra Costa County these changes will increase demand for residential and an employment shifts towards local services The Big Picture Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The Wall of Forecast Shame Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The U or V Debate… 17000 17500 18000 18500 19000 19500 20000 20500 21000 21500 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Real GDP and Final Demand GDP Final Demand GDP Trend FD Trend 2021 Q1 Q2 Q3 GDP 6.3 6.7 2.0 Final Demand 10.5 8.1 1.1 Consumption 7.4 7.9 1.1 Durables 3.5 1.0 -2.7 Nondurables 2.2 2.0 0.4 Services 1.8 4.9 3.4 Fixed investment 2.3 0.6 -0.1 Structures 0.1 -0.1 -0.2 Equipment 0.8 0.7 -0.2 IPP 0.8 0.6 0.6 Residential 0.6 -0.6 -0.4 Inventories -2.6 -1.3 2.1 Net Exports -1.6 -0.2 -1.1 Exports -0.3 0.8 -0.3 Imports -1.3 -1.0 -0.9 Government 0.8 -0.4 0.1 Federal 0.8 -0.4 -0.3 State and local 0.0 0.0 0.5 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The Great Recession vs Today Then Now The Pre-Recession Economy Over-heated by sub-prime lending bubble Slow but steady growth due to labor shortages / trade disruptions Recession Driver Demand shock caused by collapse in wealth, flow- stock issues Short run supply shock driven by fear and health mandates Government Response Inadequate Excessive Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Filling the consumption gap 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 1.50 1.60 1.70 1.80 1992-01-011993-12-011995-11-011997-10-011999-09-012001-08-012003-07-012005-06-012007-05-012009-04-012011-03-012013-02-012015-01-012016-12-012018-11-012020-10-01Inventory to Sales Ratio Business I/S Ratio Retail I/S Ratio -7.0% -6.0% -5.0% -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0%1970Q11973Q11976Q11979Q11982Q11985Q11988Q11991Q11994Q11997Q12000Q12003Q12006Q12009Q12012Q12015Q12018Q12021Q1US Net Exports / GDP Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics An Uneven Recovery Source: American Community Survey -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% Real Consumer Spending Relative to Trend Durables Non-Durables Services 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 Taxable Sales San Francisco San Joaquin Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The Shipping Problems Domestic Industries JIT Inventories Bad forecasts in 2020 Excess demand by consumers Global production capacity Slow shipping capacity growth in recent years Small delays cascade where a lot of capacity is sitting idle waiting to get into port Foreign Suppliers Worker outages Rising input costs Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Local Sales 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 7000000 8000000 9000000 10000000 Q1-06Q1-07Q1-08Q1-09Q1-10Q1-11Q1-12Q1-13Q1-14Q1-15Q1-16Q1-17Q1-18Q1-19Q1-20Q1-21Taxable Sales Alameda Contra Costa 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 10000000 12000000 Q2-09Q1-10Q4-10Q3-11Q2-12Q1-13Q4-13Q3-14Q2-15Q1-16Q4-16Q3-17Q2-18Q1-19Q4-19Q3-20Q2-21CCC Taxable Receipts (HdL) General Consumer Goods Business And Industry Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Business Activity Source: CDTFA, HdL Category CC 2021 to Q3 Sales Tax Receipts ($, Mil) 2-Yr Growth (%) Total 152.6 14.9 County & State Pool 33.1 49.9 Business and Industry 16.5 27.5 Building and Construction 14.8 22.8 Autos and Transportation 25.3 13.2 Food and Drugs 9.2 12.0 General Consumer Goods 26.4 2.7 Restaurants and Hotels 15.1 -5.0 Fuel and Service Stations 12.0 -8.9 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 CCC Consumer Spending Opportunity Insights Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics As for the service sector… Financial insurance 878.6 3.3% Housing utilities 2149.8 1.8% Food accommodations 850.9 -0.4% Other services 1120.6 -1.1% Health care 2224.1 -1.7% Transportation services 399.8 -13.4% Recreation services 420.4 -17.6% Real Consumer Spending Services Q4 19 to Q3 21 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Jul-05Mar-07Nov-08Jul-10Mar-12Nov-13Jul-15Mar-17Nov-18Jul-20Available Passenger Seat Miles 2021 Rev % Chg California 16,796 49.2 Central Coast 2,017 72.7 Central Valley 1,012 38.5 Deserts 726 60.8 Los Angeles 3,670 53.6 Orange County 1,791 70.6 San Diego 2,162 68.8 SF Bay Area 2,724 19.0 Hotel Statistics Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Omicron? 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 Jan-17May-17Sep-17Jan-18May-18Sep-18Jan-19May-19Sep-19Jan-20May-20Sep-20Jan-21May-21Sep-21Consumer Spending (Retail Sales) Restaurants Retai Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Federal Fiscal (Over)reaction -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 Levels of Personal Income Relative to Pre-Pandemic Trends Govt Benefits Disp Inc - Gov Bene Consumption Govt Benefits 2091.2 Income Hit -818.8 Ratio 2.6 Cumulative Excess $Billions -30.0% -25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0%1990199219941996199820002002200420062008201020122014201620182020Net Federal Borrowing as % GDP Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Fed Policy Source: FRED 15 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 7000000 8000000 9000000 Jan-03Feb-04Mar-05Apr-06May-07Jun-08Jul-09Aug-10Sep-11Oct-12Nov-13Dec-14Jan-16Feb-17Mar-18Apr-19May-20Jun-21Federal Reserve Balance Sheet 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 1997-02-011998-07-011999-12-012001-05-012002-10-012004-03-012005-08-012007-01-012008-06-012009-11-012011-04-012012-09-012014-02-012015-07-012016-12-012018-05-012019-10-012021-03-01Federal Funds Rate Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The Covid boondoggle 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 15000 16000 17000 18000 2012-04-012012-12-012013-08-012014-04-012014-12-012015-08-012016-04-012016-12-012017-08-012018-04-012018-12-012019-08-012020-04-012020-12-012021-08-01Commercial Bank Deposits 9$Bil) Actual Trend 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Jun-19Aug-19Oct-19Dec-19Feb-20Apr-20Jun-20Aug-20Oct-20Dec-20Feb-21Apr-21Jun-21Aug-21Oct-21Cumulative Personal Savings Actual Trend +$2.5 Trillion Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Speculation Planet Source: PitchBook $0.00M $50.00B $100.00B $150.00B $200.00B $250.00B Total US InvestmentsUS Venture Capital Investments US Investments 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 CAPE P/E Ratio (Shiller) Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Credit and Wealth Source: FDIC-Assets and Liabilities of FDIC-Inured Commercial Banks and Savings Institutions, NCUA 18 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 1980-01-011982-06-011984-11-011987-04-011989-09-011992-02-011994-07-011996-12-011999-05-012001-10-012004-03-012006-08-012009-01-012011-06-012013-11-012016-04-012018-09-01US Financial Obligations Ratio -15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 1985-04-011987-05-011989-06-011991-07-011993-08-011995-09-011997-10-011999-11-012001-12-012004-01-012006-02-012008-03-012010-04-012012-05-012014-06-012016-07-012018-08-012020-09-012 Year Change Household Net Worth ($Bil) Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Hardly a surprise… 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 03:Q103:Q404:Q305:Q206:Q106:Q407:Q308:Q209:Q109:Q410:Q311:Q212:Q112:Q413:Q314:Q215:Q115:Q416:Q317:Q218:Q118:Q419:Q320:Q221:Q1Share of Consumer Debt Serious Delinquency (90day+) AUTO CC MORTGAGE 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 New Personal Bankruptcies 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70+ Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Credit Markets Source: FDIC-Assets and Liabilities of FDIC-Inured Commercial Banks and Savings Institutions, NCUA 20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Value, $, SA, TrillionsBank Assets and Deposits Loans and Leases Deposits -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%04:Q105:Q106:Q107:Q108:Q109:Q110:Q111:Q112:Q113:Q114:Q115:Q116:Q117:Q118:Q119:Q120:Q121:Q1Consumer Debt Growth (NY Fed Consumer Credit Panel) Mortgage Auto Credit Card Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Profits and Investments 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2019 2020 2021 Gross Profits Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj 2019 2021 Q4 Q3 Private fixed investment 3439.9 3586.1 4.3% Software 483.8 586.5 21.2% Information processing eq 490.8 579.3 18.0% Industrial equipment 235.8 268 13.7% Residential 612.2 694.2 13.4% Research and development 463.4 504.3 8.8% Other equipment 243.1 263.3 8.3% Entertainment, literary 86 82.4 -4.2% Commercial and health care 173.8 151.9 -12.6% Manufacturing 61.8 53.4 -13.6% Mining exploration 110.4 87.9 -20.4% Transportation equipment 282.7 224.3 -20.7% Power and communication 126.8 92 -27.4% Other structures 101.4 70 -31.0% Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Venture Capital –Contra Costa County Source: PitchBook 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 DealsCapital ($, Millions)Capital Invested and Number of Deals Capital Invested ($)Deal Count Company (Contra Costa HQ) Deal Size ($, Mil.)Industry Code Dialpad 170 Information Technology Dialpad 125 Information Technology BioAge 90 Healthcare YapStone 71 Information Technology TrustArc 70 Information Technology Monarch Tractor 61 Business P&S (B2B) Reputation 53 Information Technology Dialpad 50 Information Technology YapStone 50 Information Technology Volansi 49 Business P&S (B2B) DayTwo 48 Consumer P&S (B2C) Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Housing –U.S. Source: National Association of Realtors, S&P Global 2000.0 3000.0 4000.0 5000.0 6000.0 7000.0 8000.0 Jan-01Apr-02Jul-03Oct-04Jan-06Apr-07Jul-08Oct-09Jan-11Apr-12Jul-13Oct-14Jan-16Apr-17Jul-18Oct-19Jan-21Existing Home Sales 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Jan-03Jan-04Jan-05Jan-06Jan-07Jan-08Jan-09Jan-10Jan-11Jan-12Jan-13Jan-14Jan-15Jan-16Jan-17Jan-18Jan-19Jan-20Jan-21New Home Sales Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Housing –U.S. Source: National Association of Realtors, S&P Global -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%Jan-02Mar-03May-04Jul-05Sep-06Nov-07Jan-09Mar-10May-11Jul-12Sep-13Nov-14Jan-16Mar-17May-18Jul-19Sep-20HPA: YoY Growth Case Shiller Median 18-19 19-20 20-21 Phoenix 5.8%9.2%28.3% San Diego 2.0%5.5%26.0% Seattle -0.6%7.0%24.1% Dallas 2.8%3.3%20.7% Tampa 4.6%5.9%20.7% San Francisco 0.2%2.8%20.4% Miami 2.7%4.1%19.4% Las Vegas 4.7%3.4%19.3% Denver 3.1%4.4%18.9% Charlotte 4.6%6.0%18.0% Portland 2.5%5.1%18.0% Los Angeles 1.2%5.4%17.2% New York 1.2%2.3%16.7% Atlanta 4.2%4.9%15.8% Cleveland 3.2%5.4%15.1% DC 2.7%4.4%15.0% Chicago 1.8%1.3%12.5% Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Housing Market Source: CoreLogic 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Home Sales (000s)Median Home Price ($, 000s)Contra Costa Home Prices and Sales Median Price Home Sales County Median Prices Home Sales Q3-21 ($) 2-Yr % Gr Q3-21 2-Yr % Gr Alameda 1,161,573 35.5 3,710 33.3 Contra Costa 839,606 33.4 3,538 20.9 Ventura 792,901 24.7 2,111 16.9 Monterey 773,374 23.6 838 22.6 San Francisco 1,723,741 14.3 868 39.2 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Construction Activity 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 Jan-03Feb-04Mar-05Apr-06May-07Jun-08Jul-09Aug-10Sep-11Oct-12Nov-13Dec-14Jan-16Feb-17Mar-18Apr-19May-20Jun-21Residential Permits Single Multi 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 Jan-01Mar-02May-03Jul-04Sep-05Nov-06Jan-08Mar-09May-10Jul-11Sep-12Nov-13Jan-15Mar-16May-17Jul-18Sep-19Nov-20Inventory of Homes for Sale Existing New Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Long Run Drivers 59.0 60.0 61.0 62.0 63.0 64.0 65.0 66.0 67.0 68.0 69.0 70.0 1982-01-011984-07-011987-01-011989-07-011992-01-011994-07-011997-01-011999-07-012002-01-012004-07-012007-01-012009-07-012012-01-012014-07-012017-01-012019-07-01Homeownership Rate Change SF Owner Percent Change SF Rental Percent United States 4,113,819 6.8%-466,986 -3.8% Arizona 203,875 16.7%-48,619 -13.5% California 303,949 5.4%-120,034 -6.7% Nevada 86,904 19.0%-12,025 -7.0% Washington 176,054 12.8%-19,632 -6.5% Tenure and SF Rentals 2013-2019 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Drivers of the Boom 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Jan-99Jun-00Nov-01Apr-03Sep-04Feb-06Jul-07Dec-08May-10Oct-11Mar-13Aug-14Jan-16Jun-17Nov-18Apr-20Months Supply of Existing Homes 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Mortgage Rates (30 Yr Fixed) Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Bubble Alert? Not yet… 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0%03:Q103:Q404:Q305:Q206:Q106:Q407:Q308:Q209:Q109:Q410:Q311:Q212:Q112:Q413:Q314:Q215:Q115:Q416:Q317:Q218:Q118:Q419:Q320:Q2Share Mortgage Originations > 720 Fico 2011 2019 35.0 percent or more US 49,049,732 28.1%19.9% Arizona 1,023,943 30.5%19.3% California 5,064,795 38.6%28.5% Colorado 948,904 26.1%20.7% Nevada 403,792 33.4%21.0% Utah 446,690 24.9%16.9% Share Owners Housing Cost Constrained 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 140.0% 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 2000-01-012001-05-012002-09-012004-01-012005-05-012006-09-012008-01-012009-05-012010-09-012012-01-012013-05-012014-09-012016-01-012017-05-012018-09-012020-01-01US Housing Markets Hhousehold Equity in Housing Outstanding Mortgage Debt Debt to Equity Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Apartments Source: REIS 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Rent ($)Cost of Rent East Contra Costa West Contra Costa San Francsico San Jose 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 %Vacancy Rates East Contra Costa West Contra Costa San Francisco San Jose Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Apartments and Lower Income Families Source: REIS Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Household Income Source: ACS 26.0 27.0 28.0 29.0 30.0 31.0 32.0 33.0 34.0 35.0 %Median Rent as % of HH Income Alameda Contra Costa Income East Bay Home Ownership CA Home Ownership 2019 (000s) 3-Yr % Growth 2019 (000s) 3-Yr % Growth Less than $75,000 131.2 -17.5 2,405.8 -11.7 $75,000 to $149,999 170.7 -2.0 2,386.6 4.7 $150,000 and Up 264.0 26.4 2,314.1 27.3 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics A Labor Market Paradox? 115000 120000 125000 130000 135000 140000 145000 150000 155000 May-10May-11May-12May-13May-14May-15May-16May-17May-18May-19May-20May-21May-22May-23May-24May-25May-26US Payroll Jobs -4 million jobs from Feb 2020 Current 2 Yr Ch 2 Yr Ach Financial activities 8887.7 0.9%83.3 Construction 7498.0 -0.5%-40.0 Professional business 21299.7 -0.3%-73.3 Information 2788.7 -3.1%-90.0 Other services 5768.3 -2.4%-139.3 Retail trade 15435.0 -1.0%-154.6 Manufacturing 12509.3 -2.3%-291.0 Education and health 23749.7 -2.5%-600.7 Government 21944.0 -3.3%-755.3 Leisure and hospitality 15509.0 -7.2%-1205.7 Hours 34.8 1.2% Hourly Pay 26.3 10.6% Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Labor supply, not labor demand 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 Dec-00Mar-02Jun-03Sep-04Dec-05Mar-07Jun-08Sep-09Dec-10Mar-12Jun-13Sep-14Dec-15Mar-17Jun-18Sep-19Dec-20Job Openings and Quits Openings Quits 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 2000-01-012001-04-012002-07-012003-10-012005-01-012006-04-012007-07-012008-10-012010-01-012011-04-012012-07-012013-10-012015-01-012016-04-012017-07-012018-10-012020-01-012021-04-01Unemployment and Openings Unemployment UE / JO Ratio Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The Long Run Labor Force Issue -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0%197819811984198719901993199619992002200520082011201420172020Population Trends Growth 65+Growth 15-64 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Labor supply, not labor demand -3.1 million -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 1949195319571961196519691973197719811985198919931997200120052009201320172021YoY Growth US Labor Force Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics A sellers’ market in labor 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1/1/033/1/045/1/057/1/069/1/0711/1/081/1/103/1/115/1/127/1/139/1/1411/1/151/1/173/1/185/1/197/1/209/1/21Earnings Growth by Income Quartile 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 1/1/034/1/047/1/0510/1/061/1/084/1/097/1/1010/1/111/1/134/1/147/1/1510/1/161/1/184/1/197/1/2010/1/21Earnings Growth by Education High school of less Associates degree Bachelors degree or higher Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Solutions —Extensive: Increasing labor force through immigration (SR) or birthrates (LR) —Intensive: Raising participation rates among the existing population —Productivity enhancements: capital investments / skill training Labor Shortage Solutions Labor force participation rate Females 25-54 Sweden 88.7 Austria 85.7 Finland 84.9 Canada 83.5 Netherlands 83.3 Germany 83.3 France 83.1 Denmark 82.8 Spain 82.3 United Kingdom 81.5 Belgium 80.3 Japan 80.0 Israel 79.9 Australia 79.3 Poland 79.0 Greece 77.6 United States 76.0 Korea 67.8 1 pp = 600,000 female workers in US Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The Future of Economic Development Source: BLS Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The State Employment Situation 95.0 100.0 105.0 110.0 115.0 120.0 125.0 2001-12-012003-01-012004-02-012005-03-012006-04-012007-05-012008-06-012009-07-012010-08-012011-09-012012-10-012013-11-012014-12-012016-01-012017-02-012018-03-012019-04-012020-05-012021-06-01Payroll Jobs (indexed) California Payroll Index Industry Nov-21 Emp (000s, SA) 2-Yr Chg (000s, SA) 2-Yr % Growth East Bay CA Total Nonfarm 1,111 -84 -7.0 -4.1 Prof Sci and Tech 112 9 8.8 4.0 Education/Health 197 -4 -1.9 -1.2 Manufacturing 98 -4 -3.5 -4.3 Management 24 -1 -5.6 -4.6 Information 26 -2 -6.0 -2.5 Financial Activities 51 -4 -7.5 -3.9 Admin Support 63 -5 -7.9 -1.8 Construction 70 -6 -8.1 -1.1 Government 160 -15 -8.7 -5.7 Wholesale Trade 41 -4 -9.0 -5.5 Retail Trade 99 -12 -10.5 -4.3 Leisure and Hospitality 86 -33 -27.8 -16.1 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Regional Changes Puerto Rico 7.8 California 6.9 Nevada 6.8 New Jersey 6.6 New York 6.6 New Mexico 6.2 Alaska 6 Connecticut 6 District of Columbia 6 Hawaii 6 Michigan 5.9 Illinois 5.7 Pennsylvania 5.7 Maryland 5.4 Massachusetts 5.4 Texas 5.2 Colorado 5.1 Unemployment Rate Nov 2021 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Jan-17May-17Sep-17Jan-18May-18Sep-18Jan-19May-19Sep-19Jan-20May-20Sep-20Jan-21May-21Sep-21Job Openings Rate US Az Ca Nv Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Labor Market Source: California EDD 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 % (Smoothed)Unemployment Rate East Bay San Frnancisco Sacramento 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 Jan-17Apr-17Jul-17Oct-17Jan-18Apr-18Jul-18Oct-18Jan-19Apr-19Jul-19Oct-19Jan-20Apr-20Jul-20Oct-20Jan-21Apr-21Jul-21Oct-21Index of Payroll Jobs East Bay Sacramento San Francisco San Jose Stockton Vallejo Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Regional Differences Nov-21 2 Yr Ch Ch Unemp UE / Job Loss California 16835.1 -725.3 -4.3%517.3 0.71 Stockton 248.6 -2.5 -1.0%4.1 1.64 Inland Empire 1550.1 -27.1 -1.7%40.7 1.50 Fresno 358.7 -9.5 -2.6%0.2 0.02 Sacramento 1000.5 -31.4 -3.1%16.6 0.53 Modesto 177.4 -6 -3.4%1.8 0.30 San Jose 1113.1 -47.2 -4.2%10.2 0.22 Santa Barbara 187.9 -8.5 -4.5%1.6 0.19 Orange County (MD)1606.6 -74.2 -4.6%27.9 0.38 Bakersfield 264.1 -12.6 -4.8%3.1 0.25 San Diego 1441 -73.4 -5.1%25.6 0.35 Ventura 298.9 -15.8 -5.3%3.3 0.21 Salinas 138.1 -7.4 -5.4%2.0 0.27 Los Angeles (MD)4317.2 -274.4 -6.4%209.6 0.76 Vallejo 134.8 -8.6 -6.4%4.3 0.50 San Francisco (MD)1116.4 -73.8 -6.6%16.3 0.22 Santa Rosa 197 -13.2 -6.7%3.2 0.24 East Bay (MD)1111.1 -84.2 -7.6%25.6 0.30 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics State Labor Shortage Issues 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 Feb-77Aug-79Feb-82Aug-84Feb-87Aug-89Feb-92Aug-94Feb-97Aug-99Feb-02Aug-04Feb-07Aug-09Feb-12Aug-14Feb-17Aug-19California Labor Force Growth Labor Force 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 1988-01-011990-01-011992-01-011994-01-011996-01-011998-01-012000-01-012002-01-012004-01-012006-01-012008-01-012010-01-012012-01-012014-01-012016-01-012018-01-012020-01-01California Residential Unit Permits Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Wishful Thinking? -0.50% 0.00% 0.50% 1.00% 1.50%197019741978198219861990199419982002200620102014201820222026203020342038204220462050State Net Migration with Forecast (CA DoF Est.) -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0%201120132015201720192021202320252027202920312033203520372039204120432045California Population Forecasts by Age (CA DoF est.) 15-64 65+ Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Affordability or Supply 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 700.0 Q1-96Q3-97Q1-99Q3-00Q1-02Q3-03Q1-05Q3-06Q1-08Q3-09Q1-11Q3-12Q1-14Q3-15Q1-17Q3-18Q1-20State vs National Prices US CA Ratio Worst States for Housing Affordability (>35% Cost to Income) Share Owned Share Rented Hawaii 31.1%-9.3%Florida 46.4%-4.3% California 28.5%-12.4%Hawaii 45.0%-2.3% Florida 25.0%-14.3%Louisiana 43.7%0.0% New Jersey 24.6%-11.9%California 43.6%-4.2% New York 24.4%-8.2%Vermont 43.3%1.1% Connecticut 22.9%-8.5%New York 41.2%-2.7% New Mexico 21.7%-5.8%Nevada 41.1%-2.4% Massachusetts 21.5%-8.4%Connecticut 40.6%-4.2% Montana 21.5%-6.7%Maryland 40.6%-0.6% Share Built After 2010 Share Built After 2000 Share SF Texas 14.1%32.4%66.1% California 4.6%15.4%57.7% Housing Stock Age Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics County Dynamics 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Index of Payroll Jobs (QCEW, June figures) Alameda Contra Costa San Francisco June 2021 17-19 19-21 Total, all industries 352256 0.7%-5.3% Professional and business 56396.5 3.3%0.3% Education and health 71005 3.5%0.3% Trade, transportation 60630 -5.0%-0.6% Construction 25969.5 3.5%-1.0% Financial activities 25024 -1.5%-7.4% Manufacturing 13936.5 3.8%-13.8% Other services 11405 6.0%-13.8% Information 5984 -11.7%-15.6% Leisure and hospitality 35836 5.5%-18.7% Contra Costa Payrolls (QCEW) Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Labor Market -Bay Area Source: California EDD 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 Index at 100Labor Force Growth Alameda Contra Costa Santa Clara San Francisco 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 %Unemployment Rate Contra Costa Santa Clara San Francisco Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Contra Costa: A Commuter Community 1.34 1.36 1.38 1.40 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.50 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 500,000 550,000 600,000 199019921994199619982000200220042006200820102012201420162018Payroll vs Household Employment Civilian Employment Total, All Industries Ratio 150000 170000 190000 210000 230000 250000 270000 290000 310000 330000 2010 20112012 2013 20142015 2016 2017 20182019 Employed Residents by Place of Work Work In County Work out of County +44K +52K Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Local Payroll Shifts 2010 2010 Bay Share 2019 2019 Bay Share Change Share Civilian Labor Force 525,700 16.7%559,700 15.9%-0.8% Total, All Industries 318,100 11.8%375,200 10.6%-1.1% Management of Companies 5,600 6.6%8,900 8.8%2.2% Administrative & Support 15,500 12.9%23,300 14.4%1.4% Wholesale Trade 7,600 5.1%9,000 5.8%0.7% Health Care 47,500 13.9%64,700 14.3%0.4% Other Services 11,800 6.5%13,700 6.8%0.3% Educational Services 6,300 4.2%7,700 4.1%-0.1% Leisure & Hospitality 31,300 16.2%43,000 15.9%-0.2% Durable Goods 6,900 3.3%6,500 2.6%-0.7% Construction 18,300 17.0%26,100 15.1%-1.9% Government 49,200 11.3%50,700 9.0%-2.2% Retail Trade 40,400 19.3%41,500 16.9%-2.4% Professional, Scientific 22,600 11.0%24,400 8.3%-2.7% Logistics 8,000 10.0%11,500 7.3%-2.7% Information 9,600 6.9%7,100 3.3%-3.6% Financial Activities 25,300 13.3%27,000 9.2%-4.2% Nondurable Goods 11,600 18.3%9,500 13.2%-5.1% Contra Costa Share and Share ChangesContra Costa Share of Bay Relative Share 19 Share Change 10-19 Running Ahead Administrative & Support 1.35 0.25 Health Care 1.34 0.16 Leisure & Hospitality 1.50 0.12 Catching Up Management of Companies 0.83 0.27 Wholesale Trade 0.54 0.11 Other Services 0.64 0.08 Educational Services 0.39 0.03 Shrinking Lead Construction 1.41 -0.03 Retail Trade 1.59 -0.05 Nondurable Goods 1.24 -0.32 Falling Behind Durable Goods 0.25 -0.04 Government 0.85 -0.11 Professional, Scientific 0.78 -0.15 Logistics 0.69 -0.16 Financial Activities 0.86 -0.28 Information 0.31 -0.28 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Residential Permits Source: CIRB County Single-family Permits Multifamily Permits 2021* Abs. Chg, 2019* 2021* Abs. Chg, 2019* Contra Costa 1,687 466 1,336 580 San Francisco 86 9 2,075 -552 Alameda 1,241 -41 2,953 -126 Monterey 345 -53 277 221 Ventura 330 -198 450 -136 *YTD through Q3 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 Permits (000s)Contra Costa Permits Multifamily Single-Family Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Population Source: California DOF -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 Components of Change (Thousands)Population (Millions)Contra Costa Population Population Natural Increase Net Migration City 2021 Population 2-Yr % Growth County Total 1,153,854 0.5 Brentwood 66,097 2.5 San Ramon 83,863 2.1 Pittsburg 74,498 1.2 Walnut Creek 71,317 0.8 Antioch 112,848 0.6 Incorporated 979,431 0.6 Unincorporated 174,423 0.4 Richmond 110,130 0.1 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Commercial Markets: Financials 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 1998-01-011999-05-012000-09-012002-01-012003-05-012004-09-012006-01-012007-05-012008-09-012010-01-012011-05-012012-09-012014-01-012015-05-012016-09-012018-01-012019-05-012020-09-01Commercial RE Loan Dqs Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Nonresidential Real Estate Source: CIRB 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Permit Valuations ($, Millions)Contra Costa NonRes Permit Values Commercial Alterations Permit Type 2021* Permit Value ($, Mil) Abs. Change vs. 2020* ($, Mil) Commercial 109.6 15.0 Alterations 94.3 -18.7 Store 64.5 -35.2 Office 26.3 19.5 Hotel 0 0 *YTD through Q3 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Nonresidential Rents and Vacancies Source: REIS Office Cost of Rent Vacancy Rates Q3-21 ($/sf)2-Yr % Gr Q3-21 (%)2-Yr Abs. Chg San Jose 48.0 3.1 19.7 1.5 Oakland (MD)35.2 1.2 17.0 1.7 San Francisco (MD)64.6 0.2 12.5 3.8 Retail San Jose 37.8 0.2 5.7 0.3 Oakland (MD)31.9 -0.7 8.9 0.9 San Francisco (MD)40.8 -0.8 4.8 0.6 Warehousing/Distribution Oakland (MD)7.1 4.6 6.9 -2.1 San Jose 8.8 4.3 7.3 -0.5 San Francisco (MD)10.6 2.5 4.9 -0.7 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Nonresidential Rents and Vacancies Source: REIS Office Cost of Rent Vacancy Rates Q3-21 ($/sf)2-Yr % Gr Q3-21 (%)2-Yr Abs. Chg North I-680 30.1 0.9 12.7 -1.2 West Contra Costa 31.8 0.1 20.5 4.1 North Contra Costa 33.4 -0.3 17.8 2.1 Retail Central Contra Costa 35.5 -0.4 8.2 1.3 East Contra Costa 24.8 -1.2 9.6 0.2 West Contra Costa 35.1 -1.5 9.7 0.9 Warehousing/Distribution Berkeley, Richmond, and Martinez 7.4 4.1 6.0 -5.8 Concord/Pittsburg 5.8 3.9 6.7 -1.5 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Retail / Industrial: The mix 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 2015-07-012015-11-012016-03-012016-07-012016-11-012017-03-012017-07-012017-11-012018-03-012018-07-012018-11-012019-03-012019-07-012019-11-012020-03-012020-07-012020-11-012021-03-01E-Commerce Share of Retail 250000 300000 350000 400000 450000 500000 2018-01-012018-04-012018-07-012018-10-012019-01-012019-04-012019-07-012019-10-012020-01-012020-04-012020-07-012020-10-012021-01-012021-04-012021-07-01Retail Sales Minus Non-Store Retailers Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics California Retail Employment Source: QCEW 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 Q1-06Q1-07Q1-08Q1-09Q1-10Q1-11Q1-12Q1-13Q1-14Q1-15Q1-16Q1-17Q1-18Q1-19Q1-20Q1-21Wages ($, 000s)Employment (000s)Retail Employment and Wages California Employment Average Annual Wage Industry Employment Wages Q1-21 1-Yr % Gr Q1-21 ($) 1-Yr % Gr Building material 134,533 9.8 43,309 6.4 Food and beverage 367,845 3.7 33,130 0.6 General merchandise 288,785 2.6 30,597 3.0 Nonstore retailers 62,846 1.4 108,117 17.8 Gasoline stations 61,238 -3.7 30,856 5.6 Health/personal care 108,223 -5.1 49,179 3.9 Sports, hobby, etc.55,521 -6.4 27,871 11.9 Motor vehicle 178,097 -8.2 66,928 11.6 Furniture 47,293 -9.0 43,867 6.5 Miscellaneous 82,067 -9.5 36,120 6.6 Electronics 52,218 -11.1 54,535 7.2 Clothing 132,579 -25.8 30,416 5.6 Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics WFH Before, During, and After COVID Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. “WFH is Onstage and Here to Stay” Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics WFH –Time and Preferences Source: Barrero, Jose Maria, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven J. Davis, 2021. “Why working from home will stick,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 28731. July Data. 0 10 20 30 40 Working on Second Job Childcare Outdoor Leisure and Exercise Home Improvement/Chores Indoor Leisure Working on Primary Job % of Time Saved from Commuting Allocated to: How are you now spending time you saved by not commuting? 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 5 Days Per Week 4 Days Per Week 3 Days Per Week 2 Days Per Week 1 Day Per Week Rarely or Never % of Respondents Amongst Respondents able to WFH Workers' desired amount of post-COVID WFH days Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics No such thing as a free lunch… 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 2014-01-012014-07-012015-01-012015-07-012016-01-012016-07-012017-01-012017-07-012018-01-012018-07-012019-01-012019-07-012020-01-012020-07-012021-01-01Federal Debt Accumulation Cumulative Annual 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% 55.0% 60.0%1965Q1Q4Q3Q21976Q1Q4Q3Q21987Q1Q4Q3Q21998Q1Q4Q3Q22009Q1Q4Q3Q22020Q1US Government Expenses and Revenues (All levels) Current receipts Current expenditures Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The golden age of debt Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Mr. Powell’s War Source: FRED 63 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 7000000 8000000 9000000 Jan-03Feb-04Mar-05Apr-06May-07Jun-08Jul-09Aug-10Sep-11Oct-12Nov-13Dec-14Jan-16Feb-17Mar-18Apr-19May-20Jun-21Federal Reserve Balance Sheet 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 1997-02-011998-07-011999-12-012001-05-012002-10-012004-03-012005-08-012007-01-012008-06-012009-11-012011-04-012012-09-012014-02-012015-07-012016-12-012018-05-012019-10-012021-03-01Federal Funds Rate Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Expansion HH Net Worth Source: FDIC-Assets and Liabilities of FDIC-Inured Commercial Banks and Savings Institutions, NCUA 64 -15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 1981-01-011983-10-011986-07-011989-04-011992-01-011994-10-011997-07-012000-04-012003-01-012005-10-012008-07-012011-04-012014-01-012016-10-012019-07-012 Year Change Real Household Net Worth $Billions 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2000:01:002001:01:002002:01:002003:01:002004:01:002005:01:002006:01:002007:01:002008:01:002009:01:002010:01:002011:01:002012:01:002013:01:002014:01:002015:01:002016:01:002017:01:002018:01:002019:01:002020:01:00Commercial Bank Loan Delinquencies Residential Commercial Consumer C&I Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Inflation nation… -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 1992-01-011993-08-011995-03-011996-10-011998-05-011999-12-012001-07-012003-02-012004-09-012006-04-012007-11-012009-06-012011-01-012012-08-012014-03-012015-10-012017-05-012018-12-012020-07-01YoY Change Consumer Prices All Core 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 2003-05-092004-05-092005-05-092006-05-092007-05-092008-05-092009-05-092010-05-092011-05-092012-05-092013-05-092014-05-092015-05-092016-05-092017-05-092018-05-092019-05-092020-05-092021-05-09Inflation? What inflation? Breakeven inflation 10 Year Yield Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics What drives inflation? Drivers Federal Funds Rate Commodity Prices Federal deficit Wages Money Supply Demand 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1959Q11962Q11965Q11968Q11971Q11974Q11977Q11980Q11983Q11986Q11989Q11992Q11995Q11998Q12001Q12004Q12007Q12010Q12013Q12016Q12019Q1Unit Money Supply UMS Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Impact of an Interest Rate Shock 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% 55.0% 60.0%Jan-90Jan-92Jan-94Jan-96Jan-98Jan-00Jan-02Jan-04Jan-06Jan-08Jan-10Jan-12Jan-14Jan-16Jan-18Jan-20Jan-22% Annual Income to Support Mortgage and Taxes Current 5%4%7% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0%1954-01-011959-01-011964-01-011969-01-011974-01-011979-01-011984-01-011989-01-011994-01-011999-01-012004-01-012009-01-012014-01-012019-01-01Private Sector Debt to GDP Household Non-Financial Business Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Problems 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0%1984-07-011986-08-011988-09-011990-10-011992-11-011994-12-011997-01-011999-02-012001-03-012003-04-012005-05-012007-06-012009-07-012011-08-012013-09-012015-10-012017-11-012019-12-01Federal Interest Payments as % of GDP Beacon EconomicsBeacon Economics The Long Run Still Matters •The Economy is back.. •The “V” was the only logical outcome •Recovery hampered not by lack of demand but by lack of supply •Economy has plenty of pent up demand to drive it forward for the near future •Labor market slow recovery is a function of labor supply •Good for workers at all skill levels, reduces inequality issues •Bad for businesses, consumers in short run •Immigration policy, Programs to encourage senior and female employment •Local Development = Workforce Attraction •The Outlook •6.5% Q4 US economy will remain heated for the next few years: a new roaring 20’s •Unemployment to 3.4% by year end, labor market tightness sets off an investment boom •Expect a sugar crash to come, combination of tight federal budget and inflation. •Scenarios •1: Dramatic Fed action / bond market turns the tide before things get out of control •2: Consumer Spending drives the economy until a moderately painful crash •3: Investment / debt fueled boom drives the economy even farther with a more painful crash Thank You Chris@BeaconEcon.com | beaconecon.com           "#$ !" "" %   # 0..2, " # "#! $ " #     $  #$ "#!$"#" "*$ # "#"&!% !"&$ #$ " $# " ## $ $ $$#,  0./1+ ",  ""# "$ " $ &"#   %###$" "   "#$& !$ %$ " ## "$$ ,   (!"$      "&%  "#$+ "    #+  ! )+ ""#$$"$#+ ", ""# #%$ "!"&$%#$")+$#+ %$#+  !% #,   $ )  '  "  "#$ $ #%!"  "$ "$"#$$0..3+'#  $'  #$# " "$ !"$$    "## $$  ',", "" # ,%###  # " "#  $ +,,"%####$"$ " $$$ &"#$)  ' "$% , RECOMMENDATION(S): 1. ACCEPT report on Budget and Key Issues for FY 2022/23 and beyond; 2. ACKNOWLEDGE that at the American Rescue Plan Act Workshop on August 3, 2021, the Board postponed decisions related to the allocation of Year 2 American Rescue Plan - CSLFRF funds in the amount of $112 million until more information was known about other American Rescue Plan revenue sources and the status of the COVID-19 pandemic response and related impacts on Contra Costa County; 3. ACKNOWLEDGE that the County Administrator will be recommending approximately $53 million in Year 2 allocation of American Rescue Plan – CSLFRF funds for continued Health Services Department response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the FY 2022/23 Recommended Budget; 4. POSTPONE decisions related to the remaining $59 million of Year 2 allocation of American Rescue Plan - CSLFRF funds until the status of the COVID-19 pandemic response and related impacts on Contra Costa County is better understood in January 2023; and 5. INTRODUCE Ordinance No. 2022-## repealing Ordinance Code chapter 62-10, Allocation of Funds for Other Post-Employment Benefits, WAIVE reading, and FIX February 1, 2022, for adoption. FISCAL IMPACT: The financial impact of repealing Ordinance Code section 62-10, Other Post-Employment Benefits (OPEB) Funding, is approximately $67.0 million which will be redirected to employee wages. APPROVE OTHER RECOMMENDATION OF CNTY ADMINISTRATOR RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTEE Action of Board On: 01/25/2022 APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED OTHER Clerks Notes: VOTE OF SUPERVISORS AYE:John Gioia, District I Supervisor Candace Andersen, District II Supervisor Diane Burgis, District III Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District IV Supervisor Federal D. Glover, District V Supervisor Contact: Lisa Driscoll, County Finance Director (925) 655-2047 I hereby certify that this is a true and correct copy of an action taken and entered on the minutes of the Board of Supervisors on the date shown. ATTESTED: January 25, 2022 , County Administrator and Clerk of the Board of Supervisors By: June McHuen, Deputy cc: All County Departments (via CAO) D.2 To:Board of Supervisors From:Monica Nino, County Administrator Date:January 25, 2022 Contra Costa County Subject:Budget and Key Issues - Repeal of Ordinance 62-10.002 Allocation of funds for OPEB BACKGROUND: Attached is the report on Budget and Key Issues. On May 16, 2006, the Board of Supervisors received an actuarial analysis of the County's liability for retiree healthcare and other post-employment benefits (OPEB), which identified a total (and growing) liability of $2.6 billion. On June 26, 2007, as part of a strategic funding strategy, the Board of Supervisors adopted an OPEB funding target of 100% of the potential liability for the retiree population. The volatility of the health benefit environment ruled out targeting 100% of the entire potential future liability. Additionally, the Board’s goal to ensure our service delivery balance also made funding 100% of the liability impossible. Conversely, long-term impact to the County and General Fund balance sheets ruled out continuing to pay only current costs (pay-go). After discussion, the Board adopted an OPEB pre-funding policy targeting the entire amount associated with the retiree population, which equated to approximately 40% of the total liability at that time ($1.029 billion). The Board also adopted an allocation of specific future eligible resources to meet the requirements for OPEB funding. The following table lists those annual resources identified at that time (in millions): Resource Beginning FY Amount Redirect Workers Compensation 2008/09 $10 Redirect UAAL Rate Adjustment 2009/10 $10 Redirect POB Bond payments 2014/15 $33 Redirect POB Bond payments 2022/23 $47 Total Annual Future Resource Redirection 2024 - onward $100 On September 25, 2007 the Board of Supervisors approved the selection of an irrevocable trust structure (Internal Revenue Code Section 115) for OPEB funding for Contra Costa County. The purpose of the Trust is to hold assets to pay post employment health benefits and the purpose of the Plan is to provide post employment health benefits for certain retired employees and their spouses and dependents. The County began pre-funding benefits in the 2008/09 fiscal year. Due to budget constraint, in 2014, the allocation target was revised (by Ordinance) to (in millions): Resource Beginning FY Amount Redirect Workers Compensation 2008/09 $10 Redirect UAAL Rate Adjustment 2009/10 $10 Redirect POB Bond payments 2022/23 $47 Total Annual Future Resource Redirection 2024 - onward $67 The most recent actuarial report (attached), as of June 30, 2021, identified the fiduciary net position as $444.728 million, the current net position of the total OPEB liability as 50.6%, and the current percentage of retirees to actuals in the liability as 43.57%. The assets held in the OPEB Trust exceed the targeted funding level; therefore, the County is recommending that the on-going funding Ordinance be repealed. CONSEQUENCE OF NEGATIVE ACTION: Delay in repealing Ordinance on Other Post-Employment Benefits Funding, which impacts the allocation of resources in the annual budget. CLERK'S ADDENDUM Speakers: No name given; No name given; Dina Levine Lipsett, Chair of the Public Policy and Advocacy Committee; Marianna Moore, Ensuring Opportunity Campaign, Budget Justice Coalition; Marjorie Rocha, Executive Director of ECHO Housing. ATTACHMENTS Contra Costa County Update - Budget & Key Issues Ordinance No. 2022- OPEB Actuarial Report of October 6, 2021 CONTRA COSTA COUNTY UPDATE BUDGET & KEY ISSUES Presentation to Board of Supervisors January 25, 2022 CONTRA COSTA COUNTY FAMILIAR BUDGET DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES 2 Economic Forecast COVID Cost Recovery Labor Negotiations ARPA Funds Measure X & Freed-Up POB/OPEB Resources Fund Infrastructure Needs (Repair & Maintenance) Adequately Fund Health Department & Public Safety 2022/23 Assumptions Assuming continuation of the Pandemic and associated expenses and offsetting revenues. Will recommend structurally balanced budget including $107 in Measure X sales tax revenues. OPEB managed (unfunded liability reduced from $2.6 B in 2006 to current $433.3 million as of 6/30/2021). Will discontinue OPEB pre-pay of $20 million in FY 2022/23 as target funding level has been achieved. Assessed Value, on which general purpose revenue is based, was up 6.34% in 2018/19; 5.3% in 2019/20; 4.87% in 2020/21; 3.44% in 2021/22. The budget will be built on assumption of 6.0% increase in assessed valuations. FY 2022/23 is projected to be significantly higher than ‘normal’. The final County pension obligation bond (POB) payment will be made in June, freeing up $47.4 million in annual resources for employee wages. We have labor contracts expiring 6/30/2022 for most of our bargaining groups including In-Home Supportive Services and are in bargaining with the California Nurses Association. Only 15% of employees have contracts expiring after 6/30/2022. Assuming completion of the Facilities Master Plan and Assessment in FY 2022/23. 3 SOLID PENSION FUNDING STATUS 4 CCCERA lowered its investment earnings assumption from 7.25% to 7.00%, beginning in calendar year 2014 County UAAL as of 12/31/2020 was $557.373 million Final POB payment scheduled for June, 2022 Contra Costa County Employees Retirement Association Pension Funding Status ($000s) Actuarial Valuation Date Total CCCERA Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liabilities Funded Ratio County UAAL CCC Fire Protection District UAAL 2009 $1,024,673 83.80%$727,578 $68,294 2010 1,312,215 80.30%918,919 104,750 2011 1,488,593 78.50%1,037,535 130,737 2012 2,279,059 70.60%1,591,610 228,950 2013 1,823,681 76.40%1,260,363 180,209 2014 1,469,942 81.70%1,003,749 151,686 2015 1,311,823 84.50%879,610 154,708 2016 1,187,437 86.50%776,396 143,193 2017 1,059,356 88.50%689,426 131,765 2018 1,031,966 89.30%677,735 123,353 2019 947,054 90.60%607,938 132,554 2020 859,345 91.80%557,373 121,270 The County establishing an OPEB Trust in 2008 and began pre-funding benefits that same year Pre-funding has been $20 million per year The funded ratio is at 50.60% as of the most recent valuation date (6/30/2021) and exceeds the minimum goal of 44% We are recommending that the $20 million pre-funding be discontinued beginning July 1, 2022 5 OPEB TRUST PREFUNDING STATUS Other Post Employment Benefit Funding Status ($000s) Actuarial Valuation Date Total Liability Net Liability Funded Ratio 2008 $2,367,023 $2,367,023 0.00% 2009 1,879,242 1,859,204 1.10% 2010 1,046,113 1,021,065 2.40% 2011 1,078,665 1,016,945 5.70% 2012 1,033,801 948,310 8.30% 2013 1,033,776 968,285 6.30% 2014 923,848 794,422 14.00% 2015 939,053 764,329 18.60% 2016 902,011 706,035 21.70% 2017 928,782 693,566 25.30% 2018 932,187 662,517 28.90% 2019 958,588 650,074 32.20% 2020 865,62 523,933 39.50% 2021 878,049 433,321 50.60% 5 Bay Area Unemployment Rate November 2021 (Unadjusted) 6 •The County’s unemployment levels rebounded strongly from the highs experienced during the Financial Crisis in 2008-2010, reaching peak employment in 2019. Subsequent to COVID-19 the county has increased in line with State (5.4%) and national trends. •Marin 2.9% •San Mateo 3.1% •Santa Clara 3.2% •San Francisco 3.3% •Sonoma 3.7% •Napa 4.2% •Alameda 4.3% •Contra Costa 4.6% •Solano 5.4% •9 County Average 3.9% (5.9% Last Year) PROPERTY TAX 7County property taxes declined by over 11% between 2009 and 2012 and then grew significantly between 2014 and 2019. Projecting an increase of 6% for fiscal year 2022/23. Actual County and Contra Costa County Fire Protection District experience below: Fiscal Year County CCC Fire Protection 2009-10 (7.19%)(7.8%) 2010-11 (3.38%)(2.4%) 2011-12 (0.49%)(1.9%) 2012-13 0.86%(1.2%) 2013-14 3.45%5.9% 2014-15 9.09%9.3% 2015-16 7.53%6.9% 2016-17 601%6.32% 2017-18 5.78 %5.53% 2018-19 6.34%6.44% 2019-20 5.30%5.50% 2020-21 4.87%5.22% 2021-22 3.44%3.82% The County’s assessed valuation has rebounded from the recession with nine consecutive years of growth For FY 2021-22, the County’s assessed valuation increased 3.4 % to $233.5 billion The County projects FY 2022-23 assessed valuation will grow 6.0% The delinquency rate on tax collections was less than 1%(.83%)in FY 2020-21 Secured AV represents 97.4% of total AV in the County 8 Assessed Valuation and Assessment Roll Growth 8 GENERAL FUND RESERVES PERFORMANCE IN SYNC WITH POLICY 9 For FY 2020-21, total General Fund revenues were $1.905 billion,and the total fund balance was $720.966 million, or 37.83% of total General Fund revenue Of the $720.966 million: $403.304 million was unassigned –21.16% of total General Fund Revenues $317.662 million was assigned, committed, restricted or nonspendable 9.4% 11.0% 13.2% 16.5% 17.9% 16.6% 20.1%20.5%21.2% 9.0% 11.0% 13.0% 15.0% 17.0% 19.0% 21.0% 23.0% 2012-13 Actual 2013-14 Actual 2014-15 Actual 2015-16 Actual 2016-17 Actual 2017-18 Actual 2018-19 Actual 2019-20 Actual 2020-21 Actual Unassigned 10FY 2021/22 MID-YEAR PRELIMINARY STATS BUDGET PERFORMING AS EXPECTED Mid-Year 21-22 Mid-Year 20-21 Mid-Year 19-20 Mid-Year 18-19 Mid-Year 17-18 ALL FUNDS Budget Actual Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Expenditures $4,748,058,636 $1,811,140,499 38.14%43.6%40.7%41.0%41.6% Revenues $4,355,929,320 $1,870,266,215 42.94%44.5%39.2%44.3%43.6% GENERAL FUND Budget Actual Percent Percent Percent Percent Expenditures $2,266,831,891 $838,350,038 36.98%42.7%40.5%41.2%37.5% Revenues $2,057,672,840 $931,095,521 45.25%46.4%37.1%40.5%40.4% Wages & Benefits $1,048,798,080 $473,505,268 45.15%45.11%45.7%45.9%46.0% Services & Supplies $763,831,335 $269,829,193 35.33%42.88%37.4%38.6%38.3% Other Charges $424,951,200 $140,087,703 32.97%45.59%40.4%43.9%40.4% Fixed Assets $171,633,592 $17,491,193 10.19%24.84%23.5%23.1%14.4% Inter-departmental Charges ($150,502,916)($62,563,318)41.57%43.78%41.0%45.8%46.5% Contingencies $8,120,600 Total Expenses $2,266,831,891 $838,350,038 36.98%40.5%40.5%41.2%40.4% Taxes $674,641,200 $413,528,837 61.30%62.45%64.0%63.8%59.7% License, Permits, Franchises $12,602,000 $3,499,925 27.77%23.17%29.5%31.7%31.2% Fines, Forfeitures, Penalties $24,461,000 $2,134,126 8.72%4.52%8.1%11.0%7.6% Use of Money & Property $5,471,000 $1,689,786 30.89%42.16%28.5%82.9%48.8% Federal/State Assistance $784,380,606 $346,395,821 44.16%50.17%28.2%37.3%33.0% Charges for Current Services $195,378,923 $93,087,102 47.64%43.75%31.8%37.9%38.8% Other Revenue $360,738,111 $70,759,924 19.62%23.28%27.4%23.4%22.4% Total Revenues $2,057,672,840 $931,095,521 45.25%46.39%37.1%40.5%38.0% Figures are shown in whole numbers; therefore, due to independent rounding, figures shown may not sum to subtotals and totals . CONTRACT STATUS 11 Total Number Contract of Permanent Employees 1 Expiration Date AFSCME Local 512, Professional and Technical Employees 233 6/30/2022 AFSCME Local 2700, United Clerical, Technical and Specialized Employees 1,454 6/30/2022 California Nurses Association 817 2 9/30/2021 CCC Defenders Association 92 6/30/2022 CCC Deputy District Attorneys’ Association 88 6/30/2022 Deputy Sheriffs Association, Mgmt Unit and Rank and File Unit 808 6/30/2023 Deputy Sheriffs Association, Probation Peace Officers Association 215 6/30/2023 District Attorney Investigator’s Association 14 6/30/2023 IAFF Local 1230 355 6/30/2023 IHSS SEIU - 2015 6/30/2022 Physicians and Dentists of Contra Costa 243 10/31/2022 Professional & Technical Engineers – Local 21, AFL-CIO 1,167 6/30/2022 Public Employees Union, Local One & FACS Site Supervisor Unit 512 6/30/2022 SEIU Local 1021, Rank and File and Service Line Supervisors Units 858 6/30/2022 Teamsters, Local 856 1,806 6/30/2022 United Chief Officers' Association 13 6/30/2023 Western Council of Engineers 22 6/30/2022 Management Classified & Exempt & Management Project 433 n/a Total 9,130 1 Permanent number of filled Positions as of January 5, 2022 (not FTE) 2 Currently in Negotiations COVID COST RECOVERY 12 12 Primary Financial Goals During Pandemic ◦Keeping County financial position stable (avoid layoffs,keep CBO contracts funded) ◦Maximizing cost recovery from all eligible revenue sources (CARES Act,FEMA , American Rescue Plan Act, etc.) Contract with Cost Recovery Consultant ◦Board approved contract with Ernst &Young LLP on June 2,2020 ◦Cost Recovery Working Group has been meeting bi-weekly ◦Primarily concentrating on FEMA claims, but also assists with overall cost recovery strategy ◦Consultant costs covered by FEMA Public Assistance reimbursement Achievements During Emergency Response ◦County finances have remained stable (specifically social safety net functions) ◦Minimal layoffs of County employees (all impacted employees offered employment in other areas of the County) ◦CBOs remained fully funded during 2020 shelter in place ◦County upgraded by Moody’s during pandemic, in part, due to strong financial position 13 APPROACH TO COST RECOVERY Comparison of Congressional Spending Packages •$2.2 Trillion -CARES Act (March 2020) •$1.9 Trillion -American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) (March 2021) •$0.9 Trillion -Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 (December 2020 Stimulus) •$0.8 Trillion -American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (2009) •$0.7 Trillion -Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (aka TARP, 2008) Challenge is lining up funding to maximize cost recovery •Requires constant coordination between departments •Will continue for at least the next 3-5 years as funds from above legislation is spent down (e.g., certain ARPA revenue must be obligated by 2024 & spent by 2026) •CAO will continue to provide quarterly ARPA spending reports to the Board with the next report at the March 1, 2022 meeting 14 COVID-19 FUNDING LANDSCAPE 15FUNDING LANDSCAPE Major Takeaways •Unprecedented levels of funding over the last 22 months •Federal agencies slow to put out guidance regarding funding streams •Most of the revenue sources flow through the States causing further bottlenecks in getting resources to local government Key Takeaways: •Four revenue drivers impact vast majority the County’s cost recovery •Contra Costa receiving significant Federal assistance, including the cities! •County responsible for pandemic response, including associated costs •All COVID-19 revenue sources are one-time only funds! 16COVID-19 COST RECOVERY FUNDING SOURCES Program Allocation Coronavirus Relief Fund $227,827,652 ARPA Fiscal Recovery Fund 224,058,903 Emergency Rental Assistance Program 147,427,324 FEMA Public Assistance Program (Est.)67,743,013 Total $667,056,892 CSLFRF Allocations Contra Costa County, By City Population*Allocation Antioch 112,236 21,550,900$ Brentwood 66,097 6,923,339$ Clayton 11,268 2,934,049$ Concord 129,273 27,040,883$ Danville 43,906 10,647,738$ El Cerrito 24,846 6,102,056$ Hercules 25,864 6,285,778$ Lafayette 25,358 6,372,376$ Martinez 36,827 9,161,456$ Moraga 16,820 4,254,072$ Oakley 42,895 10,177,190$ Orinda 19,078 4,766,723$ Pinole 19,369 4,605,009$ Pittsburg 74,498 16,290,477$ Pleasant Hill 34,133 8,334,229$ Richmond 110,130 27,740,723$ San Pablo 31,041 7,416,467$ San Ramon 83,863 8,115,425$ Walnut Creek 71,317 8,327,653$ Total 197,046,543$ * Population figures based on 2021 Estimates from the CA Department of Finance. Departments have identified… •$324,714,012 in known ARPA allocations coming into the County •$190,628,841 has been received •$92,553,836 has been spent •Includes $20,816,824 of CSLFRF allocated to the Health Services Department •$16,882,139 in previously unfunded COVID-19 costs or underrealized revenues •$71,655,531 in one-time needs 17 AMERICAN RESCUE PLAN 18AMERICAN RESCUE PLAN PROGRAM INFORMATION Program Title Est. Federal Grant Allocation to County Federal Grant Allocation Received Federal Grant Allocation Expended Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Relief Fund (CSLFRF)$224,058,903 $112,029,452 $20,816,824 Emergency Rental Assistance Program (ERAP) 2 - Federal Direct Allocation $38,941,950 $38,941,950 $38,941,950 Emergency Rental Assistance Program (ERAP) 2 - State Subrecipient Allocation $32,663,062 $32,663,062 $32,663,062 Head Start $ 2,300,000 $2,302,066 $0 Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) $ 4,692,311 $4,692,311 $0 American Rescue Plan Act Funding for Health Centers $ 3,355,250 $0 $132,000 Community Mental Health Services Block Grant (MHBG)$2,604,182 $0 $0 Substance Abuse Prevention and Treatment Block Grant (SABG) $ 2,508,139 $0 $0 Public Health Workforce $ 1,500,000 $0 $0 HOME-ARP: HOME Investment Partnerships American Rescue Plan Program $ 12,090,215 $0 $0 Total $324,714,012 $190,628,841 $92,553,836 FINANCIAL INFORMATION AMERICAN RESCUE PLAN FY 2021/22 - 1st Quarter Financial Report Eligible Use Guiding Principles •Unless otherwise noted, covered period is March 3, 2021-December 31, 2024 (IFR p. 88) •Costs can be incurred by December 31, 2024 but must be expended by December 31, 2026 (IFR p. 122) •Cannot spend funds on pension deposits (IFR p. 71) •States cannot spend the funds to reduce taxes or delay a tax increase (IFR p. 69) •May not be used as non-Federal Match for other Federal Programs (IFR p. 86) Four Eligible Use categories •COVID-19 or a negative economic impact •Premium pay for eligible workers •For government services to the extent of the loss of revenue Based on Treasury provided calculation; or $10 million allowance in lieu of calculation (New provision in final rule) •Investments in water, sewer and broadband infrastructure 19STATE AND LOCAL FISCAL RECOVERY FUND 20RENTAL ASSISTANCE UPDATE $147,427,324 for Contra Costa •ERAP 1: $75,822,311 •ERAP 2: $71,605,012 as of January 18, 2022 •23,795 active cases •$407,841,468 in relief requested •$183,754,816 in relief approved •$112,763,999 in relief paid •9,231 cases paid Gap of $36.3 million and growing •County continuing to advocate in lockstep with the State for reallocation of Federal dollars Reminders: •FEMA reimburses 100% of eligible costs, which does not mean 100% of actual costs (Salary and Benefit costs of permanent staff not eligible!) •FEMA is the reimbursement source of last resort (after applying cascading funding) and sometimes disallows a portion of requested reimbursement What’s it mean?: •FEMA reimbursement process cumbersome and could take years before reimbursement is received (typically 24-36 months) •The County General Fund is fronting $66.9 million (does not include Fire Mutual Aid figure above) in FEMA eligible costs and has only received $3.5 million to date in reimbursement -this figure will continue to grow 21FEMA COST RECOVERY UPDATE Claim Category Estimate Claimed Obligated Received Non-Congregate Shelter 29,966,832 17,425,870 - - COVID Testing Costs 17,958,576 Incremental Cleaning Costs 9,546,103 - - - Great Plates 6,415,043 6,415,043 3,609,873 3,464,038 Cleaning, Materials, PPE 2,000,000 Consultant Costs (Ernst & Young)1,000,000 Vaccination (Fire Mutual Aid)820,000 - - - General Costs - Rental Equipment, Other Costs 36,459 Total 67,743,013 23,840,913 3,609,873 3,464,038 as of January 18, 2022 HEALTH SERVICES AMERICAN RESCUE PLAN ACT & CORONAVIRU S STATE AND LOCAL FISCAL RECOVERY FUNDS 22PROJECTED July 2021 through June 2022 EXPENDITURES * PAYROLL COSTS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH EMPLOYEES* PERMANENT SALARIES AND BENEFITS 42,439,500$ TEMPORARY SALARIES (include Emergency Service Workers)7,418,874 OVERTIME PAY 1,278,100 TOTAL PAYROLL COSTS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH EMPLOYEES 51,136,474$ SERVICES AND SUPPLIES REGISTRY/MEDICAL PERSONNEL 7,510,800$ TESTING MACHINES AND OTHER TESTING COSTS 6,741,306 MEDICAL AND OTHER RELATED EXPENSES 5,526,139 MATERIALS & SUPPLIES 3,947,899 IT SYSTEMS SUPPORT SERVICES 1,992,168 CLEANING AND DISINFECTING 1,342,997 LAB SPECIMEN TESTING 896,683 TRAINING AND MISC. COST 875,942 SECURITY & SAFETY 716,249 REPAIRS AND MAINTENANCE 661,157 EQUIPMENT RENTAL, EQUIPMENT REPAIR/MAINTENANCE 584,266 TELEWORK 465,264 EQUIPMENT ACQUISITION 360,384 COVID‐19 TRANSLATION SERVICES 171,439 COMPUTER AND OTHER MINOR EQUIPMENT 53,832 COMPUTER SOFTWARE 10,886 PERSONAL PROTECTIVE EQUIPMENT 6,115 TOTAL SERVICES AND SUPPLIES 31,863,526$ TOTAL COVID RELATED EXPENSES 83,000,000$ *Projection based on five months of actual experience. *Costs are for services substantially dedicated to mitigating or responding to the COVID‐19 health emergency. CONTRA COSTA REGIONAL MEDICAL CENTER 23 •Contra Costa Regional Medical Center (CCRMC) is a 164-bed acute care public hospital owned and operated by the County. It is inclusive of ten ambulatory health care centers, which are licensed as outpatient departments of the hospital. •Operation of the CCRMC is financially administered primarily with Hospital/Health Plan revenues, with the County General Fund subsidizing approximately 11% of CCRMC’s budget •The County General Fund allocation had been significantly reduced over the last five years following the implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) •The subsidy will continue at $73.2 million in FY 2022/23 •ACA membership and related revenue declined in FY 2018-19; the ACA impact coupled with new labor agreement costs created a need for additional subsidy in FY 2019-20 •Measure X general purpose revenue will support $40 million beginning in FY 2022/23 •No other changes in general fund subsidy are anticipated over the next few years •Significantly increased costs, due to the Pandemic, have been offset with CARES, ARPA, and FEMA funding CONTRA COSTA FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT 24 •East Contra Costa Fire Protection District Annexation •The annexation of East Contra Costa Fire continues to move through the LAFCO process and is anticipated to be finalized before July 1, 2022. •Measure X funding will support service expansion through the construction of Fire Station 51 (Brentwood) and construction/staffing of Fire Station 54 (Brentwood). •Pinole Fire Contract for Service •Initial discussions have been held between the City of Pinole and CCCFPD •Measure X is also supporting this initiative through funding to reopen Fire Station 74. •Fire Station Construction •Fire Station 86 (Bay Point) on track for December 2022 opening. •Fire Station 9 (Pacheco) is in the planning/pre-construction phase. •CCCFPD Measure X Funding •$1.6 million (one-time) and $3.5 million (ongoing) to acquire apparatus and staff a second unit at Fire Station 81 (downtown Antioch). •Wildland Fire Mitigation and Fuel Reduction –$2.5 million annually for a year-round hand crew program; $2.0 million annually for Fuels Reduction Projects throughout high fire hazard zones countywide. REASONS FOR CONTINUED CONCERN 25•Cost and impact of the Pandemic will exceed one- time funding •Rental Assistance –there is a greater need for rental assistance than resources support •Aging Facilities –there is a need to identify funding for the next three years (minimally) •Aging Technology –countywide needs including hardware and security are significant -Finance & Tax systems replacement in process •Unknown to what level the Federal government will continue to respond to counties needs •Inflation is here •Real long-term issues coming due to excessive stimulus funds •Unincorporated Patrol –funding of $10 million must be identified •Ongoing funding for County Hospital, Clinics, and Health Plan -it continues to be difficult to support the hospital with increased costs. We continue to dedicate new revenue to support Hospital needs. We must continue to consider alternative revenue streams and right size services to resources available. 26 FY 2022-23 BUDGET HEARING FORMAT •Draft agenda for discussion purposes •Introduction/summary by County Administrator •Departmental presentations: •Sheriff-Coroner •District Attorney •Public Defender •Health Services Director •Employment and Human Services Director •Animal Services Director •Suggested changes for this year? •Deliberation •Budget Hearing on April 12th (hearing can be continued if needed) •Budget Adoption on May 10th •The Fire Board will receive a budget presentation on the District’s budget on April 26. Per the norm the Fire Budget Hearing and Adoption will occur along with the Countywide Budget on May 10th. 27RECOMMENDATIONS •ACCEPT report on Budget and Key Issues for FY 2022/23 and beyond; •ACKNOWLEDGE that at the American Rescue Plan Act Workshop on August 3, 2021, the Board postponed decisions related to the allocation of Year 2 American Rescue Plan -CSLFRF funds in the amount of $112 million until more information was known about other American Rescue Plan revenue sources and the status of the COVID-19 pandemic response and related impacts on Contra Costa County. •ACKNOWLEDGE that the County Administrator will be recommending approximately $53 million in Year 2 allocation of American Rescue Plan –CSLFRF funds for continued Health Services Department response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the FY 2022/23 Recommended Budget. •POSTPONE decisions related to the remaining $59 million of Year 2 allocation of American Rescue Plan -CSLFRF funds until the status of the COVID-19 pandemic response and related impacts on Contra Costa County is better understood in January 2023 and •REPEAL Ordinance Code section 62-10.002, Other Post-Employment Benefits Funding, waiving reading, and fixing February 1, 2021, for adoption ORDINANCE NO. 2022-___ 1 ORDINANCE NO. 2022-___ (Repeal of Ordinance Allocating Funds for Other Post-Employment Benefits.) The Board of Supervisors of the County of Contra Costa ordains as follows: SECTION I. Summary. This ordinance repeals Chapter 62-10 of the County Ordinance Code, which allocates specific future resources for funding Other Post-Employment Benefits. SECTION II. Repeal. Chapter 62-10, which contains only Section 62-10.002 (Allocation of Funds for Other Post-Employment Benefits), is hereby repealed and of no further force or effect. SECTION III. Effective Date. This ordinance becomes effective 30 days after passage, and within 15 days of passage shall be published once with the names of the supervisors voting for or against it, in the East Bay Times, a newspaper published in this County. PASSED ON , by the following vote: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTAIN: ATTEST: MONICA NINO, Clerk of the Board of Supervisors Board Chair Karen Mitchoff and County Administrator By: Deputy Clerk [___________] [SEAL] RJH:lg H:\2022\Board of Supervisors \OBEB allocation ordinance repeal.doc Offices in Principal Cities Worldwide 2175 N. California Blvd., Suite 810 Walnut Creek, CA 94596 USA Tel +1 888 881 4015 Fax +1 888 884 0329 milliman.com October 6, 2021 Ms. Lisa Driscoll County Finance Director County Administrator’s Office 651 Pine Street, 10th Floor Martinez, CA 94553 Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan – GASB 74 / 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 Dear Ms. Driscoll: I am pleased to enclose above titled report for the Contra Costa County (“County”). In this report, we have prepared certain disclosures required by GASB Statements No. 74 and 75 for the Contra Costa County’s OPEB Plan for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021. If you have any questions or would like to review the report, please call me at (415) 394-3740. Sincerely, John R. Botsford, FSA, MAAA enc. Milliman Client Report Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 Prepared by: John R. Botsford FSA, MAAA Milliman, Inc. 2175 N. California Blvd., Suite 810 Walnut Creek, California 94596 Tel 888 881 4015 Fax 888 884 0329 milliman.com October 6, 2021 Offices in Principal Cities Worldwide 2175 N. California Blvd., Suite 810 Walnut Creek, CA 94596 USA Tel +1 888 881 4015 Fax +1 888 884 0329 milliman.com October 6, 2021 Contra Costa County 651 Pine Street Martinez, CA 94553 Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 At the request of the Contra Costa County, we have prepared GASB 74 / 75 disclosures for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021, to comply with Statements No. 74 and 75 of the Governmental Accounting Standards Board (GASB). In preparing this report, we relied, without audit, on information supplied by the Contra Costa County’s staff. This information includes but is not limited to employee census data, financial information and plan provisions. While Milliman has not audited the financial and census data, they have been reviewed for reasonableness and are, in our opinion, sufficient and reliable for the purposes of our calculations. If any of this information as summarized in this report is inaccurate or incomplete, the results shown could be materially affected and this report may need to be revised. All costs, liabilities, rates of interest, and other factors for the County have been determined on the basis of actuarial assumptions and methods which are individually reasonable (taking into account the experience of the County and reasonable expectations); and which, in combination, offer our best estimate of anticipated experience affecting the County. Further, in our opinion, each actuarial assumption used is reasonably related to the experience of the Plan and to reasonable expectations which, in combination, represent our best estimate of anticipated experience for the County. This valuation report is only an estimate of the Plan’s financial condition as of a single date. It can neither predict the Plan’s future condition nor guarantee future financial soundness. Actuarial valuations do not affect the ultimate cost of Plan benefits, only the timing of County’s contributions. While the valuation is based on an array of individually reasonable assumptions, other assumption sets may also be reasonable and valuation results based on those assumptions would be different. No one set of assumptions is uniquely correct. Determining results using alternative assumptions is outside the scope of our engagement. The results were developed using models that use standard actuarial techniques. We have reviewed the models, including their inputs, calculations, and outputs for consistency, reasonableness, and appropriateness to the intended purpose and in the compliance with generally accepted actuarial practice and relevant actuarial standards of practice (ASOP). Future actuarial measurements may differ significantly from the current measurements presented in this report due to such factors as the following: plan experience differing from that anticipated by the economic or demographic assumptions; changes in economic or demographic assumptions; increases or decreases expected as part of the natural operation of the methodology used for these measurements (such as the end of an amortization period); and changes in plan provisions or Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 October 6, 2021 Page 2 applicable law. Due to the limited scope of our assignment, we did not perform an analysis of the potential range of future measurements. The County has the final decision regarding the appropriateness of the assumptions and actuarial cost methods. Actuarial computations presented in this report under GASB Statements No. 74 and 75 are for purposes of assisting the County in fulfilling its financial accounting requirements. The computations prepared for this purpose may differ as disclosed in our report. The calculations in the enclosed report have been made on a basis consistent with our understanding of the County’s funding policy and goals. The calculations in this report have been made on a basis consistent with our understanding of the OPEB plan provisions described in Appendix A of this report, and of GASB Statements No. 74 and 75. Determinations for purposes other than meeting these requirements may be significantly different from the results contained in this report. Accordingly, additional determinations may be needed for other purposes. Milliman’s work is prepared solely for the internal business use of the Contra Costa County. To the extent that Milliman's work is not subject to disclosure under applicable public records laws, Milliman’s work may not be provided to third parties without Milliman's prior written consent. Milliman does not intend to benefit or create a legal duty to any third party recipient of its work product. Milliman’s consent to release its work product to any third party may be conditioned on the third party signing a Release, subject to the following exceptions: a) Contra Costa County may provide a copy of Milliman’s work, in its entirety, to County’s professional service advisors who are subject to a duty of confidentiality and who agree to not use Milliman’s work for any purpose other than to benefit the Contra Costa County. b) Contra Costa County may provide a copy of Milliman’s work, in its entirety, to other governmental entities, as required by law. No third party recipient of Milliman's work product should rely upon Milliman's work product. Such recipients should engage qualified professionals for advice appropriate to their own specific needs. The consultants who worked on this assignment are actuaries. Milliman’s advice is not intended to be a substitute for qualified legal or accounting counsel. The signing actuary is independent of the plan sponsor. We are not aware of any relationship that would impair the objectivity of our work. On the basis of the foregoing, we hereby certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief, the report is complete and accurate and has been prepared in accordance with generally recognized and accepted actuarial principles and practices which are consistent with the applicable Actuarial Standards of Practice of the American Academy of Actuaries. The undersigned is a member of the American Academy of Actuaries and meets the Qualification Standards of the American Academy of Actuaries to render the actuarial opinion contained herein. Sincerely, John R. Botsford, FSA, MAAA Principal and Consulting Actuary Milliman Milliman Client Report Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page I SUMMARY Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 1 Background ....................................................................................................................... 1 Key Results ....................................................................................................................... 1 Rationale for Significant Assumptions ............................................................................... 2 II GASB 74 EXHIBITS Exhibit 1. Net OPEB Liabilities .................................................................................... 4 Exhibit 2. Sensitivity of Net OPEB Liabilities ............................................................... 5 Exhibit 3. Changes in Net OPEB Liability .................................................................... 6 Exhibit 4. Money Weighted Investment Return .......................................................... 7 III GASB 75 EXHIBITS Exhibit 5. Calculation of OPEB Expense and Deferred Inflows/Outflows ................... 8 Exhibit 6. Schedule of Deferred Inflows and Outflows of Resources .......................... 9 Exhibit 7. Total OPEB Liability by Entities ................................................................ 10 IV APPENDICES Appendix A. Summary of Plan Benefits ......................................................................... 11 Appendix B. Actuarial Cost Method and Assumptions ................................................... 23 Appendix C. Summary of Participant Data ..................................................................... 30 Appendix D. Glossary of Key Terms .............................................................................. 31 Milliman Milliman Client Report SECTION I. SUMMARY Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 1 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Introduction Milliman, Inc. (Milliman) has been retained by Contra Costa County (the “County”) to provide disclosures required by GASB Statements No. 74 and 75 for the Contra Costa County OPEB Plan for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021. GASB 74 applies to financial reporting for public OPEB plans. Even if the plan does not issue standalone financial statements, but rather is considered a trust fund of a government, it is subject to GASB 74. GASB 75 governs the specifics of accounting for public OPEB plan obligations for employers. GASB 75 requires a liability for OPEB obligations, known as the Net OPEB Liability, to be recognized on the balance sheets of employers. Changes in the Net OPEB Liability will be immediately recognized as OPEB Expense on the income statement or reported as deferred inflows/outflows of resources depending on the nature of the change. The results contained in this report represent our best estimates based on the assumptions used in the valuation. However, variation from these or any other estimates of future benefits is not only possible but probable. To the extent that actual experience differs from the anticipated experience, actual plan costs will vary as well. Background Currently, employees who retire directly from the County may receive certain retiree health benefits if they meet certain eligibility requirements. The County may contribute an amount toward the cost of retiree health benefits for some retirees consistent with the bargaining agreement between the County and various bargaining units. Appendix A provides a detailed summary of benefits. Key Results The following table summarizes key results. Exhibits 1 – 7 contain the information needed for the preparation of accounting disclosures under GASB 74 and 75. Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2021 June 30, 2020 Net OPEB Liability Total OPEB Liability $ 878,049,000 $ 865,362,000 Fiduciary Net Position 444,728,000 341,429,000 Net OPEB Liability $ 433,321,000 $ 523,933,000 Fiduciary Net Position as % of Total OPEB Liability 50.6% 39.5% Annual OPEB Expense $ 13,604,000 $ 39,666,000 Deferred (Inflows)/Outflows of Resources (132,330,000) (106,586,000) Milliman Milliman Client Report SECTION I. SUMMARY Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 2 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Plan Changes since the Last Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2020 There were no plan changes since the last fiscal year ending June 30, 2020. Assumption Changes since the Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2020 As this is a “roll-forward” valuation, the same investment rate of return, discount rate, health costs trends, demographic and coverage election assumptions used in the last full valuation report (valuation date of January 1, 2020) apply to this roll-forward valuation. The following are the rationales from the last full valuation report (valuation date of January 1, 2020). Rationale for Significant Assumptions With any valuation of future benefits, assumptions of anticipated future events are required. If actual events differ from the assumptions made, the actual cost of the plan will vary as well. A complete list of actuarial assumptions is presented in Appendix B. Investment Rate of Return. We have assumed an investment rate of return of 5.85%, net of investment expenses. This is based on the investment policy set by the County for its OPEB trust where the County invests its assets in the Public Agency Retirement Services (PARS) Trust to fund its OPEB liabilities. Discount Rate. Under GASB 74 & 75, the discount rate should be the single rate that reflects the long- term rate of return on OPEB plan investments that are expected to be used to finance the payment of benefits. To the extent that OPEB plan assets are insufficient to finance all OPEB benefits, the discount rate should be based on 20-year tax-exempt AA or higher Municipal Bonds as of the Measurement Date. County’s OPEB Irrevocable Trust assets are invested in the Public Agency Retirement Services’ Highmark Diversified Portfolio. Based on the Trust’s asset allocation, we have assumed an expected average annual rate of return of 5.85%. See Appendix B for additional detail. The County’s current funding policy is to fund the pay-as-you-go costs for retirees, plus $20 million into the OPEB Trust each year until year 2022. Beginning in 2022 the County will continue to fund the pay-as-you-go costs for retirees, plus $73 million until the OPEB fund’s Fiduciary Net Position as a percentage of Total OPEB Liability reaches 60%. Thereafter, the County will contribute an amount each year to maintain the 60% funded status. GASB 74 and 75 require that a projection regarding future solvency of the OPEB plan be run each year. The projections assume that plan assets earn the assumed rate of return and there are no future changes in the plan provisions or actuarial methods and assumptions. We have run a solvency projection as prescribed in GASB 74 and 75 based on the County’s current funding policy, and the Fiduciary Net Position is always projected to be sufficient to cover benefit payments and administrative expenses. Therefore, we have used 5.85% as the discount rate. Milliman Milliman Client Report SECTION I. SUMMARY Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 3 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Health Cost Trend. We have assumed overall health costs of the medical benefits will increase according to the health cost inflation trend derived by using the “Getzen” model developed by the Society of Actuaries. The H.R. 1865 Further Consolidated Appropriations Act 2020 became law on December 20, 2019. This law repeals the Cadillac tax completely and removes the Health Insurer Fee permanently beginning in 2021. The assumed health cost trends reflect this law change and the latest economic factors. We also gave consideration to the potential impact of COVID-19 on plan costs. Given the substantial uncertainty regarding the impact of COVID-19 on plan costs, including whether the pandemic will increase or decrease costs during the term of our projections, we have chosen not to make an adjustment to health cost trends for COVID-19. Demographic Rates. The assumptions for turnover, retirement, disability, and mortality used in this valuation are the same as the assumptions used in the December 31, 2018, pension actuarial report from the Contra Costa County Employees’ Retirement Association (CCCERA). Retiree Coverage Upon Retirement We have assumed 85% of new retirees hired before the exclusion dates stated in Appendix A will elect medical and dental coverage at retirement. This assumption is based on recent observed experience of the plan. A complete summary of the actuarial assumptions is presented in Appendix B. Milliman Milliman Client Report SECTION II. GASB 74 EXHIBITS Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 4 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Exhibit 1. Net OPEB Liabilities The Valuation Date is January 1, 2020. This is the date as of which the actuarial valuation is performed. The Measurement Date is June 30, 2021, which is also the GASB 74 and 75 Reporting Date, for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021. The Total OPEB Liability is projected to June 30, 2021, using standard actuarial techniques as permitted by GASB 74 and 75. The Fiduciary Net Position is the market value of assets as of the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021. For the Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2021 June 30, 2020 Total OPEB Liability $ 878,049,000 $ 865,362,000 Fiduciary Net Position 444,728,000 341,429,000 Net OPEB Liability $ 433,321,000 $ 523,933,000 Fiduciary Net Position as a % of Total OPEB Liability 50.6% 39.5% Valuation Date 01/01/2020 01/01/2020 Measurement date 06/30/2021 06/30/2020 GASB 74/75 Reporting date 06/30/2021 06/30/2020 Discount Rate 5.85% 5.85% Money Weighted Rate of Return 24.14% 3.89% Milliman Milliman Client Report SECTION II. GASB 74 EXHIBITS Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 5 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Exhibit 2. Sensitivity of Net OPEB Liabilities GASB 74 and 75 requires disclosure of the sensitivity of the Net OPEB Liability (NOL) to changes in the discount rate and health care cost trend rates. The liabilities shown below are based on a measurement date of June 30, 2021, and are applicable for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021. Sensitivity of the Net OPEB Liability to changes in the discount rate The following table shows what the County’s Net OPEB Liability (NOL) would be if it were calculated using a discount rate that is 1 percentage point lower or 1 percentage point higher than the current discount rate. Sensitivity Analysis 1% Decrease in Discount Rate 4.85% Current Discount Rate 5.85% 1% Increase in Discount Rate 6.85% Net OPEB Liability as of June 30, 2021 $ 526,244,000 $ 433,321,000 $ 354,838,000 Sensitivity of the Net OPEB Liability to changes in the Healthcare Cost Trend Rates The following table shows what the County’s Net OPEB Liability (NOL) would be if it were calculated using a Healthcare cost trend that is 1 percentage point lower or 1 percentage point higher than the current Healthcare cost trend rates. Sensitivity Analysis 1% Decrease in Healthcare Costs Trend Rate Current Healthcare Costs Trend Rate 1% Increase in Healthcare Costs Trend Rate Net OPEB Liability as of June 30, 20201 $ 379,490,000 $ 433,321,000 $ 499,637,000 Milliman Milliman Client Report SECTION II. GASB 74 EXHIBITS Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 6 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Exhibit 3. Changes in Net OPEB Liability The following exhibit shows a reconciliation of the Net OPEB Liability from the measurement date June 30, 2020, to June 30, 2021, to be reported for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021. Increase / (Decrease) Total OPEB Liability Plan Fiduciary Net Position Net OPEB Liability Balance as of June 30, 2020 $ 865,362,000 $ 341,429,000 $ 523,933,000 Service cost $ 21,085,000 $ 0 $ 21,085,000 Interest on the total OPEB liability 50,168,000 0 50,168,000 Changes of benefit terms 0 0 0 Differences between actual and expected experience with regard to economic or demographic factors 0 0 0 Changes of assumptions 0 0 0 Benefit payments 1 (58,566,000) (58,566,000) 0 Contributions from employer 0 78,472,000 2 (78,472,000) Net investment income 0 83,598,000 (83,598,000) Administrative expense 0 (205,000) 205,000 Other changes 0 0 0 Total changes $ 12,687,000 $ 103,299,000 $ (90,612,000) Balance as of June 30, 2021 $ 878,049,000 $ 444,728,000 $ 433,321,000 1. The benefit payment shown is equal to the annual pay-as-you-go cost of $49,033,000 reported by the County for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2021, increased by $9,533,000 to reflect the estimated implicit subsidy. 2. The County contributed $19.9 million to the trust fund in FY 2020-2021. The amount shown above includes both the contributions made to the trust and the pay-as-you-go benefit payment cost. Milliman Milliman Client Report SECTION II. GASB 74 EXHIBITS Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 7 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Exhibit 4. Money Weighted Investment Return GASB 74 requires the disclosure of the money-weighted rate of return on plan investments. The money-weighted rate of return considers the changing amounts actually invested during a period and weights the amount of OPEB Trust investments by the proportion of time they are available to earn a return during that period. External cash flows are determined on a monthly basis and are assumed to occur at the beginning of each month. The Net External Cash Flows shown below represent employer contribution to the Trust. There were no cash outflows from the Trust during fiscal year. The money- weighted rate of return is calculated net of investment expenses. Net External Cash Flows Periods Invested Period Weight Net External Cash Flows with Interest Beginning Balance – July 1, 2020 $ 341,429,000 12 1.00 $ 423,844,000 Monthly Net External Cash Flows: July 0 12 1.00 0 August 0 11 0.92 0 September (98,000) 10 0.83 (117,000) October 0 9 0.75 0 November 0 8 0.67 0 December 4,988,000 7 0.58 5,654,000 January 0 6 0.50 0 February 0 5 0.42 0 March 4,902,000 4 0.33 5,265,000 April 0 3 0.25 0 May 0 2 0.17 0 June 9,909,000 1 0.08 10,082,000 Ending Value – June 30, 2021 $ 361,130,000 $ 444,728,000 Year Ending June 30 Money Weighted Investment Return 2021 24.14% 2020 3.89% 2019 6.40% 2018 5.49% 2017 9.18% Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 8 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION III. GASB 75 EXHIBITS Exhibit 5. Calculation of OPEB Expense and Deferred Inflows/Outflows The following tables shows the development of the OPEB expense and deferred inflows/outflows of resources. For the Fiscal Year Ending OPEB Expense June 30, 2021 June 30, 2020 Service cost $ 21,085,000 $ 27,340,000 Interest on the total OPEB liability 50,168,000 56,029,000 Effect of plan changes 0 400,000 Administrative expense 205,000 199,000 Member contributions 0 0 Expected investment return, net of investment expenses (20,542,000) (19,601,000) Recognition of Deferred (Inflows)/Outflows of Resources Economic/demographic (gains) or losses (21,826,000) (21,826,000) Assumption changes or inputs (3,480,000) (3,480,000) Investment (gains) or losses (12,006,000) 605,000 Total Recognition (37,312,000) (24,701,000) OPEB expense $ 13,604,000 $ 39,666,000 Deferred (Inflows) / Outflows of Resources Deferred Inflows of Resources Deferred Outflows of Resources Differences between expected and actual experience $ (66,313,000) $ 0 Changes of assumptions (25,717,000) 5,526,000 Net difference between projected and actual earnings (45,827,000) 0 Contributions made subsequent to measurement date 0 0 Total $ (137,856,000) $ 5,526,000 Amounts currently reported as deferred inflows of resources and outflows of resources related to OPEB will be recognized in OPEB expense as follows: Fiscal Year Ending June 30 Recognized Deferred (Inflows) and Outflows of Resources 2022 $ (36,146,000) 2023 (35,097,000) 2024 (31,766,000) 2025 (29,322,000) 2026 0 Thereafter 0 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 9 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION III. GASB 75 EXHIBITS Exhibit 6. Schedule of Deferred Inflows and Outflows of Resources Investment (gains)/losses are recognized in OPEB expense over a period of five years. Economic/demographic (gains)/losses and assumption changes or inputs are recognized over the average remaining service life for all active and inactive members. Since there is no expected future service for inactives, their remaining service is equal to zero for purposes of computing the average remaining service life. Date Established Original Amount Original Recognition Period Amount Recognized in Expense FYE 06/30/2021 Remaining Recognition Period FYE 2021 Balance of Deferred (Inflows)/Outflows FYE 06/30/2021 Investment (gains) or losses 06/30/2021 $ (63,056,000) 5.00 $ (12,611,000) 4.00 $ (50,445,000) 06/30/2020 7,384,000 5.00 1,477,000 3.00 4,430,000 06/30/2019 (530,000) 5.00 (106,000) 2.00 (212,000) 06/30/2018 1,996,000 5.00 399,000 1.00 400,000 06/30/2017 (5,825,000) 5.00 (1,165,000) 0.00 0 Total $ (12,006,000) $ (45,827,000) Economic/demographic (gains) or losses 06/30/2020 $ (80,647,000) 5.81 $ (13,881,000) 3.81 $ (52,886,000) 06/30/2018 (45,206,000) 5.69 (7,945,000) 1.69 (13,427,000) Total $ (21,826,000) $ (66,313,000) Assumption changes 06/30/2020 $ (39,217,000) 5.81 $ (6,750,000) 3.81 $ (25,717,000) 06/30/2018 18,605,000 5.69 3,270,000 1.69 5,526,000 Total $ (3,480,000) $ (20,191,000) Grand Total $ (37,312,000) $ (132,331,000) Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 10 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION III. GASB 75 EXHIBITS Exhibit 7. Total OPEB Liabilities by Entity The following table shows a breakdown of the County’s GASB 75 Total OPEB Liability by each entity shown below. Entity As of June 30, 2021 As of June 30, 2020 Safety Non-Fire $ 248,387,000 $ 242,546,000 CCC Fire 103,000,000 101,776,000 Hospital 180,051,000 174,032,000 CCHP 9,252,000 8,803,000 Airport 1,589,000 1,661,000 CCC Retirement System (Retired before January 1, 2015) 1,476,000 1,569,000 All Other CCC Departments 334,294,000 334,975,000 Total $ 878,049,000 $ 865,362,000 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 11 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Appendix A. Summary of Plan Benefits The following description of retiree health benefits is intended to be only a brief summary and is not complete information. Eligibility Currently, employees may receive retiree health benefits if they retire from the County, are receiving a pension from CCCERA, and meet certain eligibility requirements as follows: General employees - age 50 with 10 years of pension service or age 70 with a vested pension, or after 30 years of pension service with no age requirement. Safety employees - age 50 with 10 years of pension service or age 70 with a vested pension, or after 20 years of pension service with no age requirement. Employees hired after December 31, 2006 and represented by the following bargaining groups (AFSCME, California Nurses Association, Deputy District Attorneys’ Association, Public Defenders Association, IFPTE, Western Council of Engineers, SEIU, PEU, Probation Peace Officers Association, and Unrepresented) also must have 15 years of County service. Employees hired on or after October 1, 2005, and represented by the Physicians’ and Dentists’ Organization also must have 15 years of County service. Health Benefits Eligible retirees and their dependents are covered either under the Contra Costa Health Plans, Health Net plans, Kaiser plans, or health plans sponsored by CalPERS (PEMHCA). Coverage may be provided for a retiree and surviving spouse as long as retiree and surviving spouse monthly premium contributions are paid. The County may pay a subsidy toward eligible retirees’ monthly medical and dental premiums. This subsidy may vary by bargaining unit and date of hire as described in this appendix. Employees hired on or after dates described in the table below and represented by the following bargaining groups must pay the entire cost of premiums to maintain coverage. Bargaining Unit Name Hire Date on or after which eligible retirees must pay entire cost of premiums IFPTE, Unrepresented January 1, 2009 AFSCME, WCE, SEIU, PEU January 1, 2010 Deputy District Attorneys Association December 14, 2010 Probation Peace Officers Association of CCC January 1, 2011 CCC Public Defenders Association March 1, 2011 Physicians’ And Dentists’ Organization of CCC November 1, 2013 All surviving spouses must pay the entire cost of premiums to maintain coverage, with the exception of the following bargaining groups for whom the surviving spouse receives the same County subsidy as the retiree (covered by CalPERS health plans): Sheriffs (A8), Fire Chiefs (BD), Sworn Exec. Mgmt. (BS), Fire Management (HA), Deputy Sheriffs (V#, VH, VN), Fire Suppression and Prevention (4N), Fire District Safety Management (BF), and D.A. Investigators (XJ). Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 12 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Bargaining Units V#, VH, VN, F8, FW and Elected (Safety) Officials / Sworn Management Employees in (A8, B8, BS) Currently, for eligible retirees from the bargaining units listed in the table below, the County will contribute toward the cost of monthly premiums (medical and dental) an amount equal to the actual dollar monthly premium amount paid by the County as of November 30, 2013, at each coverage level, plus 50% of the actual premium increase for 2014 and all future years. Retirees who elected dental coverage without health coverage will pay one cent ($0.01) per month for 2013, plus 50% of the actual premium increase for 2014 and all future years. Bargaining Unit Code Bargaining Unit Name General / Safety F8 Unrep Classified & Exempt-Othr General FW Unrep Cl & Ex-Sworn Peace Offc Safety V# Sheriff's Sworn Mgmt Unit Safety VH Deputy Sheriff's Unit-Sworn Safety VN Deputy Sheriff's Unit-NonSworn General BS Sworn Management Employees Safety A8 Elected Officials (DSA) Safety B8 Elected Officials (DSA) Safety Bargaining Unit 4N - Fire Suppression and Prevention Health Premium Subsidy: For 2016 and each calendar year thereafter, the prior year’s District subsidy for each medical plan and rate tier will increase by 50% of the actual premium increase in the medical plan and rate tier in which the member is enrolled. Dental Premium Subsidy: For eligible retirees from bargaining unit 4N enrolled in both a medical and dental plan, the District will pay a subsidy equal to 50% of the cost of monthly dental premiums in 2016 and later. For retirees enrolled only in a dental plan, retirees are required to pay $0.01 per month for dental coverage. For 2016 and later, the required monthly contribution from retirees would increase each year by 50% of the dental premium increase. Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 13 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Bargaining Unit HA – Fire Management Currently, for eligible Fire Management retirees represented by United Chief Officers Association (UCOA) with bargaining unit code HA, the County will subsidize an amount equal to 80% of the CalPERS Kaiser Bay Area premium at each coverage level (employee only, employee + one, employee + two or more) for any region in which the retiree resides, but the County’s subsidy will not exceed the total premium of a lower cost plan. Health Premium Subsidy on or after December 1, 2016: For the plan year that begins on January 1, 2017 and each calendar year thereafter, the maximum monthly premium subsidy the District will pay for each health plan is equal to the actual dollar monthly premium subsidy that is paid by the District for that plan as of November 30, 2016. In addition, if there is an increase in the monthly premium charged by a health plan for 2017, the District and the employee will each pay fifty percent (50%) of that increase. For each plan year thereafter, and for each plan, the District and the employee will each pay fifty (50%) of the monthly premium increase above the 2016 plan premiums. Dental Subsidy for Retirees with Medical Coverage: For eligible retirees from bargaining unit HA enrolled in both a medical and dental plan, for the plan year that begins on January 1, 2016, the District will pay a monthly premium subsidy for each dental plan that is equal to the actual dollar monthly premium subsidy that is paid by the District as of November 30, 2015. In addition, if there is an increase in the monthly premium charged by a dental plan for 2016, the District and the employee will each pay fifty percent (50%) of that increase. For each plan year thereafter, the District and the employee will each pay fifty percent (50%) of the monthly premium increase above the 2015 plan premium. Dental Subsidy for Retirees without Medical Coverage: For eligible retirees from bargaining unit HA enrolled in a dental plan only without health coverage, beginning on January 1, 2016, the District will pay a monthly dental premium subsidy for each dental plan that is equal to the actual dollar monthly premium subsidy that is paid by the District for 2015. If there is an increase in the premium charged by a dental plan for 2016, the District and the employee will each pay fifty percent (50%) of the increase. For each plan year thereafter, the District and the employee will each pay fifty percent (50%) of the premium increase that is above the 2015 plan premium. Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 14 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Bargaining Unit XJ – D.A. Investigators Health Premium Subsidy: For the plan year that begins on January 1, 2015, the County will pay the following monthly medical premium subsidy: Coverage Monthly Premium Subsidy Employee/Retiree/Survivor Only $ 608.87 Employee/Retiree/Survivor & One Dependent 1,217.74 Employee/Retiree/Survivor & Two or more Dependents 1,583.07 In addition, if there is an increase in the monthly premium charged by a health plan for 2015 that exceeds the above stated amounts, the County and the retiree will each pay fifty percent (50%) of that increase. For 2016, the County premium subsidy varies by plan depending on the actual premium increase that occurred for each plan. For each calendar year thereafter, the County and the retiree will each pay fifty percent (50%) of any premium increase for each health plan. Dental Premium Subsidy: For the plan year that begins on January 1, 2015, the County will pay the following monthly dental premium subsidy (Delta Dental as the carrier): With Health Without Health Coverage PPO HMO PPO HMO Single $ 32.69 $ 22.30 $ 42.44 $ 28.91 Family 73.64 48.19 95.62 61.49 In addition, if there is an increase in the monthly premium charged by a health plan for 2015 that exceeds the above stated amounts, the County and the retiree will each pay fifty percent (50%) of that increase. For each calendar year thereafter, the County and the retiree will each pay fifty percent (50%) of any premium increase for each dental plan. Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 15 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Bargaining Units 1P (plus formerly 1R and 1X) – Physicians & Dentists Beginning on January 1, 2015, and for each calendar year thereafter, the County will pay a monthly dollar premium subsidy for each health and dental plan (County Premium Subsidy) as defined for each plan in the table below. The amount of the County subsidy that is paid for employees and eligible family members for these plans will thereafter be a set dollar amount and will not be a percentage of the premium charged by the health or dental plan. Retirees must pay for 100% of any premium increases after 2015. Note that not all coverage tier combinations are shown below, please refer to the actual County published rates for details. Health Plan Frozen Subsidy Amount Contra Costa Health Plan A Retiree on Basic Plan $ 600.51 Retiree & 1 or more dependents on Basic Plan 1,430.76 Retiree on Medicare COB Plan 279.22 Retiree & Spouse on Medicare COB Plan 558.44 Contra Costa Health Plan B Retiree on Basic Plan $ 611.34 Retiree & 1 or more dependents on Basic Plan 1,452.65 Retiree on Medicare COB Plan 287.59 Retiree & Spouse on Medicare COB Plan 575.18 Kaiser Permanente – Basic A and B, Teamsters 856 Plan Retiree on Basic Plan $ 614.78 Retiree & 1 or more dependents on Basic Plan 1,432.42 Retiree on Medicare Senior Advantage Plan * 295.00 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare Senior Advantage Plan * 796.70  Teamster 856 Trust Fund KP Plan does not offer Medicare coverage Kaiser Permanente – High Deductible Retiree on Basic Plan $ 560.89 Retiree & 1dependent on Basic Plan 1,121.79 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan 1,432.42 Health Net HMO – Basic and SmartCare Plans Retiree on Basic Plan $ 853.92 Retiree & 1 or more dependents on Basic Plan 2,094.74 Retiree on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 514.27 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 1,028.55 Health Net CA & Nat’l PPO – Basic Plan A Retiree on PPO $ 753.81 Retiree & 1 or more dependents on PPO Basic Plan 1,790.70 Retiree on PPO Medicare Plan with Medicare Part A & B 618.43 Retiree & 1 or more dependents on PPO Medicare Plan with Medicare Part A & B 1,236.73 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 16 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Bargaining Units L3 / LT – Registered / Public Health Nurses Units Currently, for eligible retirees from bargaining units L3 and LT (LT if hired before January 1, 2010), the County subsidizes a percentage of monthly premiums that varies depending on the medical and dental plan elected. Retirees retired on or before 06/30/2012 and age 65 on or before 10/31/2012 also receive reimbursement of their Medicare Part B premiums as long as the total County subsidy does not exceed 100% of the medical plan premium. LT employees who were hired on or after January 1, 2010, must pay the entire cost of premiums to maintain coverage. Retirees receive the following County subsidy based on the medical plan elected: Medical Plan County Subsidy % (Medical) County Subsidy % (Dental) Contra Costa Health Plan A and B Without Dental 98% 0% With Delta Dental 98% 98% With PMI Delta Dental 98% 98% Kaiser, Health Net HMO Without Dental 80% 0% With Delta Dental 80% 78% With PMI Delta Dental 80% 78% Health Net PPO Without Dental 53%* 0% With Delta Dental 53%* 78% With PMI Delta Dental 53%* 78% Dental Only 0% All but $0.01 / month  Approximately 53% for 2020. Future increases are split evenly between the County and the retiree. Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 17 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES All other Bargaining Units - County Subsidy Frozen at the 2011 Level Currently, eligible retirees from the following bargaining units listed may receive County subsidies towards medical and dental premiums. The subsidies are frozen at the 2011 levels shown in the tables on the following pages. There are no future increases to these subsidy amounts except as defined on the following page for certain retirees who retired before January 1, 2016. Bargaining Unit Code Bargaining Unit Name General / Safety Bargaining Unit Code Bargaining Unit Name General / Safety 25 Social Services Unit General KL Engineering Technician Unit General 51 Professional Engineers Unit General KM Sheriff's Non-Sworn Mgmt Unit General 999 DEFAULT BARGAINING UNIT General KU Probation Supervisors Unit General 2I Service Line Supervisors Unit General KZ Social Svcs Staff Special Unit General 2R Superior Court Reporters-Ex General MA District Attorneys' Unit General 2S Safety Classifications General N2 Property Appraisers Unit General 3A Superior Court Clerical Unit General PK Probation Supervisors Unit Safety 3B Superior Court Barg Unit-Loc1 General PP Probation Unit of CCC Safety 3G Deputy Clerks Unit General Q3 Safety Health Services Unit General 3R General Clerical Unit General QA Agriculture & Animal Ctrl Unit General 8P Special Co Class Codes-Payroll General QB LVN/Aide Unit General A8 Elected Officials (Non-DSA) General QC Fam/Chld Svs Site Supv Unit General AJ Elected Superior Court Judges General QE Building Trades Unit General AM Elected Municipal Court Judges General QF Deputy Public Defender Unit/At General AS Elected Board of Supvs Members General QG Deputy Public Defender Unit-In General B1 Safety Unrep District Attorney General QH Family and Childrens Services General B2 Safety Unrep Probation Classes General QM Engineering Unit General B3 Safety Unrep Misc Classes General QS General Services & Mtce Unit General B8 Mgmt (Non-Safety) General QT Health Services Unit General BC Superior Court Exempt Mgmt Gen General QV Investigative Unit General BD Mgmt Classified & Ex Dept Head General QW Legal & Court Clerk Unit General BJ Sup Ct Judicial Ofcrs Ex-Mgmt General QX Library Unit General C8 Management Project-Other General QY Probation Unit General CH CS Head Start Mgmt-Project General TA LVN/Aide Unit General D8 Unrepresented Proj Class-Other General TB General Services & Mtce Unit General F2 Unrep Property Appraisers General TC Health Services Unit General FC Unrep Superior Ct Clerical Ex General VK Probation Supervisors Unit Safety FD Unrep Superior Ct Other Exempt General VP Probation Unit of CCC Safety FM Unrep Muni Ct Reporter-Exempt General Z1 Supervisory Project General FR Unrep Superior Ct Reptrs-Exemp General Z2 Non-Supervisory Project General JD CCC Defenders/Attorneys General ZA Supervisory Management General JF CCC Defenders/Investigators General ZB Non-Supervisory Management General K2 Property Appraisers Unit General ZL Supervisory Nurse General K5 Court Professional Svcs Unit General ZM Local 21 - Unit C General K6 Supervisory Clerical Unit General ZN Non-Supervisory Nurse General KK Income Maintence Program Unit General Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 18 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Health Insurance Premium Rates (non-PEMHCA) The following table shows monthly retiree health insurance premiums for the 2020 calendar year for coverage under various health plans sponsored by Contra Costa County, and the County’s subsidies. Note that not all coverage tier combinations are shown below, please refer to the actual County published rates for details. The County’s maximum frozen subsidies and subsidies in effect for 2020 are shown. Retirees who retired before January 1, 2016 and opted in on the RSG Settlement Class are labeled pre 2016 retirees below with a higher County subsidy. Effective January 1, 2021, for these retirees, the amount of the County monthly medical plan premium maximum subsidy will increase by $25 for the Medicare retiree only tier, the retiree plus one dependent on Medicare tier, and the retiree plus two or more dependents on Medicare tier. Medical Plan County’s Maximum Subsidy (Frozen) 2020 Premium Rate County’s Subsidy for 2020 Retiree’s Share for 2020 Contra Costa Health Plan A Retiree on Basic Plan $ 509.92 $ 892.18 $ 509.92 $ 382.26 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,214.90 1,784.36 1,214.90 569.46 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,364.90 2,676.54 1,364.90 1,311.64 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,214.90 2,676.54 1,214.90 1,461.64 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare Coordination of Benefits (COB) Plan 420.27 442.80 420.27 22.53 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare COB Plan 840.54 885.61 840.54 45.07 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare COB Plan 840.54 1,328.41 840.54 487.87 Contra Costa Health Plan B Retiree on Basic Plan 528.50 989.00 528.50 460.50 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,255.79 1,978.00 1,255.79 722.21 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,405.79 2,967.00 1,405.79 1,561.21 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,255.79 2,967.00 1,255.79 1,711.21 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare COB Plan 444.63 456.09 444.63 11.46 Retiree & dependent on Medicare COB Plan 889.26 912.18 889.26 22.92 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare COB Plan 889.26 1,368.26 889.26 479.00 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 19 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Health Insurance Premium Rates (Non-PEMHCA continued) Medical Plan County’s Maximum Subsidy (Frozen) 2020 Premium Rate County’s Subsidy for 2020 Retiree’s Share for 2020 Kaiser Permanente – Basic Plan A Retiree on Basic Plan $ 478.91 $ 879.23 $ 478.91 $ 400.32 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,115.84 1,758.46 1,115.84 642.62 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,265.84 2,637.69 1,265.84 1,371.85 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,115.84 2,637.69 1,115.84 1,521.85 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare COB Plan 263.94 386.21 263.94 122.27 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare COB Plan 712.79 1,042.60 712.79 329.81 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare COB Plan 1,161.65 1,042.60 1,042.59 0.01 Kaiser Permanente – Basic Plan B Retiree on Basic Plan 478.91 698.82 478.91 219.91 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,115.84 1,397.64 1,115.84 281.80 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,265.84 2,096.46 1,265.84 830.62 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,115.84 2,096.46 1,115.84 980.62 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare COB Plan 263.94 292.77 263.94 28.83 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare COB Plan 712.79 790.08 712.79 77.29 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare COB Plan 1,161.65 790.08 790.07 0.01 Kaiser Permanente – High Deductible Retiree on Basic Plan 478.91 560.90 478.91 81.99 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,115.84 1,121.80 1,115.84 5.96 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,265.84 1,682.70 1,265.84 416.86 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,115.84 1,682.70 1,115.84 566.86 Teamsters 856 Trust Fund KP Health Plan Retiree on Basic Plan 478.91 690.80 478.91 211.89 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,115.84 1,423.76 1,115.84 307.92 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,265.84 2,043.36 1,265.84 777.52 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,115.84 2,043.36 1,115.84 927.52 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 20 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Health Insurance Premium Rates (Non-PEMHCA continued) Medical Plan County’s Maximum Subsidy (Frozen) 2020 Premium Rate County’s Subsidy for 2020 Retiree’s Share for 2020 Health Net HMO – Plan A Retiree on Basic Plan 627.79 1,761.04 627.79 1,133.25 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,540.02 3,522.08 1,540.02 1,982.06 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,690.02 5,283.12 1,690.02 3,593.10 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,540.02 5,283.12 1,540.02 3,743.10 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 409.69 663.07 409.69 253.38 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 819.38 1,326.14 819.38 506.76 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 1,229.07 1,989.21 1,229.07 760.14 Health Net HMO – Plan B Retiree on Basic Plan 627.79 $1,224.60 627.79 596.81 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,540.02 2,449.20 1,540.02 909.18 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,690.02 3,673.80 1,690.02 1,983.78 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,540.02 $3,673.80 1,540.02 2,133.78 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 409.69 556.65 409.69 146.96 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 819.38 1,113.30 819.38 293.92 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 1,229.07 1,669.95 1,229.07 440.88 Health Net SmartCare HMO – Plan A Retiree on Basic Plan 627.79 1,322.48 627.79 694.69 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,540.02 2,644.96 1,540.02 1,104.94 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,690.02 3,967.44 1,690.02 2,277.42 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,540.02 3,967.44 1,540.02 2,427.42 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 467.13 891.07 467.13 423.94 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 934.29 1,782.14 934.29 847.85 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 934.29 2,673.21 934.29 1,738.92 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 21 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Health Insurance Premium Rates (Non-PEMHCA continued). Medical Plan County’s Subsidy (Frozen) 2020 Premium Rate County’s Subsidy for 2020 Retiree’s Share for 2020 Health Net SmartCare HMO – Plan B Retiree on Basic Plan $ 627.79 $ 942.98 $ 627.79 $ 315.19 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,540.02 1,885.96 1,540.02 345.94 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,690.02 2,828.94 1,690.02 1,138.92 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,540.02 2,828.94 1,540.02 1,288.92 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 467.13 816.21 467.13 349.08 Retiree & 1 dependent on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 934.29 1,632.42 934.29 698.13 Retiree & 2 dependents on Medicare Seniority Plus Plan 934.29 2,448.63 934.29 1,514.34 Health Net CA & Nat’l PPO – Basic Plan A Retiree on Basic Plan 604.60 2,691.46 604.60 2,086.86 Retiree & 1 dependent on Basic Plan 1,436.25 5,382.92 1,436.25 3,946.67 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (pre 2016 ret) 1,586.25 8,074.38 1,586.25 6,488.13 Retiree & 2 or more dependents on Basic Plan (post 2015 ret) 1,436.25 8,074.38 1,436.25 6,638.13 Pre 2016 and Post 2015 Retirees Retiree on PPO Medicare Plan B 563.17 1,231.57 563.17 668.40 Retiree & 1 dependent on PPO Medicare Plan 1,126.24 2,463.14 1,126.24 1,336.90 Retiree & 2 dependents on PPO Medicare Plan 1,126.24 3,694.71 1,126.24 2,568.47 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 22 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES PEMHCA Health Plan Premium Rates Eligible retirees from the bargaining units 4N, A8, B8, BD, BF, BS, F8, FW, HA, V#, VH, VN, and XJ can choose to enroll in health plans sponsored by CalPERS based on their region residency (Region 1 – Northern California, Region 2 – Southern California other than Los Angeles Region, Region 3 - Los Angeles, and Out of State of California). The following table shows the monthly Region 1 health insurance premiums for the 2020 calendar year: Monthly Premium Rates – Effective January 1, 2020 Single 2-Party Family Under 65 Over 65 Under 65 Over 65 Under 65 Over 65 Anthem HMO Select $ 868.98 $ 388.15 $ 1,737.96 $ 776.30 $ 2,259.35 $ 1,164.45 Anthem EPO Del Norte 861.18 n/a 1,722.36 n/a 2,239.07 n/a Anthem Traditional 1,184.84 388.15 2,369.68 776.30 3,080.58 1,164.45 Blue Shield Access+ 1,127.77 n/a 2,255.54 n/a 2,932.20 n/a Blue Shield Trio 833.00 n/a 1,666.00 n/a 2,165.80 n/a HealthNet SmartCare 1,000.52 n/a 2,001.04 n/a 2,601.35 n/a Kaiser Permanente 768.49 339.43 1,536.98 678.86 1,998.07 1,018.29 PERS Choice 861.18 351.39 1,722.36 702.78 2,239.07 1,054.17 PERS Select 520.29 351.39 1,040.58 702.78 1,352.75 1,054.17 PERSCare 1,133.14 384.78 2,266.28 769.56 2,946.16 1,154.34 United Healthcare 899.94 327.03 1,799.88 654.06 2,339.84 981.09 Western Health Advantage 731.96 n/a 1,463.92 n/a 1,903.10 n/a PORAC 774.00 513.00 1,699.00 1,022.00 2,199.00 1,635.00 Contra Costa Health Plan* 1,137.10 976.66 2,274.20 1,953.32 2,956.46 2,475.12 * Offered by the Contra Costa County Health Plan to Contra Costa County employees only. Not available through PEMHCA Dental Plan Premiums The following table shows monthly retiree dental insurance premiums for the 2020 calendar year. County subsidies vary based on retiree’s medical plan enrollment election and bargaining unit upon retirement. Plan Monthly Premiums Delta Dental Premier PPO - $1,800 Annual Maximum Retiree $ 46.52 Retiree + 1 and Retiree +2 or more 105.08 Delta Care (HMO) Retiree $ 29.06 Retiree + 1 and Retiree +2 or more 62.81 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 23 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Appendix B. Actuarial Cost Method and Assumptions Actuarial Cost Method The actuarial cost method used for determining the benefit obligations is the individual Entry Age Normal Cost Method. Under the principles of this method, the actuarial present value of the projected benefits of each individual included in the valuation is allocated as a level percentage of expected salary for each year of employment between entry age (defined as age at hire) and assumed exit. The portion of this actuarial present value allocated to a valuation year is called the normal cost. The portion of this actuarial present value not provided for at a valuation date by the sum of (a) the actuarial value of the assets, and (b) the actuarial present value of future normal costs is called the Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability (UAAL). The Actuarial Value of Assets is equal to the market value of assets as of the measurement date. The actuarial assumptions are summarized below. Economic Assumptions Discount Rate (Liabilities) 5.85% General Inflation 2.75% We have used a discount rate of 5.85% in this valuation to reflect the County’s current policy of partially funding its OPEB liabilities. This rate is derived based on the fund’s investment policy, level of partial funding, and includes a 2.75% long-term inflation assumption. County OPEB Irrevocable Trust assets are invested in the Public Agency Retirement Services’ Highmark Portfolio. Based on the portfolio’s target allocation (shown below), the average return of Trust assets over the next 50 years is expected to be 5.83%. Asset Class Expected 1-Year Nominal Return Targeted Asset Allocation Cash 2.10% 1.0% U.S. Fixed Income 3.43% 43.0% Domestic Equity Large Cap 7.51% 19.0% Domestic Equity Mid Cap 8.17% 6.0% Domestic Equity Small Cap 9.28% 9.0% International Equity (Developed) 9.63% 10.0% Global Equity 8.66% 8.0% Real Estate (U.S. REITs) 8.22% 4.0% Expected Arithmetic Mean Annual Return (50 years) 6.23% Expected Geometric Mean Annual Return (50 years) 5.83% Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 24 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Assumed Salary Increases (Applied to Individual Entry Age Normal Cost Method) The assumed annual rates of compensation increases used for the EAN actuarial cost method are the same as the assumption used in the December 31, 2018 CCCERA Actuarial Valuation. Years of Service General Safety Less than 1 15.66% 16.69% 1 10.49% 11.52% 2 8.69% 9.20% 3 7.14% 8.17% 4 6.10% 6.10% 5 5.59% 5.33% 6 5.07% 5.07% 7 4.81% 4.81% 8 4.71% 4.71% 9 4.61% 4.61% 10 4.50% 4.55% 11 4.40% 4.50% 12 4.30% 4.45% 13 4.19% 4.40% 14 4.09% 4.35% 15 4.04% 4.30% 16 3.99% 4.30% 17 3.93% 4.30% 18 3.88% 4.30% 19 3.83% 4.30% 20+ 3.78% 4.30% Demographic Assumptions Below is a summary of the assumed rates for mortality, retirement, disability and withdrawal, which are consistent with assumptions used in the December 31, 2018 CCCERA Actuarial Valuation. Post-Retirement Mortality Healthy: For General Members: Pub-2010 General Healthy Retiree Amount-Weighted Above- Median Mortality Table (separate tables for males and females), projected generationally with the two-dimensional mortality improvement scale MP-2018. For Safety Members: Pub-2010 Safety Healthy Retiree Amount-Weighted Above- Median Mortality Table (separate tables for males and females) multiplied by 105% for males and 100% for females, projected generationally with the two-dimensional mortality improvement scale MP-2018. Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 25 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Disabled: For General Members: Pub-2010 Non-Safety Disabled Retiree Amount-Weighted Mortality Table (separate tables for males and females) multiplied by 105% for males and 100% for females, projected generationally with the two-dimensional mortality improvement scale MP-2018. For Safety Members: Pub-2010 Safety Disabled Retiree Amount-Weighted Mortality Table (separate tables for males and females) multiplied by 105% for males and 100% for females, projected generationally with the two-dimensional mortality improvement scale MP-2018. Beneficiaries: Pub-2010 Contingent Survivor Amount-Weighted Above-Median Mortality Table (separate tables for males and females) multiplied by 105% for males and females, projected generationally with the two-dimensional mortality improvement scale MP- 2018. Pre-Retirement Mortality For General Members: Pub-2010 General Employee Amount-Weighted Above-Median Mortality Table (separate tables for males and females), projected generationally with the two-dimensional mortality improvement scale MP-2018. For Safety Members: Pub-2010 Safety Employee Amount-Weighted Above-Median Mortality Table (separate tables for males and females), projected generationally with the two-dimensional mortality improvement scale MP-2018. Disability Age General Tier 3 / 5 PEPRA Safety (All Tiers) 20 0.01% 0.02% 25 0.02% 0.16% 30 0.03% 0.32% 35 0.05% 0.46% 40 0.08% 0.56% 45 0.11% 0.90% 50 0.13% 2.54% 55 0.16% 3.80% 60 0.22% 4.30% 65 0.25% 4.50% 70 0.25% 4.50% Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 26 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Retirement – We have applied the General Tier 3 (Enhanced) rates for all General employees and Safety Tier A (Enhanced) rates for all Safety employees since nearly all current employees are in these two pension tiers, with the exception of those who were hired after January 1, 2013 as the PEPRA tiers. Age General Tier 3 < 30 Yr General Tier 3 >= 30 yr General PEPRA Safety Tier A < 30 yr Safety Tier A >= 30 yr Safety PEPRA 45 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 7.00% 8.75% 0.00% 46 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 3.00% 3.75% 0.00% 47 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 10.00% 12.50% 0.00% 48 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 10.00% 12.50% 0.00% 49 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 25.00% 31.25% 0.00% 50 4.00% 7.20% 0.00% 25.00% 31.25% 5.00% 51 3.00% 5.40% 0.00% 25.00% 31.25% 4.00% 52 3.00% 5.40% 2.00% 18.00% 22.50% 4.00% 53 4.00% 7.20% 3.00% 18.00% 22.50% 5.00% 54 6.00% 10.80% 3.00% 18.00% 22.50% 6.00% 55 8.00% 14.40% 5.00% 20.00% 30.00% 10.00% 56 8.00% 9.60% 5.00% 20.00% 30.00% 10.00% 57 9.00% 10.80% 6.00% 22.00% 33.00% 18.00% 58 10.00% 12.00% 6.00% 22.00% 33.00% 18.00% 59 12.00% 14.40% 8.00% 22.00% 33.00% 18.00% 60 13.00% 15.60% 8.00% 25.00% 37.50% 18.00% 61 18.00% 21.60% 12.00% 25.00% 37.50% 20.00% 62 22.00% 26.40% 18.00% 25.00% 37.50% 20.00% 63 22.00% 26.40% 18.00% 30.00% 45.00% 20.00% 64 25.00% 30.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 25.00% 65 32.00% 32.00% 25.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 66 32.00% 32.00% 25.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 67 30.00% 30.00% 25.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 68 30.00% 30.00% 25.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 69 30.00% 30.00% 25.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 70 – 74 35.00% 35.00% 40.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 75 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 27 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Withdrawal – Sample probabilities of terminating employment with the County are shown below for selected years of County service. Years of Service General Safety Less than 1 14.00% 12.50% 1 9.50% 10.00% 2 9.25% 8.25% 3 6.50% 5.75% 4 5.25% 5.00% 5 5.00% 4.25% 10 3.25% 2.25% 15 2.25% 1.70% 20 or more 1.25% 0.75% Coverage Election Assumptions Retiree Coverage – We have assumed 85% of new retirees hired before the exclusion date stated in Appendix A will elect medical and dental coverage at retirement. For employees hired after the exclusion date stated in Appendix A, we assumed 50% will elect to enroll in the health plans without any County subsidy. Spouse Coverage – We have assumed 50% of new General retirees and 60% of new Safety retirees electing coverage will elect spouse medical and dental coverage at retirement. Spouse Age – Female spouses are assumed to be three years younger than male spouses. Dependent Coverage – We have assumed 30% of retirees with no spouse coverage will elect coverage for a dependent child until age 65 and 50% of retirees with spouse coverage will elect coverage for a dependent child until age 65. Health Plan Election – We have assumed that new retirees will remain enrolled in the same plan they were enrolled in as actives. For actives who waived coverage, we have assumed that they will elect Kaiser plan coverage. For retirees enrolled in either the CalPERS Anthem or Blue Shield plans, we assumed they will transfer to the Kaiser Medicare Supplement plan upon reaching age 65, as the CalPERS health plan no longer offers Anthem or Blue Shield coverage for Medicare eligible retirees. Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 28 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Valuation of Retiree Premium Subsidy Due to Active Health Costs Currently, the County and California PERS (PEMHCA) health plans charge the same premiums for retirees who are not yet eligible for Medicare as for active employees. Therefore, the retiree premium rates are being subsidized by the inclusion of active lives in setting rates. (Premiums calculated only based on retiree health claims experience would have resulted in higher retiree premiums.) GASB 74/75 requires that the value of this subsidy be recognized as a liability in valuations of OPEB costs. To account for the fact that per member health costs vary depending on age (higher health costs at older ages), we calculated equivalent per member per month (PMPM) costs that vary by age based on the age distribution of covered members, and based on relative cost factors by age. The relative cost factors were developed from the Milliman Health Cost GuidelinesTM. Based on the carrier premium rates and relative age cost factors assumptions, we developed age adjusted monthly PMPM health costs for 2020 to be used in valuing the implicit rate subsidy. The following tables show the age adjusted expected claims costs per member per month (PMPM) for non-PEMHCA health plans. Age Adjusted Weighted Expected PMPM Claims Costs for CCHP Plans Retirees Spouses Age Male Female Male Female 50 $768 $958 $914 $1,103 55 1,005 1,126 1,150 1,270 60 1,286 1,317 1,431 1,462 64 1,596 1,488 1,742 1,633 Age Adjusted Weighted Expected PMPM Claims Costs for Kaiser Plans Retirees Spouses Age Male Female Male Female 50 $707 $882 $892 $1,066 55 924 1,036 1,109 1,220 60 1,183 1,212 1,368 1,396 64 1,469 1,369 1,654 1,554 Age Adjusted Weighted Expected PMPM Claims Costs for HealthNet Plans Retirees Spouses Age Male Female Male Female 50 $861 $1,074 $1,075 $1,287 55 1,126 1,262 1,340 1,474 60 1,442 1,477 1,655 1,689 64 1,789 1,668 2,003 1,881 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 29 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES The following table shows the weighted average age adjusted expected monthly claims cost in PMPM for PEMHCA health plans. The Medical PMPM costs are developed from the total covered members in PEMHCA plans based on the enrollment information released by CalPERS for the entire Region 1 Age Adjusted Weighted Expected PMPM Claims Costs for PEMHCA Plans Retirees Spouses Age Male Female Male Female 50 $806 $999 $716 $872 55 992 1,092 900 1,008 60 1,225 1,241 1,129 1,160 64 1,508 1,395 1,395 1,305 Since retirees eligible for Medicare (age 65 and beyond) are enrolled in Medicare supplemental plans, the premiums for retirees with Medicare are determined without regard to active employee claims experience and no such subsidy exists for this group for medical cost. Medical Cost Inflation Assumption We assumed future increases to the health costs and premiums are based on the “Getzen” model published by the Society of Actuaries for purposes of evaluating long term medical trend. The H.R. 1865 Further Consolidated Appropriations Act 2020 became law on December 20, 2019. This law repeals the Cadillac tax completely and removes the Health Insurer Fee permanently beginning in 2021. We reflected this change in the health cost trends shown in the below table. Given the substantial uncertainty regarding the potential impact of COVID-19 on plan costs, including whether the pandemic will increase or decrease costs during the term of our projections, we have chosen not to make an adjustment in the health costs trends shown in the below table for the potential effect of COVID-19. The following table shows the assumed rate increases in future years for Medical premiums. The CPI used in developing the following health cost increases is 2.75%. Calendar County Plans Calendar County Plans Calendar PEMHCA Plans Calendar PEMHCA Plans Year Pre 65 Year Post 65 Year Pre 65 Year Post 65 2020 5.00% 2020 3.50% 2020 6.80%* 2020 -2.50%* 2021 6.00% 2021 5.25% 2021 – 2023 5.00% 2021 5.00% 2022 – 2035 5.00% 2022 – 2035 5.00% 2024 – 2048 5.25% 2022 – 2025 5.25% 2036 – 2051 5.25% 2036 – 2051 5.25% 2049 – 2065 5.00% 2026 – 2045 5.50% 2052 – 2065 5.00% 2052 – 2065 5.00% 2066 – 2068 4.75% 2046 – 2053 5.25% 2066 – 2068 4.75% 2066 – 2068 4.75% 2069 – 2072 4.50% 2054 – 2065 5.00% 2069 – 2072 4.50% 2069 – 2072 4.50% 2073+ 4.25% 2066 – 2068 4.75% 2073+ 4.25% 2073+ 4.25% 2069 – 2072 4.50% 2073+ 4.25% * This is the weighted average premium change from 2020 to 2021 calendar year under PEMHCA. Dental Cost We assumed Dental costs will increase 3.0% annually. Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 30 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Appendix C. Summary of Participant Data The following census of participants was used in the actuarial valuation and provided by Contra Costa County as of January 1, 2020. Active Employees Age General Safety Total Under 25 74 35 109 25 – 29 461 173 634 30 – 34 851 230 1,081 35 – 39 988 185 1,173 40 – 44 1,037 199 1,236 45 – 49 1,077 217 1,294 50 – 54 1,140 113 1,253 55 – 59 1,070 60 1,130 60 – 64 790 21 811 65 & Over 385 9 394 Total 7,873 1,242 9,115 Average Age on Valuation Date: 46.2 Average Service on Valuation Date: 10.1 Current Retirees Age General Safety Total Under 50 14 64 78 50 – 54 69 170 239 55 – 59 311 205 516 60 – 64 674 197 871 65 – 69 1,147 225 1,372 70 – 74 1,258 252 1,510 75 – 79 874 137 1,011 80 – 84 559 83 642 85 & Over 703 97 800 Total 5,609 1,430 7,039 Average Age on Valuation Date: 71.9 Milliman Contra Costa County Other Post Employment Benefits Plan 31 GASB 74 and 75 Disclosures as of June 30, 2021 This work product was prepared solely for the Contra Costa County for the purposes described herein and may not be appropriate to use for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Milliman Recommends that third parties be aided by their own actuary or other qualified professional when reviewing the Milliman work product. Milliman Client Report SECTION IV. APPENDICES Appendix D. Glossary of Key Terms Actuarially Determined Contribution. A target or recommended contribution to an OPEB plan for the reporting period, determined based on the funding policy and most recent measurement available when the contribution for the reporting period was adopted. The County’s current funding policy is to fund the pay-as-you-go costs for retirees, plus $20 million into the OPEB Trust each year until year 2022. Beginning in 2022 the County will contribute $20 million plus additional $53 million until the OPEB fund’s FNP as a % of TOL is 60%. After that, the County will contribute an amount to maintain the 60% funded status. Deferred Inflows/Outflows of Resources. Portion of changes in net OPEB liability that is not immediately recognized in OPEB Expense. These changes include differences between expected and actual experience, changes in assumptions, and differences between expected and actual earnings on plan investments. Discount Rate. Single rate of return that, when applied to all projected benefit payments, results in an actuarial present value of projected benefit payments equal to the sum of: 1) The actuarial present value of benefit payments projected to be made in future periods where the plan assets are projected to be sufficient to meet benefit payments, calculated using the Long-Term Expected Rate of Return. 2) The actuarial present value of projected benefit payments not included in (1), calculated using the Municipal Bond Rate. Long-Term Expected Rate of Return. Long-term expected rate of return on OPEB plan investments expected to be used to finance the payment of benefits, net of investment expenses. Money-Weighted Rate of Return. The internal rate of return on OPEB plan investments, net of investment expenses. Municipal Bond Rate. Yield or index rate for 20-year, tax-exempt general obligation municipal bonds with an average rating of AA/Aa or higher. Total OPEB Liability. The portion of actuarial present value of projected benefit payments that is attributable to past periods of member service using the Entry Age Normal cost method based on the requirements of GASB 74 and 75. Fiduciary Net Position. Equal to market value of assets. Net OPEB Liability. Total OPEB Liability minus the Plan's Fiduciary Net Position. Service Cost. The portion of the actuarial present value of projected benefit payments that is attributed to a valuation year. RECOMMENDATION(S): Accept report on Capital Projects. FISCAL IMPACT: No fiscal impact. This is an informational report only. BACKGROUND: See attached report. APPROVE OTHER RECOMMENDATION OF CNTY ADMINISTRATOR RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTEE Action of Board On: 01/25/2022 APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED OTHER Clerks Notes: VOTE OF SUPERVISORS AYE:John Gioia, District I Supervisor Candace Andersen, District II Supervisor Diane Burgis, District III Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District IV Supervisor Federal D. Glover, District V Supervisor Contact: Eric Angstadt, Assistant County Administrator 925-335-1009 I hereby certify that this is a true and correct copy of an action taken and entered on the minutes of the Board of Supervisors on the date shown. ATTESTED: January 25, 2022 Monica Nino, County Administrator and Clerk of the Board of Supervisors By: June McHuen, Deputy cc: D.3 To:Board of Supervisors From:Monica Nino, County Administrator Date:January 25, 2022 Contra Costa County Subject:Annual Report on Capital Projects ATTACHMENTS Capital Projects Update PowerPoint Facilities Master Plan PowerPoint Board of Supervisors Annual Retreat 2022 January 25, 2022 1 Agenda •Update on Major Projects •Mod M/C mental health and ADA upgrades •Admin Demo and Redevelopment (ADR) •West County Reentry, Treatment and Housing (WRTH) •Facilities Condition Assessment (FCA) •Preliminary Findings •Master Facilities Plan •Presentation and Discussion/Feedback 2 Major Projects Update 3 Modules M and C Module M •5 Mental Health Beds/24 Special Services Beds •Will be complete 2/14 –1 month ahead of original schedule Module C •Complete plumbing retro fit •Create 4 ADA compliant cells/1 ADA compliant shower •Will be complete 5/30 –2 ½ Months ahead of original schedule Major Projects Update 4 Admin Demo and Redevelopment (ADR) •Initial Mobilization started 11/15/21 •CEQA Lawsuit from 2017 on Old Jail Demo Dismissed 1/11/22 •Hazardous Materials Remediation started 1/24/22 •Structure Demolition March-September 2022 •Discussions started with City of Martinez on future of Pine Street block 2/22 •Potential Departments identified for new building Major Projects Update 5 Major Projects Update 6 Major Projects Update 7 West County Reentry, Treatment and Housing (WRTH) •Awaiting final approval from State •Bureau of State and Community Corrections (BSCC) 2/10/22 •State Public Works Board 4/15/22 Facilities Condition Assessment 8 Methodology and Scope: •An observation-based Facility Conditions Assessment (FCA)with on-site “boots on the ground” walkthroughs of all building assets, followed by compilation of data, data review, data analysis, and presentation of findings. •FCA process in accordance with ASTM E-2018, Standard Guide for Property Condition Assessments. •The purpose of the FCA is to help inform the capital planning needs for Contra Costa County with accurate data. •Building Assets data is broken down by Systems. The data provides Asset Values, System Values, Remaining System Useful Life, and capital Requirements. Requirements are the prioritized and categorized capital expenditure needs, with estimated values. •FCI:The value of the capital needs, divided into the value of the Asset, is the Facility Condition Index (FCI) Example: $100,000 needs / $1,000,000 asset value = 0.10 FCI, or 10%. A lower FCI value indicates ‘better’ condition; a higher value indicates ‘worse’ condition FCI can be calculated for a single building, or any combination of buildings in the database •The original scope included 332 building assets totally 4.15m Gross Square Feet (GSF) •Final scope: 273 Assets, 3.75 million GSF Facilities Condition Assessment 9 Facilities Condition Assessment 10 Facilities Condition Assessment 11 Master Facilities Plan 12 Questions 13 COUNTY FACILITIES MASTER PLAN Contra Costa County | Board of Supervisors Retreat | January 25, 2022 Welcome and Introductions Strategies Workshop Summary Trends from Other Organizations Key Findings to Date Discussion Items Gensler Team Next Steps Agenda 1 2 3 4 5 6 Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 2 MILESTONES ANALYSIS & FINDINGS FINAL FACILITIES MASTER PLAN DATA COLLECTION PROJECT START-UP Macro Programming Ongoing Project Team Communication Leadership Interviews Site Tours Kick-O Meeting Steering Comm. Workshop #1 STRATEGIES Project Start-up Departmental Survey Caseload/ Employee Commute Analysis Internal Findings Workshop Supply/ Demand Analysis Financial Evaluation Additional Research & Synthesis Draft Report Review Employee Survey Executive Summary Project/Process Narrative Planning & Development Principals Options Analysis Recommendations Implementation Guide Team Organization Background Materials Review Kick-o Meeting Data Collection Methodology Project Strategies Workshop Final Report/ Presentation Steering Comm. Workshop #2 FINDINGS Customer-Facing Needs Headcount Growth Critical Adjacencies Adoption of Remote Work Storage Owned Facilities Leased Facilities Current Operating Costs Total Current Occupancy Costs Drive Time Public Transpo. Parking Impact Existing Facilities Projected Needs Service Delivery Workflow Develop Suitable Alternatives OPTIONS DEVELOPMENT Facility Conditions Adoption of Remote Work Sustainable Strategies Projected Space Needs Client Service Delivery Critical Adjacencies Projected Occupancy Costs Real Estate Markets Due Diligence Consolidation Opportunities Steering Comm. Workshop #3 OPTIONS Financial Analysis Draft & Final Reports Month 1 Month 3Month 2 Month 4 Month 7Month 5 Month 6 Revenue Opportunities Construction Costs Site Infrastructure Costs Total Occupancy Costs BOS Presentation Document PHASE 4 (RFP TASK 3) PHASE 1 (RFP TASK 1) PHASE 2 (RFP TASK 1) PHASE 3 (RFP TASK 2) PHASE 5 (RFP TASK 4) Project Schedule Department Questionnaire Department Leadership Interviews Today BOS Findings Workshop September 2021 2022 October November December January February March April May Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 3 Data Collection to Date 2,177 Employee Survey Responses (35% Response Rate) 23 Sites Toured (more pending) 20 Department Leadership Questionnaire Responses 20 Department Leadership Interviews 1 Steering Committee Workshop (10 members) 100+ County Documents, Reports, etc. Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 4 STRATEGIES WORKSHOP KEY TAKE-AWAYS Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 5 Provide flexibility, upgrade work spaces, and improve the overall employee experience 04 Improve equity, access to resources, and the overall customer experience Reduce facility and real estate-related costs Increase collaboration and resource sharing between departments 01 02 03 Continue to increase technology adoption 05 Strategies Workshop Key Take-Aways Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 6 PUBLIC AGENCY TRENDS Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 7 Service Delivery Bringing government closer to the people. • Distributing service delivery for public health and social services. LA County has expanded its footprint across a large geography to bring services closer to those in need. • Introducing shared service counters with rotating departments. Santa Cruz County is introducing a shared service counter in Watsonville, CA. Accelerating digital service delivery. • Providing digital service delivery through web and/ or mobile applications. Chesterfield County, VA has a chatbot called “ChesterBot”. • Leveraging artificial intelligence and automation to expedite service delivery and migrate human resources to higher-value tasks. Louisiana has a form processing bot that passes forms to humans only if they are incomplete. Investing in public connectivity. • Extending wifi in public facilities and outdoor spaces. Arlington County, VA and San Francisco County, CA provide free internet services in public facilities. • Providing internet training programs to the public. Arlington County, VA provides free public training on how to use the internet. Introducing virtual and in-person one-stop service centers. • Combining databases to provide a holistic view of clients. King County, WA integrates Medicaid, Behavioral Health, and Homelessness support systems. • Providing services through automated kiosks. Several counties have installed kiosks allowing customers to enroll in social services programs and seek benefits status, among other activities. Expanding public-private partnerships. • Supporting local businesses. Birmingham, AL’s #BhamStrong partnership includes government, university, and private-sector organizations that support businesses with loans and business advisory assistance. • Improving infrastructure. Washington State’s “Challenge Seattle” alliance of 21 CEOs from the region’s largest employers are tackling high-speed rail, broadband internet access, education, and other challenges Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 8 Real Estate and Facilities Prioritizing investments in public- facing real estate, facilities, and infrastructure • Postponing major, non-critical County projects. Marin County, CA postponed any new major space planning projects that were not in progress prior to the pandemic. • Creating additional service hubs to better serve County population. San Mateo County and Santa Clara County, CA have added new service centers. Upgrading infrastructure to increase resilience to climate, fire and earthquake risks. • Developing emergency preparation and communications systems. Marin County, CA launched a web-based evacuation mapping tool for county residents and businesses. • Evaluating development opportunities with climate resiliency lens. Ongoing in several counties. Raising the digital literacy of the workforce better supporting hybrid and remote work. • Developing post-COVID work policies. Marin County, CA has developed policies and provisions. • Introducing new software, hardware, and workforce technology training. Mostly occurring within private organizations, but also a best practice for the public sector. Modernizing office spaces and reducing the real estate footprint. • Introducing shared desking for hybrid and remote staff. Santa Cruz County and Los Angeles County are incorporating into renovations of existing facilities. • Updating office spaces and infrastructure to modern standards. San Luis Obispo County and Santa Cruz County are incorporating modern practices into new build-outs. Investing in asset management and GIS systems. • Building enterprise wide real estate database systems for county assets. Ongoing in Marin County and San Mateo County, CA. • Developing real-time facility management with predictive analytic capabilities for proactive planning. Ongoing in Marin County and San Mateo County, CA. • Providing professional organizational structure to implement and manage a complex real estate portfolio. Ongoing in Orange County, CA. Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 9 KEY FINDINGS TO DATE Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 10 01 The County’s real estate portfolio contains numerous facilities scattered across a wide geography. Accessibility from East and West County is challenging for customers. Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 11 County Real Estate Portfolio Under Study* ~ 124 Owned Facilities ( ~ 1,500K SF) ~ 47 Leased Facilities (~ 479K SF) ~171 Total Facilities ( ~ 1,979K SF)** ~ 42 Facilities in West Region ~ 88 Facilities in Central Region ~41 Facilities in East Region * Excludes Health Services, Airport, Fire, Sheriff, and detention facilities. ** A 5% gross-up factor was applied to the rentable square footage of leased facilities in order to arrive at gross square feet. Orinda Lafayette Clayton Moraga Concord Danville Martinez Pleasant Hill San Ramon Walnut C reek Alamo Blackhawk Camino Tassajara Diablo Pacheco Brentwood Oakley Antioch Pittsburg Bay Point Bethel Island Byron Clyde Discovery Bay Knightsen Pinole Richmond San Pablo El Cerrito Hercules Crockett El Sobrante Kensington Port CostaRodeo Alameda County San Joaquin County Sacramento CountySolano County Napa County Sonoma County Marin County San Francisco County San Mateo County Libraries Facilities - Owned Facilities - Leased Region Boundaries Source: ESRI, Contra Costa County WEST CENTRAL EAST Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 12 EHSD Case Locations EHSD facilities are proximate to case locations in West and Central County. Clients in East County travel considerably more to access EHSD facilities. Orinda Lafayette Clayton Moraga Concord Danville Martinez Pleasant Hill San Ramon Walnut C reek Alamo Blackhawk Camino Tassajara Diablo Pacheco Brentwood Oakley Antioch Pittsburg Bay Point Bethel Island Byron Clyde Discovery Bay Knightsen Pinole Richmond San Pablo El Cerrito Hercules Crockett El Sobrante Kensington Port CostaRodeo Alameda County San Joaquin County Sacramento CountySolano County Napa County Sonoma County Marin County San Francisco County San Mateo County Source: ESRI, ESRI Business Analyst, American Community Survey, Contra Costa County, California GIS Portal, Association of Bay Area Governments EHSD Facilities 1 - 24 25 - 85 86 - 242 243 - 690 EHSD Active Case Count Region Boundaries WEST CENTRAL EAST Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 13 Employee Commute 75% of County employees commute approximately 30 minutes or less to their reporting location (by car). Pinole Richmond San Pablo El Cerrito Hercules Crockett El Sobrante Kensington Port CostaRodeo Brentwood Oakley Antioch PittsburgBay Point Bethel Island Byron Clyde Discovery Bay Knightsen Orinda Lafayette Clayton Moraga Concord Danville Martinez Pleasant Hill San Ramon Walnut C reek Alamo Blackhawk Camino Tassajara Diablo Pacheco Alameda County San Joaquin County Sacramento CountySolano County Napa County Sonoma County Marin County San Francisco County San Mateo County Amtrak & Regional Rail Bus Routes - AC Transit, County Connection, Tri Delta, & WestCAT BART Rail BART Station Amtrak Station Major Highways & Roads CCC Facilities Source: ESRI, Contra Costa County, CalTrans, California GIS Portal, Association of Bay Area Governments, Bay Area Rapid Transit ≤ 30 minutes 75% 31 - 60 minutes 22% 61 - 120 minutes 3% Exhibit. Driving time taken by employees to commute to their reporting location* * Employee residence zip codes and reporting locations provided by Contra Costa County. Driving times calculated by ArcGIS, an online geographic information system, leveraging historical and live traffic data for Monday, 8:30 AM. Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 14 02 Ongoing maintenance, noise, overcrowding, climate control, personal safety, and parking are common concerns in County facilities. Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 15 Employees identify privacy and overcrowding as negatives of the office and cleanliness and technology as positives. Privacy and climate control are the design features ranked lowest by employee survey respondents. Cleanliness and comfortable seating are ranked highest. Exhibit. Employee survey responses to “Please rate the design of the County office environment for”, 1: Poor to 5: Excellent Cleanliness Comfort of seating Access to the outdoors Interior lighting Adjustability of work surfaces Noise level Access to natural light Layout Design look and feel Views to the outside Climate control (e.g. heating, cooling) 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.5Privacy 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.4 3.5 Employees survey respondents find the office environment overcrowded and distracting, however believe that the office feels safe and has the technology they need. Exhibit. Employee survey responses to “The County office environment...”, 1: Strongly Disagree to 5: Strongly Agree Has the technology I need to do my job Is a safe place to be Is easy for people to find their way around Feels welcoming Offers a great experience Has a good variety of spaces Promotes the health and well-being of its workers Is distracting Feels overcrowded 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.9 3.0 3.0 Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 16 Leaders identify specialized, support spaces, and parking as lower performing spaces and meeting and customer service spaces as higher. All spaces are ranked moderately to satisfactorily supportive by department leaders. Specialized and support spaces rank lowest and customer service and meeting spaces rank highest. Exhibit. Leadership survey responses to “How well do the following spaces support your department’s needs?”, 1: Not Supportive to 5: Highly Supportive Support spaces (filing, storage, coffee areas, etc.) Meeting spaces (conference rooms, training rooms, etc.) Training spaces Customer service counter Specialized spaces (testing, hearing rooms, community spaces, media spaces, etc.) 4 4 3.8 3.2 3.2 Meeting spaces (conference rooms, training rooms, etc.) Customer service counter Training spaces Support spaces (filing, storage, coffee areas, etc.) Specialized spaces (testing, hearing rooms, community spaces, media spaces, etc.)3.2 3.2 3.8 4 4 is the effectiveness of employee and visitor parking ranked by department leaders. Parking in Martinez is most challenging - homelessness, theft, and limited parking are common concerns. 3.2 / 5 Moderately Supportive Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 17 03 Remote work has been effective overall, especially for individual focused work. Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 18 Employees want more remote work opportunities. 50% of employees want to work in the office ≤2 days a week compared to only 33% of department leaders. Exhibit. Employee and leadership survey responses to “How many days a week in the office would people need to work effectively?“ of employee survey respondents would rather have a desk in the County office that they share with others, but more opportunities to work remotely. Others want a dedicated desk.55% 15% 12% 23%23% 11% 14%13% 8% 10% 33% 23% 13% <1 day 1 day 2 day 3 day 4 day 5 day Employee Response Department Leader Response of employee survey respondents report getting more work done at home compared to the office. Only 4% report getting less work done at home. 62% Current Policy Increasing opportunities to work remotely is the highest ranked policy that employees want the County to implement. Exhibit. Employee survey responses to “In your opinion, which practices and policies are most important for County to implement for employees returning to the office? Select your top 3.” Results reflect the % of times each choice was selected. Increase opportunities to work remotely 30% Establish different team days/schedules to come to the office to manage exposure 15% Adopt a shift-schedule or a wider variety of working hours 14% Employees find it easier to complete individual work and avoid distractions at home. Exhibit. Employee survey responses to “Compared to working in the office, are the following activities harder or easier?” 1: Much harder at home, 2: Somewhat harder, 3: About the same, 4: Somewhat easier, 5: Much easier at home Finding time to complete your individual work 4.3 Avoiding distractions 4.2 Working on sensitive or confidential material 3.9 Participating in training provided by County 3.7 Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 19 DISCUSSION Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 20 Discussion Regional Hubs (East and West County) Property Disposition / Conversion: Impact on Real Estate Utilization Owned vs. Leased Facilities Issues and Policies Storage Consolidation Space Efficiencies / Space Equity Policy on Continued / Increased Remote Work Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 21 Next Steps Next Milestone: Steering Committee Workshop #2 Findings (mid-February) Next Project Phase: Options Development • Developing suitable alternatives (facility conditions, sustainable strategies, space needs, etc) • Financial Analysis (revenue opportunities, construction, site infrastructure, and total real estate occupancy costs) • Milestones: Steering Committee Workshop #3 & BOS Presentation Document (mid-April) Contra Costa County | County Facilities Master Plan Gensler | 22 RECOMMENDATION(S): Accept COVID-19 response update - Protecting Our Community During COVID-19. FISCAL IMPACT: No fiscal impact. This is an information report only. BACKGROUND: COVID update. APPROVE OTHER RECOMMENDATION OF CNTY ADMINISTRATOR RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTEE Action of Board On: 01/25/2022 APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED OTHER Clerks Notes: VOTE OF SUPERVISORS AYE:John Gioia, District I Supervisor Candace Andersen, District II Supervisor Diane Burgis, District III Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District IV Supervisor Federal D. Glover, District V Supervisor Contact: Erika Jenssen, Deputy Director (925) 957-5403 I hereby certify that this is a true and correct copy of an action taken and entered on the minutes of the Board of Supervisors on the date shown. ATTESTED: January 25, 2022 Monica Nino, County Administrator and Clerk of the Board of Supervisors By: June McHuen, Deputy cc: D.4 To:Board of Supervisors From:Anna Roth, Health Services Director Date:January 25, 2022 Contra Costa County Subject:COVID-19 Update - Protecting Our Community During COVID-19 CLERK'S ADDENDUM Speakers: No name given; No name given; Ben; Mitch Free. ACCEPTED the oral report. RECOMMENDATION(S): PRESENTATION by the Contra Costa Budget Justice Coalition. FISCAL IMPACT: No direct fiscal impact. This is an information presentation. BACKGROUND: See attached PowerPoint. APPROVE OTHER RECOMMENDATION OF CNTY ADMINISTRATOR RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTEE Action of Board On: 01/25/2022 APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED OTHER Clerks Notes: VOTE OF SUPERVISORS AYE:John Gioia, District I Supervisor Candace Andersen, District II Supervisor Diane Burgis, District III Supervisor Karen Mitchoff, District IV Supervisor Federal D. Glover, District V Supervisor Contact: Timothy Ewell, Chief Assistant County Administrator I hereby certify that this is a true and correct copy of an action taken and entered on the minutes of the Board of Supervisors on the date shown. ATTESTED: January 25, 2022 , County Administrator and Clerk of the Board of Supervisors By: June McHuen, Deputy cc: D.5 To:Board of Supervisors From: Date:January 25, 2022 Contra Costa County Subject:Presentation by the Contra Costa Budget Justice Coalition CLERK'S ADDENDUM Speakers: No name given; No name given; Diana; Cheryl Sudduth. ATTACHMENTS Budget Justice Coalition PowerPoint Presentation Presentation to the Board of Supervisors January 25, 2022 Dan Geiger dan@budgetjusticecc.org Contra Costa Budget Justice Coalition Our Mission Reflections Recommendations Our Mission The Contra Costa Budget Justice Coalition advocates for community engagement in the Contra Costa County budgeting process and for a set of values-based budgeting principles that support safe and affordable housing, stable employment with fair wages, sufficient healthy food, essential health care, access to critical social services, quality early care and education. Successes and Appreciations for 2021 Engagement in Action and Partnership Work! Measure X adds >$110 million per year to General Fund •MX CAB generated enthusiastic engagement by a broad range of community representatives •Many community-inspired programs were funded: Miles Hall Crisis Response, County Youth Centers, Supportive Housing, Innovation Fund, and more! Community partnered with County to create Office of Racial Equity and Social Justice County-wide eviction moratorium and joint county/community efforts to promote ERAP rental assistance Public more informed by workshops on COVID and ARPA expenditures Supervisors declared racism a public health crisis Lessons of MXCAB Process Advisory Board members, local residents, and stakeholders were all deeply and consistently engaged in sharing knowledgeable input on community needs and solutions Interpretation services expanded community engagement and input Grounding the Advisory Board's work in Equity and other shared Operating Principles created a strong context for the work Issue presentations by diverse experts (residents with lived experience,county departments, community-based service providers) provided diverse data and viewpoints on each issue Deeper shared clarity on roles and expectations would have been useful Looking Forward Engage and Inform Process Embed Equity Long-Term Educate and Engage •Continue to partner on Budget 101 Workshop(s) •Virtual Budget Town Hall and community dialogue, well before County staff present draft budget to Supervisors prior to draft budget presentation •Director of Health Services Dept. •Director of Employment and Human Services Department 2022 Budget Process Identify opportunities to inform and engage the community at key decision points beyond budget hearings Community town hall and input on ARPA expenditures and proposed uses for 2022 -23 More accessible budget information for lay people –e.g., simplified, brief budget explanatory materials Embed Equity Goals in the Budget Measure Assess results Map Map goals to budget items Define Spell out equity goals Prioritize Establish equity priorities Create County/Community Workgroup to Develop Integrated Budget Planning Process Draw on MXCAB lessons Develop 3-5 year framework, priorities and goals Link to annual budgets On behalf of BJC Members -THANK YOU! •350 Contra Costa •AFSCME Local 2700 •Alliance of Californians for Community Empowerment (ACCE) Contra Costa •Asian Pacific Environmental Network •Bay Area Community Services •Choice in Aging •Community Clinics Consortium •Contra Costa Labor Council •Contra Costa Office of Education •East Bay Alliance for a Sustainable Economy •East Contra Costa Community Alliance •Ensuring Opportunity •First 5 Contra Costa/Family Economic Security Partnership •Food Bank of Contra Costa •Great Richmond Interfaith Program •Healthy Richmond/Local Initiatives Support Corporation •Human Services Alliance of Contra Costa •IFPTE Local 21 •League of Women Voters Diablo Valley •Local Initiatives Support Corporation •Meals on Wheels Senior Outreach •Monument Impact •Multi-Faith Action Coalition •Planned Parenthood of Northern California •Racial Justice Coalition •Richmond Community Foundation •Richmond LAND •Rubicon Programs •Safe Return Project •SEIU Local 1021 •SURJ Contra Costa •United Latino Voices •And many residents of Contra Costa