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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMINUTES - 08071990 - 2.3 Y { • _1 I 2 .3 THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS OF CONTRA COSTA COUNTY, CALIFORNIA Adopted this Order on August 7, 1990 by the following vote: AYES: NOES: (For vote see below) ABSENT: ABSTAIN: SUBJECT: 65/35 Land Preservation Plan Initiative and the Greenbelt Alliance Initiative The Board received the report from the Director of Community Development relating to the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation plan presented to the Board by County Counsel. (A copy of the report is attached and included as a part of this document. ) The Board also received a report (Attachment A) entitled "The Economic Impacts of the Land Use Initiative and the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan Upon Contra Costa County" prepared by Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. , of Berkeley, California. Mr. Walter Keiser of the referenced firm presented a summary analysis of the scope of the report which included comparison data of the two proposals and potential fiscal impact on the County. In referencing Mr. Keiser' s analysis, Supervisor Powers called attention to the fact that if the Greenbelt Initiative was adopted there would be no change in the amount of growth and jobs and housing in the County or around the County. He noted that pressures for growth are not something that are created or stopped by local governments, they are only managed. He expressed concern that the passage of the initiative would not mean the end of traffic congestion but that this problem would still prevail. However, in this case the County would have no control over the growth nor would they have any revenue to offset the impact of that growth. In referring to the two initiatives, Supervisor Schroder noted that the Greenbelt initiative forces all development in the incorporated communities (the 18 cities within the County) , thereby increasing the population in those cities, but putting the burden of services upon the County without the offsetting revenue to fund those services. He noted that it is not a growth control measure at all since it stops any and all suburban and rural development in the unincorporated areas and compacts development within the cities. Frank Pereira, representing the Citizens Land Alliance, 6040 Alhambra Valley Rd. , Martinez, spoke in opposition to the Greenbelt Alliance Initiative. He requested the Board to defer action for one week to allow those who would be directly affected to review staff ' s findings. He advised that this additional time would allow staff another week to gather other data relative to the effects of the proposed initiative. Jack Bloomfield, 4955 Discovery Point; Byron, spoke in opposition to the establishment of an urban limit line and requested that this matter not be submitted to the voters in November. He advised that he was not concerned about the 65/35 rule in the term of the General Plan because he did not believe it discriminated against individuals as the urban limit line designation does in the Greenbelt Initiative. Frank L. Stone, Councilmember, City of Antioch, 1312 - West 10th Street, Antioch, advised that the City Council is opposed to an urban limit line as presented. He expressed concern with the potential of real estate prices escalating in the cities and the inability of young couples to purchase homes. Councilmember Stone also expressed opposition to the Greenbelt Alliance Initiative. - 1 - Catherine Palmer, Mayor, City of Brentwood, spoke in opposition to the urban limit line concept. She requested the Board to have an urban service line and not an urban limit line. She spoke of fiscal consequences to the County with the passage of the Initiative. Lillian Pride, City of Pittsburg, 65 Civic Avenue, Pittsburg, advised of the City Council' s opposition to the Greenbelt Initiative, the urban limit line under consideration by the Board and the placement of the matter on the November ballot. She referred to the requests made by the City of Pittsburg for some adjustments in the boundary in the area of Bailey Road and the southeast area of the city. Howard Higgins, Citizens Land Alliance, P.O. Box 457 , Antioch, spoke in opposition to the Greenbelt initiative and urban limit lines. He advised of discussions with people in Bethel Island, Knightsen, and Oakley who are opposed to these measures. He commented on the negative impact passage of these measures would have on County services and expressed a need for all groups to work together to attain an equitable solution. Guy Bjerk, Executive Director of the Building Industry Association of Northern California, 1280 Boulevard Way, Suite 211, Walnut Creek, advised that the Greenbelt initiative would attack the County' s revenue stream by reducing property taxes and certain fees. He commented on the possibility of the County incurring a liability because of being required to compensate property owners whose property had been down-zoned through the initiative process. He noted that in 1984 the voters of Solano County had adopted a program similar to the open space initiative and commented on the problems that county has incurred as a result of loss of revenue required to maintain county services. He recommended keeping both measures off the ballot and giving Measure C (approved by the voters in 1988) with its growth management provision a chance to work. Frank Lehmkuhl, 1731 Claycord Avenue, Concord, spoke in support of the Greenbelt initiative. Ron Gatti, 311 Barton Court, Danville, and a property owner in the Bollinger Canyon area, spoke of his opposition to the urban limit line concept and the Greenbelt Initiative. He recommended that the Board require staff to include within the urban limit line current spheres of influence of certain cities. In reference to staff ' s exclusion of the Bollinger Canyon area outside of the urban limit line designation, he advised that the San Ramon City council had voted unanimously for the inclusion of Bollinger Canyon in the County' s urban limit line and that the Board should be receiving a letter from the City shortly. Fred Etzel, legal counsel to the, Citizens Land Alliance, 4 Embarcadero Center, San Francisco, recommended deferring decision to place the Greenbelt initiative on the ballot for one week to allow for ample review of the report prepared by Economic and Planning Systems as well as the preparation of additional fiscal information relative to the impact of the Initiative and the establishment of urban limit lines on Contra Costa County. He expressed the belief that the Greenbelt Alliance initiative will allow growth to occur to the north of Contra Costa County in the Rio Vista area, with this County then becoming a drive-through county for people to get to their jobs. He advised that delaying the vote on these issues to June 1992 will give the electorate the opportunity to thoroughly understand the issue. In conclusion, Mr. Etzel urged the Board to consider the urban services line concept in terms of accommodating urban development because the County must have it. Mark Evanoff, representing the Greenbelt Alliance, 116 New Montgomery Street, Suite 640, San Francisco, commented on the development of the initiative. He urged the Board to approve placing the initiative on the November 6 , 1990 ballot. A. B. McNabney, Mt. Diablo Audubon Society, 1161 Leisure Lane, #7, Walnut Creek, advised of his support for the initiative. He - 2 - , spoke on the need to retain farmland. However he noted that if there are economic impacts on individuals as a result of the initiative, he believes these impacts can be ameliorated. Lucia Albers, 1400 Deer Valley Road, Brentwood, commented on the negative consequences to the County and property owners if the initiative is approved by the electorate. She stated that if the Greenbelt Alliance wants open space, they should look for ways to buy it. Mike Farr, 18311 Bollinger Canyon Road, San Ramon, expressed concern that approval of the initiative will reduce property values on certain farmland and potential consequences to these landowners in times of diminished fiscal resources. He proposed that if farmers are to be precluded from subdividing their land because of the need to keep it in agriculture, a procedure needs to be established to purchase the development rights from farmers and yet still allow the land to be kept in agriculture. Gayle Bishop, 18 Crow Canyon Court, Suite 230, San Ramon, spoke on the initiative process and advised that she did not believe it would be proper to delay beyond November 1990 placing the Greenbelt Alliance initiative on the ballot. Ed Dimmick, 1251 Sheppard Court, Walnut Creek, commented on the placement of the initiative on the November ballot. Jack Roddy, representing the Contra Costa-Alameda County Cattlemen' s Association, Rt. 2 Box 1774, (city not given) , commented on agricultural economics relative to food production and land value. All persons desiring to speak were heard. Supervisor Schroder spoke of his concern about the designation of urban limit lines because of the inflexibility of drawing such a line. He therefore moved to eliminate the urban limit line designa- tion from the General Plan. Supervisor Fanden seconded the motion. The vote on the motion was as follows: AYES: Supervisors Schroder, Fanden NOES: Supervisors Powers, McPeak, Torlakson Board members discussed various provisions of the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan. Supervisor Schroder requested the Board to give consideration to including in Section 7 of the proposed Plan provision for a five year periodic review to determine if a change to the urban limit line is warranted. Supervisor Torlakson concurred and moved the inclusion of the five year periodic review of the urban limit line designation. Supervisor Schroder seconded the motion. The vote on the motion was as follows: AYES: Supervisors Powers, Schroder, McPeak, Torlakson NOES: Supervisor Fanden Thereupon, Supervisor McPeak moved approval of the form of the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan as amended (exclusion of the map) and the placement of the ordinance, including the ballot language, on the November 6, 1990 ballot. The motion was seconded by Supervisor Powers. The vote on the motion was as follows: AYES: Supervisors Powers, Schroder, McPeak, Torlakson NOES: Supervisor Fanden - 3 - The Board then considered approval of the map (delineating the urban limit lines) which would be included as a part of the ordinance. Supervisor Torlakson advised that the City of Antioch has requested inclusion of lands in the area along Deer Valley south and along Empire Mine Road because of the city' s projected growth plan of 1, 000 housing units a year for the next five years. He expressed the opinion that this projection may not be realistic and that the five year review period included in the ordinance would take the City' s growth into consideration at that time. Supervisor Torlakson expressed support for the inclusion of Horse Valley within the urban limit line as presented on the map for the Board' s consideration. Supervisor Torlakson then referred to the projected growth plans of the City of Brentwood and of its request to include within its urban limit line parcels of land along Sellars Avenue adjacent to the City' s business park, the Gerry and Garin parcels (which are a part of the Redevelopment Agency) , and part of an area that the County has requested to handle flood control drainage facilities. He advised of a compromise proposal he is submitting which is to limit the extension of the urban limit line to the Gerry and Garin properties, those being the area bounded by Chestnut on the north, Sellars on the east, and the city' s existing sphere of influence on the south. Commenting on the feasibility of accepting this compromise proposal, Supervisor Torlakson then moved its approval. The motion died for lack of a second. Supervisors Torlakson and McPeak commented on the feasibility of participating in discussions with affected cities relative to non-urban and urban planning. Supervisor Torlakson raised the question of how much of the Cowell Ranch should be included in the urban limit line to the west and south of Brentwood. Supervisor McPeak proposed the extension of the current City of Brentwood line to the west to include properties along Balfour Road with the condition that development of these lands shall be jointly planned between the City of Brentwood and the County of Contra Costa. Supervisor Powers advised that he believed it was premature to enter into discussions to allow memoranda of understanding to occur since the electorate would be voting on the ordinance on November 5, 1990. Supervisor Torlakson commented on the need to review the concerns of the cities and if any changes to the urban limit line are made, to incorporate those changes prior to the approval of the final map by the Board. Mayor Catherine Palmer, City of Brentwood, advised of her opposition to urban limit lines, but expressed an interest in working with the Board to reach an agreement. Supervisor Torlakson moved the inclusion of the Garin and Gerry properties within the urban limit line around the Harvest Business Park with the inclusion of a 100-foot buffering zone so as limit the impacts of the urban area on prime agricultural land. He advised that this would allow the City of Brentwood to have economic viability to pursue their business park and to do the flood control improvements that the County Flood Control District has required. The motion was seconded by Supervisor McPeak. Supervisor Fanden advised that she would not be supporting the map because she believed the proposed changes to be arbitrary and not fair to all property owners. The vote on the motion was as follows: AYES: Supervisors Schroder, McPeak, and Torlakson NOES: Supervisors Powers, Fanden 4 - r r , Supervisor Torlakson referred to the Cowell project which had previously been rejected from being a part of the General Plan. He pointed to a triangular piece of land (owned by the Cowell Foundation) on the proposed urban limit line map that points down and straddles across Marsh Creek Road into an area that is the subject of the Initiative. He moved that this area be removed from the urban limit line. He noted that the City of Brentwood was in agreement. Supervisor McPeak seconded the motion. Supervisor Schroder advised that he believes it would be improper to take a large parcel of property with one ownership and cut a portion of that out of the potential for one large parcel of planning. The vote on the motion was as follows: AYES: Supervisors McPeak, Torlakson NOES: Supervisors Powers, Schroder, Fanden Supervisor Torlakson then referred to consideration of the City of Pittsburg for some changes to the urban limit line in the vicinity of that city. He advised that he would support including in the urban limit line the front end of the Nortonville area off Kirker Pass (excluding the Wilson property) . He requested staff of the Community Development Department and Lillian Pride of the City of Pittsburg to confer on the proposed changes. Shortly thereafter, Mr. Barry advised that in reviewing the line drawn by staff from the City of Pittsburg, it appears to encompass a substantially larger area including the Wilson property, the subject of an agricultural preserve contract. Mr. Barry then reviewed with the Board the drawing submitted by the City' s staff. Supervisor McPeak advised that she could not support the area proposed by the City of Pittsburg. Supervisor Torlakson moved to include the referenced area in the urban limit line. The motion died for lack of a second. ' Supervisor Powers then moved that the map be adopted as amended and made a part of the Ordinance. The motion was seconded by Supervisor Schroder. The vote on the motion was as follows: AYES: Supervisors Powers, Schroder, McPeak NOES: Supervisors Torlakson, Fanden I hereby certify that this Is a true and correct copy of an action taken rid entered on the minutes of the Board of Supervisors on the date shown. ATTESTED: 7. /990 PHIL BATGRELOR,Clerk of the Board of Supervisors and County Administrator CC: Director, CDD �• - 5 - a.3 .:. Contra TO: Bp OARDSUPERVISORS o•. Costa .AWr � County FROM: Harvey E. Bra don ��srA�.--r" ` Director of mmunity Development DATE: JULY 31, 1990 SUBJECT: 65/35 LAND PRESERVATION PLAN INITIATIVE SPECIFIC REQUEST(S) OR RECOMMENDATIONS(S) & BACKGROUND AND JUSTIFICATION RECOMMENDATIONS 1. Approve the form of the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan presented to the Board by County Counsel. 2 . Approve the proposed ballot language and take the necessary actions to place the ordinanace on the Novbember 6, 1990 ballot. BACKGROUND/REASONS FOR RECOMMENDATIONS 1. The Community Development Department has been working to prepare a new General Plan for the County for over four and one-half years. In preparing thew new General Plan, staff has elicited the help of numerous consultants, and conducted thousands of hours of study and analysis. In addition, staff prepared a draft Environmental Impact Report (DEIR) to analyse the environmental effects of the new General Plan, as required by state law. Copies of the Draft of the proposed new General Plan were available for public comment between March, 1989 and March 1990; the DEIR was available between January and March, 1990. Staff is now in the process of revising the new General Plan to respond to the many comments received on the draft General Plan and DEIR. 2 . In connection with this process of developing the new General Plan, the county held numerous public meetings and received thousands of written comments on the new General Plan. From these comments, staff identified three major concerns expressed by the public: CONTINUED ON ATTACHMENT: YES SIGNATURE: _ RECOMMENDATION OF COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR RECOMMENDATION OF BOARD COMMITTE APPROVE OTHER CTION OF BOARD ON APPROVED AS RECOMMENDED OTHER VOTE OF SUPERVIS I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT THIS IS A UNANIMOUS (ABSENT ) TRUE AND CORRECT COPY OF AN AYES: NO ACTION TAKEN AND ENTERED ON THE ABSENT: ABSTAI MINUTES OF THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS ON THE DATE SHOWN. cc: Community Development ATTESTED County. Counsel PHIL BATCHELOR, CLERK OF Special Counsel THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS County Administrator AND COUNTY ADMINISTRATOR BY , DEPUTY \DMB CJA4:807bs.bo t a. Growing urbanization of the county is threatening the long-term viability of the county's agricultural and open space land, parks, wetlands, hillsides and ridgelines. Preservation of the agricultural land is critical to maintaining a healthy and competetive agricultural economy and assuring a balance in land uses in the county. Moreover, presevation and conservation of open space, wetlands, parks, hillsides and ridgelines is imper- ative to ensure the continued availability of unique habitat for wildlife and plants, to protect the unique scenery of the county and to provide a wide range of recreational opportunities for county residents. b. Growth is a natural and proper part of the life of the community. However, growth should be responsibly managed to preserve the quality of life for current and future generations. New development should be guided into appropriate locations, and should be allowed only after appropriate infrastructure ( Transportation, parks, schools, water, fire and police protec- tion, among others) can be assured. c. There is a critical need to make decent, safe and affordable housing available to all Contra Costa County residents. Fair housing' opportunities should prevail for all economic segments of the county, and housing should be available in reasonable proximity to employment centers. In addition, the county's land use policies should not restrict growth so severely that they preclude these affordable housing opportunities. 3 . To reflect those concerns in the new General Plan, the Board of Supervisors, during May and June, 1990 requested staff to develop an Urban Limit Line program. That program was intended to identify the outer boundaries of potentiial development during the life of the new General Plan, and insure that certain parts of the County were preserved for agriculture, open space, wetlands parks, hillsides and ridgelines. The basic. principles of the Urban Limit Line program were approved by the Board of Supervisors at their meeting on May 22 , 1990. 4. As part of the Urban Limit Line prgram, the Board requested staff to establish an actual urban limit line to identify outer boundaries within which development could occur during the term of the new general plan. In developing that urban limit line consideration was given to the following criteria and factors for determining whether land should be considered for location outside the urban limit line: a. Land which qualifies for rating as Class I and Class II in the Soil Conservation Service Land Use Capability classification, b. open space, parks and other recreation areas, c. lands with slopes in excess of 26%, d. Wetlands, and e. other areas not appropriate for urban growth because of physical unsuitability for development, ustable geological conditions, inadequate watwer availability, the lack of appropriate infrastructure, distance from existing develop- ment, liklihood of substantial environmental damage, for substantial injury to fish or wildlife or their habitat, and other similar factors. Staff believes that those factors most appropriately reflect the concerns of the public regarding the need to preserve agricul- tural and open space land, wetlands, hillsides, ridgelines and parks. 5. As part of the Urban Limit Line program,the Board also requested staff to determine the appropriate balance between the percentage of land which should be preserved for agriculture, open space, wetlands, parks and other non-urban uses, and the percentage that should be available for potential development during the term of the new general plan. After careful review and analysis of the available land in the county, staff has determined that the balance is best achieved by a policy which limits potential development to no more than 35 percent of the county and preserves 65 percent of the county for agriculture, open space, wetlands, parks, and other non-urban uses. 6. The Urban Limit Line program and its accompanying policies, together with the 65/35 concept have now been formulated into the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan. The components of the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan are included in the proposed ordinance submitted to the Board by County Counsel. Staff has reviewed the proposed ordinance and believes that it accurately and most appropriately reflects the recommendations of staff in earlier reports to the Board of Supervisors. Staff also believes that the proposed ordinance reflects the needs and interests of the public expressed in comments received on the proposed new General Plan and DEIR. Staff understands that the proposed ordinance does not call for an amendment to the County's existing General Plan, but requires the County to reflect the policies contained in the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan in the new General Plan. 7. Staff has also reviewed the proposed ordinance in connection with any applicable requirements of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and state and county guidelines. Staff believes that submission of the proposed ordinance to the voters is not a project under CEQA and that, as a result, no environmental review is re- quired. Even if the submission of the proposed ordinance to the voters were to be viewed as a project, staff believes that such action would be exempt from CEQA compliance under both the CEQA statute and the state and county guidelines. Furthermore, The ordi- nance provides that upon its approval by the voters, the county shall take all necessary and appropriate steps to reflect the policies of the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan in the new General Plan and analyse and disclose its potentially significant effects consistent with the State Planning Law and CEQA. In that regard, staff expects to complete the environmental review for the new General Plan prior to the November, 1990 election. 8. Therefore, staff recommends that the Board of Supervisors place the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation ordinance on the November 6, 1990 ballot so that the voters of the county can deter- mine whether or not the plan accuratelly reflects their interests and concerns. ATTACHMENT A ECONOMIC AND PLANNING SYSTEMS PRESENTATION DRAFT REPORT Economic Impacts of the Land Use Initiative and the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan Upon Contra Costa County Prepared for: Contra Costa County Board of Supervisors Prepared by: ECONOMIC AND PLANNING SYSTEMS,Inc. Berkeley,California August 1990 EPS#884 1815B FOURTH STREET•BERKELEY, CALIFORNIA 94710• PHONE (415)841-9190 717 K STREET•SUITE 501 •SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA 95814•PHONE (916)444-2360 TABLE OF CONTENTS page INTRODUCTION 1 FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS 2 Land Use Effects 2 Fiscal Impacts Upon Contra Costa County 3 Impacts Upon Public Finance Commitments 3 Financial Impacts Upon Landowners 3 Regional Economic Impacts 4 THE PROPOSED LAND USE INITIATIVE AND THE PRESERVATION PLAN 5 The Land Use Initiative 5 The Preservation Plan 8 BASELINE CONDITIONS AND PROJECTIONS 10 Land Use,Population,and Employment Trends 10 County Budget Conditions and Trends 12 Infrastructure Constraints 17 Trends in Government Organization 18 Emerging General Plan Amendments 18 IMPACT ANALYSIS 19 Fiscal Impacts Upon Contra Costa County 19 County Employees 24 Impacts Upon Public Finance Commitments 24 Financial Impacts Upon Landowners 24 Regional Economic Impacts 25 DRAFT GENERAL PLAN POLICIES AND PROGRAMS 26 Fiscal and Financial Analysis 26 Growth Management Element 27 1 ' 1 ' Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 INTRODUCTION This report provides an economic analysis of the Land Use Initiative for the Unincorporated Area of Contra Costa County. (Land Use Initiative). The Land Use Initiative, sponsored by "Vision for a Better Contra Costa", has qualified for the November election by petition. An alternative ballot measure, the 65135 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan (Preser- vation Plan) has been prepared by the Board of Supervisors and County staff as an alterna- tive to the Land Use Initiative. These ballot measures have emerged from the debate sur- rounding the Contra Costa County Draft General Plan. The potential impacts of the Land Use Initiative and the Preservation Plan must be viewed within the context of existing trends and conditions. Accordingly,the analysis begins with a summary of the following items: • Land Use,Population,and Employment Projections • County Budget Conditions • Infrastructure Constraints • Trends in Governmental Organization • Impact of Emerging General Plan Amendments The next step is to determine what effects the Land Use Initiative or, alternatively, the Preservation Plan will have on land use. The Land Use Initiative imposes more stringent restrictions on land use within unincorporated territory of the County than proposed in the Draft General Plan. This will have a variety of direct and indirect effects on the amount of development that occurs and where it will be located. The Preservation Plan maintains the land use designations provided by the Draft General Plan but imposes an "urban limit line" beyond which urban development would not be permitted. The direct and indirect land use effects of the two ballot measures were quantified to the extent possible and subjected to an economic analysis. The economic analysis addresses several economic variables that could be affected and provides a quantitative and qualitative assessment of the potential impacts. These variables include: • Fiscal Impacts Upon Contra Costa County • Impacts Upon Public Finance Commitments • Financial Impacts Upon Landowners • Regional Economic Impacts The economic analysis was conducted by revising and updating the economic models and information previously developed by Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. (EPS). Since the beginning of the General Plan Program in 1986, EPS has assisted the Contra Costa County Community Development Department with the development of land use projections and data, land use analysis,fiscal impact analysis, and the development of policies regarding the financing of public services and facilities. 1 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS LAND USE EFFECTS The land use effects, and the related economic impacts, of either the Land Use Initiative or the Preservation plan would be moderated during the 15 year planning horizon by two fac- tors: First, there will be a more than adequate supply of development capacity created by the Draft General Plan and existing city general plans relative to the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) growth projections; therefore,the measures do not constrain develop- ment potential to a large degree in the foreseeable future. Second, infrastructure constraints and the related Draft General Plan Growth Management Element policies, particularly in the East County,would tend to moderate growth rates with or without the ballot measures. The Land Use Initiative would eliminate proposed urban designations on a 6,100-acre area in the East County around the existing development in Oakley and Brentwood. Development capacity within this area, relative to the Draft General Plan, would be reduced by nearly 15,000 potential residential units and 5.6 million square feet of potential commercial and industrial space. The ratio of residential demand, based on ABAG projections, to develop- ment capacity in East County would increase from 63 percent to 82 percent. The ratio of commercial/industrial demand to development capacity would increase from 32 percent to 38 percent. The Land Use Initiative would also establish large lot size minimums (320 acres) on agricul- tural and open space lands and in the Agricultural Core (40 acres). General Plan Amend- ments in these areas would require Countywide voter approval. The Initiative would remain in effect through 2010. These restrictions would virtually eliminate parcel maps and subdivisions in portions of the County without urban designations in the Draft General Plan. The Preservation Plan maintains the land use designations shown in the General Plan and establishes an "urban limit line" beyond the area currently shown in urban designations. This urban limit line would define an area wherein General Plan Amendments to urban uses would be acceptable in the future. General Plan Amendments in areas beyond the urban limit line could be accomplished under certain special circumstances, otherwise, they would require Countywide voter approval. The Preservation Plan would also establish large lot size minimums on "prime productive agricultural land" (40 acres) although other rural designations would remain as proposed in the Draft General Plan. The Ordinance would remain in effect through 2005. 2 ' Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 FISCAL IMPACTS UPON CONTRA COSTA COUNTY The Land Use Initiative could cause direct and indirect fiscal impacts upon Contra Costa County. • Cutbacks of development potential could result in a loss of the anticipated net positive fiscal margins which would have resulted from the development occurring in the area. At full buildout of the area affected, it is estimated that the annual loss could be from $1.1 million, if the area is annexed or incorporated, to $2.9 million, if the area remains unincorporated. • The increased incentive for development to occur in cities through annexation and/or incorporation could reduce the County's share of property taxes in the affected area by $4 million annually, which would lead to the net loss of $1.1 million if the area is annexed or incorporated. • The elimination of development potential in lands presently designated for agricultural and open space uses in the General Plan would entirely eliminate opportunities for the County to receive fiscal benefit from any future development in areas currently beyond the Draft General Plan urban designations. The Preservation Plan would accommodate the land use designations reflected in the Draft General Plan. Thus, the potential losses described for the Land Use Initiative would be avoided. However, the urban limit line would reduce development potential outside its boundaries and eliminate related potential fiscal benefits that could accrue from such devel- opment. IMPACTS UPON PUBLIC FINANCE COMMITMENTS There are no assessment districts or other financing instruments pending in the areas affected by the Land Use Initiative. However, impact fee revenues expected from develop- ment in the East County will be significantly reduced. The Transportation Impact Fee revenue alone could be reduced by as much as $132 million, assuming full buildout of the area. Assuming a 15-year build out period,the annual loss of revenue would be$8.8 million, if the current rate structure is maintained. There will not be a corresponding reduction in infrastructure costs. Park In-Lieu Fees levied by the County (if maintained at current rates) would be reduced by a total of$3 million,or$200,000 annually. As noted above, the Preservation plan would accommodate the land use designations in the Draft General Plan. Therefore, the potential development would not be reduced,nor would the expected fee revenues. FINANCIAL IMPACTS UPON LANDOWNERS The value of land in the unincorporated portion of the County which is designated Agricul- ture/Open Space and Agricultural Core by the Land Use Initiative will be significantly reduced. In some instances this reduction will be a lost opportunity to sell land for develop- 3 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 ment values at some future date. In other instances, particularly in the Oakley/Brentwood area where cutbacks in the urban designations in the Draft General Plan are imposed, there could be actual losses to individuals who have made investment purchases. The theoretical present value of the land where the cutbacks are proposed is conservatively $200 million. This potential loss would be avoided if annexation and/or incorporation could occur in the near future, thus exempting the area from the restrictions imposed by the Land Use Initia- tive. The Preservation Plan would have lesser financial impacts. The lands beyond the urban limit line would very likely lose its short-term investment value, related to its development potential. Because of the remoteness of much of this land, it is difficult to quantify the sig- nificance of any such investment value reductions. REGIONAL ECONOMIC IMPACTS Because the overall Countywide level of growth and development will probably not be changed under either the Land Use Initiative or the Preservation Plan, regional economic variables such as jobs, personal income, expenditures, etc. will not be significantly affected. The Land Use Initiative could reduce the amount of available affordable housing if it is assumed that the County would be more effective at creating affordable units than the cities. 4 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 THE PROPOSED LAND USE INITIATIVE AND THE PRESERVATION PLAN THE LAND USE INITIATIVE The Land Use Initiative contains three major components that would affect land use and subsequently could have economic and fiscal consequences for Contra Costa County. • Cutbacks in Urban Designations. The Initiative eliminates urban designations on 6,100 acres of land in the Oakley/Brentwood area. • Redesignation and Establishment of Large Minimum Lot Sizes. The Initiative would refine all agriculture and open space land use designations and impose large lot zoning upon all unincorporated territory shown in the Draft General Plan as "Agriculture Recreation", "Commercial Recreation", "Recreation", "Agriculture Preserve", "General Open Space", "Agriculture Residential", "Interim Agriculture", "General Open Space" and "Agriculture Core". The minimum parcel size in the new Agriculture/Open Space designation would be 320 acres. The minimum parcel size in the Agricultural Core (the area around Brentwood) would be 40 acres. • Future Changes in Open Space Land Use Designations. The Initiative would require voter approval of all future changes to the General Plan (General Plan Amendments) affecting lands designated Agriculture/Open Space or Agricultural Core, except where these changes are achieved through annexation to an existing city or incorporation of a new city. The Land Use Initiative would have three direct impacts upon land use and development in Contra Costa County: Development Capacity Shown in the Draft General Plan would be Reduced. The Land Use Initiative eliminates 6,100 acres of urban designations in the Oak- ley/Brentwood area. These reductions would lower potential residential units in the County by 14,800 units and potential commercial development by 5.6 million square feet, if the acreage remains unincorporated. Table 1 provides a description of the development poten- tial and related population and employment opportunities that would be eliminated within unincorporated territory. Figure 1 shows the County areas with urban designations that would be affected by the Land Use Initiative. Although this analysis focused on the Brentwood/Oakley area as the portion of the county that the Land Use Initiative will have the largest impact,subsequent analysis of the Initiative may identify other areas that are also affected,such as Bethel Island. Our examination of the impact of the Initiative on the Bethel Island area shows that the off-island bonus area,south of the island will be affected to some degree by the Initiative. Since the number of potential units that will be transferred to the bonus area is unclear at this time, this impact on this area was not quantified. 5 WA •p _ �� Figure I County Land With Urban Designations That Would be ' Affected the Land Use Initiative tlve a `..x<.: pyx:, • yl �x , .J N�zx LI SH i• r } •SIL MZ CO _ ,,//''�� �'. <� .<s<�� a ... co J ML Onley c6 , y x AL CO SL -27 3v SL+ OF ML S� PS r'SL" :..w SH Cp _' • Y M1 PS ML Sm U PS A L S" ML • 1 t l x S. Of qu PS fix' Sr+ f... SH PSAL L - 5t� � S co + PR LOA M A s (�Ml LL . SH Ml Brentwood A C z 1 BP $H ..... H 'i •.nom M1 ..,f..',..::<...;... •� V 5 SH I , } Y U CS J ' j PS ` I For Illustrative Purposes Only 6 I Table 1 Decreased Development Potential of Contra Costa County General Plan As A Result of the Land Use Initiative Oakley/Brentwood Area Land Use Acres Development Residents or Jobs Assessed Value RESIDENTIAL Single-Family 5,398 13,205 units 37,634 Residents $2,971,125,000 Multi-Family 242 1,636 units 3,109 Residents $204,500,000 Total 5,640 14,841 units 40,743 Residents $3,175,625,000 COMMERCIAL Office 40 723,100 Sq.Ft. 2,748 Jobs $65,078,640 Retail 29 473,700 Sq.Ft. 1,125 Jobs $47,371,500 Industrial 253 2,479,700 Sq.Ft. 3,365 Jobs $99,186,120 Light Industrial 150 1,960,200 Sq.Ft. 3,724 Jobs $117,612,000 Total 472 5,636,700 Sq.Ft. 10,962 Jobs $329,248,260 Total Acres 6,112 Source: Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. 7 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 Incentives to Annex and Incorporate Unincorporated Territory would be Increased. Development restrictions on unincorporated lands would increase incentives for areas in the path of development to annex to cities or form new cities. It is important to recognize that future growth in Contra Costa County will be dominated by the County's cities, with or without the Land Use Initiative. The Growth Management policies and fiscal and financial policies included in the Draft General Plan may also create an incentive to annex or incorporate,since in some instances the County policies would be more stringent than those imposed by the cities. The Land Use Initiative would, in effect, further tip the balance of development activity toward cities through additional annexations and incorporations. Thus, development of agricultural and open space areas would continue and could ultimately result in a land use pattern similar to what might occur without the Initiative,but development would simply occur within cities rather than in unincorporated territory. Development Potential on All Lands Designated Agricultural Open Space would be Eliminated. Loss of development potential on all lands designated Agriculture/Open Space and Agricul- tural Core would restrict the County's ability to respond to future conditions and develop- ment opportunities and would limit rural residential and recreational development, unless the affected area is incorporated. PRESERVATION PLAN The 65/35 Land Preservation Plan would incorporated the following set of policies into the new County General Plan in order to preserve open space and agricultural lands. The Preservation Plan: • Restricts urban development to 35% of the land in the County and preserves 65% of the land for agriculture,open space,wetlands,parks and other non-urban uses until 2010; • Creates an urban limit line outside of which development is limited to proposed rural and open space designations of the Draft General Plan; • Manages growth in the County by allowing new development only when minimum infrastructure and service standards are met; • Advises the Local Agency Formation Commission to honor the Plan in annexation and incorporation decisions; • Imposes a 40-acre minimum lot size on"prime productive agricultural land' 8 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 • Safeguards the County's obligation to provide its fair share of affordable housing;and, • Provides a strict set of policies that will protect open space,hillsides,ridge lines,agricul- tural lands, and wetlands throughout the County that cannot be altered, except by a vote of the people. The Preservation Plan maintains the land use designations in the Draft General Plan, and therefore would not reduce the development capacity of the General Plan. 9 i Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 BASELINE CONDITIONS AND PROJECTIONS LAND USE, POPULATION, AND EMPLOYMENT TRENDS The impacts of the Land Use Initiative will ultimately be caused by the changes to previously anticipated development activity and related population and employment growth. Thus, it is essential to establish development activity and related population and employment trends that would occur without any assumption regarding the effects of the Land Use Initiative. Establishing these "baseline" trends is relatively straightforward since a very detailed land use and development data base (the Land Use Information System) was developed during the General Plan Program. The Land Use Information System, which reflects the land use policies of the County General Plan and the General Plans of the cities, was used to estimate the impact of the initiatives on development capacity in the County. Table 2 presents the development capacity created by the land use policies in the Draft County General Plan and existing city General Plans, and corresponding theoretical popula- tion and employment potential. The estimates of development capacity are based on approved and proposed projects and potential development on vacant land given the desig- nated development density in the General Plans. The figures do not consider infrastructure, commutation and market constraints, all of which may act to limit full buildout of the devel- opment capacity. (Commercial and industrial land uses reflected in the analysis of the Draft General Plan at the 2005 horizon year were constrained to reflect market conditions and labor force constraints). The Draft General Plan and the city General Plans create additional development capacity for 106,400 dwelling units and 80.9 million square feet of commercial space throughout the County. This development could accommodate 271,100 new residents and 186,600 new employees. The majority(59 percent)of the residential capacity lies in the East County com- munities of Antioch, Brentwood and Oakley. The commercial capacity (measured in terms of potential employment) is divided between the East County (42 percent) and Central County (32 percent)areas. Future urban growth throughout the County will be affected by a variety of factors in addi- tion'to the development capacity created by the General Plans: • National and regional economic conditions will affect overall economic growth in the Bay Area. • The high cost of housing in the County (and the Bay Area generally) may limit labor force availability leading to a constraint on employment growth. 10 Table 2 Development Capacity In Contra Costa County From 1990 to Buildout Under City and County General Plans Retail Office/Industrial Total Commercial Area Dwelling Units Population Building Space Building Space Building Space Employment West County(1) 13,000 30,500 5,503,000 17,905,000 23,408,000 48,500 Central County(2) 30,300 74,300 6,387,000 15,224,000 21,611,000 60,300 East County (3) 63,100 166,300 6,685,000 29,168,000 35,853,000 77,800 Total 106,400 271,100 18,575,000 62,297,000 80,872,000 186,600 (1) Includes Richmond, San Pablo, EI Cerrito, Pinole, Hercules and unincorporated area. (2) Includes Lafayette, Orinda, Moraga, Danville, Pleasant Hill, San Ramon,Walnut Creek, Concord, Clayton, Martinez, and unincorporated area. (3) Includes Pittsburg, Antioch, Brentwood, Oakley, Bethel Island, Discovery Bay and other unincorporated area. . Source: Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. 11 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 • Transportation network capacity constraints may limit mobility within the Bay Area and also limit the ability of labor force participants to in-commute from outlying counties. In Contra Costa County, the geographic separation of employment centers (located in the Central County) and new housing supply (located in East County) will cause addi- tional problems for the already congested Highway 4 and I-680 corridors. • Infrastructure constraints, including water supply and sewage treatment and disposal may limit growth in some areas. The ABAG attempts to reflect these variables in regional growth projections that it regularly publishes. Table 3 presents the Contra Costa County population and employment projec- tions recently published by ABAG (Projections 1990) for the period from 1990 to 2005. Cor- responding estimates of future dwelling unit and commercial space requirements are also shown. Over the 15-year period between 1990 and 2005, a total of 194,500 residents and 95,300 jobs are projected to be added in the County. The projected growth will require 77,100 dwelling units and 42.3 million square feet of commercial space. The majority of new residents are projected to locate in the East County area, whereas the majority of the new jobs are projected to occur in the Central County,reflecting the land capacity shown in Table 2. In order to bring the development capacity created by the Draft General Plan and the city General Plans into perspective, it must be compared with the growth projections. Table 4 shows estimated development based on ABAG growth projections as a percent of General Plan development capacity. The following observations result from this comparison: • Countywide, projected growth through 2005 represents 72 percent of the residential development capacity and 52 percent of the commercial capacity. • In the Central County,ratios of 100 percent are due to existing vacancies and redevelop- ment potential,particularly within Concord. • In the East County, projected growth over the next 15 years accounts for 62 percent of the residential capacity and 32 percent of the commercial capacity designated in the City and County General Plans. • The projected demand in the East County relative to development capacity reflected in the Draft General Plan indicates that these land markets should remain competitive with other growing parts of the Bay Area. COUNTY BUDGET CONDITIONS AND TRENDS Contra Costa County, like many California counties, is undergoing a period of fiscal stress due to a continued increase in public service costs that are not being offset by revenue increases. Proposition 13, elimination of federal general revenue sharing and grants, limits on State subventions, and increases in the costs of Countywide services have all contributed to fiscal constraints. The County's budget conditions and the effect of demographic and fis- cal trends on the budget are outlined briefly below. 12 Table 3 Commercial and Residential Development Necessary to Accomodate ABAG Growth Projections for Contra Costa County: 1990 to 2005 Retail Office/Industrial Total Commercial Area Dwelling Units Population Building Space Building Space Building Space Employment West County(1) 8,900 20,900 1,357,000 7,572,000 8,929,000 18,100 Central County(2) 28,600 70,300 5,394,000 16,497,000 21,891,000 54,400 East County(3) 39,600 103,300 2,571,000 8,898,000 11,469,000 22,800 Total 77,100 194,500 9,322,000 32,967,000 42,289,000 95,300 (1) Includes Richmond, San Pablo, EI Cerrito, Pinole, Hercules and unincorporated area. (2) Includes Lafayette, Orinda, Moraga, Danville, Pleasant Hill, San Ramon, Walnut Creek, Concord, Clayton, Martinez, and unincorporated area. (3) Includes Pittsburg, Antioch, Brentwood, Oakley, Bethel Island, Discovery Bay and other unincorporated area. Source:ABAG, Projections'90; Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. 13 Table 4 Estimated Development Given ABAG Growth Projections In Contra Costa County As a Percent of Development Capacity in City and County General Plans: 1990 to 2005 Retail Office/Industrial Total Commercial Area Dwelling Units Population Building Space Building Space Building Space Employment West County(1) 680/6 69% 25% 420/6 380/6 370/6 Central County (2) 94% 950/6 84% 100% (4) 100% (4) 900/0 East County (3) 63% 626/6 386/6 31% 326/6 296/6 Total 726/6 72% 506/6 53% 526/6 51% (1) Includes Richmond, San Pablo, EI Cerrito, Pinole, Hercules and unincorporated area. (2) Includes Lafayette, Orinda, Moraga, Danville, Pleasant Hill, San Ramon, Walnut Creek, Concord, Clayton, Martinez, and unincorporated area. (3) Includes Pittsburg, Antioch, Brentwood, Oakley, Bethel Island, Discovery Bay and other unincorporated area. (4) Projected growth to capacity ratios of over 100% have been reduced to 100%. In this case either employment growth will be constrained or additional capacity will be put in place through redevelopment or General Plan Amendments. Source: ABAG, Projections'90; Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. 14 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 The County Provides Countywide and Urban Services. The County government provides a large number of services mandated by the State includ- ing health and welfare, criminal justice,and libraries to all residents of the County including those living in cities as well as those living in unincorporated areas. Urban services such as police protection and capital improvements such as roads and parks are provided in unincorporated areas. Library and fire services are provided to unincorporated areas and many of the cities through Special Districts, administered by the County Board of Super- visors. Countywide Service Costs Have Required an Ever-Increasing Share of Available Revenue. The rising demand for and cost of Countywide services have required an ever increasing share of available general revenues. As of fiscal year 1989-90, over 95 percent of the County's net operating budget was spent on services the County is obligated to provide. The majority of these costs,approximately 70 percent, are for social services and administra- tion costs. The County relies heavily on State and Federal Aid to finance mandated Countywide ser- vices such as Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC), the courts, job training, foster and convalescent care. State and Federal Aid has not kept up with cost increases in the last few years. Additional State and Federal aid is unlikely as these entities struggle to manage their own budget deficits. The recent State Budget adopted by the State Legislature and Governor further reduces State funding of mandated programs. Expenditures not offset by government aid or service charges are financed solely by general revenues. As a result of the rising cost of Countywide services, declining State and Federal aid, and constraints on general revenues, there has been an increasing dependence of Countywide service costs on available general revenues. In the future, general revenues are unlikely to experience significant real growth as Proposition 13 continues to hold down property tax revenue and the cities capture a large share of growth-related revenues such as sales and business taxes. The Demand for Countywide Services Will Continue to Rise. A variety of factors will affect the rising demand for Countywide services in the future, including immigration, the aging of the population, and continued problems with homeless- ness,AIDS,drug abuse,and crime related to demographic and social trends. The County has Balanced Its Budget Partly by Pursuing Urban Development in Unincorporated Areas. During the 1980s, urban growth in unincorporated areas has produced net revenues that have helped the County meet its Countywide service commitments. 15 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 As mentioned above, the County is responsible for providing urban services such as law enforcement, planning, and road maintenance to unincorporated portions of the County. Other urban services such as fire protection, and sewer and water utilities are provided by special districts. In recent years, the increased burden of Countywide service costs has diminished the County's ability to provide urban services to unincorporated areas. In the face of inadequate revenues as additional urban growth occurs in these areas, the quality of urban services will deteriorate, lowering the quality of life for existing and future residents and causing environmental deterioration. Shifting the burden of urban service costs to future development could free some of the County's general purpose revenues to finance Countywide services. Although the shift to fees and service charges is a positive response, these charges cannot fund the major expenses associated with Countywide social services and the criminal justice system. Future Development May Cost More Than It Produces in Revenue. The fiscal soundness of new urban development in unincorporated areas is uncertain, espe- cially when viewed independently of overall growth and economic development of the County. A fiscal analysis conducted as a part of the County's evaluation of the Draft General Plan addressed the ongoing costs and revenues of new development located in the unincorporated areas where significant amounts of urban development is expected. The analysis showed the implications of service standards proposed in the Draft General Plan and provided an estimate of new development's impact upon the County's annual operating budget. The results of the fiscal analysis were consistent with the results of many fiscal studies: • Residential development, particularly higher density development in areas where little or no development presently exists,tends to produce negative fiscal impacts. • Lower density,higher value residential development,particularly in built-up areas with existing service capacity,tends to produce more positive results. • Commercial and industrial development is generally fiscally beneficial. • Capture of retail sales from residents of unincorporated areas, and the related shift of sales tax revenues to the cities is a major contributor to poor fiscal performance of unincorporated residential development. New Revenues for Countywide Services will be Required. Additional revenues will be required to achieve service standards incorporated in the Draft General Plan, improve maintenance programs, and provide infrastructure improvements. Securing long term funding for mandated Countywide social services and the criminal jus- tice system is most critical. 16 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 Without new revenues the first services to suffer,as we have already begun to witness, will be discretionary services such as neighborhood parks and libraries. Next, infrastructure improvements will be eliminated or deferred. Finally, service standards in support services such as sheriff and public works will diminish. INFRASTRUCTURE CONSTRAINTS Existing public facility infrastructure, including highways and arterial roads, local streets, sewers and water treatment and transmission facilities, schools, parks, drainage and flood control facilities, and other community facilities are in many instances incapable of meeting the demands of projected growth and development. During development of the General Plan a major effort was undertaken to evaluate infrastructure capacities, constraints, and improvements needed to accommodate planned growth. Results of these efforts are docu- mented in the Draft General Plan and the Draft EIR prepared for the Plan. According to the General Plan analysis, the cost of providing needed public facility infra- structure will be high because many facilities required will be entirely new. The infrastruc- ture costs on a per new dwelling unit basis will vary from area to area within the County depending upon specific needs in each area. In all cases these per unit costs will be high rel- ative to what is currently being charged new development in the County. Estimates of per unit off-tract infrastructure costs prepared for the Draft General Plan indi- cated a range from$15,000 to over$35,000 per dwelling unit depending upon the area. Within East County, where most of the unincorporated growth is anticipated, major costs will include highways,sewage effluent treatment and disposal,schools,and drainage. Highway capacity is viewed as the major constraint upon development,in the East County, even when the increased capacity provided by planned improvements. These improvements are estimated to cost over$1 billion dollars. In addition to the impacts of congestion upon real estate markets,the County General Plan and Measure C Growth Management standards will impose level of service requirements that could limit or deter urban growth in the East County. Growth significantly beyond that anticipated in the Draft General Plan would over- whelm planned improvements in the East County and further degrade expected levels of service on the I-680 corridor. Sewage effluent disposal is another problem in the East County. Restrictions on Bay dis- posal will require tertiary treatment or land disposal. Either approach will be very costly and may ultimately limit development potential. 17 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 TRENDS IN GOVERNMENT ORGANIZATION Yet another trend that must be taken into account is the propensity of urbanizing areas to annex to existing cities or incorporate as new cities. Over the past ten years such incorpora- tions and annexations have reduced revenue available to the County. At the present time, four additional incorporation efforts are being pursued including Oakley, Discovery Bay, West Pittsburg, and Alamo. If these incorporations occur the County could lose millions of dollars in property tax and sales tax. Other areas shown for urbanization in the Draft General Plan are within or directly adjacent to city Spheres-of-Influence. These include Lone Tree Valley, North Brentwood, Southwest Pittsburg, and Dougherty Valley. It is highly likely that these areas will be annexed to the nearby cities. EMERGING GENERAL PLAN AMENDMENTS Another trend that must be considered is the existence of a number of large-scale develop- ment proposals beyond the land use designations included in the Draft General Plan. Devel- opment opportunities have led landowners and developers to pursue projects beyond the areas designated for urban use in the Draft County General Plan and city General Plans. Notable examples of such projects include: • Cowell Ranch (East County,south of Brentwood) • Discovery Bay II (surrounding the existing developed area) • Veale Tract (East County,east of Oakley) • Dougherty Valley(Central County,east of San Ramon) • East County Airport (Byron area) These projects all have active development proposals in preparation and can be expected to be in the formal development application stage in the near future. The Land Use Initiative would prohibit the Board of Supervisors from considering these projects;however,several of them could be accommodated through annexation and/or incorporation proceedings. 18 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 IMPACT ANALYSIS The direct effects of the Ballot Measures discussed above could cause a variety of economic impacts. The following section documents these potential impacts. FISCAL IMPACTS UPON CONTRA COSTA COUNTY Given the excess land use capacity that exists in the East County (see Table 4), it is possible that the development potential affected by the Land Use Initiative would not be fully built out within the time frame of the Initiative, 2010. In this case,the Initiative would have a fis- cal impact on the County Budget relative to the amount of development that does occur. If development is assumed during the time frame, the Land Use Initiative will cause several different fiscal impacts upon Contra Costa County: N Net Positive Fiscal Margins from Development will be Foregone under the Land Use Initiative. Urban development within the unincorporated portions of Contra Costa County provides tax revenues that assist the County in meeting its mandated service requirements. The urban development proposed in the County was shown to produce positive fiscal impacts in the fiscal analysis included in the Draft General Plan Environmental Impact Report. The potential for 14,800 units and commercial development of 5.6 million square feet would be eliminated by the Land Use Initiative. Assuming that this land remains unincorporated in 2010,the following fiscal impacts would occur by that year(figures are in 1990 dollars): • $16.0 million of annual revenue for the County General Fund would be foregone. • $13.1 million in annual County operating costs would be avoided. • The annual net fiscal benefit of$2.9 million for the County General Fund would be lost. Estimates of these impacts on specific revenue sources and operating expenditures are out- lined on Table 5. 19 Table 5 Projected Maximum Annual Change In County General Fund Revenues and Expenditures If Development Potential Affected by the Land Use Initiative Is Not Realized Change in Annual Item Revenue or Expenditure General Fund Revenues Property Taxes ($12,442,000) Sales & Use Tax ($675,000) Real Property Transfer Tax ($447,000) Motor Vehicle In Lieu Tax ($1,562,000) Cigarette Tax ($10,000) Fines/Forfeits/Penalties ($308,000) Franchises ($262,000) Other License & Permits ($263,000) TOTAL REVENUES ($15,969,000) Operating Expenditures General Administration ($1,677,000) Environmental Protection & Planning ($114,000) Police Protection ($4,095,000) Criminal Justice ($3,283,000) Health and Sanitation ($1,754,000) Public Assistance ($1,604,000) Library ($426,000) Education ($5,000) Public Ways and Facilities ($150,000) TOTAL EXPENDITURES ($13,108,000) CHANGE IN NET OPERATING BALANCE ($2,861,000) Cumualtive Fee Revenue(1) Parks ($2,954,000) Area of Benefit(Traffic) _($131,775,000) TOTAL FEE REVENUE ($134,729,000) (1) Based on exisiting fee schedules. Source: Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. 20 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 County will Receive Less Revenue if Affected Development is Annexed and/or Incorporated. The sharing of property taxes following an annexation and/or an incorporation is based upon a formula contained in State law. The formula is subject to negotiation between the County and the city, particularly with regard to the annexation proceeding. The amount of property tax revenue that the County receives in the future from the annexed territory is a direct result of these negotiations. If the affected land is developed under the jurisdiction of a city, the County stills incurs a variety of operating costs and receives some revenues. The figure below outlines the impact on the County General Fund if the development affected by the Initiative occurs within incorporated areas. The first line shows the annual revenue, operating expenditures and net fiscal balance if the development occurs under city jurisdiction. The second line shows comparable revenues and costs if the development occurs under County jurisdiction. The third line shows the impact of annexation and incorporation,or the difference between the two scenarios. Annual County Annual County Annual County Scenario Revenues Costs Balance City Jurisdiction 10,169,000 8,416,000 1,753,000 County Jurisdiction 15,969,000 13,108,000 2,861,000 Impact of Annex/Incorp. (5,800,000) (4,692,000) (1,108,000) Specific estimates of the revenue and cost impacts on the County Budget if development occurs under City jurisdictions are outlined on Table 6. In addition to the annual loss of $986,000 in net County General Fund operating revenues, the County would lose the cumulative payment of traffic and park impact fees, based on existing fee schedules. This loss totals $134,728,000. Assuming a 15-year development period,the annual loss of traffic and park fees would be$9 million. 21 1' . .ki Table 6 Projected Maximum Annual Change in County General Fund Revenues and Expenditures If Development Potential Affected by the Land Use Initiative Occurs Within Incorporated Areas Change in Annual Item Revenue or Expenditure General Fund Revenues Property Taxes ($4,030,000) Sales &Use Tax ($675,000) Real Property Transfer Tax ($447,000) Motor Vehicle in Lieu Tax $0 Cigarette Tax $0 Fines/Forfeits/Penalties ($123,000) Franchises ($262,000) Other License & Permits ($263,000) TOTAL REVENUES ($5,800,000) Operating Expenditures General Administration ($559,000) Environmental Protection & Planning ($38,000) Police Protection ($4,095,000) Criminal Justice $0 Health and Sanitation $0 Public Assistance $0 Library $0 Education $0 Public Ways and Facilities $0 TOTAL EXPENDITURES ($4,692,000) CHANGE IN NET OPERATING BALANCE ($1,108,000) Cumualtive Fee Revenue Parks ($2,954,000) Area of Benefit(Traffic)(1) ($131,775,000) TOTAL FEE REVENUE ($134,729,000) (1) Based on exisiting fee schedules. Source: Economic and Planning Systems, Inc. 22 Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 Net Positive Fiscal Margins from Future General Plan Amendments would be Foregone. During the 15-year time horizon of the Draft General Plan it is possible that a number of General Plan Amendments would be considered. As noted above, a number of large scale projects are in the planning stage beyond the urban designations shown in the Draft General Plan. These projects, when they become feasible from a market standpoint and can meet infrastructure requirements and standards, can be assumed to provide fiscal benefits to the County in much the same way as shown for the development that has been accommodated in the Draft General Plan. This is particularly true for "up-scale" residential projects and commercial/industrial projects. For example, the East County Airport may provide a significant opportunity for commercial/industrial development which could be a major net positive fiscal revenue gen- erator for the County. The Preservation Plan would maintain net positive fiscal benefits from future development. The potential fiscal losses predicted for under the Land Use Initiative would not occur under the Preservation Plan. On the contrary, fiscal benefits of additional development, assuming that such development meets infrastructure and service standards reflected in the General Plan's Growth Management Element,would be available. COUNTY EMPLOYEES Over time, the Land Use Initiative could cause a reduction in County employment in two ways. First, if overall budget conditions worsen due to fiscal impacts associated with the Initiative, the County will have to reduce costs wherever it can. This would likely include across-the-board cuts in County employees. Second, the reduction in development potential could have a direct impact on County employment by reducing the need for County services that support the new development including Community Development,Building Inspection, and Public Works. Loss of the development capacity in the Oakley/Brentwood area alone would eliminate nearly 15,000 housing units and 5.6 million square feet of commercial development. Assum- ing that this development could have occurred over,the next 15 years, the overall workload of the Building Department would be reduced by 40 to 50 percent depending upon the assumptions made regarding annexation and incorporation. This reduction in workload could lead to a reduction of line employees by approximately 13 to 18 positions. The Preservation Plan would have no similar potential impacts on County employment. 23 �So •, Presentation Draft Report August 6,1990 IMPACTS UPON PUBLIC FINANCE COMMITMENTS The Land Use Initiative,because it will result in a reduction of planned development capac- ity, has the potential for disrupting existing or future public finance commitments. For example, if special assessment debt has been issued in an area affected by the land use cut- backs,the underlying security of the debt would be greatly reduced or eliminated. Because no such public finance commitments presently exist in the area affected by the Land Use Initiative,no immediate impacts will result. However, there will be a reduction in over- all financing capability due to the loss of impact fee revenue. Impact fee revenues would be reduced in direct proportion to the amount of development cut back. Using current per unit traffic impact fee estimates by use type for the Oak- ley/Brentwood area, the development potential foregone would result in a loss of$132 mil- lion over time. The County also would lose $3 million in Park fee revenue. If the develop- ment in the affected area occurred over the 15 year General Plan horizon, the annual impacts would equal approximately$9 million. It is unlikely that the reduction in land use capacity will result in a corresponding elimina- tion or a significant down-sizing of the major planned transportation improvements in East County. Analysis conducted for the Draft General Plan Draft EIR (Urban Transfer Alterna- tive) suggested that a cut back in development on a scale that would be caused by the Open Space Initiative reduced costs by approximately 20 percent. Fee revenues lost would equal 61 percent of the total revenue potential in unincorporated portions of the East County. To maintain fee revenue needed fees from remaining development would need to be increased. The Preservation Plan would have no similar potential impacts on County impact fee revenues. FINANCIAL IMPACTS UPON LANDOWNERS The Land Use Initiative would cause a financial impact upon landowners because land use restrictions would prevent future development activity in areas designated Agricul- ture/Open Space and Agricultural Core. The Initiative would also remove urban designa- tion from 6,100 acres of land in the Oakley/Brentwood area. The present value of the land with an urban designation as proposed by the Draft General Plan would be a function of its "residual land value" for the uses proposed, discounted by some assumption regarding when development would actually occur. For example, unimproved land designated for single family residential use in the Brentwood/Oakley area might sell for up to $100,000 per acre if it could be developed within a year or two. If devel- opment could not occur for 10 years due to market or infrastructure constraints the same land could sell for perhaps $40,000 today. Applying this figure to the 6,100 acres affected by the Land Use Initiative yields an amount of$244 million. 24 ." Presentation Draft Report • August 6,1990 Land values in all agricultural and open space areas within unincorporated territory would be reduced in market value because of the effective constraint on parcel maps or subdivi- sions as well as the inability to obtain a General Plan Amendment. Tens of thousands of acres would be affected. Under the Preservation Plan, potential land value effects would be less severe simply because there are no proposed cutbacks in proposed land use designations, and the array of rural land use designations is maintained as proposed in the Draft General Plan. Areas beyond the Urban Limit Line would suffer a loss of its investment value,insofar as develop- ment opportunities are diminished. Because of the remoteness of much of the land beyond the Urban Limit Line,no effort was made to quantify the significance of any such investment value reductions. REGIONAL ECONOMIC IMPACTS Regional economic impacts include employment-based indicators (jobs, national income, and employee consumption) and population-based indicators (population, personal income and population consumption). Growth in these indicators is normally viewed as a benefit of development activity. If development is delayed or foregone in the unincorporated portions of the County and not absorbed by the cities, these indicators would be proportionately affected. Because it is assumed that the Land Use Initiative will not cause an absolute loss of develop- ment activity in the County,no absolute reduction in jobs or housing units is anticipated. It is possible that the County's more aggressive policies for affordable housing could be affected if a large part of territory that would have otherwise been developed in the County is annexed or incorporated into cities. If this occurs, there could be a reduction in the amount of affordable housing that is created in the County. The Preservation plan, during its 15-year time horizon, will have less potential for affecting regional economic variables since it maintains the land use policies of the General Plan. 25 • w Presentation Draft Report • ' August 6,1990 DRAFT GENERAL PLAN POLICIES AND PROGRAMS The Land Use Initiative and the Preservation Plan ballot measures are both based upon and modify the Draft General Plan. In essence, they would add additional policies and restric- tions to the land use planning process in Contra Costa County. In addition to the Land Use Map, the Draft General Plan contains a variety of policies directly related to the stated pur- pose and intent of both measures. Of particular significance are the fiscal and financial policies of the Draft General Plan (pages 181 - 185); and the Growth Management Element (pages 105 - 117). The following section summarizes the Growth Management Element and fiscal and financial analysis conducted for the General Plan. FISCAL AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Even though new development was shown to generate a net fiscal benefits in most instances, it is questionable whether or not much of this increased revenue will be available for urban services,since the Countywide services will continue to dominate the County's budget. If revenues derived from new development are not available to fund urban services,a reduc- tion of service standards for existing as well as new residents would be the likely result. This outcome is often the de facto fiscal policy resulting from poor planning and an inadequate tax base to provide Countywide services. Fiscal balance for urban services in unincorporated areas can be achieved, even with service standards being considered as a part of the Draft General Plan. The Draft General Plan con- tains fiscal policies which, if implemented, will result in a variety of new and enhanced revenues: • Cost Recovery. Costs for County services will be offset, wherever possible through the use of fees and charges. • Local Funding for Urban Services. Urban service standards in unincorporated areas will be met by creating one or more local entities designed to provide new revenue sources. Principal examples of such entities include: - Landscape and Lighting Maintenance Districts - County Service Area - Benefit Assessments Districts Mello-Roos Community Facilities Districts - Special Taxes (e.g. for police protection) • City/County Revenue Sharing. The County will pursue a broadening of the revenue base to support Countywide services and a coordinated effort throughout the County to develop new revenue sources that provide the County with adequate ongoing revenues. 26 Presentation Draft Report August 6, 1990 Local infrastructure will be financed by new development through a number of mechanisms. • Dedications. Developers will dedicate land, and, in some instances, finished improve- ments,in order to meet the project-specific public facility requirement. • Impact Fee Ordinances. The County will implement and regularly revise impact fee ordinances to fund roads,parks,fire protection and other community facilities. • SRecial Assessment Districts. The County will create special assessment districts,where appropriate, to allow issuance of debt to fund facilities that directly benefit participating properties. Debt is secured by land value and serviced through annual assessments on participating properties. • Community Facility Districts. The County will create Community Facility Districts to allow issuance of debt to pay for large, community-serving public facilities. Debt is secured by a special tax levied upon participating properties. Assuming that these policies are implemented,new development will pay the major share of infrastructure improvements with new residents funding increases in ongoing maintenance and public service costs. This approach will assure that new development will "pay its own way" and assure positive fiscal balances for the County resulting from new development occurring in unincorporated territory. GROWTH MANAGEMENT ELEMENT Policies outlined in the Growth Management Element (GME) of the Draft General Plan have been designed to meet specific performance standards for infrastructure, urban services, open space and parks, and jobs\housing balance. Unless specific development projects can meet these performance standards they could be deemed inconsistent with the General Plan and denied. The Growth Management Element is intended to fully incorporate the requirements set forth in Measure C,(The Contra Costa County Transportation Improvement and Growth Manage- ment Program) passed by the voters in November 1988. The GME adds a variety of functions to the planning process including a land supply and development monitoring process, guidelines by which development projects can mitigate impacts over the adopted performance standards, and a framework for inter-jurisdictional cooperation on land use and infrastructure issues. If implemented, these policies will help ensure that new development will offset their impacts on the infrastructure systems and public services. 27 THE BOARD OF SUPERVISORS OF CONTRA COSTA COUNTY, CALIFORNIA Adopted this Resolution on August 7 , 1990 , by the following vote: AYES: Supervisors Powers, Schroder, McPeak, Torlakson NOES: Supervisor Fanden ABSENT: None ABSTAIN: None (See attached Board Order for vote on map reflecting, urban limit lines. ) SUBJECT: 65/35 Contra Costa County ) RESOLUTION NO. 90/530 Land Preservation Plan ) The Contra Costa County Board of Supervisors RESOLVES THAT: 1 . The County is in the process of preparing a new General Plan for the County. . The proposed new General Plan represents years of research and analysis by the staff of the County Community Development Department and outside consultants . To maximize public participation in the process of preparing the new General Plan, the County has held thousands of hours of public hearings and received extensive written comments . In addition, the County has prepared a Draft Environmental Impact Report on the new General Plan. The new General Plan and the Draft Environmental Impact Report are presently being finalized. 2 . As described in detail in the Staff Report from the County Community Development Department dated August 7 , 1990 (the "Staff Report" ) , public comments on the new General Plan have identified several concerns related to future planning or the County. Those concerns have focused on three main issues: (1 ) the preservation of agricultural and open space land,. wetlands and parks, ( 2 ) the need to manage growth to preserve the quality of life and ( 3 ) the need to provide decent, safe and affordable housing as required by state law. The 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan has been prepared to address those issues . 3 . The Board has decided to submit the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan, as set forth in the ordinance on file with the Clerk of the Board and given the number 90-66, to a vote of the people in the County, as permitted by the State Elections Code. The Board desires to ensure that the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan reflects the needs and desires of the people in the County. 4 . The Board has received comments from the public on the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan. Having considered these comments , the Board hereby directs that the ordinance on file with the Clerk of the Board and given the number 90-66 , be submitted to the qualified voters of the County for their approval a the November 6, 1990 election, pursuant to California Elections Code Section 3750 . 5 . The following ballot language for submittal of the ordinance to the' voters is hereby approved: e:\2.bosem RESOLUTION NO. 90/530 1165/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan. Shall an ordinance entitled the 1165/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan71 , which (1) preserves 65% of all land in the county for agriculture, open space, wetlands, parks, and other non-urban uses, (2) confines urban development to 35% of the land within the County, (3 ) establishes an urban limit line that identifies the outer boundaries of urban development, and (4 ) restricts hillside development throughout the County, be adopted?" 6. The approval of the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan by the voters is not intended to be an amendment of the County's existing General Plan. Rather, the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan, if approved by the voters, is intended to be . reflected in the County's new General Plan and will thereby become the official policy of the County with respect to the preservation of open space and agricultural lands and the protection of valuable environmental resources such as wildlife, wetlands, and hillsides. 7 . As described in the Staff Report, the submittal of this ordinance to the voters is not a project or is otherwise exempt under the California Environmental Quality Act and its Guidelines (collectively, 110EQA11) . If this ordinance is approved by the voters, the County will be required to take all necessary and appropriate steps to reflect the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan in the new General Plan for the County, consistent with the requirements of CEQA and the State Planning Law. Nothing contained herein shall prevent the County from complying with applicable requirements of state law relating to the adoption and amendment of general plans. 8 . The clerk is directed to mail a copy of the complete text of the ordinance with the sample ballot to each voter in the County at least ten days before the aforementioned election by including it with the ballot pamphlet. 9 . The Auditor-Controller is directed to review the measure and determine whether the substance thereof , if adopted, would affect the revenue or expenditures of the County, and prepare a fiscal impact statement which estimates the amount of any increase or decrease in revenues or costs to the County if the measure is adopted. Orig. Dept. : County Counsel cc: Co. Clerk, Elections Dept. I herehy certify that this is a true and correct copy of County Administrator an action taken and entered on the minutes of the Community Development Dept. Board of supervisors on the date shown. Auditor-Controller ATTESTED: Atlaittt 7. 1gA0 PHIL BATCHELOR,Clerk of the Board of Supervisors and County Administrator By Deputy 2 THE 65/35 CONTRA COSTA COUNTY LAND PRESERVATION PLAN TEXT OF PROPOSED ORDINANCE No. 90-66 The People of the County of Contra Costa hereby ordain as follows : Section 1 Title This ordinance shall be entitled the "65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan. " Section 2 Summary Through this ordinance the people approve the policies contained in the 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan and direct the Contra Costa County Board of Supervisors to reflect those policies in the new general plan (the "New General Plan" ) for the County. These "65/35 Land Preservation Plan" policies are intended to: • Restrict urban development to 35% of the land in the County and preserve 65% of the land in the County for agriculture, open space, wetlands, parks and other non-urban uses; • Prohibit any changes to the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan standard except by a vote of the people; • Create an Urban Limit Line to identify the outer boundaries of urban development in the County; 1 • Protect and promote the economic viability of agricultural land by appropriate standards and policies, including a policy that increases the minimum parcel size for prime productive agricultural land outside the Urban Limit Line to 40 acres; • Protect open hillsides and significant ridgelines throughout the County from development by zoning and other measures; • Manage growth in the County by allowing new development only when infrastructure and service standards are met; • Advise the Local Agency Formation Commission to honor the County's 65/35 Land Preservation standard, Urban Limit Line and growth management standards in annexation and incorporation decisions; • Promote cooperation between the County and cities to preserve agricultural and open space land, wetlands and parks, by requiring the County to pursue preservation agreements with cities where feasible; and • Safeguard the County's obligation to provide its fair share of safe, decent and affordable housing. Section 3 Statement of Findings and Policy The voters of Contra Costa County approve the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan based on the following facts and considerations: A. Contra Costa County (the "County" ) is nearing completion of a major revision of its general plan. The New General Plan will represent a comprehensive, balanced approach for accommodating the diverse variety of needs and interests of the people of the County. To maximize public participation in preparing the New General Plan, the County 2 has held thousands of hours of public meetings and received extensive written comments on the New General Plan. All segments of Contra Costa County society have participated, including ranchers, developers, farmers, environmentalists, labor groups, cities, special districts, business and industrial associations. The proposed New General Plan expresses the variety of concerns and hopes stated in this public process . The proposed New General Plan consists of over 400 pages and represents years of research and analysis by the staff of the County Community Development Department and outside consultants . In addition, in accordance with the California Environmental Quality Act ( "CEQA" ) , the County has prepared and circulated for public review a draft environmental impact report ( "EIR" ) to assess the environmental impacts of the New General Plan. The draft EIR, comments and responses to comments have been circulated to agencies and individuals and readily available at County offices, libraries and other public places . B. During this process of preparing the New General Plan, the voters expressed a number of concerns related to future planning and development of the County. The most important of those concerns were: ( 1) Growing urbanization of the County is threatening the long term viability of the County's agricultural and open space land, parks, wetlands, hillsides and ridgelines . Preservation and buffering of agricultural 3 land is critical to maintaining a healthy and competitive agricultural economy and assuring a balance in land uses in the County. Moreover, preservation and conservation of open space, wetlands, parks, hillsides and ridgelines is imperative to ensure the continued availability of unique habitats for wildlife and plants, to protect the unique scenery in the County and to provide a wide range of recreational opportunities for County residents . (2) Growth is a natural and proper part of the life of the community. However, growth should be managed responsibly to preserve the quality of life for current and future generations . New development should be guided into appropriate locations, and should be allowed only after appropriate infrastructure (transportation, schools, water, fire and police protection) can be assured. ( 3) There is a critical need to make decent, safe and affordable housing available to all Contra Costa County residents . Fair housing opportunities should prevail for all economic segments of the County, and housing should be available in reasonable proximity to employment centers . In addition, the County's land use policies should not restrict growth so severely that they preclude these affordable housing opportunities . 4 C. The 65/35 Land Preservation Plan implemented in Section 4 is intended to address these concerns of the voters . The 65/35 Land Preservation Plan is intended to carry out the voters ' desire to both preserve agriculture and open space land, parks, wetlands, hillsides and ridgelines, manage growth to protect . the quality of life, and provide for the County's fair share of decent, safe and affordable housing. D. It is appropriate and reasonable to present to the voters for their approval the key policies that would guide the County's future under the New General Plan, as those policies are set forth in the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan. With the guidance and confirmation the voters can provide through approval of the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan, the County can complete the environmental review and detailed documentation necessary for implementing these principles . E. The approval of the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan by the voters is not intended to be an amendment of the County's existing general plan. Rather, the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan, if approved by the voters, is intended to be reflected in the County's New General Plan and will thereby become the official policy of the County with respect to the preservation of open space and agricultural lands and the protection of valuable environmental resources such as wildlife, wetlands, hillsides and ridgelines . 5 Section 4 Implementation of 65/35 Land Preservation Plan To implement the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan, the following chapter is hereby added to the Contra Costa County Ordinance Code as Chapter 82-1 and numbered appropriately: A. New General Plan The County shall adopt a new general plan by December 31, 1990 (the "New General Plan" ) . B. 65/35 Land Preservation Plan The policies contained in this chapter shall be reflected in the New General Plan, as ultimately adopted by the Board of Supervisors in accordance with the California Environmental Quality Act and State Planning Law. ( 1) 65/35 Land Preservation Standard Urban development in the County shall be limited to no more than 35% of the land in the County. At least 65% of all land in the County shall be preserved for agriculture, open space, wetlands, parks and other non-urban uses . (2 ) Changes to the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan No change shall be made in the New General Plan after its adoption that would result in greater than 35% of the land in the County being permitted for urban development. This limitation shall not prevent any increase in agriculture, open space, parks, wetlands or other non- urban uses to greater than 65% of the land in the County. ( 3) Urban Limit Line To ensure the enforcement of the 65/35 standard set forth in (B) ( 1) above, an Urban Limit Line shall be established, in approximately the location depicted on the illustrative 65/35 Contra Costa County Land Preservation Plan Map attached as Exhibit A. The Urban Limit Line shall be incorporated into the County's Open Space Conservation Plan. The Urban Limit Line shall limit potential urban development in the County to 35% of the land in the County and shall prohibit the County from designating any land located outside the Urban Limit Line for an urban land use. The criteria and factors for determining whether land should 6 be considered for location outside the Urban Limit Line should include (a) land which qualifies for rating as Class I and Class II in the Soil Conservation Service Land Use Capability Classification, (b) open space, parks and other recreation areas, (c) lands with slopes in excess of 26 percent, (d) wetlands, and (e) other areas not appropriate for urban growth because of physical unsuitability for development, unstable geological conditions, inadequate water availability, the lack of appropriate infrastructure, distance from existing development, likelihood of substantial environmental damage or substantial injury to fish or wildlife or their habitat, and other similar factors . (4) Growth Management In accordance with the Contra Costa Transportation Improvement and Growth Management Program adopted on August 3, 1988, the County shall manage growth by allowing new development only when infrastructure and service standards are met for traffic levels of service, water, sanitary sewer, fire protection, public protection, parks and recreation, flood control and drainage and other such services . Land located inside the Urban Limit Line may be considered for changes in designated land uses , subject to County growth management policies and any other applicable requirements . Location of land within the Urban Limit Line shall provide no guarantee that the land may be developed. If land is developed within the Urban Limit Line, a substantial portion of this land shall be retained for open space, parks and recreational uses . (5) Agricultural Protection Policies; Minimum Parcel Sizes The County shall establish standards and policies designed to protect the economic viability of agricultural. land. These standards and policies shall include a minimum parcel size for prime productive agricultural land located outside the Urban Limit Line to 40 acres . These standards and policies may also include, but shall not necessarily be limited to, preservation agreements, conservation easements, clustering, establishment of an agricultural soils trust fund, and agricultural mitigation fees . 7 ( 6) Hillside Protection Development on open hillsides and significant ridgelines throughout the County shall be restricted, and hillsides with a grade of 26% or greater shall be protected through implementing zoning measures and other appropriate actions . ( 7 ) Changes to the Urban Limit Line There shall be no change to the Urban Limit Line that violates the 65/35 standard set forth in B( 1) above. After adoption of the New General Plan, as long as there is no violation of the 65/35 standard, the Urban Limit Line can be changed by a 4/5 vote of the Board of Supervisors after holding a public hearing and making one or more of the following findings based on substantial evidence in the record: (a) a natural or man-made disaster or public emergency has occurred which warrants the provision of housing and/or other community needs within land located outside the Urban Limit Line, (b) an objective study has determined that the Urban Limit Line is preventing the County from providing its fair share of affordable housing, or regional housing, as required by state law, and the Board of Supervisors finds that a change to the Urban Limit Line is necessary and the only feasible means to enable the County to meet these requirements of state law, (c) a majority of the cities that are party to a preservation agreement and the County have approved a change to the Urban Limit Line affecting all or any portion of the land covered by the preservation agreement, (d) a minor change to the Urban Limit Line will more accurately reflect topographical characteristics or legal boundaries, (e) a five (5) year periodic review of the Urban Limit Line has determined, based on the criteria and factors for establishing the Urban Limit Line set forth in B( 3) above, that new information is available ( from city or County growth management studies or otherwise) or circumstances have changed, warranting a change to the Urban Limit Line; 8 ( f) an objective study has determined that a change to the Urban Limit Line is necessary or desirable to further the economic viability of the East Contra Costa County Airport, and either (i) mitigate adverse aviation related environmental or community impacts attributable to Buchanan Field, or (ii) further the County's aviation related needs; or (g) a change is required to conform to applicable California or federal law. Any such change shall be subject to referendum as provided by law. Changes to the Urban Limit Line under any other circumstances shall require a vote of the people. (8) Annexations and Incorporations The Local Agency Formation Commission ( "LAFCO" ) shall be advised to (a) respect and support the County's 65/35 Preservation Standard, Urban Limit Line and growth management standards when considering requests for incorporation or annexation to cities or service districts, (b) apply the stricter of the growth management standards of either the County, the incorporating city or the annexing city or service district, when considering requests for incorporation or annexations of land to cities or service districts, and (c) require unincorporated land located within the Urban Limit Line that is included in the incorporation of a new city or annexed to a city to provide a fair share of affordable housing when and if such land is developed. (9 ) Housing As required by the State Planning Act, the County shall periodically review and update the New General Plan to conform to state housing requirements and to ensure its capacity to accommodate a variety of housing types and prices throughout the County. In accordance with the provisions of B(7) above, the Board of Supervisors may make findings of necessity that the Urban Limit Line should be changed to allow the County to meet its fair share of affordable housing and other state housing requirements . ( 10) Cooperation with Cities To the extent feasible, the County shall enter into preservation agreements with cities in the County designed to preserve certain land in the County for agriculture and open space, wetlands or parks . 9 C. Application to Projects Prior to Adoption of New General Plan From the effective date of this chapter to adoption of the New General Plan, prior to issuing a permit for any project or adopting any legislation which requires an initial study under the California Environmental Quality Act, and prior to issuing a permit for any demolition, conversion, or change or use, and prior to taking any action which requires a finding of consistency with the general plan, the County shall adopt findings as to whether or not the proposed project or legislation is consistent with the policies established above. D. Duration The provisions of this chapter shall be in effect until December 31, 2010, to the extent permitted by law. E. No Violation of Law by this Ordinance ( 1) Nothing in this chapter shall be construed or interpreted in such a manner as to operate to deprive any landowner of substantially all of the market value of his/her property or otherwise constitute an unconstitutional taking without compensation. If application of any of the provisions of this chapter to any specific project or landowner would create an unconstitutional taking, then the Board of Supervisors may allow additional land uses, otherwise adjust permit requirements or take such other actions to the extent necessary to avoid what otherwise might be construed to be a taking. Any such additional land uses or other adjustments shall be designed to carry out the goals and provisions of this section to the maximum extent feasible. (2) Nothing contained in this chapter shall constitute an amendment of the existing general plan. Upon approval of this chapter by the voters, the County shall take all necessary and appropriate steps to reflect the policies of the 65/35 Land Preservation Plan in the New General Plan for the County, consistent with the requirements of CEQA and the State Planning Law. Nothing contained herein shall prevent the County from complying with applicable requirements of state law relating to the adoption and amendment of general plans . 10 F. Definitions ( 1) As used in this chapter, the phrase "land within the County" shall mean all of the acreage within the boundaries of Contra Costa County except the water area of the County west of Stake Point. (2) As used in this chapter, the term "non-urban uses " shall mean rural residential and agricultural structures allowed by applicable zoning and facilities for public purposes, whether privately or publicly funded or operated, which are necessary or desirable for the public health, safety or welfare or by state or federal law. Section 5 Amendment and Repeal This ordinance may be amended or repealed only by a vote of the people, except as expressly provided herein. Section 6 Conflicts with Other Measures The following provisions shall apply in the event that the voters approve any other initiative or referendum related to the County's general plan contemporaneously with approval of this ordinance: ( 1) In the event that the voters approve any other initiative or referendum related to the County's general plan, or zoning, planning or land use regulations within the County contemporaneously with approval of this ordinance and this ordinance receives a higher number of votes than such other initiative or referendum, the provisions of this ordinance shall supersede and are hereby deemed to be inconsistent with the provisions of such other initiative or referendum, and no provision of such other initiative or 11 referendum shall be implemented. This provision shall apply regardless of whether all or any part of this ordinance is invalidated by a court of competent jurisdiction. (2) In the event that the voters approve any other initiative or referendum related to the County's general plan contemporaneously with the approval of this ordinance, and such other initiative or referendum receives a higher number of votes than this ordinance, the provisions of this ordinance shall nevertheless be implemented to the maximum extent legally feasible. Section 7 Severability If any portion of this ordinance is hereafter determined to be invalid by a court of competent jurisdiction, all remaining portions of this ordinance shall remain in full force and effect. 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